FinalWin Prob.pScore
1641%113
113
1759%116
97
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
120.29495.1
MIA logo MIA
103.29493.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
97
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.09 54.3%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
15
28
54%
MIA
16
34
47%
Midrange
LAL
16
40
40%
MIA
6
21
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
MIA
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
Free Throws
LAL
18
21
86%
MIA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James5173%25.5 / 35
K. Caldwell-Pope1973%9.5 / 13
K. Kuzma1568%7.5 / 11
B. Ingram1343%6.5 / 15
J. McGee643%3.0 / 7
J. Hart542%2.5 / 6
L. Ball217%1.0 / 6
T. Chandler233%1.0 / 3
L. Stephenson0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Ellington1973%9.5 / 13
J. Richardson1785%8.5 / 10
T. Johnson1747%8.5 / 18
R. McGruder1454%7.0 / 13
J. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
H. Whiteside627%3.0 / 11
J. Winslow643%3.0 / 7
D. Jones450%2.0 / 4
B. Adebayo330%1.5 / 5
K. Olynyk375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
85
+19
-9
104
MIA
82
+16
-12
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.09 54.3%
MIA
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
107.5
LAL 120.2 +17.0
MIA 103.2
Pace
103.0
98.1
LAL 95.1 +2.0
MIA 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.0
LAL 15.1 +0.3
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
51.5%
LAL 50.0% +2.3%
MIA 47.7%
TO %
14.7%
14.3%
LAL 8.8% +4.0%
MIA 12.8%
ORB %
22.2%
24.8%
LAL 28.0% +3.0%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
25.7
24.7
LAL 22.1 +0.3
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
61.2%
LAL 38.1%
MIA 57.1% +19.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.8%
LAL 7.4% +4.2%
MIA 3.2%
BLK %
9.2%
10.2%
LAL 9.1% +1.7%
MIA 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
52.9%
LAL 54.3% +5.3%
MIA 49.0%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.8%
LAL 53.6% +6.5%
MIA 47.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
36.8%
LAL 40.0% +11.4%
MIA 28.6%
3P %
33.3%
34.9%
LAL 40.7% +0.1%
MIA 40.6%
FT %
69.9%
69.5%
LAL 85.7% +12.0%
MIA 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
43.6%
37.3%
LAL 29.5%
MIA 39.1% +9.6%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
25.9%
LAL 42.1%
MIA 24.1% +18.0%
3P Att. %
34.2%
36.8%
LAL 28.4%
MIA 36.8% +8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.724.2
Points11397
Rebounds5048
Assists1620
Steals73
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (2)
Fouls1921
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)36 (2)
Field Goals42-9535-87
At-the-Rim FG15-2816-34
Midrange FG16-406-21
2-Point FG31-6822-55
3-Point FG11-2713-32
Free Throws18-2114-19
Fast Break Pts175
2nd Chance Pts1416
Points in Paint4440
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points2635
Biggest Lead210

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 34
38.5
51
73%
8
3
2
1
2
3
1
7
7-10
70%
13-23
57%
6-8
75%
#14 · SG · 6'8" 190 · 21
35.9
13
43%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
1-1
100%
6-14
43%
0-1
0%
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 31
23.8
6
43%
3
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 21
21.8
2
17%
6
7
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 23
21.1
15
68%
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
1-3
33%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 24
29.1
5
42%
6
1
0
1
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26
28.0
19
73%
4
0
1
1
1
2
2
2
8-8
100%
1-6
17%
3-5
60%
#5 · C · 7'1" 240 · 36
23.8
2
33%
11
0
1
0
2
4
5
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#6 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 28
14.9
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 21
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#11 · SF · 6'9" 235 · 30
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · C · 6'11" 245 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#19 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#17 · SG · 6'9" 203 · 19
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
54%
50
16
7
5
9
19
14
36
18-21
86%
31-68
46%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.