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All Games Monday, November 12, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Spurs
56%117
99
24
Kings
44%115
104
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
102.19786.2
SAC logo SAC
105.199113.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASSAC
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
104
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
SAC
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
9
18
50%
SAC
16
27
59%
Midrange
SAS
19
38
50%
SAC
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
SAC
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
Free Throws
SAS
13
16
81%
SAC
7
12
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2361%11.5 / 19
L. Aldridge1458%7.0 / 12
R. Gay1470%7.0 / 10
D. White1150%5.5 / 11
B. Forbes1045%5.0 / 11
D. Cunningham964%4.5 / 7
D. Bertans9150%4.5 / 3
P. Mills536%2.5 / 7
M. Belinelli330%1.5 / 5
J. Poeltl150%0.5 / 1
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanović2269%11.0 / 16
D. Fox1986%9.5 / 11
B. Hield1447%7.0 / 15
W. Cauley-Stein1346%6.5 / 14
H. Giles1260%6.0 / 10
N. Bjelica11138%5.5 / 4
M. Bagley744%3.5 / 8
F. Mason467%2.0 / 3
I. Shumpert225%1.0 / 4
J. Jackson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
82
+13
-15
95
SAC
87
+9
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.05 52.7%
SAC
1.08 54.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
110.0
SAS 102.1
SAC 105.1 +3.0
Pace
98.6
103.5
SAS 86.2
SAC 113.1 +26.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.3
SAS 16.7
SAC 12.7 +4.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.4%
SAS 49.4%
SAC 56.4% +7.0%
TO %
11.9%
12.4%
SAS 13.8%
SAC 12.5% +1.3%
ORB %
20.9%
23.1%
SAS 19.1% +2.0%
SAC 17.1%
FTrt
23.7
24.4
SAS 18.4 +4.4
SAC 14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
58.8%
SAS 65.8% +3.0%
SAC 62.8%
STL %
6.2%
8.0%
SAS 5.2%
SAC 12.1% +6.9%
BLK %
8.3%
7.9%
SAS 6.5% +1.1%
SAC 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
54.1%
SAS 52.7%
SAC 54.2% +1.5%
Rim FG%
62.7%
60.3%
SAS 50.0%
SAC 59.3% +9.3%
Mid FG%
44.0%
38.8%
SAS 50.0% +4.3%
SAC 45.7%
3P %
39.2%
37.8%
SAS 32.3%
SAC 45.8% +13.5%
FT %
81.8%
72.6%
SAS 81.3% +23.0%
SAC 58.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
36.7%
SAS 20.7%
SAC 31.4% +10.7%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
31.1%
SAS 43.7%
SAC 40.7% +3.0%
3P Att. %
28.6%
32.2%
SAS 35.6% +7.7%
SAC 27.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASSAC
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points99104
Rebounds4345
Assists2527
Steals512
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (1)
Fouls1220
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)38 (1)
Field Goals38-8743-86
At-the-Rim FG9-1816-27
Midrange FG19-3816-35
2-Point FG28-5632-62
3-Point FG10-3111-24
Free Throws13-167-12
Fast Break Pts920
2nd Chance Pts1411
Points in Paint3242
Pts off Turnovers1816
Bench Points3245
Biggest Lead210

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
20 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 29
36.9
23
61%
2
8
0
0
4
1
0
2
7-8
88%
8-15
53%
0-2
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · C · 6'11" 260 · 33
33.8
14
58%
18
0
0
3
4
1
3
15
2-2
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
#33 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 32
29.1
9
64%
7
0
1
0
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25
29.0
10
45%
0
4
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
26.2
11
50%
0
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
21.8
5
36%
3
4
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
20.7
14
70%
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
18.4
3
30%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
13.0
1
50%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
7.8
9
150%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
2.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right ACL tear
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Medial meniscus tear
Pau Gasol
#16 · C · 7'0" 250 · 38
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Soreness
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
43
25
5
4
15
12
9
34
13-16
81%
28-56
50%
10-31
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.