FinalWin Prob.pScore
1148%112
124
1652%113
114
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
125.39996.6
MIA logo MIA
115.299101.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.124
100%
114
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
12
20
60%
MIA
17
28
61%
Midrange
PHI
12
27
44%
MIA
7
18
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
15
22.5
36
42%
63%
MIA
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
Free Throws
PHI
31
39
79%
MIA
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Embiid3576%17.5 / 23
J. Redick2566%12.5 / 19
F. Korkmaz1680%8.0 / 10
B. Simmons1381%6.5 / 8
M. Muscala1350%6.5 / 13
L. Shamet10100%5.0 / 5
M. Fultz531%2.5 / 8
W. Chandler583%2.5 / 3
T. McConnell220%1.0 / 5
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2265%11.0 / 17
J. Richardson1794%8.5 / 9
W. Ellington1458%7.0 / 12
H. Whiteside1372%6.5 / 9
K. Olynyk1381%6.5 / 8
T. Johnson1250%6.0 / 12
B. Adebayo850%4.0 / 8
R. McGruder675%3.0 / 4
J. Winslow550%2.5 / 5
D. Jones450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
90
+13
-9
103
MIA
84
+11
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.0
107.5
PHI 125.3 +10.1
MIA 115.2
Pace
102.2
98.1
PHI 96.6
MIA 101.5 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
15.0
PHI 14.9
MIA 14.2 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.2%
51.5%
PHI 56.0%
MIA 56.5% +0.5%
TO %
14.0%
14.3%
PHI 9.1% +5.0%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
24.5%
24.8%
PHI 23.8% +3.8%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
31.2
24.7
PHI 47.0 +4.1
MIA 42.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
61.2%
PHI 61.5% +10.1%
MIA 51.4%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
PHI 5.1%
MIA 5.1%
BLK %
8.6%
10.2%
PHI 0.0%
MIA 12.8% +12.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.1%
52.9%
PHI 59.6%
MIA 60.6% +1.0%
Rim FG%
63.0%
60.8%
PHI 60.0%
MIA 60.7% +0.7%
Mid FG%
40.5%
36.8%
PHI 44.4% +5.5%
MIA 38.9%
3P %
35.9%
34.9%
PHI 41.7%
MIA 41.9% +0.2%
FT %
77.1%
69.5%
PHI 79.5%
MIA 81.8% +2.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
37.3%
PHI 24.1%
MIA 36.4% +12.3%
Mid Att. %
29.5%
25.9%
PHI 32.5%
MIA 23.4% +9.2%
3P Att. %
34.2%
36.8%
PHI 43.4% +3.1%
MIA 40.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points124114
Rebounds4240
Assists2419
Steals55
Blocks06
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)15 (0)
Fouls2430
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals39-8337-77
At-the-Rim FG12-2017-28
Midrange FG12-277-18
2-Point FG24-4724-46
3-Point FG15-3613-31
Free Throws31-3927-33
Fast Break Pts717
2nd Chance Pts177
Points in Paint3242
Pts off Turnovers1717
Bench Points4151
Biggest Lead147

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · C · 7'0" 280 · 25
35.7
35
76%
18
3
0
0
2
1
6
12
16-20
80%
5-11
45%
3-4
75%
#25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 22
35.2
13
81%
7
7
1
0
4
0
2
5
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
#17 · SF · 6'4" 200 · 34
31.0
25
66%
1
3
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
8-11
73%
3-9
33%
#20 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 20
25.0
5
31%
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
#22 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 32
23.4
5
83%
1
3
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
#31 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 27
27.3
13
50%
8
1
0
0
0
4
0
8
4-5
80%
0-1
0%
3-10
30%
#1 · PF · 6'5" 188 · 22
23.7
10
100%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
#30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 21
22.4
16
80%
4
0
1
0
0
5
1
3
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 27
14.3
2
20%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
#5 · C · 6'9" 240 · 32
2.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#43 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · PG · 6'1" 201 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#23 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 29
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Coach"s Decision
#0 · C · 7'0" 236 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
#8 · SG · 6'4" 199 · 19
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
60%
42
24
5
0
9
24
10
32
31-39
79%
24-47
51%
15-36
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.