FinalWin Prob.pScore
1356%103
97
2344%101
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.69187.0
DET logo DET
105.59195.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET97
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside Tip Layup Shot (17 PTS)97
94.7%
96
5.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)95
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot95
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
10.2%
96
89.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot95
19.5%
96
80.5%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETJump Ball Johnson vs. Johnson: Tip to Dragic95
46.0%
96
54.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
22.3%
96
77.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIADragic Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)93
14.1%
96
85.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)92
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)92
15.8%
94
84.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
30.6%
94
69.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
61.8%
91
38.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS McGruder 12' Jump Shot92
67.0%
91
33.0%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
74.8%
91
25.2%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot92
65.2%
91
34.8%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
74.3%
91
25.7%
Q4 - 1:33DETMISS Harris 11' Turnaround Jump Shot92
70.5%
91
29.5%
Q4 - 1:56MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)92
61.3%
91
38.7%
Q4 - 1:56MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 291
57.5%
91
42.5%
Q4 - 2:16DETJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T12)91
64.7%
91
35.3%
Q4 - 2:19DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
48.7%
91
51.3%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
53.8%
91
46.2%
Q4 - 2:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
65.2%
91
34.8%
Q4 - 2:45DETMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 291
63.1%
91
36.9%
Q4 - 2:45DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
57.0%
91
43.0%
Q4 - 2:58MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)91
59.4%
90
40.6%
Q4 - 2:58MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)90
57.5%
90
42.5%
Q4 - 3:14DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)89
53.1%
90
46.9%
Q4 - 3:14DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)89
54.7%
89
45.3%
Q4 - 3:14DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 389
56.6%
88
43.4%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMcGruder 5' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)89
59.4%
88
40.6%
Q4 - 3:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
51.6%
88
48.4%
Q4 - 3:46DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
48.6%
88
51.4%
Q4 - 4:08DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
41.4%
88
58.6%
Q4 - 4:09MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)87
44.4%
88
55.6%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
51.4%
88
48.6%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Richardson 14' Jump Shot87
44.4%
88
55.6%
Q4 - 4:34DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)87
51.4%
88
48.6%
Q4 - 4:34DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
68.9%
85
31.1%
Q4 - 4:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
74.7%
85
25.3%
Q4 - 4:41MIADrummond STEAL (2 STL)87
68.9%
85
31.1%
Q4 - 4:54DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)87
77.0%
85
23.0%
Q4 - 5:00DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
87.6%
82
12.4%
Q4 - 5:00DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
90.3%
82
9.7%
Q4 - 5:14MIAHarris STEAL (2 STL)87
85.2%
82
14.8%
Q4 - 5:27DETJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)87
89.2%
82
10.8%
Q4 - 5:39DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)87
85.3%
82
14.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 187
85.9%
82
14.1%
Q4 - 6:05DETMarc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)85
79.5%
82
20.5%
Q4 - 6:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
87.1%
79
12.9%
Q4 - 6:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
86.2%
79
13.8%
Q4 - 6:28DETJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)83
84.0%
79
16.0%
Q4 - 6:41DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
78.8%
79
21.2%
Q4 - 6:42MIABaynes BLOCK (2 BLK)83
80.5%
79
19.5%
Q4 - 7:11MIAHeat Rebound83
82.6%
79
17.4%
Q4 - 7:11DETMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
81.2%
79
18.8%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)83
77.8%
79
22.2%
Q4 - 7:43DETBaynes Dunk (4 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)80
67.3%
79
32.7%
Q4 - 7:52DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
72.6%
77
27.4%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
74.4%
77
25.6%
Q4 - 8:13DETBaynes 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)80
76.5%
77
23.5%
Q4 - 8:27MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)80
81.0%
75
19.0%
Q4 - 8:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
84.6%
75
15.4%
Q4 - 8:28MIABaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)80
82.1%
75
17.9%
Q4 - 8:53DETHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)80
84.6%
75
15.4%
Q4 - 9:15MIAJohnson Palming Turnover (P2.T9)80
89.2%
72
10.8%
Q4 - 9:32MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
91.5%
72
8.5%
Q4 - 9:34DETMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 280
91.2%
72
8.8%
Q4 - 9:34DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)80
89.7%
72
10.3%
Q4 - 9:43DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
91.4%
71
8.6%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
92.0%
71
8.0%
Q4 - 9:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 9:52DETMISS Marc Morris 5' Jump Shot80
92.7%
71
7.3%
Q4 - 10:09MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)80
90.3%
71
9.7%
Q4 - 10:26DETJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)78
88.3%
71
11.7%
Q4 - 10:31MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)78
85.5%
71
14.5%
Q4 - 10:52DETMarc Morris 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)78
88.4%
71
11.6%
Q4 - 11:14DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
89.4%
69
10.6%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot78
90.0%
69
10.0%
Q4 - 11:21MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q4 - 11:22DETMISS Baynes 3' Jump Shot78
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 11:25DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
89.4%
69
10.6%
Q4 - 11:26DETMISS Udrih 1' Layup78
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 11:42DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
89.4%
69
10.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot78
90.0%
69
10.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETMISS Marc Morris 14' Pullup Jump Shot78
89.8%
69
10.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
88.5%
69
11.5%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
89.1%
69
10.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETMISS Udrih 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
89.9%
69
10.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)78
88.6%
69
11.4%
Q3 - 1:10MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
89.6%
69
10.4%
Q3 - 1:11DETMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q3 - 1:22DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
87.6%
69
12.4%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Richardson Layup78
88.2%
69
11.8%
Q3 - 1:34MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
89.6%
69
10.4%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Udrih 9' Jump Shot78
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q3 - 1:45DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
87.6%
69
12.4%
Q3 - 1:45MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
88.2%
69
11.8%
Q3 - 2:04DETUdrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
88.6%
69
11.4%
Q3 - 2:04DETUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
88.8%
68
11.2%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)78
90.2%
67
9.8%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
89.8%
67
10.2%
Q3 - 2:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
88.6%
67
11.4%
Q3 - 2:23DETMISS Harris 14' Jump Shot76
88.0%
67
12.0%
Q3 - 2:37DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
86.5%
67
13.5%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
87.2%
67
12.8%
Q3 - 3:00MIAHeat Rebound76
88.7%
67
11.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Shot76
87.2%
67
12.8%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
88.0%
67
12.0%
Q3 - 3:19DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot76
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q3 - 3:33MIAJohnson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)76
85.9%
67
14.1%
Q3 - 3:58DETCaldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)74
83.7%
67
16.3%
Q3 - 4:15MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)74
85.1%
65
14.9%
Q3 - 4:37DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)72
83.2%
65
16.8%
Q3 - 4:43MIADrummond STEAL (1 STL)72
85.1%
63
14.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
87.5%
63
12.5%
Q3 - 4:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot72
86.8%
63
13.2%
Q3 - 5:02DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
84.5%
63
15.5%
Q3 - 5:02MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot72
85.2%
63
14.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
86.7%
63
13.3%
Q3 - 5:20DETMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
86.1%
63
13.9%
Q3 - 5:35MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T5)72
84.5%
63
15.5%
Q3 - 5:52DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)72
86.8%
63
13.2%
Q3 - 6:08MIADragic 1' Layup (23 PTS) (McGruder 4 AST)72
89.3%
60
10.7%
Q3 - 6:13DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)70
87.9%
60
12.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIABabbitt 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)70
85.9%
60
14.1%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
84.1%
60
15.9%
Q3 - 6:55DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot68
83.3%
60
16.7%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Babbitt 3 AST)68
80.8%
60
19.2%
Q3 - 7:32DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
78.7%
60
21.3%
Q3 - 7:32DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
79.4%
59
20.6%
Q3 - 7:36DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)66
80.8%
58
19.2%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS McGruder 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
81.6%
58
18.4%
Q3 - 7:57DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)66
83.4%
58
16.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)66
84.8%
56
15.2%
Q3 - 8:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 8:13DETMISS Leuer 15' Turnaround Jump Shot63
80.0%
56
20.0%
Q3 - 8:26DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
78.0%
56
22.0%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
78.9%
56
21.1%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
80.9%
56
19.1%
Q3 - 8:44DETMISS Marc Morris Tip Layup Shot63
80.0%
56
20.0%
Q3 - 8:48DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
78.0%
56
22.0%
Q3 - 8:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 263
80.5%
56
19.5%
Q3 - 8:49DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 263
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 8:50DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)63
78.0%
56
22.0%
Q3 - 8:50DETMISS Leuer 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
80.0%
56
20.0%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw Technical63
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)63
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 9:13DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)60
72.2%
56
27.8%
Q3 - 9:13DETPISTONS Rebound60
69.0%
56
31.0%
Q3 - 9:13DETMISS Drummond 5' Jump Shot60
71.2%
56
28.8%
Q3 - 9:37MIAWhiteside Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)60
69.0%
56
31.0%
Q3 - 9:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
66.0%
56
34.0%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
63.6%
56
36.4%
Q3 - 10:00DETCaldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)58
66.1%
56
33.9%
Q3 - 10:14DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q3 - 10:14DETMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot58
71.1%
54
28.9%
Q3 - 10:27MIADragic 7' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q3 - 10:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
66.0%
54
34.0%
Q3 - 10:41DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 14' Jump Shot56
65.0%
54
35.0%
Q3 - 10:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)56
62.5%
54
37.5%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot56
63.6%
54
36.4%
Q3 - 11:06DETSmith 14' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)56
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 11:31DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
69.0%
52
31.0%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 256
69.4%
52
30.6%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)56
71.0%
52
29.0%
Q3 - 11:46DETDrummond Layup (6 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)55
69.2%
52
30.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET55
71.9%
50
28.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound55
71.9%
50
28.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 56' 3PT Jump Shot55
73.9%
50
26.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMcGruder Layup (9 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)55
72.0%
50
28.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMcGruder 10' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)53
66.4%
50
33.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0DETCaldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)51
62.5%
50
37.5%
Q2 - 1:13DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
66.5%
48
33.5%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 3 of 351
66.6%
48
33.4%
Q2 - 1:14MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)51
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q2 - 1:14MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)50
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q2 - 1:26DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)49
62.1%
48
37.9%
Q2 - 1:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)49
66.5%
46
33.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot49
66.9%
46
33.1%
Q2 - 1:45DETHarris 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
67.9%
46
32.1%
Q2 - 2:04MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)49
70.9%
44
29.1%
Q2 - 2:21DETHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)47
68.2%
44
31.8%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMcGruder 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q2 - 2:55DETSmith 10' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)45
70.8%
41
29.2%
Q2 - 3:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)45
72.8%
39
27.2%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot45
73.6%
39
26.4%
Q2 - 3:32DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
75.4%
39
24.6%
Q2 - 3:32DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
76.0%
38
24.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)45
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
75.5%
37
24.5%
Q2 - 3:59DETMISS Drummond 1' Reverse Layup43
74.7%
37
25.3%
Q2 - 4:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)43
72.6%
37
27.4%
Q2 - 4:10DETMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot43
74.1%
37
25.9%
Q2 - 4:28MIADragic Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
72.6%
37
27.4%
Q2 - 4:47DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
70.3%
37
29.7%
Q2 - 4:53DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
74.8%
35
25.2%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot41
73.2%
35
26.8%
Q2 - 5:17DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)41
74.8%
35
25.2%
Q2 - 5:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
72.4%
35
27.6%
Q2 - 5:19DETMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot41
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q2 - 5:41MIADragic 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)41
72.4%
35
27.6%
Q2 - 5:56DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Leuer 2 AST)39
70.3%
35
29.7%
Q2 - 6:01MIALeuer STEAL (1 STL)39
72.0%
33
28.0%
Q2 - 6:22DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
74.7%
33
25.3%
Q2 - 6:32DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
76.2%
31
23.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
77.0%
31
23.0%
Q2 - 6:40DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)39
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 6:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
76.3%
31
23.7%
Q2 - 6:52MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
75.6%
31
24.4%
Q2 - 7:06DETJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)37
74.1%
31
25.9%
Q2 - 7:20MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS)37
77.8%
28
22.2%
Q2 - 7:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
76.1%
28
23.9%
Q2 - 7:43DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot35
75.5%
28
24.5%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
74.0%
28
26.0%
Q2 - 7:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
69.9%
28
30.1%
Q2 - 8:00DETMISS Leuer 9' Jump Bank Shot32
69.2%
28
30.8%
Q2 - 8:13DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Whiteside Layup32
67.9%
28
32.1%
Q2 - 8:25DETHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T4)32
69.6%
28
30.4%
Q2 - 8:35MIAReed 1' Layup (6 PTS)32
67.2%
28
32.8%
Q2 - 8:38MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
65.0%
28
35.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup30
63.3%
28
36.7%
Q2 - 9:03DETUdrih 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
64.9%
28
35.1%
Q2 - 9:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
66.9%
26
33.1%
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Reed 9' Jump Shot30
67.7%
26
32.3%
Q2 - 9:33DETUdrih 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
69.4%
26
30.6%
Q2 - 9:50MIAEllington 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
71.2%
24
28.8%
Q2 - 10:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
69.1%
24
30.9%
Q2 - 10:03DETMISS Harris 7' Jump Shot28
68.4%
24
31.6%
Q2 - 10:25MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
66.6%
24
33.4%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw Technical27
67.0%
24
33.0%
Q2 - 10:25MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)27
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q2 - 10:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q2 - 10:29DETMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAJohnson 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
62.1%
24
37.9%
Q2 - 11:06MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
59.9%
24
40.1%
Q2 - 11:06DETMISS Marc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 11:14DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q2 - 11:36MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
59.9%
24
40.1%
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS Baynes 1' Layup24
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 11:40DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q2 - 11:40DETMISS Baynes 1' Layup24
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET24
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
57.5%
24
42.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Johnson Layup24
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETMarc Morris Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
57.7%
24
42.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot24
58.2%
24
41.8%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETHarris Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST)24
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q1 - 1:04MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
62.3%
22
37.7%
Q1 - 1:10MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
63.9%
22
36.1%
Q1 - 1:10DETMISS Udrih 14' Pullup Jump Shot24
63.4%
22
36.6%
Q1 - 1:20MIAReed 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)24
62.3%
22
37.7%
Q1 - 1:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
59.5%
22
40.5%
Q1 - 1:29DETMISS Marc Morris 12' Jump Shot22
59.0%
22
41.0%
Q1 - 1:52DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
57.8%
22
42.2%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 222
58.0%
22
42.0%
Q1 - 1:53MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q1 - 1:57DETHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
57.2%
22
42.8%
Q1 - 2:03MIAUdrih STEAL (1 STL)21
55.6%
22
44.4%
Q1 - 2:15MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
57.7%
22
42.3%
Q1 - 2:15DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
57.1%
22
42.9%
Q1 - 2:36DETUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
55.6%
22
44.4%
Q1 - 2:37MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
56.2%
22
43.8%
Q1 - 3:04DETHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)21
58.0%
22
42.0%
Q1 - 3:15DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 3:15DETMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot21
63.7%
19
36.3%
Q1 - 3:41MIAReed Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)21
62.1%
19
37.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
60.1%
19
39.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot19
58.5%
19
41.5%
Q1 - 4:00DETHarris Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)19
60.1%
19
39.9%
Q1 - 4:04DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 4:04DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
63.6%
17
36.4%
Q1 - 4:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 4:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot19
63.6%
17
36.4%
Q1 - 4:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
61.9%
17
38.1%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Reed 1' Layup19
62.7%
17
37.3%
Q1 - 4:31DETJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
64.4%
17
35.6%
Q1 - 4:43DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
66.0%
15
34.0%
Q1 - 4:43MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)19
66.7%
15
33.3%
Q1 - 5:04DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)19
67.8%
15
32.2%
Q1 - 5:04DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)19
68.1%
14
31.9%
Q1 - 5:04DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)19
68.4%
13
31.6%
Q1 - 5:17MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Babbitt 2 AST)19
71.2%
12
28.8%
Q1 - 5:42DETDrummond 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)16
67.9%
12
32.1%
Q1 - 6:04MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)16
69.0%
10
31.0%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 315
68.6%
10
31.4%
Q1 - 6:04MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)15
69.9%
10
30.1%
Q1 - 6:10DETDrummond 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 6:18DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 6:18DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
70.3%
8
29.7%
Q1 - 6:39MIADragic Layup (5 PTS)14
69.0%
8
31.0%
Q1 - 6:46MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
67.4%
8
32.6%
Q1 - 6:47DETMISS Marc Morris 1' Layup12
66.8%
8
33.2%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMcGruder Backcourt Turnover (P1.T1)12
65.1%
8
34.9%
Q1 - 7:20DETSmith 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
67.2%
8
32.8%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)12
68.5%
6
31.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
67.2%
6
32.8%
Q1 - 7:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 21' Jump Shot10
66.6%
6
33.4%
Q1 - 7:56DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
65.2%
6
34.8%
Q1 - 7:57DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Layup10
66.6%
6
33.4%
Q1 - 8:14MIARichardson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)10
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
64.0%
6
36.0%
Q1 - 8:30DETMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
63.4%
6
36.6%
Q1 - 8:35DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 8:36DETMISS Drummond 7' Hook Shot8
63.4%
6
36.6%
Q1 - 9:02MIAWhiteside Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
61.9%
6
38.1%
Q1 - 9:12DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 9:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 9:15DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 9:22DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
58.3%
6
41.7%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 9:45DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 9:45DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
60.8%
5
39.2%
Q1 - 9:52DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 9:52MIALeuer BLOCK (1 BLK)6
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 9:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
64.1%
4
35.9%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot6
62.6%
4
37.4%
Q1 - 10:11MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
63.8%
4
36.2%
Q1 - 10:12DETMISS Smith 10' Jump Bank Shot6
63.2%
4
36.8%
Q1 - 10:33MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)6
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 10:52DETMarc Morris 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 11:01DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot3
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 11:21DETCaldwell-Pope 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)3
61.9%
2
38.1%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMcGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)3
63.7%
0
36.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to McGruder0
60.2%
0
39.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.3%
DET
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
29
62%
DET
17
27
63%
Midrange
MIA
13
29
45%
DET
11
31
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
DET
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
20
28
71%
DET
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2870%14.0 / 20
H. Whiteside1757%8.5 / 15
J. Johnson1662%8.0 / 13
R. McGruder1267%6.0 / 9
J. Richardson938%4.5 / 12
W. Reed660%3.0 / 5
L. Babbitt583%2.5 / 3
T. Johnson213%1.0 / 8
W. Ellington225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope2552%12.5 / 24
I. Smith1959%9.5 / 16
T. Harris1963%9.5 / 15
A. Drummond956%4.5 / 8
M. Morris735%3.5 / 10
B. Udrih643%3.0 / 7
S. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
A. Baynes440%2.0 / 5
J. Leuer225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+12
-12
91
DET
79
+18
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.3%
DET
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.0
MIA 106.6 +1.1
DET 105.5
Pace
95.0
95.0
MIA 87.0
DET 95.4 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
MIA 16.6
DET 15.1 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
49.2%
MIA 48.7% +1.6%
DET 47.1%
TO %
13.2%
11.9%
MIA 12.5%
DET 12.1% +0.4%
ORB %
24.2%
24.1%
MIA 23.9%
DET 32.7% +8.8%
FTrt
25.1
21.8
MIA 35.4 +10.7
DET 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
53.0%
MIA 50.0%
DET 55.6% +5.6%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 5.5%
DET 7.7% +2.2%
BLK %
9.3%
6.6%
MIA 6.9%
DET 8.6% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.8%
MIA 53.3% +4.3%
DET 49.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.3%
MIA 62.1%
DET 63.0% +0.9%
Mid FG%
39.4%
42.6%
MIA 44.8% +9.3%
DET 35.5%
3P %
36.5%
33.0%
MIA 23.8%
DET 29.6% +5.8%
FT %
70.6%
71.9%
MIA 71.4%
DET 76.2% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
30.9%
MIA 36.7% +4.9%
DET 31.8%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
42.8%
MIA 36.7%
DET 36.5% +0.2%
3P Att. %
31.4%
26.3%
MIA 26.6%
DET 31.8% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9796
Rebounds4451
Assists1820
Steals57
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)35 (0)
Field Goals36-7936-85
At-the-Rim FG18-2917-27
Midrange FG13-2911-31
2-Point FG31-5828-58
3-Point FG5-218-27
Free Throws20-2816-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
34.5
28
70%
4
4
0
1
1
3
1
3
9-13
69%
8-12
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
33.2
12
67%
6
4
2
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 200 · 24
33.0
9
38%
5
4
1
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
30.1
17
57%
9
1
0
1
1
3
4
5
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
13.7
5
83%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
32.9
16
62%
6
2
0
0
4
0
1
5
5-6
83%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
24.7
2
13%
4
0
0
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
17.4
2
25%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
16.4
6
60%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
4.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
44
18
5
4
12
0
11
33
20-28
71%
31-58
53%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.