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All Games Tuesday, November 13, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Rockets
51%112
109
7
Nuggets
49%111
99
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
122.58983.0
DEN logo DEN
112.58894.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.109
100%
99
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.27 63.4%
DEN
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
23
30
77%
DEN
15
31
48%
Midrange
HOU
3
4
75%
DEN
12
20
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
13
19.5
37
35%
53%
DEN
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
Free Throws
HOU
18
26
69%
DEN
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Capela2486%12.0 / 14
J. Harden2258%11.0 / 19
C. Paul2175%10.5 / 14
J. Ennis III1689%8.0 / 9
P. Tucker1286%6.0 / 7
E. Gordon1155%5.5 / 10
I. Hartenstein375%1.5 / 2
G. Clark0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Morris1979%9.5 / 12
G. Harris1563%7.5 / 12
J. Murray1563%7.5 / 12
N. Jokić1447%7.0 / 15
P. Millsap1365%6.5 / 10
T. Lyles8100%4.0 / 4
J. Hernangomez675%3.0 / 4
T. Craig5125%2.5 / 2
M. Plumlee433%2.0 / 6
M. Beasley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
75
+12
-14
87
DEN
72
+12
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.27 63.4%
DEN
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
115.4
112.6
HOU 122.5 +10.0
DEN 112.5
Pace
98.0
98.0
HOU 83.0
DEN 94.9 +12.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.7
HOU 17.4
DEN 15.2 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.2%
52.7%
HOU 64.1% +6.9%
DEN 57.2%
TO %
12.8%
13.1%
HOU 15.4% +0.8%
DEN 16.2%
ORB %
22.8%
26.6%
HOU 20.0%
DEN 21.2% +1.2%
FTrt
27.9
23.2
HOU 36.6 +15.5
DEN 21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
65.3%
HOU 59.0%
DEN 71.1% +12.1%
STL %
8.6%
7.9%
HOU 7.9%
DEN 12.5% +4.6%
BLK %
8.7%
8.2%
HOU 11.8% +5.9%
DEN 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.9%
54.5%
HOU 63.4% +4.5%
DEN 58.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.6%
HOU 76.7% +28.3%
DEN 48.4%
Mid FG%
41.8%
43.3%
HOU 75.0% +15.0%
DEN 60.0%
3P %
35.6%
35.1%
HOU 35.1%
DEN 44.0% +8.9%
FT %
79.1%
75.5%
HOU 69.2%
DEN 75.0% +5.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
37.5%
HOU 42.3% +1.5%
DEN 40.8%
Mid Att. %
14.2%
27.7%
HOU 5.6% +20.7%
DEN 26.3%
3P Att. %
51.9%
34.8%
HOU 52.1% +19.2%
DEN 32.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes25.822.3
Points10999
Rebounds3231
Assists2327
Steals711
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)16 (0)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (6)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)24 (2)
Field Goals39-7138-76
At-the-Rim FG23-3015-31
Midrange FG3-412-20
2-Point FG26-3427-51
3-Point FG13-3711-25
Free Throws18-2612-16
Fast Break Pts85
2nd Chance Pts104
Points in Paint4840
Pts off Turnovers1925
Bench Points1436
Biggest Lead157

BOXSCORE

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2 Houston Rockets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
PJ Tucker
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 34
40.8
12
86%
6
2
1
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-7
57%
James Harden
#13 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 29
36.8
22
58%
5
11
3
1
4
3
1
4
6-8
75%
5-6
83%
2-10
20%
Clint Capela
#15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 24
36.4
24
86%
9
2
0
1
1
4
3
6
2-4
50%
11-15
73%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
#8 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 28
33.6
16
89%
4
1
1
2
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
Chris Paul
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 34
32.3
21
75%
5
4
2
0
3
0
0
5
4-5
80%
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
Eric Gordon
#10 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 30
33.2
11
55%
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
0
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
Gary Clark
#6 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24
15.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Isaiah Hartenstein
#55 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 21
11.6
3
75%
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Marquese Chriss
#0 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Carter-Williams
#1 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
Zhou Qi
#9 · PF · 7'1" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
Gerald Green
#14 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
Carmelo Anthony
#7 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 34
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Illness
Brandon Knight
#2 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Injury
Vincent Edwards
#12 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Nene Hilario
#42 · C · 6'11" 250 · 36
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
63%
32
23
7
6
14
20
6
26
18-26
69%
26-34
76%
13-37
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.