FinalWin Prob.pScore
848%110
125
1552%111
117
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
123.8101103.1
IND logo IND
115.810199.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND125
100%
117
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)125
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)124
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDEllis 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)123
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENPlumlee Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)123
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENMISS Plumlee Free Throw 1 of 2122
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)122
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot122
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)122
99.8%
114
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)121
99.8%
114
0.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)120
99.6%
114
0.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 1120
99.9%
111
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)120
99.7%
111
0.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)119
99.7%
111
0.3%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)118
99.5%
111
0.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)118
99.1%
111
0.9%
Q4 - 1:08INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)118
98.9%
111
1.1%
Q4 - 1:15DENJokic 9' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)118
99.5%
108
0.5%
Q4 - 1:28INDPACERS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#13)116
99.0%
108
1.0%
Q4 - 1:28DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)116
98.2%
108
1.8%
Q4 - 1:47INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)113
93.7%
108
6.3%
Q4 - 1:58DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)113
97.5%
105
2.5%
Q4 - 1:58DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)112
97.3%
105
2.7%
Q4 - 2:15INDTeague 11' Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)111
96.0%
105
4.0%
Q4 - 2:37INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)111
96.8%
103
3.2%
Q4 - 2:38DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
97.4%
103
2.6%
Q4 - 2:58DENChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)111
97.6%
103
2.4%
Q4 - 2:59DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
96.5%
103
3.5%
Q4 - 3:18INDTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (George 3 AST)111
97.7%
103
2.3%
Q4 - 3:26INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)111
98.8%
100
1.2%
Q4 - 3:26DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.0%
100
1.0%
Q4 - 3:44INDTeague 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)111
98.6%
100
1.4%
Q4 - 3:51INDPACERS Rebound111
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 3:51INDMISS Ellis 4' Driving Layup111
99.3%
98
0.7%
Q4 - 4:03DENHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T13)111
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 4:28INDTurner 5' Cutting Dunk Shot (17 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)111
99.4%
98
0.6%
Q4 - 4:32INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)111
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 4:33DENMISS Jokic 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 4:49DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)111
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 4:51DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.6%
96
0.4%
Q4 - 5:14DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)111
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 5:15INDMISS George 17' Pullup Jump Shot111
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 5:26INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 5:26DENMISS Gallinari 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot111
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 5:47DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)111
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 5:48INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 5:57DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)111
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 5:57DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)110
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 6:06INDGeorge 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)109
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 6:14INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)109
99.0%
93
1.0%
Q4 - 6:15DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 6:30INDGeorge 4' Driving Dunk (21 PTS)109
99.3%
93
0.7%
Q4 - 6:49DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)109
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 6:49DENChandler 3' Putback Layup (24 PTS)109
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 6:50DENMISS Chandler 1' Tip Layup Shot107
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 6:50DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 6:51DENMISS Jokic 3' Jump Shot107
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 7:12INDGeorge 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)107
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 7:17INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 7:19DENTurner BLOCK (4 BLK)107
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 7:35INDGeorge 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)107
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 7:43INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 7:43DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 2107
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 7:43DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)107
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 7:57INDTeague 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)106
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 8:03DENPlumlee Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)106
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 8:03DENPlumlee Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)105
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 8:23INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)104
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 8:29INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)104
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 8:32DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 8:54INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)104
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 8:54INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)104
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 9:06DENPlumlee 2' Dunk (6 PTS)104
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 9:19INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)102
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 9:19INDMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 9:31DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)102
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 9:31DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)101
99.4%
80
0.6%
Q4 - 9:42INDTurner 16' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)100
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 10:01DENBarton 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)100
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 10:25INDMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)98
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 10:36DENFaried 1' Cutting Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)98
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 10:49DENNuggets Rebound96
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 10:49DENTeague BLOCK (1 BLK)96
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 10:54DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 10:54INDMISS Teague 5' Running Jump Shot96
99.2%
75
0.8%
Q4 - 11:10INDAllen REBOUND (Off:7 Def:1)96
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 11:12INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.0%
75
1.0%
Q4 - 11:22DENMurray 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)96
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 11:44INDJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)94
98.6%
75
1.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN94
98.2%
75
1.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound94
98.6%
75
1.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Faried 79' 3PT Jump Shot94
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
98.2%
75
1.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDMISS Brooks 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot94
98.0%
75
2.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENPlumlee Foul Turnover (P1.T12)94
97.8%
75
2.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
98.2%
75
1.8%
Q3 - 0:17.0INDMISS Jefferson 4' Jump Shot94
98.1%
75
1.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENPlumlee Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)94
97.8%
75
2.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0DENPlumlee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)93
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
97.3%
75
2.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0INDMISS Brooks 19' Jump Shot92
97.1%
75
2.9%
Q3 - 1:14DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)92
96.0%
75
4.0%
Q3 - 1:14DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)91
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q3 - 1:26INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)90
95.2%
75
4.8%
Q3 - 1:26INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)90
95.4%
74
4.6%
Q3 - 1:29INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
96.0%
73
4.0%
Q3 - 1:30DENAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)90
96.3%
73
3.7%
Q3 - 1:48INDStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T10)90
96.7%
73
3.3%
Q3 - 1:57DENMurray Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T11)90
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q3 - 2:04INDBrooks Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)90
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q3 - 2:14INDAllen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)90
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q3 - 2:15INDMISS Miles 4' Driving Layup90
95.8%
73
4.2%
Q3 - 2:21INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q3 - 2:22DENMISS Barton 12' Turnaround Jump Shot90
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q3 - 2:41INDBrooks Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)90
96.1%
73
3.9%
Q3 - 2:49DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (7 PTS)90
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q3 - 2:50DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
94.5%
73
5.5%
Q3 - 2:51DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
93.7%
73
6.3%
Q3 - 3:00DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
94.5%
73
5.5%
Q3 - 3:01INDMISS Brooks 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
93.5%
73
6.5%
Q3 - 3:16DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)88
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q3 - 3:16DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)87
92.3%
73
7.7%
Q3 - 3:30INDBrooks 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)86
91.5%
73
8.5%
Q3 - 3:38INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q3 - 3:38DENMISS Nelson 19' Step Back Jump Shot86
94.1%
70
5.9%
Q3 - 3:47DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)86
94.8%
70
5.2%
Q3 - 3:48INDMISS Allen 4' Turnaround Hook Shot86
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q3 - 3:51INDAllen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)86
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q3 - 3:51INDMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q3 - 3:57INDAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)86
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q3 - 3:58INDMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot86
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q3 - 4:13DENNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
93.1%
70
6.9%
Q3 - 4:13DENMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 285
92.9%
70
7.1%
Q3 - 4:25INDBrooks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)85
93.3%
70
6.7%
Q3 - 4:37INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
95.0%
67
5.0%
Q3 - 4:37DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
95.3%
67
4.7%
Q3 - 4:54INDTurner 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brooks 1 AST)85
95.9%
67
4.1%
Q3 - 5:10DENJokic 8' Jump Shot (23 PTS)85
96.0%
65
4.0%
Q3 - 5:23DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q3 - 5:24DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 5:38DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)83
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q3 - 5:39INDMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot83
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q3 - 5:55INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
94.5%
65
5.5%
Q3 - 5:56DENMISS Jokic 19' Jump Shot83
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 6:09INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)83
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q3 - 6:26DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)83
96.1%
62
3.9%
Q3 - 6:36INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)80
94.8%
62
5.2%
Q3 - 6:53INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
93.9%
62
6.1%
Q3 - 6:53DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
94.2%
62
5.8%
Q3 - 7:04INDTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)80
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q3 - 7:19DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 7:19DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)79
93.1%
62
6.9%
Q3 - 7:29INDEllis 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)78
92.4%
62
7.6%
Q3 - 7:44DENChandler 1' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)78
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q3 - 7:55DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)76
92.4%
60
7.6%
Q3 - 7:55INDMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot76
92.0%
60
8.0%
Q3 - 8:17DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
90.6%
60
9.4%
Q3 - 8:17DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
90.4%
60
9.6%
Q3 - 8:17DENNuggets Rebound74
89.4%
60
10.6%
Q3 - 8:18INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot74
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 8:29DENHarris Foul Turnover (P3.T10)74
87.6%
60
12.4%
Q3 - 8:39INDYoung 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)74
89.5%
60
10.5%
Q3 - 8:53DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
90.6%
58
9.4%
Q3 - 8:53DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
90.4%
58
9.6%
Q3 - 9:04DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
88.4%
58
11.6%
Q3 - 9:05INDMISS George 12' Pullup Jump Shot72
87.9%
58
12.1%
Q3 - 9:13INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
86.8%
58
13.2%
Q3 - 9:14DENTurner BLOCK (3 BLK)72
87.3%
58
12.7%
Q3 - 9:26DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)72
88.5%
58
11.5%
Q3 - 9:26INDMISS Young 6' Hook Shot72
88.0%
58
12.0%
Q3 - 9:43DENChandler 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS)72
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 10:01DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)70
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 10:01INDMISS Teague 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup70
83.9%
58
16.1%
Q3 - 10:11INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 10:12DENMISS Chandler 12' Jump Shot70
83.0%
58
17.0%
Q3 - 10:21DENJokic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)70
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 10:23DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
83.1%
58
16.9%
Q3 - 10:36INDYoung 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)70
84.5%
58
15.5%
Q3 - 10:47DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)70
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 10:59INDYoung 2' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)66
75.6%
58
24.4%
Q3 - 11:04DENTurner STEAL (2 STL)66
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 11:16INDTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q3 - 11:35DENChandler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN64
82.0%
53
18.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound64
82.0%
53
18.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
80.5%
53
19.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDTeague 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)64
80.7%
53
19.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENJokic 5' Driving Bank Shot (21 PTS)64
83.3%
51
16.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0INDTeague 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)62
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENTeague STEAL (2 STL)62
83.3%
49
16.7%
Q2 - 1:01INDTurner 4' Layup (8 PTS)62
83.6%
49
16.4%
Q2 - 1:32INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
86.1%
47
13.9%
Q2 - 1:33DENMISS Jokic 4' Jump Shot62
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q2 - 1:51INDGeorge 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
86.9%
47
13.1%
Q2 - 2:07DENJokic 13' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)62
87.9%
45
12.1%
Q2 - 2:15DENNuggets Rebound60
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q2 - 2:17DENTurner BLOCK (2 BLK)60
85.5%
45
14.5%
Q2 - 2:31INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q2 - 2:31INDMiles 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)60
86.4%
45
13.6%
Q2 - 2:32INDMISS Turner 13' Jump Shot60
88.8%
43
11.2%
Q2 - 2:47DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
88.0%
43
12.0%
Q2 - 2:47DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
87.8%
43
12.2%
Q2 - 2:50DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)58
86.4%
43
13.6%
Q2 - 2:51DENMISS Jokic 4' Putback Layup58
85.5%
43
14.5%
Q2 - 2:53DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
86.4%
43
13.6%
Q2 - 2:55DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
85.5%
43
14.5%
Q2 - 3:05DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
85.6%
43
14.4%
Q2 - 3:06INDMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
85.1%
43
14.9%
Q2 - 3:30DENJokic 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)58
83.9%
43
16.1%
Q2 - 3:44DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)56
82.5%
43
17.5%
Q2 - 3:45INDMISS Young 6' Jump Shot56
81.9%
43
18.1%
Q2 - 4:02DENBarton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
79.5%
43
20.5%
Q2 - 4:10DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)54
77.6%
43
22.4%
Q2 - 4:11INDMISS George 14' Jump Shot54
77.0%
43
23.0%
Q2 - 4:20DENJokic 4' Layup (15 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)54
75.6%
43
24.4%
Q2 - 4:34DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)52
73.5%
43
26.5%
Q2 - 4:35INDMISS Turner 3' Jump Shot52
72.8%
43
27.2%
Q2 - 4:47DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
71.2%
43
28.8%
Q2 - 4:47DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
70.8%
43
29.2%
Q2 - 4:58DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
68.8%
43
31.2%
Q2 - 4:58INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot50
68.0%
43
32.0%
Q2 - 5:06DENGallinari Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)50
65.9%
43
34.1%
Q2 - 5:23INDGeorge 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
63.5%
43
36.5%
Q2 - 5:42DENJokic 4' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)48
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q2 - 5:50DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
63.5%
41
36.5%
Q2 - 5:50INDMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot46
62.7%
41
37.3%
Q2 - 6:02INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q2 - 6:02INDMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot46
62.5%
41
37.5%
Q2 - 6:17DENBarton 3' Running Dunk (6 PTS)46
60.2%
41
39.8%
Q2 - 6:22INDStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)44
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q2 - 6:30INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
54.9%
41
45.1%
Q2 - 6:30DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
56.0%
41
44.0%
Q2 - 6:45DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
58.3%
41
41.7%
Q2 - 6:45INDMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot44
57.3%
41
42.7%
Q2 - 7:00DENEllis STEAL (2 STL)44
55.0%
41
45.0%
Q2 - 7:18INDEllis 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
57.8%
41
42.2%
Q2 - 7:29DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)44
60.1%
39
39.9%
Q2 - 7:39DENNuggets Rebound41
55.2%
39
44.8%
Q2 - 7:39DENAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)41
53.2%
39
46.8%
Q2 - 7:45INDEllis 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
55.2%
39
44.8%
Q2 - 8:03INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
57.1%
37
42.9%
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Barton 20' Jump Shot41
58.0%
37
42.0%
Q2 - 8:25INDAllen 2' Layup (4 PTS)41
59.9%
37
40.1%
Q2 - 8:32INDAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
62.1%
35
37.9%
Q2 - 8:33INDMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot41
63.9%
35
36.1%
Q2 - 8:50DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)41
62.2%
35
37.8%
Q2 - 9:06INDBrooks 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q2 - 9:12INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
61.7%
32
38.3%
Q2 - 9:13DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
62.5%
32
37.5%
Q2 - 9:26INDJefferson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
64.3%
32
35.7%
Q2 - 9:44INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
66.4%
30
33.6%
Q2 - 9:44DENMISS Murray 13' Jump Shot38
67.1%
30
32.9%
Q2 - 10:04INDBrooks 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
68.4%
30
31.6%
Q2 - 10:15INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
70.2%
28
29.8%
Q2 - 10:15DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
71.0%
28
29.0%
Q2 - 10:24INDJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)38
72.6%
28
27.4%
Q2 - 10:41DENBarton 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
70.3%
28
29.7%
Q2 - 10:47DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
68.5%
28
31.5%
Q2 - 10:48INDMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot36
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q2 - 11:08DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
65.5%
28
34.5%
Q2 - 11:08DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 11:18INDJefferson 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
63.4%
28
36.6%
Q2 - 11:33INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
65.5%
26
34.5%
Q2 - 11:33DENMISS Plumlee 12' Jump Shot34
66.2%
26
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND34
67.8%
26
32.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound34
65.6%
26
34.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Stuckey 21' Turnaround Jump Shot34
67.1%
26
32.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
65.4%
26
34.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0INDMISS Brooks 11' Fadeaway Jumper34
66.4%
26
33.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENChandler 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Plumlee 1 AST)34
65.4%
26
34.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDEllis 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)32
62.6%
26
37.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0INDMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot32
66.5%
24
33.5%
Q1 - 1:11INDJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
65.3%
24
34.7%
Q1 - 1:11DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q1 - 1:33INDTeague 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)32
66.8%
24
33.2%
Q1 - 1:54DENPlumlee 4' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)32
69.4%
22
30.6%
Q1 - 2:04DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
67.0%
22
33.0%
Q1 - 2:05INDMISS Teague 5' Jump Shot30
66.4%
22
33.6%
Q1 - 2:21DENNelson 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)30
65.1%
22
34.9%
Q1 - 2:37INDAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)28
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q1 - 2:45INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
65.1%
20
34.9%
Q1 - 2:46DENTurner BLOCK (1 BLK)28
65.7%
20
34.3%
Q1 - 2:58DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
67.0%
20
33.0%
Q1 - 2:59INDMISS Turner 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
66.4%
20
33.6%
Q1 - 3:14INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q1 - 3:14DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
65.0%
20
35.0%
Q1 - 3:34INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q1 - 3:34INDTurner 1' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)28
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q1 - 3:36INDMISS Ellis 2' Running Layup28
69.9%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 3:41DENGeorge STEAL (3 STL)28
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 3:51INDTurner 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Young 1 AST)28
70.5%
18
29.5%
Q1 - 3:57DENGeorge STEAL (2 STL)28
72.2%
16
27.8%
Q1 - 4:04DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
73.7%
16
26.3%
Q1 - 4:04INDMISS George 19' Step Back Jump Shot28
73.1%
16
26.9%
Q1 - 4:22DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 4:22DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)28
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 4:23DENMISS Gallinari 9' Fadeaway Jumper26
68.6%
16
31.4%
Q1 - 4:33DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 4:35INDMISS Teague 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
69.5%
16
30.5%
Q1 - 4:42DENEllis STEAL (1 STL)26
67.9%
16
32.1%
Q1 - 4:51INDEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 2 AST)26
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 5:07DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)26
72.2%
13
27.8%
Q1 - 5:10DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 5:11INDMISS Teague 10' Jump Shot23
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 5:28DENChandler 3' Dunk (10 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)23
67.0%
13
33.0%
Q1 - 5:37DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
65.3%
13
34.7%
Q1 - 5:37INDMISS Ellis 4' Driving Layup21
64.6%
13
35.4%
Q1 - 5:49INDJump Ball Turner vs. Jokic: Tip to Young21
63.2%
13
36.8%
Q1 - 5:49DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
65.3%
13
34.7%
Q1 - 5:50INDMISS Miles 13' Turnaround Jump Shot21
64.7%
13
35.3%
Q1 - 6:07DENJokic 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)21
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 6:21DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
60.6%
13
39.4%
Q1 - 6:21INDMISS Turner 20' Jump Shot19
60.0%
13
40.0%
Q1 - 6:39INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
58.5%
13
41.5%
Q1 - 6:40DENMISS Gallinari 16' Pullup Jump Shot19
59.2%
13
40.8%
Q1 - 6:50INDYoung 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)19
60.6%
13
39.4%
Q1 - 6:54DENGeorge STEAL (1 STL)19
62.4%
11
37.6%
Q1 - 6:55DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
64.4%
11
35.6%
Q1 - 6:56INDMISS George 12' Jump Shot19
63.8%
11
36.2%
Q1 - 7:16DENHarris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)19
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 7:31DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
58.2%
11
41.8%
Q1 - 7:31INDMISS George Free Throw 2 of 216
57.9%
11
42.1%
Q1 - 7:31INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)16
56.5%
11
43.5%
Q1 - 7:46DENChandler 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)16
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 7:51INDTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 8:06DENHarris 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)14
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 8:14INDTurner 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)12
52.7%
10
47.3%
Q1 - 8:31DENJokic 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)12
54.4%
8
45.6%
Q1 - 8:42INDTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 8:54DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 8:54DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
50.4%
8
49.6%
Q1 - 9:01INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 9:11INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 9:12DENMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot8
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 9:31INDGeorge 12' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)8
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 9:45DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)8
54.1%
4
45.9%
Q1 - 10:01DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
50.5%
4
49.5%
Q1 - 10:02INDMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 10:06INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:06INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 10:14DENTeague STEAL (1 STL)5
48.5%
4
51.5%
Q1 - 10:33INDGeorge 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
50.5%
4
49.5%
Q1 - 10:40DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)5
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 11:05INDTeague 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)2
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 11:19DENGallinari 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)2
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 11:37DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 11:37INDMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Turner vs. Jokic: Tip to Young0
46.8%
0
53.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.1%
IND
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
30
67%
IND
19
29
66%
Midrange
DEN
12
25
48%
IND
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
IND
13
19.5
24
54%
81%
Free Throws
DEN
40
43
93%
IND
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić3075%15.0 / 20
W. Chandler2475%12.0 / 16
D. Gallinari2150%10.5 / 21
G. Harris10125%5.0 / 4
W. Barton1042%5.0 / 12
M. Plumlee964%4.5 / 7
K. Faried964%4.5 / 7
J. Nelson643%3.0 / 7
J. Murray638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2764%13.5 / 21
J. Teague2162%10.5 / 17
M. Turner2063%10.0 / 16
M. Ellis1785%8.5 / 10
A. Brooks1169%5.5 / 8
C. Miles739%3.5 / 9
T. Young660%3.0 / 5
L. Allen440%2.0 / 5
A. Jefferson433%2.0 / 6
R. Stuckey0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+16
-13
104
IND
89
+13
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.20 60.1%
IND
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
108.8
DEN 123.8 +7.9
IND 115.8
Pace
98.4
95.9
DEN 103.1 +4.1
IND 99.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.1
DEN 14.0 +0.6
IND 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
51.6%
DEN 51.8%
IND 57.4% +5.6%
TO %
14.7%
13.7%
DEN 11.4% +0.1%
IND 11.5%
ORB %
27.3%
21.3%
DEN 28.2% +3.8%
IND 24.4%
FTrt
27.6
26.1
DEN 52.4 +40.8
IND 11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
57.2%
DEN 59.0% +19.4%
IND 39.6%
STL %
7.0%
8.4%
DEN 7.9%
IND 8.9% +1.0%
BLK %
6.3%
9.0%
DEN 5.6%
IND 14.5% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
54.5%
DEN 60.1% +3.3%
IND 56.8%
Rim FG%
59.4%
59.1%
DEN 66.7% +1.2%
IND 65.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.1%
DEN 48.0% +9.9%
IND 38.1%
3P %
36.8%
37.6%
DEN 25.9%
IND 54.2% +28.3%
FT %
77.4%
81.0%
DEN 93.0% +20.3%
IND 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
32.9%
DEN 36.6% +6.1%
IND 30.5%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
39.9%
DEN 30.5% +13.7%
IND 44.2%
3P Att. %
32.9%
27.2%
DEN 32.9% +7.7%
IND 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points125117
Rebounds4539
Assists2319
Steals89
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)28 (0)
Field Goals39-8248-95
At-the-Rim FG20-3019-29
Midrange FG12-2516-42
2-Point FG32-5535-71
3-Point FG7-2713-24
Free Throws40-438-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 225 · 29
35.1
21
50%
11
2
1
2
1
0
1
10
17-18
94%
2-6
33%
0-6
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
34.8
24
75%
4
2
0
2
1
2
3
1
1-1
100%
7-11
64%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 284 · 22
34.4
30
75%
16
5
1
0
4
2
4
12
5-5
100%
11-16
69%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 35
33.3
6
43%
2
6
1
0
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
30.1
10
125%
2
2
1
0
4
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26
23.6
10
42%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
16.9
6
38%
1
3
1
0
1
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
F-C · 6'10" 254 · 27
16.0
9
64%
2
1
2
0
1
3
0
2
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
15.6
9
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
C · 7'2" 270 · 30
#3 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · G · 6'5" 196 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
60%
45
23
8
4
13
0
11
34
40-43
93%
32-55
58%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.