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All Games Saturday, October 20, 2018
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Hornets
34%112
113
15
Heat
66%118
112
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
114.19996.3
MIA logo MIA
113.199101.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
100%
112
0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
19
34
56%
MIA
21
36
58%
Midrange
CHA
6
17
35%
MIA
9
19
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
16
24.0
42
38%
57%
MIA
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
Free Throws
CHA
15
23
65%
MIA
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3959%19.5 / 33
M. Monk1568%7.5 / 11
M. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
J. Lamb1250%6.0 / 12
C. Zeller1179%5.5 / 7
N. Batum836%4.0 / 11
W. Hernangomez857%4.0 / 7
M. Kidd-Gilchrist758%3.5 / 6
T. Parker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2166%10.5 / 16
G. Dragic2056%10.0 / 18
R. McGruder1986%9.5 / 11
D. Jones1243%6.0 / 14
B. Adebayo1286%6.0 / 7
H. Whiteside1155%5.5 / 10
K. Olynyk867%4.0 / 6
J. Richardson732%3.5 / 11
T. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
88
+16
-11
104
MIA
84
+20
-15
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
107.5
CHA 114.1 +1.0
MIA 113.1
Pace
98.7
98.1
CHA 96.3
MIA 101.8 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.0
CHA 14.9
MIA 14.1 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.4%
51.5%
CHA 52.7% +0.5%
MIA 52.2%
TO %
11.7%
14.3%
CHA 10.4% +3.3%
MIA 13.7%
ORB %
21.9%
24.8%
CHA 24.5%
MIA 30.0% +5.5%
FTrt
25.7
24.7
CHA 24.7
MIA 30.3 +5.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
61.2%
CHA 56.1% +4.9%
MIA 51.2%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
CHA 6.1% +2.1%
MIA 4.0%
BLK %
8.9%
10.2%
CHA 21.8% +0.2%
MIA 21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.2%
52.9%
CHA 53.8% +1.0%
MIA 52.8%
Rim FG%
56.9%
60.8%
CHA 55.9%
MIA 58.3% +2.4%
Mid FG%
41.7%
36.8%
CHA 35.3%
MIA 47.4% +12.1%
3P %
35.1%
34.9%
CHA 38.1% +5.7%
MIA 32.4%
FT %
79.7%
69.5%
CHA 65.2%
MIA 70.4% +5.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.6%
37.3%
CHA 36.6%
MIA 40.4% +3.9%
Mid Att. %
25.7%
25.9%
CHA 18.3% +3.1%
MIA 21.3%
3P Att. %
37.8%
36.8%
CHA 45.2% +7.0%
MIA 38.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points113112
Rebounds4049
Assists2321
Steals64
Blocks1211
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)15 (1)
Fouls2727
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)12 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)37 (4)
Field Goals41-9341-89
At-the-Rim FG19-3421-36
Midrange FG6-179-19
2-Point FG25-5130-55
3-Point FG16-4211-34
Free Throws15-2319-27
Fast Break Pts137
2nd Chance Pts1716
Points in Paint4442
Pts off Turnovers2511
Bench Points3043
Biggest Lead269

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
20 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Nicolas Batum
#5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
41.7
8
36%
4
4
1
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
2-7
29%
Kemba Walker
#15 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 28
40.0
39
59%
5
7
0
0
2
4
0
5
4-7
57%
7-16
44%
7-15
47%
Marvin Williams
#2 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 32
30.1
13
72%
6
1
0
3
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Lamb
#3 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 26
28.1
12
50%
5
4
3
2
1
6
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
2-6
33%
Cody Zeller
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26
24.5
11
79%
8
2
1
0
2
3
4
4
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · SF · 6'7" 232 · 25
28.8
7
58%
3
2
0
7
3
5
1
2
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
#1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 21
25.2
15
68%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
3-8
38%
Willy Hernangomez
#41 · C · 6'11" 240 · 24
12.3
8
57%
8
1
0
0
1
1
4
4
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
#9 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36
9.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Miles Bridges
#0 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
Devonte' Graham
#4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
Frank Kaminsky
#44 · PF · 7'0" 242 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo
#8 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwayne Bacon
#7 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Coach's Decision
J.P. Macura
#55 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
Joe Chealey
#31 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
54%
40
23
6
12
11
27
12
28
15-23
65%
25-51
49%
16-42
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.