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All Games Wednesday, November 21, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Raptors
77%121
124
29
Hawks
23%111
108
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
124.0100102.9
ATL logo ATL
105.910299.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORATL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.124
100%
108
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.19 59.6%
ATL
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
23
38
61%
ATL
20
28
71%
Midrange
TOR
14
23
61%
ATL
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
ATL
10
15.0
36
28%
42%
Free Throws
TOR
17
23
74%
ATL
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Valančiūnas2486%12.0 / 14
P. Siakam2279%11.0 / 14
K. Lowry2181%10.5 / 13
S. Ibaka1986%9.5 / 11
F. VanVleet1155%5.5 / 10
D. Green630%3.0 / 10
D. Wright643%3.0 / 7
C. Boucher5125%2.5 / 2
J. Loyd4100%2.0 / 2
L. Brown338%1.5 / 4
G. Monroe325%1.5 / 6
M. Richardson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lin26144%13.0 / 9
V. Carter1447%7.0 / 15
T. Prince1246%6.0 / 13
K. Huerter1071%5.0 / 7
K. Bazemore880%4.0 / 5
D. Bembry750%3.5 / 7
M. Plumlee758%3.5 / 6
J. Collins633%3.0 / 9
T. Young638%3.0 / 8
J. Anderson675%3.0 / 4
D. Dedmon425%2.0 / 8
T. Dorsey2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+19
-17
102
ATL
93
+9
-9
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.19 59.6%
ATL
1.06 52.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
108.1
TOR 124.0 +18.1
ATL 105.9
Pace
100.2
103.9
TOR 102.9 +3.8
ATL 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.6
TOR 14.0 +0.5
ATL 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
52.2%
TOR 59.4% +8.9%
ATL 50.5%
TO %
13.2%
15.8%
TOR 16.0%
ATL 8.2% +7.8%
ORB %
21.8%
24.8%
TOR 35.9% +17.9%
ATL 18.0%
FTrt
24.7
25.5
TOR 25.6 +6.2
ATL 19.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
62.4%
TOR 68.8% +11.7%
ATL 57.1%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
TOR 6.0%
ATL 9.8% +3.8%
BLK %
9.1%
9.2%
TOR 1.8%
ATL 11.5% +9.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
54.6%
TOR 59.6% +6.7%
ATL 52.9%
Rim FG%
61.6%
59.0%
TOR 60.5%
ATL 71.4% +10.9%
Mid FG%
43.1%
37.9%
TOR 60.9% +19.5%
ATL 41.4%
3P %
36.6%
35.2%
TOR 37.9% +10.1%
ATL 27.8%
FT %
80.4%
75.2%
TOR 73.9%
ATL 77.8% +3.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
39.2%
TOR 42.2% +12.1%
ATL 30.1%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
20.4%
TOR 25.6% +5.6%
ATL 31.2%
3P Att. %
37.9%
40.3%
TOR 32.2%
ATL 38.7% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORATL
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points124108
Rebounds5534
Assists3324
Steals610
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)9 (0)
Fouls2121
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (3)25 (1)
Field Goals48-9042-93
At-the-Rim FG23-3820-28
Midrange FG14-2312-29
2-Point FG37-6132-57
3-Point FG11-2910-36
Free Throws17-2314-18
Fast Break Pts819
2nd Chance Pts268
Points in Paint6454
Pts off Turnovers1529
Bench Points4072
Biggest Lead210

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
2 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Fred VanVleet
#23 · SG · 6'0" 197 · 25
36.4
11
55%
1
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
31.9
21
81%
12
17
0
0
2
1
2
10
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
Danny Green
#14 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 31
31.9
6
30%
3
1
2
0
2
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-7
29%
Pascal Siakam
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
31.7
22
79%
4
2
2
0
1
2
1
3
3-5
60%
8-10
80%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 27
26.7
24
86%
13
2
0
1
2
2
3
10
5-8
63%
8-10
80%
1-2
50%
Delon Wright
#55 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 27
22.5
6
43%
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
21.5
19
86%
9
1
0
0
4
4
3
6
2-2
100%
7-7
100%
1-4
25%
Lorenzo Brown
#4 · PG · 6'5" 189 · 28
15.2
3
38%
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
Greg Monroe
#15 · C · 6'11" 265 · 28
13.1
3
25%
6
1
2
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Malachi Richardson
#22 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Jordan Loyd
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 25
3.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Chris Boucher
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
3.0
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
Norman Powell
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder Subluxation
OG Anunoby
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist Sprain
Kawhi Leonard
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Inactive - Rest | Load Management
CJ Miles
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Adductor Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
60%
55
33
6
1
17
21
14
41
17-23
74%
37-61
61%
11-29
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.