FinalWin Prob.pScore
648%110
116
1352%111
113
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
117.299106.1
MIA logo MIA
113.010093.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA116
100%
113
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)116
93.2%
113
6.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)115
92.4%
113
7.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)114
84.5%
113
15.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Rebound114
96.7%
110
3.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENMISS Harris 48' 3PT Jump Shot114
97.6%
110
2.4%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)114
96.6%
110
3.4%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot114
95.5%
110
4.5%
Q4 - 0:55.0DENJokic 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Mudiay 9 AST)114
90.0%
110
10.0%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)112
81.6%
110
18.4%
Q4 - 1:17DENMudiay 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS)112
92.1%
107
7.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)110
86.3%
107
13.7%
Q4 - 1:37MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
94.0%
104
6.0%
Q4 - 1:38DENMISS Jokic 14' Jump Shot110
94.8%
104
5.2%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T11)110
96.0%
104
4.0%
Q4 - 2:11DENGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Jokic 7 AST)110
92.3%
104
7.7%
Q4 - 2:27DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)107
85.0%
104
15.0%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot107
82.3%
104
17.7%
Q4 - 2:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)107
74.2%
104
25.8%
Q4 - 2:49DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
78.0%
104
22.0%
Q4 - 3:06DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)107
82.5%
104
17.5%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup107
79.9%
104
20.1%
Q4 - 3:25DENGallinari 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)107
72.4%
104
27.6%
Q4 - 3:45MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
62.9%
104
37.1%
Q4 - 3:45MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)105
64.6%
103
35.4%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)105
70.8%
102
29.2%
Q4 - 3:56DENMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot105
73.3%
102
26.7%
Q4 - 4:23DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)105
78.7%
102
21.3%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Richardson 9' Jump Bank Shot105
76.5%
102
23.5%
Q4 - 4:40DENHarris 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Mudiay 8 AST)105
71.1%
102
28.9%
Q4 - 4:44DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)103
63.3%
102
36.7%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Dragic 24' Jump Shot103
60.3%
102
39.7%
Q4 - 5:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
52.6%
102
47.4%
Q4 - 5:09DENMISS Mudiay 12' Pullup Jump Shot103
55.3%
102
44.7%
Q4 - 5:17DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
61.3%
102
38.7%
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
58.7%
102
41.3%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
52.6%
102
47.4%
Q4 - 5:34DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
55.3%
102
44.7%
Q4 - 5:45MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)103
61.4%
102
38.6%
Q4 - 6:01DENRichardson STEAL (1 STL)103
51.8%
102
48.2%
Q4 - 6:05DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
60.4%
102
39.6%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot103
57.8%
102
42.2%
Q4 - 6:20MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
51.8%
102
48.2%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
57.9%
102
42.1%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
51.8%
102
48.2%
Q4 - 6:33DENMISS Jokic 3PT Jump Shot103
54.5%
102
45.5%
Q4 - 6:58MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)103
60.5%
102
39.5%
Q4 - 7:17DENMurray Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)103
65.4%
100
34.6%
Q4 - 7:20MIAReed Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)103
71.9%
100
28.1%
Q4 - 7:43DENMudiay 1' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)103
65.4%
100
34.6%
Q4 - 7:48DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)101
59.6%
100
40.4%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot101
57.3%
100
42.7%
Q4 - 8:10DENFaried Dunk (8 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)101
51.9%
100
48.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)99
45.3%
100
54.7%
Q4 - 8:51DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)99
58.3%
97
41.7%
Q4 - 8:51DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)98
56.9%
97
43.1%
Q4 - 9:01MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)97
51.9%
97
48.1%
Q4 - 9:17DENChandler 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Jokic 6 AST)97
63.3%
94
36.7%
Q4 - 9:26DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
57.9%
94
42.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
56.0%
94
44.0%
Q4 - 9:44DENFaried 9' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)95
51.5%
94
48.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)93
45.8%
94
54.2%
Q4 - 10:14DENReed STEAL (1 STL)93
56.8%
91
43.2%
Q4 - 10:31MIAEllington 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)93
62.8%
91
37.2%
Q4 - 10:43MIAHEAT Rebound93
67.6%
89
32.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot93
71.3%
89
28.7%
Q4 - 10:54MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
67.6%
89
32.4%
Q4 - 10:55DENReed BLOCK (1 BLK)93
69.3%
89
30.7%
Q4 - 11:08DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
71.4%
89
28.6%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
70.0%
89
30.0%
Q4 - 11:18MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
66.6%
89
33.4%
Q4 - 11:19DENMISS Plumlee 12' Jump Shot93
68.1%
89
31.9%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)93
71.5%
89
28.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)93
72.4%
88
27.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA93
75.6%
87
24.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
75.6%
87
24.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
77.0%
87
23.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
74.4%
87
25.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
75.6%
87
24.4%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
78.1%
87
21.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Johnson 4' Driving Layup93
77.1%
87
22.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0DENGallinari Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)93
74.5%
87
25.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
78.2%
87
21.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Reed Dunk93
77.1%
87
22.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENMudiay Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)93
74.5%
87
25.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 392
73.6%
87
26.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)92
76.5%
87
23.5%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)91
69.3%
87
30.7%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHEAT Rebound91
64.8%
87
35.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Dragic 19' Step Back Jump Shot91
67.9%
87
32.1%
Q3 - 1:36DENChandler 1' Tip Layup Shot (15 PTS)91
64.9%
87
35.1%
Q3 - 1:37DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
60.4%
87
39.6%
Q3 - 1:38DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
57.1%
87
42.9%
Q3 - 1:41DENNuggets Rebound89
60.4%
87
39.6%
Q3 - 1:42DENRichardson BLOCK (3 BLK)89
57.1%
87
42.9%
Q3 - 2:06MIAReed Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)89
59.4%
87
40.6%
Q3 - 2:07MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
63.5%
85
36.5%
Q3 - 2:08MIAMISS Reed 5' Jump Shot89
66.6%
85
33.4%
Q3 - 2:16DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
63.5%
85
36.5%
Q3 - 2:16DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)88
63.0%
85
37.0%
Q3 - 2:28MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)87
59.5%
85
40.5%
Q3 - 2:55DENGallinari 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)87
67.8%
82
32.2%
Q3 - 3:22MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)85
63.4%
82
36.6%
Q3 - 3:39DENJokic 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)85
71.0%
79
29.0%
Q3 - 3:51DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
67.4%
79
32.6%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
66.1%
79
33.9%
Q3 - 4:07DENGallinari 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (20 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)83
62.2%
79
37.8%
Q3 - 4:17DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
58.8%
79
41.2%
Q3 - 4:18DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
55.4%
79
44.6%
Q3 - 4:28DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
58.8%
79
41.2%
Q3 - 4:29MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup81
57.3%
79
42.7%
Q3 - 4:49DENMudiay 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)81
53.9%
79
46.1%
Q3 - 5:02MIADragic 10' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)79
50.0%
79
50.0%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHEAT Rebound79
53.7%
77
46.3%
Q3 - 5:16DENMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
55.1%
77
44.9%
Q3 - 5:29MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
58.3%
77
41.7%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 279
59.5%
76
40.5%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
57.8%
76
42.2%
Q3 - 5:43DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
59.2%
76
40.8%
Q3 - 6:01MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)79
61.5%
76
38.5%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 279
62.3%
75
37.7%
Q3 - 6:01MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
61.2%
75
38.8%
Q3 - 6:02MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup79
64.0%
75
36.0%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
61.2%
75
38.8%
Q3 - 6:12DENMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot79
62.5%
75
37.5%
Q3 - 6:23MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)79
65.2%
75
34.8%
Q3 - 6:38DENMurray 11' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
61.3%
75
38.7%
Q3 - 6:50DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
57.7%
75
42.3%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS McGruder 13' Jump Shot77
56.4%
75
43.6%
Q3 - 7:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
52.8%
75
47.2%
Q3 - 7:03DENWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)77
54.2%
75
45.8%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMcGruder Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
57.2%
75
42.8%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
60.4%
73
39.6%
Q3 - 7:29DENMISS Jokic 7' Hook Shot77
61.7%
73
38.3%
Q3 - 7:42MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)77
64.6%
73
35.4%
Q3 - 7:57DENJokic 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)77
70.9%
70
29.1%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)75
67.7%
70
32.3%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
73.4%
67
26.6%
Q3 - 8:21DENMISS Jokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
74.5%
67
25.5%
Q3 - 8:35MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGruder 4 AST)75
76.7%
67
23.3%
Q3 - 8:55DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)75
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
75.5%
64
24.5%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
76.3%
63
23.7%
Q3 - 9:15MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
78.0%
62
22.0%
Q3 - 9:16DENMISS Faried 1' Layup72
78.7%
62
21.3%
Q3 - 9:23DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
80.5%
62
19.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup72
79.7%
62
20.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
78.0%
62
22.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS McGruder 6' Pullup Jump Shot72
79.8%
62
20.2%
Q3 - 9:45DENGallinari 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)72
78.0%
62
22.0%
Q3 - 9:56DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
75.6%
62
24.4%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Babbitt 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
74.7%
62
25.3%
Q3 - 10:20DENGallinari 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)70
71.9%
62
28.1%
Q3 - 10:44MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)68
69.2%
62
30.8%
Q3 - 10:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
71.9%
60
28.1%
Q3 - 10:52DENMISS Faried 8' Turnaround Hook Shot68
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 11:13DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
74.3%
60
25.7%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Dragic 22' Jump Shot68
73.4%
60
26.6%
Q3 - 11:22MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
71.4%
60
28.6%
Q3 - 11:23DENRichardson BLOCK (2 BLK)68
72.3%
60
27.7%
Q3 - 11:42MIADragic 3' Jump Shot (16 PTS)68
74.3%
60
25.7%
Q3 - 11:47DENBabbitt STEAL (1 STL)68
76.7%
58
23.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN68
79.2%
58
20.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound68
79.2%
58
20.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harris 50' 3PT Jump Shot68
77.5%
58
22.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)68
77.7%
58
22.3%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
76.3%
58
23.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMISS Gallinari 6' Turnaround Hook Shot68
76.7%
58
23.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
77.9%
58
22.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Reed 5' Turnaround Hook Shot68
77.4%
58
22.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
76.3%
58
23.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
76.8%
58
23.2%
Q2 - 1:09MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
76.9%
58
23.1%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 268
77.4%
57
22.6%
Q2 - 1:19DENChandler 1' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)68
78.0%
57
22.0%
Q2 - 1:27DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
74.6%
57
25.4%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q2 - 1:48DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
73.4%
57
26.6%
Q2 - 1:48DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)65
73.1%
57
26.9%
Q2 - 1:57DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
69.5%
57
30.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q2 - 2:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
66.8%
57
33.2%
Q2 - 2:10DENMISS Harris 2' Reverse Layup64
67.6%
57
32.4%
Q2 - 2:21MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)64
69.3%
57
30.7%
Q2 - 2:26MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
72.1%
55
27.9%
Q2 - 2:27DENRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)64
72.8%
55
27.2%
Q2 - 2:34MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)64
74.4%
55
25.6%
Q2 - 2:44DENJokic 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)64
72.2%
55
27.8%
Q2 - 3:04MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
68.8%
55
31.2%
Q2 - 3:16DENMurray 11' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q2 - 3:25DENNuggets Rebound60
68.8%
53
31.2%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Johnson 1' Alley Oop Layup60
67.9%
53
32.1%
Q2 - 3:28MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
65.8%
53
34.2%
Q2 - 3:29DENMISS Jokic 8' Jump Shot60
66.7%
53
33.3%
Q2 - 3:55MIAWhiteside 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)60
68.8%
53
31.2%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
70.2%
51
29.8%
Q2 - 4:04DENMISS Mudiay 2' Layup60
70.9%
51
29.1%
Q2 - 4:09MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)60
72.5%
51
27.5%
Q2 - 4:27DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
70.2%
51
29.8%
Q2 - 4:27DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
69.7%
51
30.3%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMcGruder Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)58
67.8%
51
32.2%
Q2 - 4:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
65.3%
51
34.7%
Q2 - 4:39DENMISS Faried 8' Hook Shot58
66.1%
51
33.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMcGruder 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
67.8%
51
32.2%
Q2 - 5:04DENMudiay Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)58
69.8%
49
30.2%
Q2 - 5:04DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)57
69.3%
49
30.7%
Q2 - 5:04DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)56
68.6%
49
31.4%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)55
65.1%
49
34.9%
Q2 - 5:27DENHarris 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)55
67.4%
47
32.6%
Q2 - 5:40DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
65.0%
47
35.0%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 153
64.7%
47
35.3%
Q2 - 5:49DENFaried 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)53
67.4%
45
32.6%
Q2 - 6:04DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
64.9%
45
35.1%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
63.9%
45
36.1%
Q2 - 6:18DENMudiay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)51
61.8%
45
38.2%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWhiteside 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)51
64.9%
45
35.1%
Q2 - 6:44DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
66.8%
43
33.2%
Q2 - 6:44DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)50
66.4%
43
33.6%
Q2 - 6:59MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
64.9%
43
35.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
65.7%
42
34.3%
Q2 - 6:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
66.8%
41
33.2%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Ellington 17' Jump Shot49
68.8%
41
31.2%
Q2 - 7:31DENPlumlee Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)49
66.3%
41
33.7%
Q2 - 7:45MIAReed Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)47
64.2%
41
35.8%
Q2 - 8:04DENMudiay 8' Pullup Bank Shot (4 PTS)47
65.8%
39
34.2%
Q2 - 8:15DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
62.9%
39
37.1%
Q2 - 8:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
61.1%
39
38.9%
Q2 - 8:37DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
61.9%
39
38.1%
Q2 - 8:43DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Plumlee 8' Hook Shot45
61.9%
39
38.1%
Q2 - 8:56DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
62.9%
39
37.1%
Q2 - 9:16DENPlumlee Dunk (4 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)45
60.6%
39
39.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAReed 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)43
58.5%
39
41.5%
Q2 - 9:39MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q2 - 9:40MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup43
62.5%
37
37.5%
Q2 - 9:46MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
60.7%
37
39.3%
Q2 - 9:47DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot43
61.5%
37
38.5%
Q2 - 9:54MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (White 1 AST)43
63.3%
37
36.7%
Q2 - 10:17DENChandler 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)43
67.1%
34
32.9%
Q2 - 10:36MIAEllington 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)41
65.3%
34
34.7%
Q2 - 10:56DENChandler 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Plumlee 1 AST)41
67.2%
32
32.8%
Q2 - 11:12MIAReed Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)39
64.5%
32
35.5%
Q2 - 11:17MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
66.6%
30
33.4%
Q2 - 11:18DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup39
67.3%
30
32.7%
Q2 - 11:28DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
68.8%
30
31.2%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Johnson 2' Alley Oop Layup39
68.2%
30
31.8%
Q2 - 11:45DENChandler 2' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)39
66.7%
30
33.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA37
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
62.3%
30
37.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Mudiay 17' Pullup Jump Shot37
62.6%
30
37.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIADragic 7' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)37
63.7%
30
36.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
66.5%
28
33.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMISS Plumlee Free Throw 2 of 237
66.7%
28
33.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMISS Plumlee Free Throw 1 of 237
67.8%
28
32.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)37
68.0%
28
32.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)37
68.4%
27
31.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)37
68.8%
26
31.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENPlumlee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
72.5%
25
27.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENPlumlee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)36
71.8%
25
28.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
70.0%
25
30.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
72.5%
23
27.5%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)35
72.9%
23
27.1%
Q1 - 1:05DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
73.7%
23
26.3%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Johnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot35
73.3%
23
26.7%
Q1 - 1:18DENChandler 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)35
72.3%
23
27.7%
Q1 - 1:32DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
69.9%
23
30.1%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot33
69.4%
23
30.6%
Q1 - 1:55DENGallinari 1' Layup (9 PTS)33
68.4%
23
31.6%
Q1 - 1:57DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
65.8%
23
34.2%
Q1 - 1:58DENWhite BLOCK (1 BLK)31
64.7%
23
35.3%
Q1 - 2:13MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)31
65.9%
23
34.1%
Q1 - 2:39DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
68.2%
21
31.8%
Q1 - 2:39DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
67.8%
21
32.2%
Q1 - 2:45DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
65.9%
21
34.1%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot29
65.4%
21
34.6%
Q1 - 3:11DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)29
63.2%
21
36.8%
Q1 - 3:23DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup26
58.5%
21
41.5%
Q1 - 3:45DENGallinari 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
56.8%
21
43.2%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)24
54.7%
21
45.3%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
56.4%
19
43.6%
Q1 - 4:21DENMISS Gallinari 19' Jump Shot24
57.2%
19
42.8%
Q1 - 4:40DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot24
58.2%
19
41.8%
Q1 - 4:55DENGallinari Dunk (5 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)24
56.4%
19
43.6%
Q1 - 5:09MIAWhiteside 2' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)22
54.0%
19
46.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
55.9%
17
44.1%
Q1 - 5:25DENMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 222
56.2%
17
43.8%
Q1 - 5:25DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
57.6%
17
42.4%
Q1 - 5:26MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
56.1%
17
43.9%
Q1 - 5:39DENJokic 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)21
53.8%
17
46.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIARichardson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
52.0%
17
48.0%
Q1 - 6:07DENJokic 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)19
53.4%
15
46.6%
Q1 - 6:20MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
51.5%
15
48.5%
Q1 - 6:33DENJokic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)17
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 6:54MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)15
53.5%
12
46.5%
Q1 - 7:12DENJokic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 7:34MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)13
49.4%
12
50.6%
Q1 - 7:52DENFaried 3' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)13
52.9%
9
47.1%
Q1 - 7:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 7:57DENMISS Murray 10' Jump Shot11
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMcGruder 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)11
51.5%
9
48.5%
Q1 - 8:30MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
53.1%
7
46.9%
Q1 - 8:31DENWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)11
53.8%
7
46.2%
Q1 - 8:50MIADragic 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)11
55.2%
7
44.8%
Q1 - 9:00DENMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)11
56.8%
5
43.2%
Q1 - 9:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.3%
5
46.7%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Hook Shot8
52.6%
5
47.4%
Q1 - 9:29DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
51.0%
5
49.0%
Q1 - 9:30DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 9:31DENMISS Jokic 8' Turnaround Hook Shot5
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 9:47MIADragic 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)5
47.7%
5
52.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
49.1%
3
50.9%
Q1 - 9:52DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
49.8%
3
50.2%
Q1 - 10:08MIABabbitt 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)5
51.1%
3
48.9%
Q1 - 10:28DENHarris 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
52.8%
1
47.2%
Q1 - 10:34DENNuggets Rebound3
51.1%
1
48.9%
Q1 - 10:35DENWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)3
49.7%
1
50.3%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
51.1%
1
48.9%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 23
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 11:00DENJokic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)3
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 11:04DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
52.1%
0
47.9%
Q1 - 11:15DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)3
51.0%
0
49.0%
Q1 - 11:22DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Richardson 15' Jump Shot0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:33DENMurray Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)0
45.5%
0
54.5%
Q1 - 11:39DENNuggets Rebound0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Jokic: Tip to Richardson0
45.5%
0
54.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.16 58.0%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
34
62%
MIA
20
35
57%
Midrange
DEN
18
33
55%
MIA
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
MIA
13
19.5
27
48%
72%
Free Throws
DEN
23
27
85%
MIA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2969%14.5 / 21
N. Jokić1959%9.5 / 16
W. Chandler1968%9.5 / 14
E. Mudiay1765%8.5 / 13
G. Harris938%4.5 / 12
J. Murray964%4.5 / 7
K. Faried844%4.0 / 9
M. Plumlee650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2265%11.0 / 17
J. Richardson1771%8.5 / 12
H. Whiteside1653%8.0 / 15
T. Johnson1547%7.5 / 16
R. McGruder1169%5.5 / 8
J. Johnson956%4.5 / 8
L. Babbitt8100%4.0 / 4
W. Reed857%4.0 / 7
W. Ellington744%3.5 / 8
O. White0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
91
+9
-8
100
MIA
90
+10
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.16 58.0%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
108.1
DEN 117.2 +4.2
MIA 113.0
Pace
98.4
95.0
DEN 106.1 +12.3
MIA 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.7
DEN 13.6 +1.8
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
51.2%
DEN 53.4%
MIA 55.7% +2.3%
TO %
14.7%
13.2%
DEN 7.5% +2.8%
MIA 10.3%
ORB %
27.3%
24.2%
DEN 15.0%
MIA 17.1% +2.1%
FTrt
27.6
25.1
DEN 31.0 +6.9
MIA 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
54.4%
DEN 56.8%
MIA 61.9% +5.1%
STL %
7.0%
7.5%
DEN 9.1% +6.1%
MIA 3.0%
BLK %
6.3%
9.3%
DEN 10.0%
MIA 13.4% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
52.8%
DEN 58.0% +1.5%
MIA 56.5%
Rim FG%
59.4%
59.2%
DEN 61.8% +4.7%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.2%
39.4%
DEN 54.5% +18.5%
MIA 36.0%
3P %
36.8%
36.5%
DEN 25.0%
MIA 48.1% +23.1%
FT %
77.4%
70.6%
DEN 85.2% +9.0%
MIA 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
35.4%
DEN 39.1%
MIA 40.2% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
33.1%
DEN 37.9%
MIA 28.7% +9.2%
3P Att. %
32.9%
31.4%
DEN 23.0%
MIA 31.0% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points116113
Rebounds4041
Assists2526
Steals93
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals44-8742-87
At-the-Rim FG21-3420-35
Midrange FG18-339-25
2-Point FG39-6729-60
3-Point FG5-2013-27
Free Throws23-2716-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 225 · 29
37.1
29
69%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
8-12
67%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
36.8
9
38%
3
2
2
0
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-5
0%
C · 6'11" 284 · 22
35.2
19
59%
10
7
2
0
1
2
1
9
1-1
100%
9-14
64%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
27.9
9
64%
3
0
3
1
3
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
23.0
8
44%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
31.5
17
65%
4
9
0
1
2
2
0
4
9-10
90%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
31.0
19
68%
9
2
0
1
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 254 · 27
12.7
6
50%
2
1
0
2
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 22
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 35
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37
C · 7'2" 270 · 30
G · 6'5" 196 · 20
#0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
58%
40
25
9
6
8
0
6
34
23-27
85%
39-67
58%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.