for complete access.
All Games Saturday, November 10, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Thunder
60%116
96
24
Mavericks
40%112
111
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
104.39294.5
DAL logo DAL
120.79289.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.96
0%
111
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.92 46.2%
DAL
1.29 64.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
20
30
67%
DAL
21
31
68%
Midrange
OKC
9
33
27%
DAL
8
17
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
9
13.5
34
26%
40%
DAL
14
21.0
29
48%
72%
Free Throws
OKC
11
18
61%
DAL
11
17
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2045%10.0 / 22
S. Adams2071%10.0 / 14
D. Schröder1950%9.5 / 19
J. Grant1381%6.5 / 8
R. Felton729%3.5 / 12
A. Abrines650%3.0 / 6
P. Patterson542%2.5 / 6
T. Ferguson214%1.0 / 7
N. Noel250%1.0 / 2
A. Nader2100%1.0 / 1
H. Diallo0-0.0 / 3
T. Luwawu-Cabarrot0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2269%11.0 / 16
J. Barea2181%10.5 / 13
H. Barnes1179%5.5 / 7
D. Finney-Smith1179%5.5 / 7
D. Smith Jr.1063%5.0 / 8
W. Matthews964%4.5 / 7
M. Kleber857%4.0 / 7
D. Powell770%3.5 / 5
D. Jordan660%3.0 / 5
D. Harris675%3.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
76
+28
-16
104
DAL
76
+9
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
0.92 46.2%
DAL
1.29 64.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
109.2
OKC 104.3
DAL 120.7 +16.3
Pace
102.9
99.1
OKC 94.5 +4.9
DAL 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.2
14.8
OKC 15.2 +0.8
DAL 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
51.8%
OKC 43.8%
DAL 64.9% +21.1%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
OKC 13.2% +2.7%
DAL 15.9%
ORB %
26.0%
22.6%
OKC 43.3% +30.4%
DAL 12.9%
FTrt
26.6
29.1
OKC 18.6
DAL 22.1 +3.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.8%
60.3%
OKC 44.7%
DAL 72.1% +27.4%
STL %
9.0%
6.5%
OKC 9.8%
DAL 9.8%
BLK %
9.1%
7.6%
OKC 4.2%
DAL 7.9% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.5%
54.2%
OKC 46.2%
DAL 64.5% +18.3%
Rim FG%
59.6%
62.0%
OKC 66.7%
DAL 67.7% +1.0%
Mid FG%
38.6%
39.0%
OKC 27.3%
DAL 47.1% +19.8%
3P %
34.8%
34.0%
OKC 26.5%
DAL 48.3% +21.8%
FT %
71.3%
74.2%
OKC 61.1%
DAL 64.7% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.6%
33.8%
OKC 30.9%
DAL 40.3% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
26.7%
24.0%
OKC 34.0%
DAL 22.1% +11.9%
3P Att. %
34.7%
42.2%
OKC 35.1%
DAL 37.7% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCDAL
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points96111
Rebounds5338
Assists1731
Steals99
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (0)
Fouls1923
Off. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals38-9743-77
At-the-Rim FG20-3021-31
Midrange FG9-338-17
2-Point FG29-6329-48
3-Point FG9-3414-29
Free Throws11-1811-17
Fast Break Pts1511
2nd Chance Pts246
Points in Paint4852
Pts off Turnovers1410
Bench Points2253
Biggest Lead624

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
13 Oklahoma City Thunder
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Paul George
#13 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 29
38.3
20
45%
13
6
2
0
5
3
5
8
1-2
50%
5-12
42%
3-9
33%
Steven Adams
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 25
36.7
20
71%
13
2
0
0
0
3
7
6
4-8
50%
8-11
73%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
#17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 25
31.6
19
50%
6
3
2
0
4
0
3
3
2-3
67%
7-17
41%
1-4
25%
Jerami Grant
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 25
29.3
13
81%
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
Terrance Ferguson
#23 · SG · 6'7" 184 · 20
24.9
2
14%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
Alex Abrines
#8 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25
26.1
6
50%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
Raymond Felton
#2 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 34
16.0
7
29%
2
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-6
17%
Patrick Patterson
#54 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 30
15.3
5
42%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Nerlens Noel
#3 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 25
11.3
2
50%
6
0
1
1
3
4
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 20
7.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
#7 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 24
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 25
1.6
2
100%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
#0 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle Sprain
Deonte Burton
#30 · PG · 6'5" 250 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Tyler Davis
#34 · C · 6'10" 266 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Andre Roberson
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar Tendon
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
46%
53
17
9
2
16
19
26
27
11-18
61%
29-63
46%
9-34
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.