FinalWin Prob.pScore
1346%103
112
1154%105
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
130.28680.3
CHA logo CHA
111.28995.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA112
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)112
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:16)112
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0CHAMISS Walker 30' 3PT Jump Shot112
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)112
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)111
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHAMISS Batum 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04CHAMISS Williams 30' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)110
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 1:33CHAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)110
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 1:39CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04CHAZeller Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Batum 7 AST)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)110
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)107
99.8%
94
0.2%
Q4 - 2:50CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Richardson Driving Layup107
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 3:13CHAWalker 14' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)107
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30MIAJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49CHAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)104
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIAJohnson 9' Jump Shot (26 PTS)104
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 4:21CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)102
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 4:37MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)102
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 4:55CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)99
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 4:55CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)99
98.7%
87
1.3%
Q4 - 5:06CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
98.3%
86
1.7%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS McGruder 29' 3PT Jump Shot99
98.4%
86
1.6%
Q4 - 5:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 5:34CHAMISS Walker 29' 3PT Jump Shot99
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 5:59MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)99
98.3%
86
1.7%
Q4 - 6:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
95.6%
86
4.4%
Q4 - 6:15CHAMISS Lamb 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot96
95.1%
86
4.9%
Q4 - 6:38MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)96
93.9%
86
6.1%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)96
95.7%
86
4.3%
Q4 - 6:52CHAMISS Roberts 1' Cutting Layup Shot96
95.2%
86
4.8%
Q4 - 6:59CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
94.0%
86
6.0%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot96
94.6%
86
5.4%
Q4 - 7:26CHARoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Batum 6 AST)96
94.3%
86
5.7%
Q4 - 7:36CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
96.6%
83
3.4%
Q4 - 7:38MIALamb BLOCK (1 BLK)96
96.9%
83
3.1%
Q4 - 7:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)96
97.5%
83
2.5%
Q4 - 7:54CHAMISS Kaminsky 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
97.2%
83
2.8%
Q4 - 8:05CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
95.6%
83
4.4%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Dragic 11' Fadeaway Jumper96
96.0%
83
4.0%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)96
96.6%
83
3.4%
Q4 - 8:32CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
96.4%
83
3.6%
Q4 - 8:44MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)96
95.7%
83
4.3%
Q4 - 8:59CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)93
93.0%
83
7.0%
Q4 - 8:59CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)93
93.2%
82
6.8%
Q4 - 8:59CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)93
93.4%
81
6.6%
Q4 - 9:10MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)93
94.8%
80
5.2%
Q4 - 9:24CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)90
91.9%
80
8.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAWhiteside Dunk (10 PTS)90
89.8%
80
10.2%
Q4 - 9:44MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
87.5%
80
12.5%
Q4 - 9:46CHAMISS Batum Running Dunk88
86.6%
80
13.4%
Q4 - 9:52MIABatum STEAL (1 STL)88
84.4%
80
15.6%
Q4 - 10:11CHAWilliams 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)88
86.0%
80
14.0%
Q4 - 10:15CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)88
88.4%
78
11.6%
Q4 - 10:17MIABatum BLOCK (1 BLK)88
89.2%
78
10.8%
Q4 - 10:42CHAKaminsky 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)88
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 11:02CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)88
91.4%
76
8.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Dragic 6' Jump Shot88
91.9%
76
8.1%
Q4 - 11:22CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)88
93.0%
76
7.0%
Q4 - 11:37MIADragic Cutting Layup Shot (31 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)88
95.4%
73
4.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA86
94.4%
73
5.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound86
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.0%
73
6.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIADragic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (29 PTS)86
91.9%
73
8.1%
Q3 - 0:18.0CHAKaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)84
90.2%
73
9.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
93.4%
70
6.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
93.7%
70
6.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHALamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHALamb Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
94.7%
69
5.3%
Q3 - 1:05CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
94.6%
68
5.4%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot84
94.9%
68
5.1%
Q3 - 1:21CHAKidd-Gilchrist Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)84
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q3 - 1:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
94.7%
68
5.3%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Shot84
95.0%
68
5.0%
Q3 - 1:38CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
95.6%
68
4.4%
Q3 - 1:38CHAMISS Kaminsky Free Throw 1 of 284
95.8%
67
4.2%
Q3 - 1:49MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)84
95.6%
67
4.4%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
94.7%
67
5.3%
Q3 - 1:58CHAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot82
94.4%
67
5.6%
Q3 - 2:03CHAHORNETS Rebound82
92.5%
67
7.5%
Q3 - 2:03CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup82
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q3 - 2:08CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
92.5%
67
7.5%
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
92.9%
67
7.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
93.8%
67
6.2%
Q3 - 2:24CHAMISS Kaminsky 10' Jump Shot82
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q3 - 2:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
92.5%
67
7.5%
Q3 - 2:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
92.3%
67
7.7%
Q3 - 2:52CHALamb 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
91.3%
67
8.7%
Q3 - 3:05CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
91.8%
65
8.2%
Q3 - 3:06MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (2 BLK)80
92.2%
65
7.8%
Q3 - 3:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)80
93.1%
65
6.9%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
94.1%
63
5.9%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
93.8%
63
6.2%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)78
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot78
92.3%
63
7.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)78
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 3:56CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup78
92.8%
63
7.2%
Q3 - 4:17MIAWhite 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)78
91.0%
63
9.0%
Q3 - 4:40CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
88.1%
63
11.9%
Q3 - 4:40CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
88.3%
62
11.7%
Q3 - 4:54MIARichardson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)75
89.5%
61
10.5%
Q3 - 4:55MIAHeat Rebound75
91.2%
61
8.8%
Q3 - 4:55MIAMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
90.1%
61
9.9%
Q3 - 5:14CHABatum 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)75
90.4%
61
9.6%
Q3 - 5:29MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)75
91.6%
59
8.4%
Q3 - 5:29MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
91.3%
59
8.7%
Q3 - 5:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)73
90.4%
59
9.6%
Q3 - 5:47CHAMISS Zeller 1' Driving Layup73
89.9%
59
10.1%
Q3 - 5:55CHAHORNETS Rebound73
88.7%
59
11.3%
Q3 - 5:55CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup73
89.9%
59
10.1%
Q3 - 6:10MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)73
87.7%
59
12.3%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)70
84.0%
59
16.0%
Q3 - 6:32CHAMISS Zeller 1' Driving Layup70
83.3%
59
16.7%
Q3 - 6:48MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
81.6%
59
18.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
75.6%
59
24.4%
Q3 - 7:04CHAMISS Zeller Driving Dunk67
74.6%
59
25.4%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)67
72.2%
59
27.8%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)65
69.5%
59
30.5%
Q3 - 7:34CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
68.3%
59
31.7%
Q3 - 7:42CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
65.6%
59
34.4%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot65
66.8%
59
33.2%
Q3 - 7:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)65
69.5%
59
30.5%
Q3 - 7:56CHAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
68.4%
59
31.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)65
65.1%
59
34.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
62.3%
59
37.7%
Q3 - 8:26CHAMISS Zeller 19' Jump Shot63
61.0%
59
39.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
58.0%
59
42.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWhiteside Putback Layup (2 PTS)63
58.0%
59
42.0%
Q3 - 8:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
55.0%
59
45.0%
Q3 - 8:55MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (1 BLK)61
51.9%
59
48.1%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Richardson 3' Layup61
51.9%
59
48.1%
Q3 - 9:14CHABatum Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)61
54.1%
59
45.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
57.6%
58
42.4%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup61
55.0%
58
45.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
57.7%
58
42.3%
Q3 - 9:29CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
56.5%
58
43.5%
Q3 - 9:37CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
53.9%
58
46.1%
Q3 - 9:39MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot61
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 9:55MIAHeat Rebound61
57.7%
58
42.3%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 10:11CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)61
57.3%
58
42.7%
Q3 - 10:25MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)61
63.7%
55
36.3%
Q3 - 10:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
57.3%
55
42.7%
Q3 - 10:35CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
56.1%
55
43.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)58
53.5%
55
46.5%
Q3 - 11:08CHABatum 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)55
46.7%
55
53.3%
Q3 - 11:26MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)55
49.9%
53
50.1%
Q3 - 11:44CHABatum 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
43.3%
53
56.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
46.5%
51
53.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAWilliams 54' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)52
50.1%
51
49.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)52
56.9%
48
43.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
49.3%
48
50.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHAMISS Batum 2' Layup49
48.6%
48
51.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIADragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)49
47.1%
48
52.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)47
42.8%
48
57.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
50.3%
45
49.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
51.0%
45
49.0%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
52.1%
45
47.9%
Q2 - 1:11CHAMISS Zeller 21' Jump Shot47
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q2 - 1:37MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)47
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
42.6%
45
57.4%
Q2 - 1:48CHAMISS Batum 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 2:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)44
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 2:02MIAHeat Rebound44
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q2 - 2:02MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)44
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q2 - 2:32CHAWalker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
43.2%
45
56.8%
Q2 - 2:42MIARichardson 11' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
49.6%
42
50.4%
Q2 - 2:58CHAZeller Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)42
46.2%
42
53.8%
Q2 - 3:10CHAHORNETS Rebound42
49.0%
40
51.0%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot42
50.0%
40
50.0%
Q2 - 3:34CHAKidd-Gilchrist Dunk (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)42
52.4%
40
47.6%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMcGruder Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)42
54.9%
38
45.1%
Q2 - 4:13CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)42
57.4%
38
42.6%
Q2 - 4:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
62.9%
35
37.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 4:41MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 4:42CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
64.8%
35
35.2%
Q2 - 4:58CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
62.9%
35
37.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot42
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
65.3%
35
34.7%
Q2 - 5:06CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup42
64.4%
35
35.6%
Q2 - 5:26MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)42
62.5%
35
37.5%
Q2 - 5:49CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
57.3%
35
42.7%
Q2 - 5:49CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
57.6%
34
42.4%
Q2 - 6:03MIADragic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)39
59.2%
33
40.8%
Q2 - 6:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
57.3%
33
42.7%
Q2 - 6:17CHAMISS Batum 11' Jump Shot37
56.3%
33
43.7%
Q2 - 6:40MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)37
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 6:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
51.9%
33
48.1%
Q2 - 6:57CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 3 of 335
51.4%
33
48.6%
Q2 - 6:57CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 335
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 6:57CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)35
47.2%
33
52.8%
Q2 - 7:13CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
51.2%
32
48.8%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
52.1%
32
47.9%
Q2 - 7:29CHAKaminsky 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)35
54.1%
32
45.9%
Q2 - 7:49CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
56.4%
30
43.6%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Reed 15' Jump Shot35
57.3%
30
42.7%
Q2 - 8:13MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
58.7%
30
41.3%
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
56.8%
30
43.2%
Q2 - 8:35MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
58.7%
30
41.3%
Q2 - 8:36CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Jump Shot35
57.9%
30
42.1%
Q2 - 8:51CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
56.0%
30
44.0%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
56.9%
30
43.1%
Q2 - 9:07CHARoberts Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)35
58.3%
30
41.7%
Q2 - 9:07CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 9:09CHAMISS Roberts 18' Jump Shot35
57.5%
30
42.5%
Q2 - 9:21MIADragic Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)35
55.6%
30
44.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAHeat Rebound33
53.4%
30
46.6%
Q2 - 9:30CHAMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
52.6%
30
47.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)33
50.6%
30
49.4%
Q2 - 10:07CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
45.9%
30
54.1%
Q2 - 10:29CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
50.4%
27
49.6%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Reed 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q2 - 10:56CHALamb 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
53.3%
27
46.7%
Q2 - 11:21MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)30
55.0%
25
45.0%
Q2 - 11:39CHARoberts 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)27
50.3%
25
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA27
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHABelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
53.1%
23
46.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0CHARoberts 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHAPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
57.3%
21
42.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Reed 9' Hook Shot27
57.8%
21
42.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
59.0%
21
41.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
57.8%
21
42.2%
Q1 - 1:18CHAKaminsky 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)27
58.9%
21
41.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (White 2 AST)27
61.7%
19
38.3%
Q1 - 1:46MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
56.6%
19
43.4%
Q1 - 1:48CHAMISS Lamb 7' Floating Jump Shot24
56.1%
19
43.9%
Q1 - 2:06CHAHORNETS Rebound24
54.8%
19
45.2%
Q1 - 2:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
56.8%
19
43.2%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Johnson Putback Layup24
55.4%
19
44.6%
Q1 - 2:06MIARoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)24
55.4%
19
44.6%
Q1 - 2:22CHAWalker 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)24
56.8%
19
43.2%
Q1 - 2:38MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (White 1 AST)24
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
56.8%
16
43.2%
Q1 - 2:58CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 14' Jump Shot21
56.2%
16
43.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
54.1%
16
45.9%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 220
53.6%
16
46.4%
Q1 - 3:24CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
54.4%
16
45.6%
Q1 - 3:24CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
54.9%
15
45.1%
Q1 - 3:46MIAJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
56.4%
14
43.6%
Q1 - 3:55CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)18
54.4%
14
45.6%
Q1 - 4:01CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)18
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 4:02CHAMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot18
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)18
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 4:34CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
54.1%
14
45.9%
Q1 - 4:34CHAWilliams 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)18
54.1%
14
45.9%
Q1 - 4:36CHAMISS Zeller 7' Jump Shot18
57.7%
12
42.3%
Q1 - 4:52MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)18
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 5:08CHAZeller 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)15
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 5:23MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)15
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 5:41CHAZeller 2' Layup (2 PTS)13
51.3%
10
48.7%
Q1 - 6:08MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)13
52.6%
8
47.4%
Q1 - 6:23MIAHeat Rebound10
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 6:24CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup10
48.1%
8
51.9%
Q1 - 6:47MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (1 STL)10
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
48.7%
8
51.3%
Q1 - 6:57CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 12' Jump Shot10
48.1%
8
51.9%
Q1 - 7:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot10
46.9%
8
53.1%
Q1 - 7:28MIAHeat Rebound10
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 7:28CHAMISS Walker 1' Layup10
47.8%
8
52.2%
Q1 - 7:33CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
47.0%
8
53.0%
Q1 - 7:44CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
48.5%
8
51.5%
Q1 - 7:54CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
46.3%
8
53.7%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot10
47.0%
8
53.0%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
48.6%
8
51.4%
Q1 - 8:06CHAMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot10
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 8:23MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)10
46.5%
8
53.5%
Q1 - 8:53CHABatum 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)7
42.9%
8
57.1%
Q1 - 9:03CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
44.3%
6
55.7%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup7
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 9:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 9:19CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
44.4%
6
55.6%
Q1 - 9:40CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)4
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 9:47CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Richardson 12' Step Back Jump Shot4
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 10:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)4
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 10:32MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 10:41CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 10:41CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
44.8%
1
55.2%
Q1 - 10:55MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:12CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:21CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 11:23CHAMISS Zeller 2' Driving Layup0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:33CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.7%
0
57.3%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup0
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Zeller vs. Whiteside: Tip to Richardson0
44.3%
0
55.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.9%
CHA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
21
52%
CHA
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
8
23
35%
CHA
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
21
31.5
40
53%
79%
CHA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
11
12
92%
CHA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic3375%16.5 / 22
J. Johnson26108%13.0 / 12
J. Richardson1963%9.5 / 15
H. Whiteside1365%6.5 / 10
T. Johnson1255%6.0 / 11
R. McGruder317%1.5 / 9
O. White350%1.5 / 3
W. Ellington338%1.5 / 4
W. Reed0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Batum2471%12.0 / 17
K. Walker1847%9.0 / 19
M. Williams1575%7.5 / 10
F. Kaminsky1365%6.5 / 10
C. Zeller833%4.0 / 12
M. Kidd-Gilchrist867%4.0 / 6
B. Roberts770%3.5 / 5
J. Lamb650%3.0 / 6
M. Belinelli0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+10
-6
90
CHA
83
+7
-6
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.9%
CHA
1.10 55.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.3
MIA 130.2 +19.0
CHA 111.2
Pace
95.0
95.3
MIA 80.3
CHA 95.9 +15.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
MIA 17.9
CHA 15.0 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.1%
MIA 60.1% +10.1%
CHA 50.0%
TO %
13.2%
11.4%
MIA 8.2%
CHA 6.3% +1.9%
ORB %
24.2%
20.0%
MIA 17.9% +7.1%
CHA 10.8%
FTrt
25.1
27.9
MIA 14.3
CHA 30.8 +16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
61.1%
MIA 57.5% +3.2%
CHA 54.3%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 5.8% +3.6%
CHA 2.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.6%
MIA 13.2%
CHA 15.9% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.4%
MIA 60.9% +5.9%
CHA 55.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.4%
MIA 52.4% +4.3%
CHA 48.1%
Mid FG%
39.4%
39.7%
MIA 34.8%
CHA 53.8% +19.0%
3P %
36.5%
35.1%
MIA 52.5% +20.5%
CHA 32.0%
FT %
70.6%
81.5%
MIA 91.7% +4.2%
CHA 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
32.3%
MIA 25.0%
CHA 34.6% +9.6%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
34.2%
MIA 27.4% +6.0%
CHA 33.3%
3P Att. %
31.4%
33.5%
MIA 47.6% +15.6%
CHA 32.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points11299
Rebounds4036
Assists2319
Steals52
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)32 (2)
Field Goals40-8435-78
At-the-Rim FG11-2113-27
Midrange FG8-2314-26
2-Point FG19-4427-53
3-Point FG21-408-25
Free Throws11-1221-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
36.1
19
63%
5
5
0
1
1
4
0
5
3-3
100%
2-7
29%
4-7
57%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
33.2
33
75%
1
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
8-12
67%
5-9
56%
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
33.2
3
17%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
32.3
26
108%
4
3
2
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
6-7
86%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
31.4
13
65%
20
0
1
3
1
3
4
16
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
28.8
12
55%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
17.5
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
14.9
0
0%
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
12.7
3
38%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
61%
40
23
5
7
6
0
7
33
11-12
92%
19-44
43%
21-40
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.