FinalWin Prob.pScore
776%118
114
2924%108
96
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
107.5106102.0
ATL logo ATL
91.4105109.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSATL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.114
100%
96
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.10 54.8%
ATL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
26
62%
ATL
23
33
70%
Midrange
BOS
13
25
52%
ATL
6
13
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
13
19.5
40
33%
49%
ATL
6
9.0
35
17%
26%
Free Throws
BOS
17
21
81%
ATL
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Baynes1689%8.0 / 9
J. Tatum1470%7.0 / 10
K. Irving1359%6.5 / 11
T. Rozier1255%6.0 / 11
G. Hayward1192%5.5 / 6
J. Brown1063%5.0 / 8
M. Morris844%4.0 / 9
S. Ojeleye833%4.0 / 12
D. Theis788%3.5 / 4
B. Wanamaker5125%2.5 / 2
M. Smart429%2.0 / 7
R. Williams4200%2.0 / 1
G. Yabusele250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lin1979%9.5 / 12
A. Len1785%8.5 / 10
J. Collins16100%8.0 / 8
D. Bembry1454%7.0 / 13
J. Anderson1255%6.0 / 11
D. Dedmon750%3.5 / 7
T. Young536%2.5 / 7
K. Huerter440%2.0 / 5
T. Prince213%1.0 / 8
K. Bazemore0-0.0 / 2
V. Carter0-0.0 / 3
O. Spellman0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
90
+12
-16
102
ATL
85
+9
-20
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.10 54.8%
ATL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
108.1
BOS 107.5
ATL 91.4 +16.1
Pace
100.0
103.9
BOS 102.0
ATL 109.2 +7.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
13.6
BOS 14.1
ATL 13.2 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.2%
BOS 53.3% +6.4%
ATL 46.9%
TO %
12.4%
15.8%
BOS 13.8% +4.5%
ATL 18.3%
ORB %
21.7%
24.8%
BOS 16.7% +4.5%
ATL 12.2%
FTrt
21.5
25.5
BOS 23.1
ATL 35.8 +12.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
62.4%
BOS 73.8% +10.9%
ATL 62.9%
STL %
8.5%
7.8%
BOS 10.4% +1.8%
ATL 8.6%
BLK %
9.7%
9.2%
BOS 15.2% +1.5%
ATL 13.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
54.6%
BOS 54.8% +4.3%
ATL 50.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.0%
BOS 61.5%
ATL 69.7% +8.2%
Mid FG%
43.1%
37.9%
BOS 52.0% +5.8%
ATL 46.2%
3P %
36.5%
35.2%
BOS 32.5% +15.4%
ATL 17.1%
FT %
80.2%
75.2%
BOS 81.0% +12.0%
ATL 69.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
39.2%
BOS 28.6%
ATL 40.7% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
20.4%
BOS 27.5%
ATL 16.0% +11.4%
3P Att. %
38.1%
40.3%
BOS 44.0% +0.7%
ATL 43.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSATL
Possessions106105
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points11496
Rebounds4340
Assists3122
Steals119
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)20 (1)
Fouls2926
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (6)35 (3)
Field Goals42-9135-81
At-the-Rim FG16-2623-33
Midrange FG13-256-13
2-Point FG29-5129-46
3-Point FG13-406-35
Free Throws17-2120-29
Fast Break Pts2329
2nd Chance Pts186
Points in Paint4254
Pts off Turnovers2415
Bench Points5366
Biggest Lead290

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
24.5
8
44%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-7
29%
#46 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
23.0
16
89%
9
4
0
1
2
4
3
6
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
22.9
14
70%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 22
21.3
10
63%
2
3
2
0
2
2
1
1
2-4
50%
4-4
100%
0-3
0%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
19.8
13
59%
4
3
1
0
2
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
3-7
43%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
25.1
12
55%
3
3
3
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
23.5
8
33%
5
0
0
0
4
1
0
5
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 25
23.2
4
29%
1
7
3
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 29
22.1
11
92%
5
4
0
2
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
15.9
7
88%
5
1
0
1
1
6
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
8.6
4
200%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
7.3
5
125%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
2.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#26 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
Inactive - Personal
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Left Knee
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
55%
43
31
11
7
16
29
7
36
17-21
81%
29-51
57%
13-40
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.