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All Games Saturday, October 20, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
19
Timberwolves
46%114
136
23
Mavericks
54%115
140
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
125.9108116.5
DAL logo DAL
128.4109101.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINDAL
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.136
0%
140
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.31 65.4%
DAL
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
14
26
54%
DAL
22
29
76%
Midrange
MIN
16
31
52%
DAL
10
19
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
14
21.0
27
52%
78%
DAL
17
25.5
50
34%
51%
Free Throws
MIN
34
40
85%
DAL
25
34
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Towns3174%15.5 / 21
D. Rose2864%14.0 / 22
J. Teague2269%11.0 / 16
A. Wiggins1973%9.5 / 13
G. Dieng10100%5.0 / 5
T. Gibson975%4.5 / 6
J. Okogie650%3.0 / 6
A. Tolliver6100%3.0 / 3
T. Jones563%2.5 / 4
C. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić2676%13.0 / 17
D. Jordan2292%11.0 / 12
W. Matthews1948%9.5 / 20
D. Smith Jr.1959%9.5 / 16
D. Powell1995%9.5 / 10
J. Barea1260%6.0 / 10
D. Finney-Smith867%4.0 / 6
J. Brunson750%3.5 / 7
M. Kleber550%2.5 / 5
R. Broekhoff350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
91
+11
-17
102
DAL
93
+21
-16
114
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.31 65.4%
DAL
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
109.2
MIN 125.9
DAL 128.4 +2.5
Pace
100.2
99.1
MIN 116.5 +14.9
DAL 101.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
14.8
MIN 12.4 +1.8
DAL 14.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.1%
51.8%
MIN 60.7% +2.0%
DAL 58.7%
TO %
12.5%
13.6%
MIN 14.3%
DAL 12.4% +1.9%
ORB %
24.7%
22.6%
MIN 18.2%
DAL 35.7% +17.5%
FTrt
26.6
29.1
MIN 47.6 +12.9
DAL 34.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
60.3%
MIN 52.3%
DAL 59.2% +6.9%
STL %
8.3%
6.5%
MIN 9.3% +2.0%
DAL 7.3%
BLK %
8.9%
7.6%
MIN 6.3%
DAL 14.0% +7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
54.2%
MIN 65.4% +3.5%
DAL 61.9%
Rim FG%
60.0%
62.0%
MIN 53.8%
DAL 75.9% +22.1%
Mid FG%
39.7%
39.0%
MIN 51.6%
DAL 52.6% +1.0%
3P %
35.1%
34.0%
MIN 51.9% +17.9%
DAL 34.0%
FT %
78.7%
74.2%
MIN 85.0% +11.5%
DAL 73.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.2%
33.8%
MIN 31.0% +1.4%
DAL 29.6%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
24.0%
MIN 36.9%
DAL 19.4% +17.5%
3P Att. %
31.5%
42.2%
MIN 32.1%
DAL 51.0% +18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMINDAL
Possessions108109
Possession Minutes22.325.8
Points136140
Rebounds3342
Assists2329
Steals108
Blocks38
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)16 (0)
Fouls3028
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (6)27 (3)
Field Goals44-8449-98
At-the-Rim FG14-2622-29
Midrange FG16-3110-19
2-Point FG30-5732-48
3-Point FG14-2717-50
Free Throws34-4025-34
Fast Break Pts2922
2nd Chance Pts1224
Points in Paint4052
Pts off Turnovers1228
Bench Points4946
Biggest Lead157

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
19 Minnesota Timberwolves
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jeff Teague
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 30
34.1
22
69%
2
9
1
0
4
2
0
2
8-8
100%
4-11
36%
2-3
67%
Karl-Anthony Towns
#32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23
33.6
31
74%
5
2
1
1
0
5
1
4
9-10
90%
5-10
50%
4-6
67%
Taj Gibson
#67 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 33
31.2
9
75%
6
1
2
1
1
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Josh Okogie
#20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 20
28.5
6
50%
5
2
1
0
3
5
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Andrew Wiggins
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 24
27.3
19
73%
3
2
1
0
3
6
0
3
7-9
78%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
#25 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 30
32.4
28
64%
5
5
2
1
3
3
2
3
4-6
67%
9-16
56%
2-5
40%
Anthony Tolliver
#43 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 33
16.8
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-4
50%
Gorgui Dieng
#5 · C · 6'11" 251 · 29
14.4
10
100%
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
5
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
#1 · PG · 6'1" 196 · 22
13.9
5
63%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
C.J. Williams
#12 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 29
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
#9 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 34
DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop
#33 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
James Nunnally
#7 · SF · 6'7" 208 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Patton
#24 · C · 7'0" 236 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot Surgery
Jimmy Butler
#23 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 29
Inactive - Rest | Precautionary
Jared Terrell
#3 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
136
65%
33
23
10
3
17
30
6
27
34-40
85%
30-57
53%
14-27
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.