FinalWin Prob.pScore
1725%106
124
175%116
126
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
125.39999.8
HOU logo HOU
126.010099.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETHOU
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.124
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.23 61.4%
HOU
1.35 67.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
21
35
60%
HOU
20
29
69%
Midrange
DET
3
16
19%
HOU
7
10
70%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
HOU
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
Free Throws
DET
28
37
76%
HOU
33
36
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin3766%18.5 / 28
A. Drummond2071%10.0 / 14
L. Galloway13108%6.5 / 6
I. Smith1146%5.5 / 12
S. Johnson1056%5.0 / 9
R. Jackson956%4.5 / 8
R. Bullock850%4.0 / 8
G. Robinson III660%3.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia675%3.0 / 4
J. Leuer467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden4377%21.5 / 28
C. Capela2790%13.5 / 15
C. Paul2059%10.0 / 17
J. Ennis III14100%7.0 / 7
E. Gordon750%3.5 / 7
P. Tucker6100%3.0 / 3
G. Green660%3.0 / 5
I. Hartenstein375%1.5 / 2
G. Clark0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
83
+17
-16
100
HOU
85
+7
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.23 61.4%
HOU
1.35 67.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
115.4
DET 125.3
HOU 126.0 +0.7
Pace
97.3
98.0
DET 99.8 +0.5
HOU 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.8
DET 14.4 +0.1
HOU 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
54.2%
DET 56.5%
HOU 64.6% +8.1%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
DET 13.6% +1.0%
HOU 14.6%
ORB %
24.9%
22.8%
DET 32.6% +14.1%
HOU 18.5%
FTrt
26.1
27.9
DET 43.5
HOU 50.0 +6.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
54.1%
DET 50.0% +5.0%
HOU 45.0%
STL %
7.1%
8.6%
DET 8.1% +0.1%
HOU 8.0%
BLK %
7.1%
8.7%
DET 2.6%
HOU 13.7% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
56.9%
DET 61.4%
HOU 67.7% +6.3%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.6%
DET 60.0%
HOU 69.0% +9.0%
Mid FG%
38.4%
41.8%
DET 18.8%
HOU 70.0% +51.2%
3P %
34.8%
35.6%
DET 47.1% +7.7%
HOU 39.4%
FT %
74.7%
79.1%
DET 75.7%
HOU 91.7% +16.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
33.9%
DET 41.2% +0.9%
HOU 40.3%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
14.2%
DET 18.8%
HOU 13.9% +4.9%
3P Att. %
39.4%
51.9%
DET 40.0%
HOU 45.8% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsDETHOU
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points124126
Rebounds3736
Assists2018
Steals88
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)15 (0)
Fouls2625
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (4)31 (0)
Field Goals40-8540-72
At-the-Rim FG21-3520-29
Midrange FG3-167-10
2-Point FG24-5127-39
3-Point FG16-3413-33
Free Throws28-3733-36
Fast Break Pts816
2nd Chance Pts196
Points in Paint4650
Pts off Turnovers3015
Bench Points4416
Biggest Lead714

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
38.1
37
66%
11
4
0
0
9
5
5
6
13-15
87%
3-12
25%
6-9
67%
#25 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 28
36.0
8
50%
0
6
3
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
27.8
20
71%
11
1
0
1
2
5
6
5
3-9
33%
7-10
70%
1-2
50%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
23.4
9
56%
3
1
2
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
12.7
6
60%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 30
30.0
11
46%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
25.9
13
108%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 22
25.8
10
56%
2
1
2
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
13.0
4
67%
3
2
0
0
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
7.3
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Sprain
#12 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#18 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
61%
37
20
8
1
16
26
15
22
28-37
76%
24-51
47%
16-34
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.