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All Games Tuesday, October 23, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
30
Kings
18%113
112
6
Nuggets
82%126
126
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
112.0100101.6
DEN logo DEN
124.810199.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACDEN
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.112
0%
126
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.17 58.3%
DEN
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
22
36
61%
DEN
34
49
69%
Midrange
SAC
10
19
53%
DEN
6
20
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
DEN
11
16.5
30
37%
55%
Free Throws
SAC
9
20
45%
DEN
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bagley2091%10.0 / 11
J. Jackson1777%8.5 / 11
F. Mason1470%7.0 / 10
I. Shumpert1286%6.0 / 7
W. Cauley-Stein1192%5.5 / 6
Y. Ferrell1161%5.5 / 9
N. Bjelica1071%5.0 / 7
D. Fox630%3.0 / 10
B. McLemore6100%3.0 / 3
B. Hield536%2.5 / 7
H. Giles0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray1986%9.5 / 11
G. Harris1875%9.0 / 12
P. Millsap1594%7.5 / 8
N. Jokić1464%7.0 / 11
T. Lyles1250%6.0 / 12
M. Morris1142%5.5 / 13
M. Plumlee1179%5.5 / 7
M. Beasley1155%5.5 / 10
T. Craig788%3.5 / 4
J. Hernangomez536%2.5 / 7
T. Lydon2100%1.0 / 1
D. Akoon-Purcell117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
84
+11
-16
95
DEN
89
+18
-12
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.17 58.3%
DEN
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.0
112.6
SAC 112.0
DEN 124.8 +12.8
Pace
103.5
98.0
SAC 101.6 +2.1
DEN 99.5
Avg. Poss. Time
13.3
14.7
SAC 14.2 +0.3
DEN 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.7%
SAC 59.9% +2.8%
DEN 57.1%
TO %
12.4%
13.1%
SAC 14.4%
DEN 10.2% +4.2%
ORB %
23.1%
26.6%
SAC 20.9%
DEN 33.3% +12.4%
FTrt
24.4
23.2
SAC 23.3 +8.1
DEN 15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
65.3%
SAC 64.4% +3.6%
DEN 60.8%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
SAC 7.0%
DEN 10.9% +3.9%
BLK %
7.9%
8.2%
SAC 8.7% +3.2%
DEN 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
54.5%
SAC 58.3%
DEN 58.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
59.6%
SAC 61.1%
DEN 69.4% +8.3%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.3%
SAC 52.6% +22.6%
DEN 30.0%
3P %
37.8%
35.1%
SAC 41.9% +5.2%
DEN 36.7%
FT %
72.6%
75.5%
SAC 45.0%
DEN 86.7% +41.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.5%
SAC 41.9%
DEN 49.5% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
31.1%
27.7%
SAC 22.1%
DEN 20.2% +1.9%
3P Att. %
32.2%
34.8%
SAC 36.0% +5.7%
DEN 30.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACDEN
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points112126
Rebounds3949
Assists2931
Steals711
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1722
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals45-8651-99
At-the-Rim FG22-3634-49
Midrange FG10-196-20
2-Point FG32-5540-69
3-Point FG13-3111-30
Free Throws9-2013-15
Fast Break Pts1918
2nd Chance Pts1325
Points in Paint5472
Pts off Turnovers1413
Bench Points6853
Biggest Lead027

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
30 Sacramento Kings
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Willie Cauley-Stein
#00 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 25
23.6
11
92%
6
3
1
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Buddy Hield
#24 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 25
23.3
5
36%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Nemanja Bjelica
#88 · C · 6'10" 230 · 30
21.0
10
71%
2
3
0
0
3
3
1
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
De'Aaron Fox
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 21
20.6
6
30%
1
4
2
0
1
4
0
1
2-5
40%
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
Iman Shumpert
#9 · SF · 6'5" 212 · 28
19.8
12
86%
2
3
2
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
Marvin Bagley III
#35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 20
32.3
20
91%
9
3
0
5
4
2
1
8
1-3
33%
8-10
80%
1-1
100%
Justin Jackson
#25 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 24
27.6
17
77%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
67%
3-5
60%
Frank Mason
#10 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 25
27.4
14
70%
5
7
1
0
3
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
67%
2-4
50%
Yogi Ferrell
#3 · PG · 6'0" 180 · 25
20.5
11
61%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
Harry Giles III
#20 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21
14.2
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
4
1
1
0-2
0%
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
Skal Labissiere
#7 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 23
4.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
#23 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 26
4.9
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
2-3
67%
Kosta Koufos
#41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Strain
Bogdan Bogdanovic
#8 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Procedure Recovery
Troy Williams
#15 · SG · 6'7" 218 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Two-Way
Wenyen Gabriel
#32 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Zach Randolph
#50 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
58%
39
29
7
6
16
17
9
30
9-20
45%
32-55
58%
13-31
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.