FinalWin Prob.pScore
2528%98
72
972%106
108
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
75.89595.6
SAS logo SAS
113.79594.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLPaul BLOCK (1 BLK)72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0ORLMISS Iwundu 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0SASMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Speights 15' Jump Shot72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASLauvergne 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)72
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASMISS Lauvergne 7' Turnaround Hook Shot72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:00ORLForbes STEAL (1 STL)72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:04SASBertans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:11SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:15ORLMISS Afflalo 15' Jump Shot72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:27SASPaul Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:43ORLAfflalo 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:54ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 1:57SASMISS Murray 14' Pullup Jump Shot70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:14ORLIwundu 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)70
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:31SASLauvergne 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)68
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 2:47SASLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 2:47ORLMISS Iwundu 16' Pullup Jump Shot68
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 2:55ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Lauvergne 8' Driving Hook Shot68
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 3:21ORLBirch 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 3:39SASForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45SASLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47ORLMISS Purvis 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57SASForbes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13ORLIwundu 2' Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Speights 1 AST)66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASSPURS Rebound64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35SASMISS Lauvergne 5' Hook Shot64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 5:02ORLMISS Speights 28' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22SASGay Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42ORLMISS Afflalo 13' Turnaround Jump Shot64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58SASGay Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ORLAfflalo 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)64
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:31ORLMISS Purvis 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52SASGay Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52SASGay Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T2) (K.Scott)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03ORLMISS Birch 2' Driving Reverse Layup62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20ORLIwundu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20SASMISS Gay 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:29SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:32ORLBertans BLOCK (1 BLK)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:35SASMISS Bertans 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36SASLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43SASMISS Lauvergne 8' Driving Layup62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10ORLBirch 6' Layup (2 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)62
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27SASMISS Bertans 18' Pullup Jump Shot60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43ORLBirch Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T20)60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:43ORLBirch OFF.Foul (P3) (B.Spooner)60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59SASMISS Forbes 18' Pullup Jump Shot60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07ORLMISS Birch 1' Putback Layup60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:12ORLMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)60
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:41ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)60
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 10:08SASForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)60
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 10:20SASSPURS Rebound60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMISS Speights 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29SASGasol L.B.FOUL (P1.T1) (K.Scott)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29ORLMagic Rebound60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:29ORLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:36ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40SASMISS Parker 15' Pullup Jump Shot60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:46SASGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Gay 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:05ORLIwundu Traveling Turnover (P1.T18)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:08ORLSpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10SASMISS Parker 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Bank Jump Shot60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 11:40ORLAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)60
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS57
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASSPURS Rebound57
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLSpeights 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hezonja 3 AST)57
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)54
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Mack 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot54
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASGasol Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)54
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLSpeights 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hezonja 2 AST)54
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01ORLSpeights S.FOUL (P2.PN) (B.Spooner)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:05ORLSpeights L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Scott)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:05SASSPURS Rebound51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:05SASMISS Gay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:17ORLMISS Speights 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:31ORLMagic Rebound51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Gasol 6' Driving Finger Roll Layup51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:47SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 1:50SASMISS Ginobili 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:07ORLHezonja Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:14ORLIsaac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:16SASMISS Gasol 5' Layup51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:29SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:31ORLMISS Hezonja 2' Running Layup51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:36ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:39SASMISS Gay 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:47SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Augustin 12' Jump Shot51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 3:03SASGinobili 15' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q3 - 3:13SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:13ORLMISS Hezonja 1' Putback Layup51
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:13ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:20ORLMISS Isaac 14' Turnaround Jump Shot51
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:43SASGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q3 - 3:43SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q3 - 3:43ORLSimmons S.FOUL (P3.T2) (J.Van Duyne)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:45ORLGay STEAL (1 STL)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:53ORLIsaac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 3:55SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:08ORLHezonja Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:25SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (24 PTS)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 4:25SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)51
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:30SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup51
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:35ORLAnderson STEAL (2 STL)51
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:41ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 4:43SASMISS Aldridge 3' Layup51
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 4:52ORLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)51
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q3 - 5:08SASAldridge 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)51
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 5:34ORLSimmons 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:46SASMurray 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)49
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q3 - 5:46SASMurray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 5:52SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 6:05SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:08ORLMISS Vucevic 23' Jump Shot49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:11SASAnderson P.FOUL (P2.T4) (J.Van Duyne)49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:24SASMISS Green 21' Jump Shot49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:37ORLAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:37ORLAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 6:37SASAldridge S.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Spooner)47
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 6:49ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 6:49SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 6:54SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 6:58ORLMISS Simmons 17' Pullup Jump Shot47
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q3 - 7:20SASMurray 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)47
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 7:27SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:27ORLMISS Hezonja 5' Floating Jump Shot47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:29ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q3 - 7:29SASMISS Aldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:34SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:34SASMISS Aldridge 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 7:49ORLVucevic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 8:10SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)45
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q3 - 8:21ORLSimmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)45
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q3 - 8:21SASGreen S.FOUL (P3.T2) (K.Scott)44
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q3 - 8:31ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)42
0.3%
76
99.7%
Q3 - 8:33SASMISS Aldridge 11' Driving Hook Shot42
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q3 - 8:57ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)42
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q3 - 9:17SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)39
0.2%
76
99.8%
Q3 - 9:20SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 9:23ORLMISS Simmons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup39
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 9:43SASMurray 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)39
0.3%
73
99.7%
Q3 - 9:52SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q3 - 9:54ORLMISS Vucevic 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
0.3%
71
99.7%
Q3 - 10:09SASAldridge 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (18 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)39
0.4%
71
99.6%
Q3 - 10:30ORLMurray STEAL (3 STL)39
0.5%
69
99.5%
Q3 - 10:39SASAldridge 15' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)39
0.6%
69
99.4%
Q3 - 11:01ORLSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 11:01ORLSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 11:01SASGreen S.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Van Duyne)37
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 11:14SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 11:14SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
0.6%
66
99.4%
Q3 - 11:14ORLAugustin S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Spooner)37
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 11:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 11:23ORLMISS Vucevic Layup37
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 11:42SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)37
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL37
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound37
1.2%
62
98.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Simmons 34' 3PT Jump Shot37
1.1%
62
98.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Van Duyne)37
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
1.3%
62
98.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
1.4%
61
98.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLIsaac P.FOUL (P3.PN) (B.Spooner)37
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)37
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLIsaac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0SASMISS Ginobili 7' Driving Finger Roll Layup37
1.7%
60
98.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLVucevic 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)37
1.6%
60
98.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)35
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 235
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLVucevic S.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Scott)35
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
1.4%
59
98.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Gay 14' Jump Shot35
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q2 - 1:01ORLIsaac 12' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
1.5%
59
98.5%
Q2 - 1:23SASGay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)33
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q2 - 1:33SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
1.7%
56
98.3%
Q2 - 1:36ORLMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot33
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 1:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)33
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 1:57SASMISS Parker Driving Finger Roll Layup33
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 2:11ORLVucevic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)33
1.8%
56
98.2%
Q2 - 2:24SASAldridge 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)31
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 2:41ORLAugustin Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T10)31
1.4%
56
98.6%
Q2 - 2:56SASAldridge Layup (13 PTS)31
1.6%
56
98.4%
Q2 - 3:12ORLVucevic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)31
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q2 - 3:27SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q2 - 3:27SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q2 - 3:27SASMills Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)29
2.0%
52
98.0%
Q2 - 3:2729
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 3:27ORLIsaac S.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Van Duyne)29
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 3:37ORLVucevic Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T9)29
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 3:37ORLVucevic OFF.Foul (P1) (K.Scott)29
2.6%
51
97.4%
Q2 - 3:47ORLIsaac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
2.5%
51
97.5%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
2.4%
51
97.6%
Q2 - 3:58SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 4:01ORLMISS Isaac 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
2.5%
51
97.5%
Q2 - 4:14ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)29
2.7%
51
97.3%
Q2 - 4:17SASMISS Murray Free Throw 2 of 229
2.7%
51
97.3%
Q2 - 4:17SASMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
2.5%
51
97.5%
Q2 - 4:17ORLIsaac S.FOUL (P1.PN) (B.Spooner)29
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q2 - 4:26SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
2.7%
50
97.3%
Q2 - 4:29ORLMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot29
2.8%
50
97.2%
Q2 - 4:45SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)29
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q2 - 4:59SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q2 - 5:02ORLMISS Hezonja 20' Pullup Jump Shot29
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q2 - 5:22SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)29
4.3%
47
95.7%
Q2 - 5:27ORLMills STEAL (1 STL)29
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 5:29SASAldridge 1' Hook Shot (11 PTS)29
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 5:40SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
6.6%
42
93.4%
Q2 - 5:44ORLMISS Simmons 6' Hook Shot29
6.8%
42
93.2%
Q2 - 5:53SASAnderson 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)29
7.4%
42
92.6%
Q2 - 5:53SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot29
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 6:06ORLBiyombo P.FOUL (P2.PN) (K.Scott)29
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 6:21SASSPURS Rebound29
8.2%
40
91.8%
Q2 - 6:21ORLMISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot29
8.6%
40
91.4%
Q2 - 6:43SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)29
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 6:46SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 6:47SASMISS Mills 23' Pullup Jump Shot29
12.0%
37
88.0%
Q2 - 7:13ORLIsaac 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)29
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 7:18ORLPurvis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 7:20SASMISS Aldridge 8' Turnaround Jump Shot26
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 7:31SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 7:36ORLMISS Simmons 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 7:54SASMurray 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)26
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMurray STEAL (2 STL)26
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 8:11SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 8:11SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 8:11ORLBiyombo S.FOUL (P1.T4) (J.Van Duyne)26
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 8:26ORLMack 8' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
12.7%
33
87.3%
Q2 - 8:38SASGreen L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Scott)24
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 8:38ORLMagic Rebound24
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 8:39ORLMISS Mack 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup24
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q2 - 8:53ORLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 8:56SASMISS Gay 8' Turnaround Jump Shot24
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 9:11ORLPurvis Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T6)24
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 9:11ORLPurvis Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (K.Scott)24
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 9:25ORLSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 9:29SASMISS Forbes 2' Driving Layup24
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q2 - 9:33ORLMurray STEAL (1 STL)24
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 9:45SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
11.8%
33
88.2%
Q2 - 9:45ORLBirch S.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Scott)24
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 10:01ORLPurvis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q2 - 10:01ORLPurvis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
13.8%
30
86.2%
Q2 - 10:01SASForbes S.FOUL (P2.T2) (K.Scott)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 10:12SASGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 10:12SASGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q2 - 10:12ORLIwundu S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Spooner)22
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 10:28ORLBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q2 - 10:28ORLBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
13.7%
28
86.3%
Q2 - 10:28SASGay S.FOUL (P1.T1) (B.Spooner)20
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 10:28ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 10:30ORLMISS Mack 11' Floating Jump Shot20
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q2 - 10:37ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 10:39SASMISS Parker 6' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
12.7%
28
87.3%
Q2 - 10:51ORLMack 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)20
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q2 - 11:14SASGay 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)18
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 11:23SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q2 - 11:26ORLMISS Iwundu 15' Pullup Jump Shot18
12.3%
26
87.7%
Q2 - 11:44SASGinobili 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)18
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
14.1%
24
85.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASGasol 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)18
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLMack 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
16.7%
22
83.3%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)15
14.0%
22
86.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0SASGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLMISS Purvis 18' Pullup Jump Shot15
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLIwundu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 1:12SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 1:15ORLMISS Iwundu 16' Turnaround Jump Shot15
15.7%
20
84.3%
Q1 - 1:40SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 1:54ORLHezonja P.FOUL (P1.T4) (K.Scott)15
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 1:58SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.0%
18
82.0%
Q1 - 2:01ORLGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)15
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 2:11ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 215
19.1%
18
80.9%
Q1 - 2:14SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)15
18.1%
18
81.9%
Q1 - 2:14ORLBirch S.FOUL (P1.T3) (B.Spooner)15
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 2:28ORLAugustin Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T4)15
19.4%
17
80.6%
Q1 - 2:37SASForbes L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (K.Scott)15
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 2:37ORLMagic Rebound15
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 2:37ORLMISS Vucevic 22' Jump Shot15
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 2:52ORLMagic Rebound15
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 2:52ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Layup Shot15
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 2:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 2:54ORLMISS Birch 13' Jump Shot15
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 3:10ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 3:14SASMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot15
20.3%
17
79.7%
Q1 - 3:30SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 3:33ORLGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)15
19.7%
17
80.3%
Q1 - 3:41SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)15
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 3:50ORLAugustin Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)15
19.2%
17
80.8%
Q1 - 4:12SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)15
21.2%
17
78.8%
Q1 - 4:26ORLHezonja 6' Running Layup (4 PTS)15
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 4:32ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 4:35SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot13
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 4:44SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 4:47ORLMISS Augustin 19' Pullup Jump Shot13
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 5:02SASAldridge 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
21.1%
15
78.9%
Q1 - 5:11SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
22.3%
13
77.7%
Q1 - 5:13ORLMISS Vucevic 10' Hook Shot13
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 5:31ORLBirch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 5:35SASMISS Green 18' Pullup Jump Shot13
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 5:52SASSPURS Rebound13
22.5%
13
77.5%
Q1 - 5:54ORLGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)13
22.9%
13
77.1%
Q1 - 5:58SASAnderson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)13
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 6:04ORLSimmons P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Van Duyne)13
22.3%
13
77.7%
Q1 - 6:06ORLVucevic 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)13
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 6:06ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 6:11ORLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)11
20.5%
13
79.5%
Q1 - 6:16ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 6:18SASMISS Green 4' Driving Layup11
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 6:30SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 6:33ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot11
20.7%
13
79.3%
Q1 - 6:51SASAldridge 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 7:07ORLGreen STEAL (1 STL)11
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 7:21SASMurray P.FOUL (P1.T2) (B.Spooner)11
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:27ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
23.8%
11
76.2%
Q1 - 7:31ORLMISS Vucevic 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 7:37ORLIsaac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
23.9%
11
76.1%
Q1 - 7:41SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
23.6%
11
76.4%
Q1 - 7:52ORLSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)11
22.9%
11
77.1%
Q1 - 8:09SASMills 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 8:21ORLAugustin 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 8:34ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 8:36SASMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 16
21.6%
9
78.4%
Q1 - 8:36ORLSimmons S.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Van Duyne)6
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 8:46SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
22.5%
7
77.5%
Q1 - 8:49ORLAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)6
22.9%
7
77.1%
Q1 - 9:15SASAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)6
23.8%
7
76.2%
Q1 - 9:41ORLIsaac Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)6
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 9:52SASAnderson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T2)4
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 9:52SASAnderson Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1) (B.Spooner)4
24.3%
4
75.7%
Q1 - 9:58ORLAugustin 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 10:09SASMills 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)2
24.1%
4
75.9%
Q1 - 10:18ORLHezonja 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:29SASAnderson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.6%
2
75.4%
Q1 - 10:52ORLSimmons Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)0
24.9%
2
75.1%
Q1 - 11:00SASAldridge 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:11SASMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:12SASMISS Murray 5' Floating Jump Shot0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:21ORLMISS Hezonja 3PT Jump Shot0
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:31ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 11:36ORLMISS Simmons 5' Hook Shot0
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Vucevic: Tip to Augustin0
27.9%
0
72.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.81 40.4%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
6
22
27%
SAS
19
30
63%
Midrange
ORL
15
37
41%
SAS
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
SAS
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
Free Throws
ORL
9
9
100%
SAS
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Simmons1036%5.0 / 14
N. Vučević1036%5.0 / 14
D. Augustin956%4.5 / 8
J. Isaac770%3.5 / 5
S. Mack739%3.5 / 9
A. Afflalo758%3.5 / 6
M. Speights650%3.0 / 6
M. Hezonja429%2.0 / 7
K. Birch433%2.0 / 6
W. Iwundu433%2.0 / 6
R. Purvis225%1.0 / 4
B. Biyombo2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge2463%12.0 / 19
P. Mills1372%6.5 / 9
D. Murray1169%5.5 / 8
D. Green1155%5.5 / 10
P. Gasol1169%5.5 / 8
T. Parker1050%5.0 / 10
R. Gay941%4.5 / 11
B. Forbes675%3.0 / 4
K. Anderson5125%2.5 / 2
M. Ginobili440%2.0 / 5
J. Lauvergne433%2.0 / 6
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+14
-20
89
SAS
83
+14
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.81 40.4%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
107.6
ORL 75.8 +37.9
SAS 113.7
Pace
97.8
95.3
ORL 95.6 +1.2
SAS 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.9
ORL 15.1 +0.2
SAS 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.7%
ORL 38.4%
SAS 53.0% +14.6%
TO %
14.2%
13.3%
ORL 19.6%
SAS 12.1% +7.5%
ORB %
20.0%
23.6%
ORL 19.6%
SAS 25.6% +6.0%
FTrt
23.8
24.5
ORL 11.0
SAS 27.4 +16.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
58.3%
ORL 57.1%
SAS 60.0% +2.9%
STL %
7.7%
8.0%
ORL 5.3%
SAS 10.5% +5.2%
BLK %
8.2%
9.7%
ORL 4.6%
SAS 11.9% +7.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
53.1%
ORL 40.4%
SAS 55.7% +15.3%
Rim FG%
62.1%
61.2%
ORL 27.3%
SAS 63.3% +36.0%
Mid FG%
38.1%
40.7%
ORL 40.5% +6.2%
SAS 34.3%
3P %
35.1%
35.2%
ORL 30.4%
SAS 47.4% +17.0%
FT %
75.7%
77.2%
ORL 100.0% +17.4%
SAS 82.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.8%
32.2%
ORL 26.8%
SAS 35.7% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
32.0%
39.5%
ORL 45.1%
SAS 41.7% +3.5%
3P Att. %
34.2%
28.2%
ORL 28.0% +5.4%
SAS 22.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points72108
Rebounds4148
Assists1624
Steals510
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)12 (1)
Fouls1913
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (5)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)37 (3)
Field Goals28-8240-84
At-the-Rim FG6-2219-30
Midrange FG15-3712-35
2-Point FG21-5931-65
3-Point FG7-239-19
Free Throws9-919-23
Fast Break Pts89
2nd Chance Pts816
Points in Paint2842
Pts off Turnovers1022
Bench Points3244
Biggest Lead242

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 218 · 23
28.2
4
29%
6
3
1
0
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 183 · 30
25.1
9
56%
1
6
1
0
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 230 · 20
24.3
7
70%
5
0
0
1
3
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 195 · 28
24.0
10
36%
1
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
3-3
100%
2-8
25%
1-5
20%
C · 6'10" 260 · 27
23.9
10
36%
10
1
0
0
4
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-12
42%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 220 · 25
21.8
4
33%
7
0
1
0
1
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 203 · 28
19.8
7
39%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 195 · 23
18.4
4
33%
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 32
15.7
7
58%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 31
15.7
6
50%
4
1
0
2
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 205 · 24
14.7
2
25%
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 255 · 26
8.4
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 22
#10 · G-F · 6'7" 205 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'7" 213 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · G-F · 6'7" 206 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
40%
41
16
5
3
20
19
9
32
9-9
100%
21-59
36%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.