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All Games Wednesday, November 14, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
21
Spurs
65%115
96
28
Suns
35%110
116
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
98.098103.7
PHX logo PHX
118.49892.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASPHX
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.96
0%
116
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
PHX
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
32
53%
PHX
21
34
62%
Midrange
SAS
11
28
39%
PHX
11
19
58%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
PHX
15
22.5
31
48%
73%
Free Throws
SAS
19
24
79%
PHX
7
8
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2463%12.0 / 19
D. White1657%8.0 / 14
B. Forbes1372%6.5 / 9
M. Belinelli1045%5.0 / 11
P. Mills880%4.0 / 5
J. Poeltl744%3.5 / 8
L. Aldridge627%3.0 / 11
D. Cunningham550%2.5 / 5
C. Metu338%1.5 / 4
D. Bertans233%1.0 / 3
Q. Pondexter2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Warren2775%13.5 / 18
I. Canaan19136%9.5 / 7
D. Ayton1785%8.5 / 10
J. Jackson1454%7.0 / 13
D. Booker1350%6.5 / 13
J. Crawford11110%5.5 / 5
M. Bridges867%4.0 / 6
R. Holmes433%2.0 / 6
D. Melton3150%1.5 / 1
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
D. Bender0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+17
-18
97
PHX
82
+7
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.99 49.5%
PHX
1.32 65.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
105.9
SAS 98.0 +20.4
PHX 118.4
Pace
98.6
100.5
SAS 103.7 +10.8
PHX 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.4
SAS 13.9 +1.6
PHX 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
51.4%
SAS 46.4%
PHX 64.9% +18.5%
TO %
11.9%
15.0%
SAS 16.1%
PHX 15.5% +0.6%
ORB %
20.9%
20.5%
SAS 28.3% +14.0%
PHX 14.3%
FTrt
23.7
25.9
SAS 28.9 +19.4
PHX 9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
59.5%
SAS 45.7%
PHX 57.4% +11.7%
STL %
6.2%
8.8%
SAS 7.1%
PHX 9.2% +2.1%
BLK %
8.3%
8.8%
SAS 7.5% +0.8%
PHX 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
54.2%
SAS 49.5%
PHX 65.9% +16.4%
Rim FG%
62.7%
61.0%
SAS 53.1%
PHX 61.8% +8.7%
Mid FG%
44.0%
42.0%
SAS 39.3%
PHX 57.9% +18.6%
3P %
39.2%
32.9%
SAS 30.4%
PHX 48.4% +18.0%
FT %
81.8%
77.9%
SAS 79.2%
PHX 87.5% +8.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
36.7%
SAS 38.6%
PHX 40.5% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
29.8%
SAS 33.7%
PHX 22.6% +11.1%
3P Att. %
28.6%
33.5%
SAS 27.7%
PHX 36.9% +9.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASPHX
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points96116
Rebounds4338
Assists1627
Steals79
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)16 (0)
Fouls1223
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)33 (0)
Field Goals35-8347-84
At-the-Rim FG17-3221-34
Midrange FG11-2811-19
2-Point FG28-6032-53
3-Point FG7-2315-31
Free Throws19-247-8
Fast Break Pts1913
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint4450
Pts off Turnovers2222
Bench Points3232
Biggest Lead024

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
21 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 29
32.3
24
63%
5
4
0
0
2
2
0
5
10-10
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
29.2
16
57%
4
3
0
0
5
0
1
3
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
28.6
6
27%
12
0
0
0
2
1
4
8
0-0
-
3-11
27%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25
27.7
13
72%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
3-5
60%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
25.1
5
50%
2
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
25.4
10
45%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
21.0
8
80%
1
3
3
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
19.4
7
44%
9
1
1
2
2
1
4
5
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
13.7
2
33%
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
11.0
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
6.7
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
DND - Rest
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right medial meniscus tear
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn right ACL
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left foot soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
43
16
7
4
18
12
13
30
19-24
79%
28-60
47%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.