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All Games Saturday, October 20, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
13
Spurs
47%118
108
16
Blazers
53%119
121
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
113.79589.6
POR logo POR
128.794100.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BlazersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BlazersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASPOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
121
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
POR
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
31
45%
POR
20
28
71%
Midrange
SAS
15
39
38%
POR
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
POR
15
22.5
32
47%
70%
Free Throws
SAS
11
14
79%
POR
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2861%14.0 / 23
B. Forbes1771%8.5 / 12
L. Aldridge1255%6.0 / 11
R. Gay1250%6.0 / 12
D. Bertans1179%5.5 / 7
P. Gasol1083%5.0 / 6
P. Mills945%4.5 / 10
D. Cunningham338%1.5 / 4
M. Belinelli214%1.0 / 7
C. Metu250%1.0 / 2
D. Eubanks250%1.0 / 2
J. Poeltl0-0.0 / 0
Q. Pondexter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lillard2981%14.5 / 18
C. McCollum2475%12.0 / 16
J. Nurkić1255%6.0 / 11
Z. Collins1192%5.5 / 6
A. Aminu10100%5.0 / 5
S. Curry975%4.5 / 6
E. Turner857%4.0 / 7
J. Layman550%2.5 / 5
M. Harkless550%2.5 / 5
M. Leonard5125%2.5 / 2
N. Stauskas330%1.5 / 5
W. Baldwin IV0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
89
+20
-6
109
POR
82
+10
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.01 50.5%
POR
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.6
114.2
SAS 113.7
POR 128.7 +15.0
Pace
98.6
99.5
SAS 89.6
POR 100.0 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.9
SAS 16.1
POR 14.4 +1.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
52.8%
SAS 48.5%
POR 62.5% +14.0%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
SAS 5.3% +6.2%
POR 11.5%
ORB %
20.9%
26.6%
SAS 28.3% +4.1%
POR 24.2%
FTrt
23.7
25.8
SAS 14.0
POR 22.6 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.4%
SAS 69.0% +15.7%
POR 53.3%
STL %
6.2%
6.6%
SAS 5.3%
POR 5.3%
BLK %
8.3%
8.3%
SAS 7.7% +3.4%
POR 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
55.6%
SAS 50.5%
POR 65.8% +15.3%
Rim FG%
62.7%
59.0%
SAS 45.2%
POR 71.4% +26.2%
Mid FG%
44.0%
42.5%
SAS 38.5%
POR 41.7% +3.2%
3P %
39.2%
35.9%
SAS 43.3%
POR 46.9% +3.6%
FT %
81.8%
81.4%
SAS 78.6%
POR 84.2% +5.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
39.1%
SAS 31.0%
POR 33.3% +2.3%
Mid Att. %
43.7%
27.0%
SAS 39.0%
POR 28.6% +10.4%
3P Att. %
28.6%
33.9%
SAS 30.0%
POR 38.1% +8.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsSASPOR
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points108121
Rebounds4046
Assists2924
Steals55
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1714
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)38 (4)
Field Goals42-10045-84
At-the-Rim FG14-3120-28
Midrange FG15-3910-24
2-Point FG29-7030-52
3-Point FG13-3015-32
Free Throws11-1416-19
Fast Break Pts58
2nd Chance Pts128
Points in Paint3844
Pts off Turnovers127
Bench Points3941
Biggest Lead220

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
13 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
#12 · PF · 6'11" 260 · 33
36.7
12
55%
8
5
1
1
0
0
5
3
0-1
0%
6-12
50%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
#10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 29
34.4
28
61%
3
9
2
0
2
3
1
2
6-6
100%
11-21
52%
0-1
0%
Bryn Forbes
#11 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25
27.2
17
71%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
5-8
63%
Rudy Gay
#22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32
26.6
12
50%
7
1
0
0
2
5
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
33%
2-4
50%
Jakob Poeltl
#25 · C · 7'0" 260 · 23
13.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Patty Mills
#8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 30
22.1
9
45%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
1-5
20%
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 26
19.7
11
79%
4
2
0
1
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
#16 · PF · 7'0" 250 · 38
17.1
10
83%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
#18 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 33
16.5
2
14%
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
#33 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31
16.1
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
Chimezie Metu
#7 · PF · 6'10" 219 · 22
3.5
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Drew Eubanks
#14 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 22
3.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
#3 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 31
3.5
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
#5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right ACL
Derrick White
#4 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | left heel pain
Lonnie Walker IV
#1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | right medial meniscus
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
51%
40
29
5
4
6
17
15
25
11-14
79%
29-70
41%
13-30
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.