FinalWin Prob.pScore
442%112
101
358%115
113
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
103.198100.4
TOR logo TOR
113.010097.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSTOR
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.101
0%
113
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.95 47.6%
TOR
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
15
31
48%
TOR
20
35
57%
Midrange
BOS
11
32
34%
TOR
10
22
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
TOR
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
BOS
7
10
70%
TOR
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2155%10.5 / 19
J. Tatum1650%8.0 / 16
A. Horford1458%7.0 / 12
G. Hayward1454%7.0 / 13
J. Brown1365%6.5 / 10
M. Morris867%4.0 / 6
T. Rozier850%4.0 / 8
A. Baynes531%2.5 / 8
M. Smart217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3157%15.5 / 27
S. Ibaka2175%10.5 / 14
K. Lowry1575%7.5 / 10
D. Green14117%7.0 / 6
F. VanVleet1150%5.5 / 11
O. Anunoby975%4.5 / 6
P. Siakam433%2.0 / 6
J. Valančiūnas450%2.0 / 4
C. Miles217%1.0 / 6
N. Powell220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
84
+20
-14
104
TOR
88
+15
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.95 47.6%
TOR
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.8
113.1
BOS 103.1
TOR 113.0 +9.9
Pace
100.0
100.2
BOS 100.4 +2.8
TOR 97.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.4
BOS 14.3 +0.4
TOR 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
54.3%
BOS 47.5%
TOR 53.8% +6.3%
TO %
12.4%
13.2%
BOS 13.4%
TOR 11.5% +1.9%
ORB %
21.7%
21.8%
BOS 30.2% +3.5%
TOR 26.7%
FTrt
21.5
24.7
BOS 10.1
TOR 20.7 +10.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
60.3%
BOS 72.5% +16.7%
TOR 55.8%
STL %
8.5%
8.2%
BOS 4.1% +1.1%
TOR 3.0%
BLK %
9.7%
9.1%
BOS 10.5% +5.7%
TOR 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.3%
56.5%
BOS 47.6%
TOR 54.9% +7.3%
Rim FG%
61.6%
61.6%
BOS 48.4%
TOR 57.1% +8.7%
Mid FG%
43.1%
43.1%
BOS 34.4%
TOR 45.5% +11.1%
3P %
36.5%
36.6%
BOS 38.9% +1.8%
TOR 37.1%
FT %
80.2%
80.4%
BOS 70.0%
TOR 73.7% +3.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
36.4%
BOS 31.3%
TOR 38.0% +6.7%
Mid Att. %
29.8%
25.6%
BOS 32.3%
TOR 23.9% +8.4%
3P Att. %
38.1%
37.9%
BOS 36.4%
TOR 38.0% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSTOR
Possessions98100
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points101113
Rebounds4949
Assists2924
Steals43
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)12 (1)
Fouls2719
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)37 (3)
Field Goals40-9943-92
At-the-Rim FG15-3120-35
Midrange FG11-3210-22
2-Point FG26-6330-57
3-Point FG14-3613-35
Free Throws7-1014-19
Fast Break Pts1814
2nd Chance Pts1613
Points in Paint3446
Pts off Turnovers1114
Bench Points2328
Biggest Lead812

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 21
36.8
16
50%
9
2
1
1
5
5
0
9
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
2-6
33%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 27
35.9
21
55%
4
6
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
9-17
53%
1-3
33%
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 32
33.4
14
58%
10
9
1
1
3
3
5
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
#20 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 29
24.3
14
54%
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
5
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 22
24.2
13
65%
4
0
0
0
1
4
1
3
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
25.8
8
67%
2
1
0
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
#12 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 25
23.2
8
50%
5
3
1
0
0
4
2
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
2-3
67%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 25
21.9
2
17%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
#46 · PF · 6'10" 260 · 32
14.6
5
31%
6
0
0
1
1
1
4
2
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
#27 · PF · 6'9" 243 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#37 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'8" 265 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#9 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#50 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Two-Way
#26 · SG · 6'6" 198 · 24
Inactive - Personal
#45 · SG · 6'3" 180 · 26
Inactive - Coach's Decision | Two-Way
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
48%
49
29
4
6
14
27
16
33
7-10
70%
26-63
41%
14-36
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.