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All Games Saturday, November 17, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
6
Nuggets
51%116
115
8
Pelicans
49%115
125
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
113.9101104.8
NOP logo NOP
123.810197.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PelicansNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PelicansNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNOP
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.115
0%
125
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.4%
NOP
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
36
58%
NOP
24
40
60%
Midrange
DEN
10
20
50%
NOP
8
22
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
NOP
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
Free Throws
DEN
8
13
62%
NOP
31
34
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2566%12.5 / 19
G. Harris2486%12.0 / 14
J. Hernangomez2083%10.0 / 12
M. Morris13108%6.5 / 6
J. Murray1137%5.5 / 15
P. Millsap739%3.5 / 9
T. Lyles735%3.5 / 10
M. Beasley440%2.0 / 5
M. Plumlee450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis4071%20.0 / 28
J. Randle2166%10.5 / 16
N. Mirotic2077%10.0 / 13
J. Holiday1950%9.5 / 19
E. Moore1354%6.5 / 12
W. Johnson6100%3.0 / 3
D. Miller350%1.5 / 3
I. Clark330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+14
-13
102
NOP
90
+13
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.4%
NOP
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
111.3
DEN 113.9
NOP 123.8 +9.9
Pace
98.0
103.4
DEN 104.8 +7.2
NOP 97.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.7
DEN 13.7 +1.0
NOP 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
52.9%
DEN 56.3% +2.3%
NOP 54.0%
TO %
13.1%
14.0%
DEN 11.4%
NOP 9.7% +1.7%
ORB %
26.6%
24.1%
DEN 21.7%
NOP 23.3% +1.6%
FTrt
23.2
25.4
DEN 13.7
NOP 39.1 +25.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
61.9%
DEN 65.2%
NOP 69.0% +3.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
DEN 5.0%
NOP 5.9% +0.9%
BLK %
8.2%
9.1%
DEN 9.7%
NOP 14.3% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
55.3%
DEN 56.4%
NOP 60.7% +4.3%
Rim FG%
59.6%
62.1%
DEN 58.3%
NOP 60.0% +1.7%
Mid FG%
43.3%
41.1%
DEN 50.0% +13.6%
NOP 36.4%
3P %
35.1%
34.4%
DEN 38.5%
NOP 40.0% +1.5%
FT %
75.5%
76.1%
DEN 61.5%
NOP 91.2% +29.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
40.2%
DEN 37.9%
NOP 46.0% +8.1%
Mid Att. %
27.7%
27.4%
DEN 21.1% +4.2%
NOP 25.3%
3P Att. %
34.8%
32.4%
DEN 41.1% +12.3%
NOP 28.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENNOP
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points115125
Rebounds4346
Assists3029
Steals56
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)11 (0)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)36 (1)
Field Goals46-9542-87
At-the-Rim FG21-3624-40
Midrange FG10-208-22
2-Point FG31-5632-62
3-Point FG15-3910-25
Free Throws8-1331-34
Fast Break Pts1020
2nd Chance Pts1923
Points in Paint5852
Pts off Turnovers1015
Bench Points2827
Biggest Lead615

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
6 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Gary Harris
#14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
38.8
24
86%
5
4
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
6-9
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
#41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23
35.3
20
83%
11
2
0
1
4
3
3
8
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
4-6
67%
Nikola Jokic
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 24
34.1
25
66%
10
8
1
0
1
2
3
7
3-4
75%
8-12
67%
2-8
25%
Jamal Murray
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 22
28.7
11
37%
2
6
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
1-5
20%
Paul Millsap
#4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 34
21.8
7
39%
1
3
0
2
1
3
1
0
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
Monte Morris
#11 · PG · 6'3" 175 · 23
34.2
13
108%
3
5
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-1
100%
Trey Lyles
#7 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 23
20.3
7
35%
4
1
0
0
2
4
1
3
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
Malik Beasley
#25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22
13.9
4
40%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
#24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 29
12.9
4
50%
5
1
3
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
#3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Lydon
#20 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell
#23 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Welsh
#45 · C · 7'0" 255 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Barton
#5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip/Core Muscle Surgery
Isaiah Thomas
#0 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Surgery
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt
#8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
56%
43
30
5
6
13
23
10
33
8-13
62%
31-56
55%
15-39
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.