FinalWin Prob.pScore
2141%109
109
1659%112
127
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
114.79594.0
CHA logo CHA
130.99798.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDCHA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
127
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.17 58.6%
CHA
1.37 68.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
28
37
76%
CHA
20
28
71%
Midrange
IND
2
14
14%
CHA
7
23
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
CHA
18
27.0
29
62%
93%
Free Throws
IND
16
17
94%
CHA
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanovic20111%10.0 / 9
T. Young1667%8.0 / 12
D. McDermott1594%7.5 / 8
D. Sabonis15107%7.5 / 7
T. Evans1267%6.0 / 9
A. Holiday1146%5.5 / 12
M. Turner1050%5.0 / 10
D. Collison638%3.0 / 8
C. Joseph214%1.0 / 7
T. Leaf250%1.0 / 2
K. O'Quinn0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lamb2175%10.5 / 14
D. Bacon1875%9.0 / 12
K. Walker1667%8.0 / 12
C. Zeller1575%7.5 / 10
M. Monk1575%7.5 / 10
N. Batum1192%5.5 / 6
F. Kaminsky1155%5.5 / 10
M. Williams990%4.5 / 5
M. Bridges8133%4.0 / 3
T. Parker325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
81
+11
-14
92
CHA
85
+8
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.17 58.6%
CHA
1.37 68.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
111.3
IND 114.7
CHA 130.9 +16.2
Pace
98.2
98.7
IND 94.0
CHA 98.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.6
IND 15.3
CHA 14.7 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
51.4%
IND 55.4%
CHA 67.5% +12.1%
TO %
13.5%
11.7%
IND 13.3%
CHA 11.8% +1.5%
ORB %
21.9%
21.9%
IND 25.0% +6.8%
CHA 18.2%
FTrt
24.2
25.7
IND 20.2
CHA 27.5 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
57.8%
IND 63.4%
CHA 66.7% +3.3%
STL %
8.9%
7.2%
IND 5.3%
CHA 7.2% +1.9%
BLK %
9.2%
8.9%
IND 13.7% +7.8%
CHA 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
54.2%
IND 58.6%
CHA 68.3% +9.7%
Rim FG%
60.4%
56.9%
IND 75.7% +4.3%
CHA 71.4%
Mid FG%
41.1%
41.7%
IND 14.3%
CHA 30.4% +16.1%
3P %
37.4%
35.1%
IND 33.3%
CHA 62.1% +28.8%
FT %
75.1%
79.7%
IND 94.1% +7.7%
CHA 86.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
36.6%
IND 44.0% +9.0%
CHA 35.0%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
25.7%
IND 16.7% +12.1%
CHA 28.7%
3P Att. %
29.1%
37.8%
IND 39.3% +3.0%
CHA 36.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDCHA
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points109127
Rebounds3736
Assists2630
Steals57
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1915
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals41-8445-80
At-the-Rim FG28-3720-28
Midrange FG2-147-23
2-Point FG30-5127-51
3-Point FG11-3318-29
Free Throws16-1719-22
Fast Break Pts1510
2nd Chance Pts158
Points in Paint6046
Pts off Turnovers1322
Bench Points4555
Biggest Lead426

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
34.1
20
111%
3
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
29.6
10
50%
7
0
0
4
3
2
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30
26.5
16
67%
4
2
0
0
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
8-14
57%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
24.1
6
38%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
21.8
12
67%
3
3
1
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
26.3
15
94%
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
25.3
2
14%
3
7
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
23.9
11
46%
6
3
1
1
2
2
1
5
6-6
100%
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
18.6
15
107%
6
2
0
0
2
6
0
6
0-0
-
6-7
86%
1-1
100%
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
3.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
3.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | sore right knee
#13 · C · 6'10" 262 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | assignment
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
59%
37
26
5
7
14
19
10
27
16-17
94%
30-51
59%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.