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All Games Wednesday, October 24, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Pacers
49%114
116
15
Spurs
51%115
96
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
126.19288.9
SAS logo SAS
104.39295.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.116
100%
96
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.27 63.7%
SAS
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
21
31
68%
SAS
17
30
57%
Midrange
IND
8
24
33%
SAS
12
38
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
17
25.5
32
53%
80%
SAS
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
IND
7
8
88%
SAS
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo2181%10.5 / 13
T. Evans1968%9.5 / 14
D. Sabonis16100%8.0 / 8
T. Young1488%7.0 / 8
C. Joseph1286%6.0 / 7
M. Turner1063%5.0 / 8
D. McDermott1083%5.0 / 6
B. Bogdanovic750%3.5 / 7
D. Collison536%2.5 / 7
K. O'Quinn2-0.0 / 0
T. Leaf0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan1850%9.0 / 18
M. Belinelli1667%8.0 / 12
L. Aldridge1538%7.5 / 20
B. Forbes1568%7.5 / 11
R. Gay1155%5.5 / 10
D. Bertans788%3.5 / 4
P. Gasol429%2.0 / 7
J. Poeltl250%1.0 / 2
D. Cunningham2100%1.0 / 1
C. Metu225%1.0 / 4
Q. Pondexter2100%1.0 / 1
D. Eubanks2100%1.0 / 1
P. Mills0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
82
+8
-10
90
SAS
79
+17
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.27 63.7%
SAS
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
112.6
IND 126.1 +21.7
SAS 104.3
Pace
98.2
98.6
IND 88.9
SAS 95.4 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.0
IND 16.2
SAS 15.1 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
53.4%
IND 62.6% +18.9%
SAS 43.7%
TO %
13.5%
11.9%
IND 9.9% +2.0%
SAS 11.9%
ORB %
21.9%
20.9%
IND 13.9%
SAS 30.0% +16.1%
FTrt
24.2
23.7
IND 9.2
SAS 24.1 +14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
58.0%
IND 73.9% +28.2%
SAS 45.7%
STL %
8.9%
6.2%
IND 9.8% +6.5%
SAS 3.3%
BLK %
9.2%
8.3%
IND 7.4% +1.9%
SAS 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
56.0%
IND 63.7% +14.2%
SAS 49.5%
Rim FG%
60.4%
62.7%
IND 67.7% +11.0%
SAS 56.7%
Mid FG%
41.1%
44.0%
IND 33.3% +1.7%
SAS 31.6%
3P %
37.4%
39.2%
IND 53.1% +21.5%
SAS 31.6%
FT %
75.1%
81.8%
IND 87.5%
SAS 95.2% +7.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
27.8%
IND 35.6% +1.1%
SAS 34.5%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
43.7%
IND 27.6% +16.1%
SAS 43.7%
3P Att. %
29.1%
28.6%
IND 36.8% +14.9%
SAS 21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsINDSAS
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points11696
Rebounds4046
Assists3416
Steals93
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2216
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals46-8735-87
At-the-Rim FG21-3117-30
Midrange FG8-2412-38
2-Point FG29-5529-68
3-Point FG17-326-19
Free Throws7-820-21
Fast Break Pts1712
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint4648
Pts off Turnovers2314
Bench Points5935
Biggest Lead292

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
11 Indiana Pacers
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26
33.4
21
81%
5
9
2
0
2
0
1
4
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
3-6
50%
Thaddeus Young
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30
31.2
14
88%
5
0
0
0
1
3
0
5
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
1-1
100%
Myles Turner
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
27.6
10
63%
6
2
0
2
2
3
0
6
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
24.0
7
50%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
Darren Collison
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 31
21.1
5
36%
0
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
24.3
12
86%
6
4
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
Tyreke Evans
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
22.7
19
68%
0
5
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
5-7
71%
Domantas Sabonis
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 22
21.1
16
100%
10
4
2
1
0
4
3
7
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
TJ Leaf
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 21
13.2
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
12.8
10
83%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
Kyle O'Quinn
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
2.9
2
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 22
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Edmond Sumner
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Ike Anigbogu
#13 · C · 6'10" 262 · 20
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Davon Reed
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Ben Moore
#26 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
Alize Johnson
#24 · PF · 6'8" 216 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
64%
40
34
9
5
10
22
5
35
7-8
88%
29-55
53%
17-32
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.