FinalWin Prob.pScore
1051%115
92
2049%114
104
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
94.897105.7
SAS logo SAS
108.39688.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.92
0%
104
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.92 46.0%
SAS
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
14
23
61%
SAS
15
22
68%
Midrange
GSW
16
37
43%
SAS
16
46
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
5
7.5
26
19%
29%
SAS
10
15.0
24
42%
63%
Free Throws
GSW
17
21
81%
SAS
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2646%13.0 / 28
K. Thompson2548%12.5 / 26
Q. Cook1662%8.0 / 13
J. Jerebko8100%4.0 / 4
K. Looney643%3.0 / 7
D. Jones542%2.5 / 6
A. Iguodala450%2.0 / 4
S. Livingston250%1.0 / 2
D. Lee0-0.0 / 2
J. Bell0-0.0 / 1
J. Evans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2467%12.0 / 18
D. DeRozan2050%10.0 / 20
R. Gay1995%9.5 / 10
M. Belinelli1240%6.0 / 15
B. Forbes1042%5.0 / 12
P. Mills850%4.0 / 8
J. Poeltl467%2.0 / 3
D. Cunningham338%1.5 / 4
D. White220%1.0 / 5
Q. Pondexter2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
86
+14
-11
100
SAS
86
+15
-10
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
0.92 46.0%
SAS
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.5
112.6
GSW 94.8 +13.5
SAS 108.3
Pace
101.3
98.6
GSW 105.7 +16.9
SAS 88.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.0
GSW 13.6 +2.6
SAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.4%
53.4%
GSW 43.6%
SAS 50.0% +6.4%
TO %
13.5%
11.9%
GSW 11.2%
SAS 10.0% +1.2%
ORB %
22.5%
20.9%
GSW 21.3%
SAS 23.4% +2.1%
FTrt
22.7
23.7
GSW 24.4 +5.9
SAS 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
58.0%
GSW 57.1%
SAS 58.5% +1.4%
STL %
7.4%
6.2%
GSW 6.2% +3.1%
SAS 3.1%
BLK %
11.3%
8.3%
GSW 5.9%
SAS 8.3% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.3%
56.0%
GSW 46.0%
SAS 51.5% +5.5%
Rim FG%
66.3%
62.7%
GSW 60.9%
SAS 68.2% +7.3%
Mid FG%
45.8%
44.0%
GSW 43.2% +8.4%
SAS 34.8%
3P %
38.5%
39.2%
GSW 19.2%
SAS 41.7% +22.5%
FT %
80.1%
81.8%
GSW 81.0% +10.4%
SAS 70.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
27.8%
GSW 26.7% +2.8%
SAS 23.9%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
43.7%
GSW 43.0% +7.0%
SAS 50.0%
3P Att. %
38.4%
28.6%
GSW 30.2% +4.1%
SAS 26.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsGSWSAS
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points92104
Rebounds4648
Assists2024
Steals63
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)10 (1)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)37 (1)
Field Goals35-8641-92
At-the-Rim FG14-2315-22
Midrange FG16-3716-46
2-Point FG30-6031-68
3-Point FG5-2610-24
Free Throws17-2112-17
Fast Break Pts137
2nd Chance Pts1018
Points in Paint3636
Pts off Turnovers1310
Bench Points2328
Biggest Lead118

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
38.0
25
48%
2
2
0
0
4
3
0
2
0-1
0%
8-15
53%
3-11
27%
#35 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 30
37.4
26
46%
10
6
2
1
3
1
1
9
9-10
90%
7-17
41%
1-8
13%
#9 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 35
26.3
4
50%
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#21 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 32
25.6
8
100%
10
2
0
0
1
2
4
6
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#5 · C · 6'9" 222 · 23
19.3
6
43%
7
2
0
0
1
3
4
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 26
28.9
16
62%
8
2
1
0
1
4
0
8
1-2
50%
6-8
75%
1-4
25%
#15 · C · 7'0" 245 · 23
22.8
5
42%
3
1
0
2
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
#1 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26
18.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#34 · PG · 6'7" 192 · 33
17.1
2
50%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#2 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 24
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#10 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 21
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#32 · PF · 6'7" 249 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right toe sprain
#28 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left foot soreness
#0 · C · 6'11" 270 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left achilles rehab
#30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left groin strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
46%
46
20
6
4
11
17
10
36
17-21
81%
30-60
50%
5-26
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.