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All Games Monday, October 22, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Hornets
24%112
106
2
Raptors
76%122
127
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
106.010093.6
TOR logo TOR
125.7101108.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHATOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
127
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.01 50.5%
TOR
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
20
37
54%
TOR
26
35
74%
Midrange
CHA
12
32
38%
TOR
9
13
69%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
TOR
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
Free Throws
CHA
15
18
83%
TOR
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2672%13.0 / 18
J. Lamb1650%8.0 / 16
N. Batum1359%6.5 / 11
W. Hernangomez1179%5.5 / 7
M. Monk1045%5.0 / 11
M. Bridges6100%3.0 / 3
M. Kidd-Gilchrist643%3.0 / 7
T. Parker638%3.0 / 8
M. Williams433%2.0 / 6
B. Biyombo440%2.0 / 5
C. Zeller250%1.0 / 2
F. Kaminsky233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2285%11.0 / 13
J. Valančiūnas1785%8.5 / 10
K. Lowry1680%8.0 / 10
D. Green16100%8.0 / 8
S. Ibaka1558%7.5 / 13
N. Powell964%4.5 / 7
F. VanVleet844%4.0 / 9
C. Miles867%4.0 / 6
O. Anunoby536%2.5 / 7
P. Siakam450%2.0 / 4
M. Richardson375%1.5 / 2
L. Brown2100%1.0 / 1
G. Monroe2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
88
+17
-12
105
TOR
88
+10
-13
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.01 50.5%
TOR
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
113.1
CHA 106.0
TOR 125.7 +19.7
Pace
98.7
100.2
CHA 93.6
TOR 108.5 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.4
CHA 15.4
TOR 13.3 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
54.3%
CHA 46.9%
TOR 66.1% +19.2%
TO %
11.7%
13.2%
CHA 10.3% +3.6%
TOR 13.9%
ORB %
21.9%
21.8%
CHA 25.5% +9.9%
TOR 15.6%
FTrt
25.7
24.7
CHA 18.6 +2.5
TOR 16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.3%
CHA 51.2%
TOR 72.0% +20.8%
STL %
7.2%
8.2%
CHA 5.0%
TOR 9.9% +4.9%
BLK %
8.9%
9.1%
CHA 10.4%
TOR 11.6% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
56.5%
CHA 50.5%
TOR 64.1% +13.6%
Rim FG%
56.9%
61.6%
CHA 54.1%
TOR 74.3% +20.2%
Mid FG%
41.7%
43.1%
CHA 37.5%
TOR 69.2% +31.7%
3P %
35.1%
36.6%
CHA 32.1%
TOR 38.5% +6.4%
FT %
79.7%
80.4%
CHA 83.3%
TOR 85.7% +2.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
36.4%
CHA 38.1%
TOR 40.2% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
25.6%
CHA 33.0%
TOR 14.9% +18.0%
3P Att. %
37.8%
37.9%
CHA 28.9%
TOR 44.8% +16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHATOR
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points106127
Rebounds4146
Assists2136
Steals510
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (2)
Fouls1421
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)41 (0)
Field Goals41-9750-87
At-the-Rim FG20-3726-35
Midrange FG12-329-13
2-Point FG32-6935-48
3-Point FG9-2815-39
Free Throws15-1812-14
Fast Break Pts531
2nd Chance Pts157
Points in Paint4456
Pts off Turnovers1117
Bench Points4554
Biggest Lead025

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nicolas Batum
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
36.0
13
59%
5
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
Kemba Walker
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 28
33.6
26
72%
5
5
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
9-15
60%
2-7
29%
Jeremy Lamb
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 26
23.3
16
50%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
5-6
83%
4-10
40%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 32
20.7
4
33%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
Cody Zeller
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
15.3
2
50%
5
3
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 21
24.7
10
45%
2
3
0
2
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
Miles Bridges
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
18.6
6
100%
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
Willy Hernangomez
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
18.0
11
79%
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
16.3
6
43%
5
1
1
0
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36
14.7
6
38%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
8.6
4
40%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Devonte' Graham
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
5.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
4.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Dwayne Bacon
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
J.P. Macura
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Joe Chealey
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
51%
41
21
5
5
12
14
14
27
15-18
83%
32-69
46%
9-28
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.