for complete access.
All Games Friday, April 7, 2017
FinalWin Prob.pScore
12
Heat
39%103
94
6
Raptors
61%106
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.010099.7
TOR logo TOR
96.0100100.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR94
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)94
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)91
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)91
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAEllington 30' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)91
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup88
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIATucker STEAL (3 STL)88
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORDeRozan 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (36 PTS)88
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0TORTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 288
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 288
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)88
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18)86
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 1:06MIARichardson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T18)86
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 1:11TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)86
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 1:11TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)86
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 1:12TORMISS DeRozan 20' Fadeaway Jumper86
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 1:35MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)86
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 1:35MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 284
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 1:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)84
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 1:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)84
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 1:42TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 1:43MIADeRozan BLOCK (1 BLK)84
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 1:52TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (32 PTS)84
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 2:12MIATucker STEAL (2 STL)84
7.6%
88
92.4%
Q4 - 2:31TORLowry 2' Running Layup (12 PTS)84
14.2%
88
85.8%
Q4 - 2:37TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
17.4%
86
82.6%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot84
20.6%
86
79.4%
Q4 - 2:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)84
29.7%
86
70.3%
Q4 - 3:00TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot84
26.1%
86
73.9%
Q4 - 3:18TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
18.8%
86
81.2%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
21.8%
86
78.2%
Q4 - 3:32TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)84
29.9%
86
70.1%
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 284
31.0%
85
69.0%
Q4 - 3:54MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (11 PTS)84
29.1%
85
70.9%
Q4 - 3:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
22.4%
85
77.6%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Richardson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot82
17.9%
85
82.1%
Q4 - 4:21TORIbaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)82
22.2%
85
77.8%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)82
37.3%
82
62.7%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)80
29.4%
82
70.6%
Q4 - 4:52TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot80
26.8%
82
73.2%
Q4 - 5:04MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)80
23.3%
82
76.7%
Q4 - 5:08TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T16)80
30.2%
82
69.8%
Q4 - 5:31MIAJohnson 2' Putback Layup (20 PTS)80
23.3%
82
76.7%
Q4 - 5:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
18.1%
82
81.9%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot78
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q4 - 5:57TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)78
18.0%
82
82.0%
Q4 - 6:05TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
14.8%
82
85.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot78
16.2%
82
83.8%
Q4 - 6:25TORPatterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)78
19.7%
82
80.3%
Q4 - 6:45TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
30.1%
79
69.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 278
31.1%
79
68.9%
Q4 - 6:45MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
35.0%
79
65.0%
Q4 - 6:48TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)77
31.1%
79
68.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)77
24.1%
79
75.9%
Q4 - 7:11MIAReed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)74
16.7%
79
83.3%
Q4 - 7:11TORMISS Valanciunas 4' Turnaround Hook Shot74
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q4 - 7:27MIAReed Foul Turnover (P2.T15)74
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q4 - 7:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
16.7%
79
83.3%
Q4 - 7:45TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 274
16.1%
79
83.9%
Q4 - 7:45TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
13.7%
79
86.3%
Q4 - 7:50TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
16.3%
78
83.7%
Q4 - 7:51TORMISS Joseph 7' Floating Jump Shot74
19.4%
78
80.6%
Q4 - 8:05MIAJoseph STEAL (3 STL)74
17.8%
78
82.2%
Q4 - 8:08MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
21.7%
78
78.3%
Q4 - 8:09TORMISS Lowry 4' Driving Layup74
20.5%
78
79.5%
Q4 - 8:25MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)74
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q4 - 8:43TORLowry 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q4 - 8:56MIADragic 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
17.7%
75
82.3%
Q4 - 9:09TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
15.3%
75
84.7%
Q4 - 9:09TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 269
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q4 - 9:28MIAReed 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)69
15.0%
74
85.0%
Q4 - 9:31MIAReed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Johnson 15' Step Back Jump Shot67
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q4 - 9:51MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q4 - 9:52TORMISS Lowry 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot67
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q4 - 10:06MIADragic 5' Pullup Bank Shot (15 PTS)67
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q4 - 10:28TORValanciunas 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)65
8.8%
74
91.2%
Q4 - 10:30TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q4 - 10:30TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
12.4%
72
87.6%
Q4 - 10:44TORRAPTORS Rebound65
10.6%
72
89.4%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Dragic 3' Running Layup65
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q4 - 10:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q4 - 10:51TORMISS Joseph 12' Pullup Jump Shot65
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q4 - 11:07TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
11.5%
72
88.5%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot65
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot65
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q4 - 11:26TORValanciunas 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)65
14.0%
72
86.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)65
16.7%
70
83.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR65
20.1%
70
79.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Rebound63
14.9%
70
85.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0TORMISS DeRozan 23' Pullup Jump Shot63
14.1%
70
85.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
12.4%
70
87.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Turnaround Hook Shot63
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 1:02TORJoseph 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)63
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 1:07TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 1:07TORMISS Joseph 10' Fadeaway Jumper63
24.0%
67
76.0%
Q3 - 1:38MIARichardson 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)63
21.5%
67
78.5%
Q3 - 1:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 1:45TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot61
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 2:07MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)61
16.1%
67
83.9%
Q3 - 2:28MIAHeat Rebound58
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 2:29TORMISS DeRozan 7' Pullup Jump Shot58
11.2%
67
88.8%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 2:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 2:47TORMISS DeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot56
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 2:54TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
7.4%
67
92.6%
Q3 - 3:16TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)56
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)56
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)55
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound54
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 3:43TORMISS DeRozan 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot54
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 4:00TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
7.6%
65
92.4%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Johnson 4' Driving Layup54
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 4:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 4:19TORMISS Lowry 4' Turnaround Hook Shot54
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 4:30TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 4:31MIAValanciunas BLOCK (2 BLK)54
8.4%
65
91.6%
Q3 - 4:40MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 4:40TORMISS Ibaka 11' Jump Shot54
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 5:01MIAWhiteside 4' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)54
8.6%
65
91.4%
Q3 - 5:24TORDeRozan 5' Floating Jump Shot (27 PTS)52
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)52
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 5:53TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)49
6.4%
63
93.6%
Q3 - 5:53TORRAPTORS Rebound49
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 5:53TORMISS Lowry 8' Pullup Jump Shot49
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 6:17TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot49
6.1%
63
93.9%
Q3 - 6:32TORDeRozan Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T12)49
6.8%
63
93.2%
Q3 - 6:43MIAJohnson 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)49
5.8%
63
94.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 6:59TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot47
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 7:03MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)47
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 7:19TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 7:19TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 247
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 7:21MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)47
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 7:34TORIbaka 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)47
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 7:44TORRAPTORS Rebound47
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 7:45MIAMISS McGruder 3' Layup47
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 8:10TORLowry 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q3 - 8:23TORRAPTORS Rebound47
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Richardson 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot47
11.7%
57
88.3%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHeat Rebound47
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 8:46TORMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q3 - 8:54TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot47
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 9:00MIAHeat Rebound47
13.0%
57
87.0%
Q3 - 9:00TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot47
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q3 - 9:16MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (15 PTS)47
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 9:20TORValanciunas Tip Dunk Shot (4 PTS)45
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 9:21TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 9:21TORMISS DeRozan 1' Running Layup45
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 9:30MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)45
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q3 - 9:43TORLowry 2' Running Reverse Layup (4 PTS)45
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q3 - 9:53MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)45
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q3 - 10:04TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)43
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 10:13TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
12.0%
53
88.0%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot43
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 10:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
13.7%
53
86.3%
Q3 - 10:28TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q3 - 10:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
11.9%
53
88.1%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS McGruder 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot43
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q3 - 11:13TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)43
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 11:29TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 243
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 243
13.3%
53
86.7%
Q3 - 11:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Driving Hook Shot43
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q3 - 11:47TORMISS DeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot43
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR43
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound43
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 50' 3PT Running Jump Shot43
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIADragic 4' Driving Layup (13 PTS)43
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0TORDeRozan 2' Putback Layup (25 PTS)41
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
13.2%
51
86.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0TORMISS DeRozan 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot41
13.9%
51
86.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0TORIbaka Foul Turnover (P1.T9)41
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)41
13.1%
51
86.9%
Q2 - 1:13TORDeRozan 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)38
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
12.3%
49
87.7%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q2 - 1:33MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 1:33TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot36
10.2%
49
89.8%
Q2 - 1:40TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
9.8%
49
90.2%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
10.4%
49
89.6%
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 2:06TORCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)36
11.1%
49
88.9%
Q2 - 2:19TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 236
14.1%
46
85.9%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 236
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 2:34MIAHeat Rebound36
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q2 - 2:34TORMISS Joseph 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot36
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 2:53MIAMcGruder 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 3:18TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q2 - 3:18TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMcGruder 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 3:43TORMISS DeRozan 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot32
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 3:54TORRAPTORS Rebound32
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot32
12.0%
44
88.0%
Q2 - 4:10TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)32
13.4%
44
86.6%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMcGruder 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)32
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 4:31MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.5%
42
87.5%
Q2 - 4:36TORCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)30
13.4%
42
86.6%
Q2 - 4:41MIAJohnson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)30
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
11.0%
42
89.0%
Q2 - 4:52TORMISS Ibaka 4' Hook Shot28
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 4:56TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 4:56TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup28
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 5:11MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)28
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 5:18TORMISS Patterson 4' Driving Layup26
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 5:30MIAJohnson 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 5:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)24
7.5%
42
92.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIAMcGruder Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T9)24
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 6:17MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS McGruder 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot24
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 6:32MIAHeat Rebound24
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 6:52TORIbaka 12' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)24
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T8)24
12.3%
37
87.7%
Q2 - 7:15TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)24
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 7:30TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 7:31TORMISS Ibaka 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
13.1%
37
86.9%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)24
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 7:47TORJoseph 12' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)24
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 7:55TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot24
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 7:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Dragic 4' Putback Layup24
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 8:02MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Shot24
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 8:34TORJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)24
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 8:34TORJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)24
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 8:37MIAJoseph STEAL (2 STL)24
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q2 - 8:55TORJoseph 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)24
19.3%
33
80.7%
Q2 - 8:59MIATucker STEAL (1 STL)24
22.6%
30
77.4%
Q2 - 8:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)24
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q2 - 8:59TORMISS Tucker 6' Turnaround Hook Shot24
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q2 - 9:21MIAEllington 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)24
22.7%
30
77.3%
Q2 - 9:38TORJoseph Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)21
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 10:00MIADragic 22' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
17.8%
30
82.2%
Q2 - 10:05TORJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 10:09TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 10:09TORMISS Joseph 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot19
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 10:23TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)19
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Johnson 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot19
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 10:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 10:30TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot19
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 10:37MIAJoseph STEAL (1 STL)19
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 10:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 10:42TORMISS Patterson 6' Driving Hook Shot19
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 10:56TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 10:57MIAMISS Johnson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot19
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 11:11TORValanciunas 4' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)19
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 11:27TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)19
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 219
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 219
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 11:46TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
19.8%
28
80.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR19
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound19
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Valanciunas 82' 3PT Jump Shot19
22.5%
26
77.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
21.4%
26
78.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)19
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)19
22.8%
26
77.2%
Q1 - 0:07.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)19
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0TORRAPTORS Rebound19
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Reed 1' Tip Layup Shot19
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Richardson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot19
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0TORDeRozan 14' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (14 PTS)19
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q1 - 1:00TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)17
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWhite Palming Turnover (P1.T3)17
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 1:30TORMISS Tucker 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot17
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 1:40TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS White 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 1:56TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
30.2%
20
69.8%
Q1 - 1:56TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)17
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 2:11TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Richardson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot17
33.3%
18
66.7%
Q1 - 2:36TORDeRozan Running Dunk (8 PTS)17
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q1 - 2:42TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
37.0%
16
63.0%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
37.6%
16
62.4%
Q1 - 3:04TORJoseph 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 3:19MIARichardson 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)17
40.8%
14
59.2%
Q1 - 3:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 3:35MIAIbaka BLOCK (1 BLK)15
37.3%
14
62.7%
Q1 - 3:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 3:41TORMISS DeRozan 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot15
38.2%
14
61.8%
Q1 - 4:02TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
36.2%
14
63.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 4:20TORDeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)15
38.7%
14
61.3%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
40.4%
12
59.6%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
36.6%
12
63.4%
Q1 - 4:35MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot12
35.0%
12
65.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
36.6%
12
63.4%
Q1 - 4:52TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 112
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIAReed Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)12
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 5:17TORDeRozan 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
40.1%
10
59.9%
Q1 - 5:26TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 5:27TORMISS Valanciunas 20' Jump Shot12
43.6%
8
56.4%
Q1 - 5:42MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)12
42.0%
8
58.0%
Q1 - 5:42MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)11
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 5:48TORDeRozan Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 6:00TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot10
42.7%
6
57.3%
Q1 - 6:04MIAHeat Rebound10
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup10
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 6:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Johnson 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot10
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 6:24TORIbaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)10
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 6:33MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)10
47.4%
3
52.6%
Q1 - 6:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
49.6%
3
50.4%
Q1 - 6:49TORMISS Valanciunas 11' Turnaround Hook Shot10
48.9%
3
51.1%
Q1 - 7:09TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
46.5%
3
53.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 210
46.8%
3
53.2%
Q1 - 7:11MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
48.0%
3
52.0%
Q1 - 7:14TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
46.8%
3
53.2%
Q1 - 7:22TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Dragic 9' Floating Jump Shot9
45.3%
3
54.7%
Q1 - 7:34MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
46.9%
3
53.1%
Q1 - 7:34TORMISS Ibaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
46.2%
3
53.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 7:49MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
44.1%
3
55.9%
Q1 - 8:00MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
43.1%
3
56.9%
Q1 - 8:01TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 8:08TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
40.9%
3
59.1%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Richardson 4' Driving Layup7
41.6%
3
58.4%
Q1 - 8:28TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)7
43.0%
3
57.0%
Q1 - 8:28TORRAPTORS Rebound7
40.9%
3
59.1%
Q1 - 8:28TORMISS DeRozan 17' Fadeaway Jumper7
42.3%
3
57.7%
Q1 - 8:57MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)7
40.9%
3
59.1%
Q1 - 9:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.4%
3
62.6%
Q1 - 9:07TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup4
36.8%
3
63.2%
Q1 - 9:31TORRAPTORS Rebound4
35.3%
3
64.7%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot4
35.9%
3
64.1%
Q1 - 9:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
37.4%
3
62.6%
Q1 - 9:43TORMISS Ibaka 15' Turnaround Jump Shot4
36.8%
3
63.2%
Q1 - 10:00TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.3%
3
64.7%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS McGruder 4' Driving Hook Shot4
35.9%
3
64.1%
Q1 - 10:19TORCarroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)4
37.2%
3
62.8%
Q1 - 10:29TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:29TORMISS Valanciunas 5' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot4
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 10:36TORRAPTORS Rebound4
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:36TORMISS Carroll 20' Jump Shot4
41.9%
0
58.1%
Q1 - 10:54MIADragic 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)4
40.5%
0
59.5%
Q1 - 10:59TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
38.9%
0
61.1%
Q1 - 11:13MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:27TORJump Ball DeRozan vs. Johnson: Tip to Johnson0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:39TORRAPTORS Rebound0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to McGruder0
35.2%
0
64.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
TOR
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
40
53%
TOR
15
28
54%
Midrange
MIA
4
20
20%
TOR
11
37
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
TOR
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
20
29
69%
TOR
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2252%11.0 / 21
G. Dragic1850%9.0 / 18
H. Whiteside1235%6.0 / 17
W. Ellington12120%6.0 / 5
J. Richardson1042%5.0 / 12
R. McGruder950%4.5 / 9
T. Johnson950%4.5 / 9
W. Reed233%1.0 / 3
O. White0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3851%19.0 / 37
C. Joseph1464%7.0 / 11
K. Lowry1238%6.0 / 16
S. Ibaka1161%5.5 / 9
J. Valančiūnas945%4.5 / 10
D. Carroll770%3.5 / 5
P. Patterson330%1.5 / 5
D. Wright2100%1.0 / 1
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+16
-19
97
TOR
85
+17
-15
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
TOR
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
112.2
MIA 94.0
TOR 96.0 +2.0
Pace
95.0
94.8
MIA 99.7
TOR 100.3 +0.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
MIA 14.4
TOR 14.4 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.7%
MIA 44.6%
TOR 46.5% +1.9%
TO %
13.2%
12.4%
MIA 16.6%
TOR 15.9% +0.7%
ORB %
24.2%
24.9%
MIA 30.4% +1.8%
TOR 28.6%
FTrt
25.1
29.3
MIA 34.9 +6.7
TOR 28.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
47.2%
MIA 48.5% +8.5%
TOR 40.0%
STL %
7.5%
8.7%
MIA 10.0%
TOR 10.0%
BLK %
9.3%
8.8%
MIA 7.7% +1.0%
TOR 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.4%
MIA 48.5% +1.9%
TOR 46.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.9%
MIA 52.5%
TOR 53.6% +1.1%
Mid FG%
39.4%
42.6%
MIA 20.0%
TOR 29.7% +9.7%
3P %
36.5%
36.3%
MIA 34.8%
TOR 45.0% +10.2%
FT %
70.6%
79.6%
MIA 69.0%
TOR 70.8% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
34.6%
MIA 48.2% +15.3%
TOR 32.9%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
36.5%
MIA 24.1% +19.4%
TOR 43.5%
3P Att. %
31.4%
28.9%
MIA 27.7% +4.2%
TOR 23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points9496
Rebounds4444
Assists1614
Steals1010
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)15 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (6)32 (7)
Field Goals33-8335-85
At-the-Rim FG21-4015-28
Midrange FG4-2011-37
2-Point FG25-6026-65
3-Point FG8-239-20
Free Throws20-2917-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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12 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
38.1
22
52%
10
3
3
2
4
1
2
8
5-8
63%
7-12
58%
1-5
20%
Josh Richardson
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
36.3
10
42%
2
4
3
1
2
3
2
0
0-0
-
2-8
25%
2-4
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
35.6
18
50%
1
1
1
0
4
3
1
0
6-8
75%
6-12
50%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
27.0
12
35%
10
2
0
0
2
5
4
6
4-6
67%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
27.0
9
50%
5
2
0
0
3
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
25.1
9
50%
5
2
1
2
1
3
0
5
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
20.4
12
120%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-5
80%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 27
16.0
2
33%
9
1
0
0
2
4
3
6
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Okaro White
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
14.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
Chris Bosh
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Justise Winslow
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
49%
44
16
10
5
19
0
14
30
20-29
69%
25-60
42%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.