FinalWin Prob.pScore
853%104
105
2147%103
102
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
111.79489.7
DET logo DET
109.79397.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDET
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR105
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DETMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.1%
102
0.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)105
98.0%
102
2.0%
Q4 - 0:06.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
97.9%
102
2.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)105
94.7%
102
5.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2104
93.6%
102
6.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)104
92.2%
102
7.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)104
95.5%
100
4.5%
Q4 - 0:43.0TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)102
87.8%
100
12.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot102
84.8%
100
15.2%
Q4 - 1:03TORValanciunas 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 10 AST)102
72.6%
100
27.4%
Q4 - 1:09DETMarc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)100
60.4%
100
39.6%
Q4 - 1:21TORIbaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (DeRozan 10 AST)100
81.1%
97
18.9%
Q4 - 1:35TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
60.5%
97
39.5%
Q4 - 1:35DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
56.1%
97
43.9%
Q4 - 2:08TORDeRozan 11' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)97
46.1%
97
53.9%
Q4 - 2:25DETDrummond 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)95
39.6%
97
60.4%
Q4 - 2:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)95
45.9%
95
54.1%
Q4 - 2:30DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot95
57.6%
95
42.4%
Q4 - 2:47TORDeRozan Layup (8 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)95
45.9%
95
54.1%
Q4 - 2:59TORRaptors Rebound93
39.5%
95
60.5%
Q4 - 3:01TORMISS DeRozan 17' Turnaround Jump Shot93
30.2%
95
69.8%
Q4 - 3:12TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
39.9%
95
60.1%
Q4 - 3:12DETMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot93
35.5%
95
64.5%
Q4 - 3:27TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)93
26.4%
95
73.6%
Q4 - 3:41DETSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T14)90
17.9%
95
82.1%
Q4 - 4:01TORValanciunas 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tucker 1 AST)90
12.4%
95
87.6%
Q4 - 4:26DETMarc Morris 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)88
8.8%
95
91.2%
Q4 - 4:42TORLowry 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)88
12.0%
93
88.0%
Q4 - 4:47TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q4 - 4:49DETMISS Drummond 1' Alley Oop Layup86
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 5:07DETBullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
8.4%
93
91.6%
Q4 - 5:08TORMISS Tucker 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
9.3%
93
90.7%
Q4 - 5:24DETBullock Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)86
11.5%
93
88.5%
Q4 - 5:35TORLowry 11' Driving Bank Shot (22 PTS)86
8.3%
93
91.7%
Q4 - 5:44TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
6.2%
93
93.8%
Q4 - 5:45DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
5.6%
93
94.4%
Q4 - 6:11TORTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)84
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 6:24DETHarris 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Udrih 8 AST)81
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q4 - 6:43TORJoseph 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)81
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 6:58DETUdrih 13' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
3.4%
91
96.6%
Q4 - 7:13TORLowry Driving Layup (20 PTS)79
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 7:26DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Udrih 7 AST)77
4.7%
89
95.3%
Q4 - 7:39DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q4 - 7:39TORMISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot77
8.3%
86
91.7%
Q4 - 7:45DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)77
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 7:57TORValanciunas 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)77
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q4 - 8:12DETBullock 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Udrih 6 AST)75
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 8:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)75
9.1%
84
90.9%
Q4 - 8:32TORMISS Valanciunas 5' Jump Shot75
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 8:36TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
11.4%
84
88.6%
Q4 - 8:37TORMISS Joseph 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 9:01DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P3.T11)75
13.2%
84
86.8%
Q4 - 9:06TORPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)75
10.5%
84
89.5%
Q4 - 9:22TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
13.1%
84
86.9%
Q4 - 9:23DETMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot75
12.2%
84
87.8%
Q4 - 9:42TORPatterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)75
10.4%
84
89.6%
Q4 - 9:55DETHarris Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Udrih 5 AST)72
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 10:10TORValanciunas 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)72
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 10:23DETUdrih 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
7.8%
82
92.2%
Q4 - 10:42DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
9.4%
80
90.6%
Q4 - 10:43TORMISS Joseph 11' Jump Shot70
10.0%
80
90.0%
Q4 - 11:00DETBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)70
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q4 - 11:06DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q4 - 11:06TORMISS Joseph 11' Jump Shot70
11.0%
80
89.0%
Q4 - 11:17TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
12.7%
80
87.3%
Q4 - 11:17DETMISS Udrih 15' Pullup Jump Shot70
11.9%
80
88.1%
Q4 - 11:26TORValanciunas 1' Layup (10 PTS)70
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 11:29TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q4 - 11:30TORMISS Joseph 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q4 - 11:43DETJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)68
8.5%
80
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET68
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORPatterson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)68
8.2%
80
91.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0DETBaynes Layup (12 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)65
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0TORPatterson 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)65
6.7%
78
93.3%
Q3 - 1:02DETUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
6.5%
78
93.5%
Q3 - 1:02DETUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q3 - 1:14TORJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)63
7.7%
76
92.3%
Q3 - 1:29DETUdrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q3 - 1:45DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
7.7%
76
92.3%
Q3 - 1:46TORMISS DeRozan 1' Layup63
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q3 - 1:58TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q3 - 1:58TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot63
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q3 - 2:13DETBaynes Putback Dunk (10 PTS)63
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q3 - 2:13DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 2:13DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
13.5%
74
86.5%
Q3 - 2:18DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 2:20TORSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)63
12.6%
74
87.4%
Q3 - 2:34DETBaynes 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)63
14.2%
74
85.8%
Q3 - 2:53TORTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 8 AST)63
16.4%
72
83.6%
Q3 - 3:06DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 3:06DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 3:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)60
15.1%
70
84.9%
Q3 - 3:12TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
15.9%
70
84.1%
Q3 - 3:28TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
17.7%
70
82.3%
Q3 - 3:28DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot60
16.8%
70
83.2%
Q3 - 3:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
15.0%
70
85.0%
Q3 - 3:36TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot60
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 3:54TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 3:54DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
16.8%
70
83.2%
Q3 - 4:17TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)60
15.8%
70
84.2%
Q3 - 4:32DETSmith 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 4:58DETPISTONS Rebound60
20.9%
68
79.1%
Q3 - 4:58TORMISS Poeltl 1' Layup60
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 5:05TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
25.3%
68
74.7%
Q3 - 5:06DETMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot60
24.2%
68
75.8%
Q3 - 5:25TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)60
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 5:36TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q3 - 5:37DETMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot60
24.2%
68
75.8%
Q3 - 5:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
21.8%
68
78.2%
Q3 - 5:57TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
22.8%
68
77.2%
Q3 - 6:05TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
26.2%
68
73.8%
Q3 - 6:06DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
25.1%
68
74.9%
Q3 - 6:11TORCaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)60
22.9%
68
77.1%
Q3 - 6:15TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
26.1%
68
73.9%
Q3 - 6:15TORMISS Poeltl 8' Jump Shot60
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q3 - 6:35DETCaldwell-Pope Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)60
26.1%
68
73.9%
Q3 - 6:42TORCaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)60
22.9%
68
77.1%
Q3 - 6:55DETJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)60
26.1%
68
73.9%
Q3 - 7:12DETPISTONS Rebound60
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 7:13TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 160
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q3 - 7:16TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
29.9%
65
70.1%
Q3 - 7:18DETMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup58
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 7:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
26.3%
65
73.7%
Q3 - 7:26TORMISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot58
27.4%
65
72.6%
Q3 - 7:42DETMarc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
29.9%
65
70.1%
Q3 - 7:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
32.7%
63
67.3%
Q3 - 7:54DETMISS Leuer 10' Jump Shot58
35.5%
63
64.5%
Q3 - 8:14TORPoeltl 1' Layup (4 PTS) (DeRozan 7 AST)58
33.3%
63
66.7%
Q3 - 8:20TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
30.6%
63
69.4%
Q3 - 8:21DETMISS Drummond 7' Hook Shot56
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 8:38TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)56
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 8:38TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
26.6%
63
73.4%
Q3 - 8:54DETLeuer 1' Layup (6 PTS)54
24.6%
63
75.4%
Q3 - 8:58DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
26.9%
61
73.1%
Q3 - 8:59DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 254
30.1%
61
69.9%
Q3 - 8:59DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
29.0%
61
71.0%
Q3 - 9:07DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
30.9%
60
69.1%
Q3 - 9:07TORMISS Ibaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
31.9%
60
68.1%
Q3 - 9:20DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
34.2%
60
65.8%
Q3 - 9:20DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 254
36.0%
59
64.0%
Q3 - 9:33TORValanciunas 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)54
34.1%
59
65.9%
Q3 - 9:54DETMarc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)52
31.0%
59
69.0%
Q3 - 10:02DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
38.0%
56
62.0%
Q3 - 10:03TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
39.1%
56
60.9%
Q3 - 10:09DETCaldwell-Pope Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
41.7%
56
58.3%
Q3 - 10:20TORMISS DeRozan 11' Jump Shot52
39.1%
56
60.9%
Q3 - 10:44TORLowry Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (18 PTS)52
38.0%
56
62.0%
Q3 - 10:44TORLowry Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
37.3%
56
62.7%
Q3 - 11:00TORValanciunas 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)50
31.6%
56
68.4%
Q3 - 11:29TORRaptors Rebound48
29.6%
56
70.4%
Q3 - 11:29DETMISS Marc Morris 17' Jump Shot48
28.7%
56
71.3%
Q3 - 11:47TORValanciunas Layup (4 PTS) (DeRozan 6 AST)48
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR46
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound46
24.2%
56
75.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
23.8%
56
76.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
24.8%
56
75.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot46
24.3%
56
75.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0TORLowry Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)46
23.2%
56
76.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)45
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)44
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETHarris 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)43
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0TORIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
20.9%
54
79.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0TORIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q2 - 1:14DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 1:14DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q2 - 1:28TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)41
21.9%
52
78.1%
Q2 - 1:28TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
22.7%
52
77.3%
Q2 - 1:46TORIbaka 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 5 AST)41
21.9%
52
78.1%
Q2 - 2:02TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q2 - 2:03DETMISS Harris 6' Hook Shot39
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q2 - 2:10DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
18.2%
52
81.8%
Q2 - 2:12TORMISS Lowry 13' Turnaround Jump Shot39
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q2 - 2:24DETSmith 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
20.0%
52
80.0%
Q2 - 2:41TORJoseph 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)39
22.2%
50
77.8%
Q2 - 2:56DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)36
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 3:10TORJoseph 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)36
21.1%
48
78.9%
Q2 - 3:28DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T5)33
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q2 - 3:39TORPoeltl Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)33
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 3:46TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
14.4%
48
85.6%
Q2 - 3:47DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 231
14.2%
48
85.8%
Q2 - 3:47DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 231
13.7%
48
86.3%
Q2 - 3:48TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)31
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 3:49DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 3:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 3:53TORMISS Ibaka 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q2 - 4:04DETDrummond 1' Layup (7 PTS)28
11.4%
48
88.6%
Q2 - 4:32DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 4:32TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 4:52DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 4:52DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 228
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 5:07DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 5:07TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot28
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 5:20DETHilliard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
15.9%
45
84.1%
Q2 - 5:20DETHilliard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 5:34TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)28
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 5:53TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.4%
43
85.6%
Q2 - 5:56DETMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot25
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 6:13DETPISTONS Rebound25
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 6:13TORMISS Ibaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 6:32DETMarc Morris 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)25
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 6:47TORTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)25
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 6:59TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
13.9%
41
86.1%
Q2 - 7:00TORMISS Joseph 8' Pullup Jump Shot22
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 7:19DETUdrih 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
14.9%
41
85.1%
Q2 - 7:45TORJoseph 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)22
16.1%
39
83.9%
Q2 - 7:52TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 7:54DETMISS Marc Morris 13' Turnaround Jump Shot20
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 8:05DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 8:06TORBaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)20
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 8:15DETBaynes Putback Dunk (4 PTS)20
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 8:18DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 8:19DETMISS Udrih 2' Layup20
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 8:32TORJoseph Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 8:47TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 8:48DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
13.5%
37
86.5%
Q2 - 9:01TORJoseph Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 9:09DETHilliard Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)17
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 9:12TORHilliard STEAL (1 STL)17
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 9:30DETHilliard Dunk (2 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)17
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 9:38DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
18.5%
33
81.5%
Q2 - 9:38TORMISS Ibaka 15' Jump Shot17
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 9:52TORRaptors Rebound17
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 9:53TORHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)17
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 9:57TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 9:58DETMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot17
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 10:06DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
18.9%
33
81.1%
Q2 - 10:06TORMISS Ibaka 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 10:15TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
20.7%
33
79.3%
Q2 - 10:15DETMISS Udrih 11' Pullup Jump Shot17
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 10:29DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.9%
33
81.1%
Q2 - 10:29TORMISS Ibaka 6' Hook Shot17
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q2 - 10:40TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q2 - 10:41DETMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 10:47DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
18.9%
33
81.1%
Q2 - 10:48DETMISS Udrih 1' Driving Layup17
20.1%
33
79.9%
Q2 - 11:02DETHilliard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 11:05TORMISS Joseph 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 11:22DETHilliard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
21.1%
33
78.9%
Q2 - 11:45TORJoseph Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR15
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound15
18.0%
33
82.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0TORMISS DeRozan 10' Jump Shot15
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q1 - 1:01TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
18.5%
33
81.5%
Q1 - 1:01DETMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot15
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q1 - 1:22TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)15
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q1 - 1:32TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
18.5%
33
81.5%
Q1 - 1:33TORJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)15
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q1 - 1:50DETBaynes Dunk (2 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)15
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q1 - 1:58DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q1 - 1:58TORMISS Joseph 16' Jump Shot15
20.6%
31
79.4%
Q1 - 2:30DETHarris 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)15
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q1 - 2:53TORPatterson 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Valanciunas 2 AST)15
23.8%
29
76.2%
Q1 - 3:09DETHarris Layup (5 PTS) (Bullock 1 AST)13
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q1 - 3:16DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 3:18DETMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup13
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q1 - 3:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 3:26TORMISS Lowry 12' Turnaround Jump Shot13
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q1 - 3:38DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q1 - 3:54TORValanciunas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)13
29.7%
24
70.3%
Q1 - 4:15DETSmith Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)13
32.2%
24
67.8%
Q1 - 4:40TORLowry 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)13
33.8%
22
66.2%
Q1 - 4:53DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q1 - 5:02DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q1 - 5:03TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
35.6%
20
64.4%
Q1 - 5:14DETLeuer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q1 - 5:27TORDeRozan 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)11
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 5:46DETBullock 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q1 - 5:53TORLowry Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
36.8%
17
63.2%
Q1 - 6:04DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
35.9%
17
64.1%
Q1 - 6:11DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q1 - 6:14TORMISS Ibaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.2%
15
61.8%
Q1 - 6:30DETDrummond 1' Layup (4 PTS)7
39.6%
15
60.4%
Q1 - 6:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
41.4%
13
58.6%
Q1 - 6:34DETMISS Leuer 13' Jump Shot7
42.8%
13
57.2%
Q1 - 6:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
41.4%
13
58.6%
Q1 - 6:48TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 7:11DETLeuer 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)7
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 7:31TORLowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)7
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 7:48TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 7:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 24
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 7:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 24
41.3%
11
58.7%
Q1 - 7:58DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
40.0%
11
60.0%
Q1 - 7:58TORMISS Valanciunas 15' Jump Shot4
40.7%
11
59.3%
Q1 - 8:13DETSmith 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
42.5%
11
57.5%
Q1 - 8:19DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
44.2%
9
55.8%
Q1 - 8:19DETMISS Marc Morris 4' Jump Shot4
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 8:25DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
44.2%
9
55.8%
Q1 - 8:25TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot4
44.8%
9
55.2%
Q1 - 8:38TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
46.3%
9
53.7%
Q1 - 8:38DETMISS Bullock 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
45.6%
9
54.4%
Q1 - 8:53TORValanciunas 1' Layup (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)4
44.2%
9
55.8%
Q1 - 9:11DETMarc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)2
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 9:30TORCarroll Layup (2 PTS)2
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 9:33TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 9:33TORMISS Carroll 7' Jump Shot0
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:57DETLeuer Layup (2 PTS)0
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 10:00DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
46.0%
4
54.0%
Q1 - 10:00DETMISS Bullock 1' Layup0
47.6%
4
52.4%
Q1 - 10:05TORBullock STEAL (1 STL)0
46.1%
4
53.9%
Q1 - 10:14DETDrummond 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 10:35DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.8%
2
50.2%
Q1 - 10:35TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot0
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 11:03DETBullock 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)0
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 11:05DETBullock REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:06DETMISS Marc Morris 11' Jump Shot0
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 11:20DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:20TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
54.2%
0
45.8%
Q1 - 11:41TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.4%
0
44.6%
Q1 - 11:41DETMISS Drummond 6' Hook Shot0
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Smith0
53.7%
0
46.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.11 55.3%
DET
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
20
25
80%
DET
20
27
74%
Midrange
TOR
11
32
34%
DET
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
DET
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
TOR
13
15
87%
DET
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry2779%13.5 / 17
J. Valančiūnas1979%9.5 / 12
C. Joseph1554%7.5 / 14
D. DeRozan1233%6.0 / 18
P. Patterson1083%5.0 / 6
P. Tucker9113%4.5 / 4
S. Ibaka735%3.5 / 10
J. Poeltl450%2.0 / 4
D. Carroll217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Smith1657%8.0 / 14
T. Harris1650%8.0 / 16
M. Morris1568%7.5 / 11
A. Baynes12100%6.0 / 6
A. Drummond1146%5.5 / 12
B. Udrih850%4.0 / 8
R. Bullock770%3.5 / 5
J. Leuer660%3.0 / 5
D. Hilliard6100%3.0 / 3
S. Johnson330%1.5 / 5
K. Caldwell-Pope220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+11
-11
94
DET
79
+12
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.11 55.3%
DET
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
106.0
TOR 111.7 +2.0
DET 109.7
Pace
94.8
95.0
TOR 89.7
DET 97.7 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.1
TOR 16.1
DET 14.7 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.2%
TOR 52.9%
DET 56.2% +3.3%
TO %
12.4%
11.9%
TOR 11.4% +2.2%
DET 13.6%
ORB %
24.9%
24.1%
TOR 17.5%
DET 29.3% +11.8%
FTrt
29.3
21.8
TOR 17.2
DET 22.2 +5.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.2%
53.0%
TOR 70.7% +18.3%
DET 52.4%
STL %
8.7%
7.3%
TOR 7.4% +2.0%
DET 5.4%
BLK %
8.8%
6.6%
TOR 3.3%
DET 7.0% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
50.8%
TOR 55.3%
DET 56.0% +0.7%
Rim FG%
58.9%
58.3%
TOR 80.0% +5.9%
DET 74.1%
Mid FG%
42.6%
42.6%
TOR 34.4%
DET 45.5% +11.1%
3P %
36.3%
33.0%
TOR 33.3%
DET 33.3%
FT %
79.6%
71.9%
TOR 86.7% +25.6%
DET 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
30.9%
TOR 28.7%
DET 33.3% +4.6%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
42.8%
TOR 36.8% +4.0%
DET 40.7%
3P Att. %
28.9%
26.3%
TOR 34.5% +8.6%
DET 25.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORDET
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points105102
Rebounds3645
Assists2922
Steals75
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals41-8742-81
At-the-Rim FG20-2520-27
Midrange FG11-3215-33
2-Point FG31-5735-60
3-Point FG10-307-21
Free Throws13-1511-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 196 · 31
41.8
27
79%
5
10
2
0
2
2
0
5
7-7
100%
7-11
64%
2-5
40%
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
34.4
12
33%
4
10
0
0
3
2
1
3
2-3
67%
5-16
31%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
31.8
7
35%
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-6
17%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
26.6
19
79%
5
2
0
0
1
4
2
3
1-2
50%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
12.9
2
17%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'6" 245 · 32
28.1
9
113%
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
27.1
15
54%
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 230 · 28
15.9
10
83%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
C · 7'0" 260 · 21
12.9
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 190 · 25
8.6
0
0%
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
G · 6'0" 197 · 23
C · 7'0" 220 · 25
#43 · F · 6'8" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
36
29
7
2
11
0
7
29
13-15
87%
31-57
54%
10-30
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.