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All Games Wednesday, November 14, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Heat
53%112
120
22
Nets
47%111
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.1109106.8
BKN logo BKN
99.1108110.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABKN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.120
100%
107
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
BKN
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
26
33
79%
BKN
25
53
47%
Midrange
MIA
12
23
52%
BKN
8
21
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
29
28%
41%
BKN
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
20
28
71%
BKN
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson24109%12.0 / 11
G. Dragic2162%10.5 / 17
J. Richardson1554%7.5 / 14
H. Whiteside1458%7.0 / 12
B. Adebayo12150%6.0 / 4
R. McGruder1050%5.0 / 10
W. Ellington867%4.0 / 6
K. Olynyk880%4.0 / 5
J. Winslow633%3.0 / 9
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BKN logo Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Dinwiddie1869%9.0 / 13
R. Hollis-Jefferson1447%7.0 / 15
S. Napier1350%6.5 / 13
D. Russell1233%6.0 / 18
J. Harris1161%5.5 / 9
J. Dudley1071%5.0 / 7
E. Davis857%4.0 / 7
D. Carroll840%4.0 / 10
A. Crabbe660%3.0 / 5
K. Faried550%2.5 / 5
R. Kurucs250%1.0 / 2
D. Musa0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
92
+9
-17
101
BKN
93
+20
-15
113
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
BKN
0.94 46.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
109.3
MIA 110.1
BKN 99.1 +11.0
Pace
98.1
101.2
MIA 106.8
BKN 110.2 +3.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.2
MIA 13.5
BKN 13.1 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
52.0%
MIA 58.8% +14.7%
BKN 44.1%
TO %
14.3%
14.0%
MIA 15.6%
BKN 11.8% +3.8%
ORB %
24.8%
23.8%
MIA 16.7%
BKN 29.3% +12.6%
FTrt
24.7
28.4
MIA 32.9 +9.4
BKN 23.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
59.2%
MIA 50.0% +8.5%
BKN 41.5%
STL %
7.8%
6.4%
MIA 5.5%
BKN 9.3% +3.8%
BLK %
10.2%
6.7%
MIA 8.1% +4.5%
BKN 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
54.2%
MIA 59.4% +12.5%
BKN 46.9%
Rim FG%
60.8%
58.2%
MIA 78.8% +31.6%
BKN 47.2%
Mid FG%
36.8%
39.0%
MIA 52.2% +14.1%
BKN 38.1%
3P %
34.9%
35.3%
MIA 27.6%
BKN 28.6% +1.0%
FT %
69.5%
74.5%
MIA 71.4% +0.6%
BKN 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
38.4%
MIA 38.8%
BKN 52.0% +13.1%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
21.3%
MIA 27.1%
BKN 20.6% +6.5%
3P Att. %
36.8%
40.3%
MIA 34.1% +6.7%
BKN 27.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIABKN
Possessions109108
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points120107
Rebounds4747
Assists2317
Steals610
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)15 (0)
Fouls2729
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)41 (2)30 (6)
Field Goals46-8541-102
At-the-Rim FG26-3325-53
Midrange FG12-238-21
2-Point FG38-5633-74
3-Point FG8-298-28
Free Throws20-2817-24
Fast Break Pts1110
2nd Chance Pts620
Points in Paint7058
Pts off Turnovers1521
Bench Points5460
Biggest Lead230

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
18 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25
35.5
15
54%
5
5
0
0
3
4
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
Justise Winslow
#20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23
34.0
6
33%
11
3
0
0
4
2
1
10
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 27
33.6
10
50%
4
3
1
0
2
3
0
4
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
29.1
21
62%
3
4
0
0
3
2
0
3
4-6
67%
7-11
64%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 29
21.6
14
58%
10
0
2
2
1
4
2
8
4-6
67%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
#8 · SG · 6'3" 186 · 27
30.7
24
109%
5
1
0
2
1
0
1
4
4-4
100%
7-7
100%
2-5
40%
Wayne Ellington
#2 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
26.1
8
67%
1
3
3
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
15.9
8
80%
5
3
0
1
3
4
1
4
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 21
10.1
12
150%
3
1
0
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
6-6
100%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38
2.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
NWT - Injury/Illness | Stomach Flu
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Surgery
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
Inactive - Personal | Personal Reasons
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sports Hernia Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
120
59%
47
23
6
6
17
27
6
41
20-28
71%
38-56
68%
8-29
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.