FinalWin Prob.pScore
2239%104
88
1261%108
98
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
92.695103.2
MEM logo MEM
104.39487.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMEM
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.88
0%
98
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.85 42.7%
MEM
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
17
39
44%
MEM
12
19
63%
Midrange
DAL
3
17
18%
MEM
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
32
31%
47%
MEM
12
18.0
30
40%
60%
Free Throws
DAL
18
21
86%
MEM
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Smith Jr.1959%9.5 / 16
D. Jordan1761%8.5 / 14
L. Dončić1538%7.5 / 20
D. Finney-Smith1381%6.5 / 8
H. Barnes1033%5.0 / 15
J. Brunson840%4.0 / 10
D. Harris440%2.0 / 5
M. Kleber220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Conley2888%14.0 / 16
M. Gasol1750%8.5 / 17
J. Jackson1350%6.5 / 13
G. Temple12120%6.0 / 5
J. Green1286%6.0 / 7
K. Anderson880%4.0 / 5
S. Mack350%1.5 / 3
W. Selden350%1.5 / 3
M. Brooks217%1.0 / 6
O. Casspi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
86
+15
-9
101
MEM
79
+6
-15
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.85 42.7%
MEM
1.15 57.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
106.1
DAL 92.6 +11.6
MEM 104.3
Pace
99.1
96.6
DAL 103.2 +16.1
MEM 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
15.4
DAL 14.0 +2.6
MEM 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.8%
50.8%
DAL 39.8%
MEM 54.4% +14.6%
TO %
13.6%
13.5%
DAL 10.2% +5.6%
MEM 15.8%
ORB %
22.6%
20.1%
DAL 14.9% +2.7%
MEM 12.2%
FTrt
29.1
27.2
DAL 23.9 +6.2
MEM 17.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
63.1%
DAL 56.7%
MEM 78.4% +21.7%
STL %
6.5%
8.5%
DAL 8.4%
MEM 8.5% +0.1%
BLK %
7.6%
10.7%
DAL 8.2%
MEM 19.6% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
53.4%
DAL 42.7%
MEM 57.6% +14.9%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.9%
DAL 43.6%
MEM 63.2% +19.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
40.0%
DAL 17.6%
MEM 43.3% +25.7%
3P %
34.0%
34.2%
DAL 31.3%
MEM 40.0% +8.7%
FT %
74.2%
77.2%
DAL 85.7%
MEM 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
34.8%
DAL 44.3% +20.3%
MEM 24.1%
Mid Att. %
24.0%
31.0%
DAL 19.3% +18.7%
MEM 38.0%
3P Att. %
42.2%
34.2%
DAL 36.4%
MEM 38.0% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALMEM
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points8898
Rebounds4345
Assists1729
Steals88
Blocks411
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)15 (1)
Fouls1921
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (8)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)40 (4)
Field Goals30-8837-79
At-the-Rim FG17-3912-19
Midrange FG3-1713-30
2-Point FG20-5625-49
3-Point FG10-3212-30
Free Throws18-2112-14
Fast Break Pts1712
2nd Chance Pts94
Points in Paint3644
Pts off Turnovers1314
Bench Points1420
Biggest Lead610

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 30
38.4
17
61%
20
2
0
0
2
1
5
15
5-6
83%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26
37.0
10
33%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
1-7
14%
#77 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 20
36.5
15
38%
10
3
0
1
3
2
1
9
0-0
-
3-11
27%
3-9
33%
#10 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 26
33.8
13
81%
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 21
31.0
19
59%
3
5
2
0
3
3
0
3
4-5
80%
3-9
33%
3-6
50%
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
24.9
8
40%
4
4
1
0
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
20.7
2
20%
2
0
2
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#34 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 36
17.1
4
40%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 34
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Adductor Strain
#7 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 27
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Effusion
#50 · C · 7'2" 235 · 32
DNP - Coach's Decision
#41 · PF · 7'0" 245 · 40
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
#3 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring Strain
#26 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#37 · SF · 6'11" 195 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
43%
43
17
8
4
9
19
7
36
18-21
86%
20-56
36%
10-32
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.