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All Games Friday, November 16, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Heat
38%107
91
8
Pacers
62%111
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
87.5104100.7
IND logo IND
97.1102105.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.91
0%
99
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.2%
IND
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
36
47%
IND
12
25
48%
Midrange
MIA
4
21
19%
IND
10
29
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
IND
14
21.0
27
52%
78%
Free Throws
MIA
7
10
70%
IND
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson28100%14.0 / 14
H. Whiteside1240%6.0 / 15
R. McGruder1150%5.5 / 11
T. Johnson1042%5.0 / 12
W. Ellington945%4.5 / 10
G. Dragic840%4.0 / 10
B. Adebayo850%4.0 / 8
J. Winslow536%2.5 / 7
K. Olynyk0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Evans2372%11.5 / 16
B. Bogdanovic1680%8.0 / 10
D. Sabonis1575%7.5 / 10
M. Turner1250%6.0 / 12
C. Joseph1286%6.0 / 7
V. Oladipo833%4.0 / 12
T. Young643%3.0 / 7
D. Collison425%2.0 / 8
D. McDermott350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+15
-16
103
IND
83
+7
-19
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.88 44.2%
IND
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.8
MIA 87.5
IND 97.1 +9.6
Pace
98.1
98.2
MIA 100.7
IND 105.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.6
MIA 14.3
IND 13.7 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.9%
MIA 45.2%
IND 53.1% +7.9%
TO %
14.3%
13.5%
MIA 15.6% +2.2%
IND 17.8%
ORB %
24.8%
21.9%
MIA 23.2% +13.7%
IND 9.5%
FTrt
24.7
24.2
MIA 10.8
IND 18.5 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
62.8%
MIA 60.0%
IND 61.1% +1.1%
STL %
7.8%
8.9%
MIA 9.6%
IND 9.8% +0.2%
BLK %
10.2%
9.2%
MIA 9.3%
IND 10.5% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.8%
MIA 44.2%
IND 55.6% +11.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
60.4%
MIA 47.2%
IND 48.0% +0.8%
Mid FG%
36.8%
41.1%
MIA 19.0%
IND 34.5% +15.5%
3P %
34.9%
37.4%
MIA 38.9%
IND 51.9% +13.0%
FT %
69.5%
75.1%
MIA 70.0%
IND 86.7% +16.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
38.7%
MIA 38.7% +7.8%
IND 30.9%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
32.2%
MIA 22.6% +13.2%
IND 35.8%
3P Att. %
36.8%
29.1%
MIA 38.7% +5.4%
IND 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions104102
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points9199
Rebounds5147
Assists2122
Steals1010
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)19 (0)
Fouls1614
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (2)43 (1)
Field Goals35-9336-81
At-the-Rim FG17-3612-25
Midrange FG4-2110-29
2-Point FG21-5722-54
3-Point FG14-3614-27
Free Throws7-1013-15
Fast Break Pts2319
2nd Chance Pts910
Points in Paint3630
Pts off Turnovers1922
Bench Points2753
Biggest Lead1215

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
40.7
28
100%
4
2
1
0
3
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
7-10
70%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
33.7
8
40%
1
3
1
0
3
1
0
1
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
31.5
11
50%
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
28.6
12
40%
17
0
0
2
3
4
8
9
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
#20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23
22.7
5
36%
6
6
1
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
29.6
10
42%
5
4
1
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
19.2
8
50%
6
3
2
2
1
1
0
6
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
17.6
9
45%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-9
33%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
16.5
0
0%
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-2
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
Inactive - Personal
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sports Hernia Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
44%
51
21
10
5
16
16
13
38
7-10
70%
21-57
37%
14-36
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.