FinalWin Prob.pScore
1822%112
126
178%123
110
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
126.010096.0
TOR logo TOR
108.9101105.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPTOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.126
100%
110
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.20 60.0%
TOR
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
27
37
73%
TOR
16
27
59%
Midrange
NOP
17
35
49%
TOR
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
10
15.0
27
37%
56%
TOR
13
19.5
45
29%
43%
Free Throws
NOP
8
13
62%
TOR
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Moore3088%15.0 / 17
J. Holiday2973%14.5 / 20
A. Davis2569%12.5 / 18
J. Randle1771%8.5 / 12
C. Diallo850%4.0 / 8
D. Miller638%3.0 / 8
I. Clark675%3.0 / 4
W. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
T. Frazier0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Siakam2292%11.0 / 12
K. Leonard2048%10.0 / 21
S. Ibaka1959%9.5 / 16
O. Anunoby1757%8.5 / 15
F. VanVleet1063%5.0 / 8
D. Wright1083%5.0 / 6
K. Lowry422%2.0 / 9
D. Green338%1.5 / 4
C. Miles350%1.5 / 3
J. Valančiūnas225%1.0 / 4
L. Brown0-0.0 / 2
G. Monroe0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
87
+18
-13
105
TOR
91
+17
-10
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.20 60.0%
TOR
1.02 50.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
113.1
NOP 126.0 +17.1
TOR 108.9
Pace
103.4
100.2
NOP 96.0
TOR 105.4 +9.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.4
NOP 15.0
TOR 13.7 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
54.3%
NOP 59.6% +12.7%
TOR 46.9%
TO %
14.0%
13.2%
NOP 11.0%
TOR 9.3% +1.7%
ORB %
24.1%
21.8%
NOP 31.8% +7.3%
TOR 24.5%
FTrt
25.4
24.7
NOP 13.1
TOR 22.7 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.9%
60.3%
NOP 55.6%
TOR 56.4% +0.8%
STL %
7.2%
8.2%
NOP 2.0%
TOR 8.9% +6.9%
BLK %
9.1%
9.1%
NOP 7.7% +0.8%
TOR 6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.5%
NOP 60.0% +9.1%
TOR 50.9%
Rim FG%
62.1%
61.6%
NOP 73.0% +13.7%
TOR 59.3%
Mid FG%
41.1%
43.1%
NOP 48.6% +8.6%
TOR 40.0%
3P %
34.4%
36.6%
NOP 37.0% +8.1%
TOR 28.9%
FT %
76.1%
80.4%
NOP 61.5%
TOR 86.4% +24.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
36.4%
NOP 37.4% +9.5%
TOR 27.8%
Mid Att. %
27.4%
25.6%
NOP 35.4%
TOR 25.8% +9.6%
3P Att. %
32.4%
37.9%
NOP 27.3%
TOR 46.4% +19.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPTOR
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points126110
Rebounds5443
Assists3022
Steals29
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls2020
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals54-9939-97
At-the-Rim FG27-3716-27
Midrange FG17-3510-25
2-Point FG44-7226-52
3-Point FG10-2713-45
Free Throws8-1319-22
Fast Break Pts728
2nd Chance Pts2018
Points in Paint7242
Pts off Turnovers1316
Bench Points2042
Biggest Lead183

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 26
39.7
25
69%
20
6
0
2
4
4
8
12
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
1-2
50%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 28
38.7
29
73%
3
14
1
0
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
9-12
75%
3-7
43%
#55 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 30
35.9
30
88%
2
3
1
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
10-13
77%
3-5
60%
#30 · C · 6'9" 250 · 24
35.3
17
71%
12
4
0
0
2
2
2
10
3-5
60%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
#33 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
20.7
5
42%
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#21 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 29
22.4
6
38%
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
#2 · SG · 6'3" 175 · 28
20.9
6
75%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
#13 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22
19.4
8
50%
6
0
0
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
#10 · PG · 6'1" 170 · 28
6.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#34 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#8 · C · 6'11" 260 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
#5 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#3 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
126
60%
54
30
2
4
13
20
14
40
8-13
62%
44-72
61%
10-27
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.