FinalWin Prob.pScore
1919%109
106
181%121
104
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
102.9103101.2
TOR logo TOR
100.0104105.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETTOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
104
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.06 53.0%
TOR
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
24
38
63%
TOR
31
46
67%
Midrange
DET
10
22
45%
TOR
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
TOR
4
6.0
20
20%
30%
Free Throws
DET
8
13
62%
TOR
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin3079%15.0 / 19
R. Jackson1350%6.5 / 13
L. Galloway13130%6.5 / 5
S. Johnson1286%6.0 / 7
A. Drummond1137%5.5 / 15
I. Smith857%4.0 / 7
G. Robinson III770%3.5 / 5
R. Bullock528%2.5 / 9
J. Leuer4100%2.0 / 2
Z. Pachulia350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2672%13.0 / 18
P. Siakam1771%8.5 / 12
G. Monroe1777%8.5 / 11
K. Lowry1464%7.0 / 11
J. Valančiūnas1454%7.0 / 13
O. Anunoby732%3.5 / 11
D. Green563%2.5 / 4
F. VanVleet425%2.0 / 8
D. Wright0-0.0 / 4
M. Richardson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
86
+14
-17
100
TOR
84
+16
-20
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.06 53.0%
TOR
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
113.1
DET 102.9 +2.9
TOR 100.0
Pace
97.3
100.2
DET 101.2
TOR 105.8 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.4
DET 14.2
TOR 13.6 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
54.3%
DET 52.7% +1.6%
TOR 51.1%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
DET 15.4% +1.3%
TOR 16.7%
ORB %
24.9%
21.8%
DET 19.6%
TOR 27.3% +7.7%
FTrt
26.1
24.7
DET 14.0
TOR 18.5 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
60.3%
DET 54.5% +3.4%
TOR 51.1%
STL %
7.1%
8.2%
DET 7.8%
TOR 8.7% +0.9%
BLK %
7.1%
9.1%
DET 6.9% +1.9%
TOR 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
56.5%
DET 53.0% +1.5%
TOR 51.5%
Rim FG%
57.5%
61.6%
DET 63.2%
TOR 67.4% +4.2%
Mid FG%
38.4%
43.1%
DET 45.5% +7.0%
TOR 38.5%
3P %
34.8%
36.6%
DET 30.3% +10.3%
TOR 20.0%
FT %
74.7%
80.4%
DET 61.5% +2.7%
TOR 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
36.4%
DET 40.9%
TOR 50.0% +9.1%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
25.6%
DET 23.7% +4.6%
TOR 28.3%
3P Att. %
39.4%
37.9%
DET 35.5% +13.7%
TOR 21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETTOR
Possessions103104
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points106104
Rebounds4149
Assists2423
Steals89
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)20 (0)
Fouls2419
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals44-9345-92
At-the-Rim FG24-3831-46
Midrange FG10-2210-26
2-Point FG34-6041-72
3-Point FG10-334-20
Free Throws8-1310-17
Fast Break Pts510
2nd Chance Pts1212
Points in Paint6070
Pts off Turnovers2119
Bench Points4028
Biggest Lead419

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
39.6
30
79%
12
3
3
2
5
2
1
11
1-2
50%
10-14
71%
3-8
38%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
35.9
11
37%
12
2
0
1
1
3
4
8
1-4
25%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
#25 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 28
28.9
5
28%
1
2
2
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-7
14%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
27.1
13
50%
1
6
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
17.3
7
70%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
30.7
13
130%
2
2
0
0
2
4
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 22
22.0
12
86%
2
1
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 30
20.7
8
57%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
6.6
4
100%
4
1
1
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
5.6
0
0%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
5.4
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Sprain
#12 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#18 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
53%
41
24
8
5
17
24
9
32
8-13
62%
34-60
57%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.