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All Games Thursday, November 15, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
22
Spurs
27%110
111
10
Clippers
73%119
116
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
108.8102100.3
LAC logo LAC
114.9101102.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASLAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.111
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.94 47.0%
LAC
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
24
67%
LAC
16
33
48%
Midrange
SAS
16
50
32%
LAC
16
29
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
LAC
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
Free Throws
SAS
20
25
80%
LAC
28
35
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3452%17.0 / 33
R. Gay1986%9.5 / 11
B. Forbes1777%8.5 / 11
P. Mills1243%6.0 / 14
L. Aldridge1031%5.0 / 16
M. Belinelli750%3.5 / 7
D. Cunningham660%3.0 / 5
J. Poeltl650%3.0 / 6
D. White0-0.0 / 5
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Williams2357%11.5 / 20
D. Gallinari1968%9.5 / 14
T. Harris1856%9.0 / 16
M. Harrell1458%7.0 / 12
P. Beverley1050%5.0 / 10
S. Gilgeous-Alexander950%4.5 / 9
T. Wallace975%4.5 / 6
M. Gortat788%3.5 / 4
M. Scott583%2.5 / 3
S. Thornwell2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
97
+22
-5
119
LAC
89
+15
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.94 47.0%
LAC
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
112.1
SAS 108.8
LAC 114.9 +6.0
Pace
98.6
102.0
SAS 100.3
LAC 102.7 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.9
SAS 14.4
LAC 14.0 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.9%
SAS 44.2%
LAC 51.8% +7.6%
TO %
11.9%
13.4%
SAS 4.2% +6.5%
LAC 10.7%
ORB %
20.9%
21.9%
SAS 26.8% +3.7%
LAC 23.1%
FTrt
23.7
32.6
SAS 24.3
LAC 41.2 +16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
58.2%
SAS 46.3%
LAC 57.5% +11.2%
STL %
6.2%
6.6%
SAS 6.9% +4.9%
LAC 2.0%
BLK %
8.3%
7.7%
SAS 9.7% +5.6%
LAC 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
56.2%
SAS 47.0%
LAC 56.3% +9.3%
Rim FG%
62.7%
58.0%
SAS 66.7% +18.2%
LAC 48.5%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.2%
SAS 32.0%
LAC 55.2% +23.2%
3P %
39.2%
38.7%
SAS 31.0%
LAC 34.8% +3.8%
FT %
81.8%
79.2%
SAS 80.0%
LAC 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
39.9%
SAS 23.3%
LAC 38.8% +15.5%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
30.6%
SAS 48.5%
LAC 34.1% +14.4%
3P Att. %
28.6%
29.5%
SAS 28.2% +1.1%
LAC 27.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASLAC
Possessions102101
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points111116
Rebounds4550
Assists1923
Steals72
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)5 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2425
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (7)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)41 (1)
Field Goals41-10340-85
At-the-Rim FG16-2416-33
Midrange FG16-5016-29
2-Point FG32-7432-62
3-Point FG9-298-23
Free Throws20-2528-35
Fast Break Pts116
2nd Chance Pts1814
Points in Paint5246
Pts off Turnovers216
Bench Points4453
Biggest Lead314

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
22 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 29
40.9
34
52%
6
5
3
1
1
4
0
6
6-8
75%
14-27
52%
0-3
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 33
38.0
10
31%
16
1
2
2
3
2
6
10
4-4
100%
3-15
20%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25
33.3
17
77%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · C · 6'8" 230 · 32
16.9
6
60%
3
1
1
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
16.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
33.3
12
43%
4
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
24.8
19
86%
6
2
0
0
0
4
3
3
2-2
100%
7-9
78%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
23.9
7
50%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
10.0
6
50%
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL tear
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left foot soreness
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right medial meniscus tear
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
47%
45
19
7
6
5
24
15
30
20-25
80%
32-74
43%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.