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All Games Wednesday, November 14, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Jazz
65%114
68
23
Mavericks
35%109
118
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
67.3101100.9
DAL logo DAL
119.29999.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.68
0%
118
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.74 37.0%
DAL
1.34 67.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
29
62%
DAL
21
28
75%
Midrange
UTA
1
16
6%
DAL
12
21
57%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
6
9.0
35
17%
26%
DAL
12
18.0
28
43%
64%
Free Throws
UTA
12
19
63%
DAL
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Rubio1155%5.5 / 10
R. Gobert1056%5.0 / 9
D. Mitchell1050%5.0 / 10
J. Ingles850%4.0 / 8
D. Favors850%4.0 / 8
J. Crowder523%2.5 / 11
G. Allen528%2.5 / 9
A. Burks531%2.5 / 8
D. Exum321%1.5 / 7
E. Udoh2100%1.0 / 1
R. O'Neale125%0.5 / 2
T. Sefolosha0-0.0 / 1
G. Niang0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Barnes1986%9.5 / 11
J. Barea1478%7.0 / 9
L. Dončić1350%6.5 / 13
D. Powell1359%6.5 / 11
D. Finney-Smith11183%5.5 / 3
W. Matthews990%4.5 / 5
J. Brunson9113%4.5 / 4
D. Smith Jr.744%3.5 / 8
S. Mejri6150%3.0 / 2
R. Broekhoff5125%2.5 / 2
D. Jordan467%2.0 / 3
M. Kleber450%2.0 / 4
D. Harris450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
80
+13
-21
93
DAL
80
+8
-19
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.74 37.0%
DAL
1.34 67.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
109.2
UTA 67.3 +51.9
DAL 119.2
Pace
100.5
99.1
UTA 100.9 +1.7
DAL 99.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.8
UTA 14.3 +0.2
DAL 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
51.8%
UTA 35.0%
DAL 66.2% +31.2%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
UTA 19.9%
DAL 18.6% +1.3%
ORB %
22.9%
22.6%
UTA 15.4%
DAL 21.9% +6.5%
FTrt
29.5
29.1
UTA 23.8
DAL 31.2 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
60.3%
UTA 64.0% +10.7%
DAL 53.3%
STL %
8.0%
6.5%
UTA 10.9%
DAL 12.1% +1.2%
BLK %
9.7%
7.6%
UTA 6.1%
DAL 11.1% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
54.2%
UTA 37.0%
DAL 67.0% +30.0%
Rim FG%
62.1%
62.0%
UTA 62.1%
DAL 75.0% +12.9%
Mid FG%
39.1%
39.0%
UTA 6.3%
DAL 57.1% +50.8%
3P %
35.6%
34.0%
UTA 17.1%
DAL 42.9% +25.8%
FT %
73.6%
74.2%
UTA 63.2%
DAL 66.7% +3.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.5%
33.8%
UTA 36.3%
DAL 36.4% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
21.1%
24.0%
UTA 20.0% +7.3%
DAL 27.3%
3P Att. %
39.4%
42.2%
UTA 43.8% +7.4%
DAL 36.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsUTADAL
Possessions10199
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points68118
Rebounds3351
Assists1624
Steals1112
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)19 (1)
Fouls2119
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)44 (3)
Field Goals25-8045-77
At-the-Rim FG18-2921-28
Midrange FG1-1612-21
2-Point FG19-4533-49
3-Point FG6-3512-28
Free Throws12-1916-24
Fast Break Pts310
2nd Chance Pts1413
Points in Paint3852
Pts off Turnovers317
Bench Points2166
Biggest Lead550

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
5 Utah Jazz
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Rudy Gobert
#27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 26
25.7
10
56%
11
2
3
0
0
1
4
7
2-6
33%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
#2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 31
24.9
8
50%
3
2
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
Donovan Mitchell
#45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 22
24.7
10
50%
3
3
0
1
5
1
2
1
3-3
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
Ricky Rubio
#3 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 28
24.6
11
55%
3
3
4
0
4
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
Derrick Favors
#15 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 27
21.9
8
50%
4
0
1
2
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 28
21.6
5
23%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-9
11%
Grayson Allen
#24 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 23
20.8
5
28%
0
1
0
0
4
5
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-5
20%
Dante Exum
#11 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 23
20.5
3
21%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Alec Burks
#10 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 27
16.6
5
31%
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
#22 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 35
12.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
#33 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31
11.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Royce O'Neale
#23 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 25
9.6
1
25%
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Georges Niang
#31 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 25
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Tony Bradley
#13 · C · 6'11" 248 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | On Assignment
Naz Mitrou-Long
#30 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Tyler Cavanaugh
#34 · PF · 6'9" 238 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Raul Neto
#25 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
68
37%
33
16
11
3
21
21
8
25
12-19
63%
19-45
42%
6-35
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.