FinalWin Prob.pScore
2065%118
124
2935%113
109
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
119.210495.3
ATL logo ATL
106.9102112.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.124
100%
109
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.16 57.9%
ATL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
18
30
60%
ATL
19
31
61%
Midrange
DET
8
20
40%
ATL
10
20
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
20
30.0
47
43%
64%
ATL
7
10.5
28
25%
38%
Free Throws
DET
12
19
63%
ATL
30
40
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2364%11.5 / 18
S. Johnson2279%11.0 / 14
L. Galloway16114%8.0 / 7
R. Bullock1381%6.5 / 8
G. Robinson III1275%6.0 / 8
R. Jackson1083%5.0 / 6
I. Smith1071%5.0 / 7
B. Griffin627%3.0 / 11
J. Calderon563%2.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia467%2.0 / 3
K. Thomas350%1.5 / 3
B. Brown0-0.0 / 1
J. Leuer0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Lin1986%9.5 / 11
T. Young1662%8.0 / 13
O. Spellman1470%7.0 / 10
M. Plumlee1478%7.0 / 9
D. Dedmon1365%6.5 / 10
K. Bazemore857%4.0 / 7
D. Bembry857%4.0 / 7
T. Prince675%3.0 / 4
A. Poythress350%1.5 / 3
A. Len220%1.0 / 5
K. Huerter220%1.0 / 5
T. Dorsey217%1.0 / 6
V. Carter250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
94
+12
-10
106
ATL
86
+12
-16
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.16 57.9%
ATL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
108.1
DET 119.2 +12.4
ATL 106.9
Pace
97.3
103.9
DET 95.3
ATL 112.2 +16.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
13.6
DET 15.1
ATL 12.8 +2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.2%
DET 57.7% +7.7%
ATL 50.0%
TO %
13.2%
15.8%
DET 9.5% +4.7%
ATL 14.2%
ORB %
24.9%
24.8%
DET 18.9%
ATL 22.7% +3.8%
FTrt
26.1
25.5
DET 19.6
ATL 50.6 +31.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
62.4%
DET 65.2% +18.0%
ATL 47.2%
STL %
7.1%
7.8%
DET 9.6% +3.7%
ATL 5.9%
BLK %
7.1%
9.2%
DET 11.8% +7.8%
ATL 4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
54.6%
DET 57.9% +3.4%
ATL 54.5%
Rim FG%
57.5%
59.0%
DET 60.0%
ATL 61.3% +1.3%
Mid FG%
38.4%
37.9%
DET 40.0%
ATL 50.0% +10.0%
3P %
34.8%
35.2%
DET 42.6% +17.6%
ATL 25.0%
FT %
74.7%
75.2%
DET 63.2%
ATL 75.0% +11.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
39.2%
DET 30.9%
ATL 39.2% +8.3%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
20.4%
DET 20.6% +4.7%
ATL 25.3%
3P Att. %
39.4%
40.3%
DET 48.5% +13.0%
ATL 35.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions104102
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points124109
Rebounds4453
Assists3017
Steals106
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)16 (0)
Fouls3121
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)43 (0)
Field Goals46-9736-79
At-the-Rim FG18-3019-31
Midrange FG8-2010-20
2-Point FG26-5029-51
3-Point FG20-477-28
Free Throws12-1930-40
Fast Break Pts2416
2nd Chance Pts1113
Points in Paint4048
Pts off Turnovers2310
Bench Points6063
Biggest Lead290

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 25
32.6
23
64%
11
1
1
4
3
5
5
6
3-7
43%
10-14
71%
0-1
0%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
25.9
6
27%
9
9
2
0
1
2
0
9
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
1-5
20%
#25 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 28
23.5
13
81%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
21.3
10
83%
2
3
1
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
18.6
12
75%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
#7 · SF · 6'7" 245 · 22
24.2
22
79%
7
2
3
0
0
3
2
5
2-3
67%
4-7
57%
4-9
44%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
23.9
16
114%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
-
5-9
56%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 30
23.1
10
71%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
22.4
5
63%
1
4
0
0
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
11.8
4
67%
6
0
2
0
2
2
3
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#6 · SG · 6'4" 202 · 22
5.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 29
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
3.6
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder Sprain
#8 · PF · 6'11" 245 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#99 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#18 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
58%
44
30
10
6
10
31
10
34
12-19
63%
26-50
52%
20-47
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.