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All Games Monday, November 19, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Spurs
29%112
126
9
Pelicans
71%119
140
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
123.5102102.3
NOP logo NOP
135.9103102.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOP
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.126
0%
140
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 57.8%
NOP
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
22
38
58%
NOP
35
50
70%
Midrange
SAS
11
32
34%
NOP
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
12
18.0
24
50%
75%
NOP
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
SAS
24
30
80%
NOP
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2155%10.5 / 19
B. Forbes20143%10.0 / 7
D. Cunningham19158%9.5 / 6
R. Gay1743%8.5 / 20
M. Belinelli1155%5.5 / 10
J. Poeltl1161%5.5 / 9
C. Metu880%4.0 / 5
L. Aldridge727%3.5 / 13
Q. Pondexter4100%2.0 / 2
D. Eubanks467%2.0 / 3
P. Mills225%1.0 / 4
D. White225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis2969%14.5 / 21
E. Moore2492%12.0 / 13
J. Holiday2175%10.5 / 14
J. Randle2195%10.5 / 11
N. Mirotic1381%6.5 / 8
F. Jackson1260%6.0 / 10
D. Miller964%4.5 / 7
W. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
I. Clark429%2.0 / 7
C. Diallo2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
87
+22
-15
109
NOP
93
+18
-10
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.16 57.8%
NOP
1.26 63.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
111.3
SAS 123.5
NOP 135.9 +12.4
Pace
98.6
103.4
SAS 102.3
NOP 102.7 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.7
SAS 14.1
NOP 14.0 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.9%
SAS 54.3%
NOP 62.7% +8.4%
TO %
11.9%
14.0%
SAS 12.3%
NOP 9.2% +3.1%
ORB %
20.9%
24.1%
SAS 39.1% +4.1%
NOP 35.0%
FTrt
23.7
25.4
SAS 31.9 +18.2
NOP 13.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
61.9%
SAS 48.9%
NOP 57.6% +8.7%
STL %
6.2%
7.2%
SAS 6.9%
NOP 9.7% +2.8%
BLK %
8.3%
9.1%
SAS 0.0%
NOP 7.1% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.3%
SAS 57.8%
NOP 63.1% +5.3%
Rim FG%
62.7%
62.1%
SAS 57.9%
NOP 70.0% +12.1%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.1%
SAS 34.4%
NOP 53.8% +19.4%
3P %
39.2%
34.4%
SAS 50.0% +11.5%
NOP 38.5%
FT %
81.8%
76.1%
SAS 80.0%
NOP 85.7% +5.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
40.2%
SAS 40.4%
NOP 49.0% +8.6%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
27.4%
SAS 34.0%
NOP 25.5% +8.6%
3P Att. %
28.6%
32.4%
SAS 25.5% +0.0%
NOP 25.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASNOP
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points126140
Rebounds4442
Assists2234
Steals710
Blocks05
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (1)
Fouls2023
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (4)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals45-9459-102
At-the-Rim FG22-3835-50
Midrange FG11-3214-26
2-Point FG33-7049-76
3-Point FG12-2410-26
Free Throws24-3012-14
Fast Break Pts1711
2nd Chance Pts2025
Points in Paint5878
Pts off Turnovers625
Bench Points4248
Biggest Lead1020

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
18 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
31.8
19
158%
7
3
0
0
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
5-5
100%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
30.6
21
55%
6
5
1
0
3
2
3
3
7-7
100%
7-19
37%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
29.7
7
27%
10
2
0
0
1
3
2
8
3-4
75%
2-11
18%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
28.3
20
143%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
26.2
17
43%
6
1
0
0
3
2
5
1
5-5
100%
6-14
43%
0-4
0%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
25.7
11
55%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
15.0
11
61%
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
1
3-6
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
13.5
8
80%
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
13.4
2
25%
0
0
2
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
13.1
2
25%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
6.3
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
6.3
4
67%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Concussion Protocol
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL Tear
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Medial Meniscus Tear
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
126
58%
44
22
7
0
15
20
18
26
24-30
80%
33-70
47%
12-24
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.