FinalWin Prob.pScore
2038%101
101
1362%105
84
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
107.494102.0
MIA logo MIA
90.39386.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR101
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Reed 14' Jump Shot101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0TORWright 1' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)101
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0TORRaptors Rebound99
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0TORMISS VanVleet 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 299
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)99
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18TORTucker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34TORTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)96
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 196
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49TORDeRozan 6' Floating Jump Shot (40 PTS)96
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:51TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:52TORMISS DeRozan 14' Turnaround Jump Shot94
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:12TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:13MIAMISS Johnson 2' Running Layup94
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:19TORJohnson STEAL (2 STL)94
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 2:26TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)94
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (38 PTS)94
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 2:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (37 PTS)93
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 2:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)92
98.4%
81
1.6%
Q4 - 3:14TORMISS Joseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 3:19TORTucker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
99.1%
81
0.9%
Q4 - 3:20TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 3:38TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
98.0%
81
2.0%
Q4 - 3:39TORMISS Tucker 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.4%
81
2.6%
Q4 - 3:48TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
98.1%
81
1.9%
Q4 - 3:49TORWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)92
97.5%
81
2.5%
Q4 - 4:05MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)92
98.2%
81
1.8%
Q4 - 4:22TORPoeltl 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)92
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 4:23TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 4:24TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot90
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 4:39MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)90
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 4:44TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)90
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIARichardson 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)90
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 5:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 5:09TORJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)90
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 5:25TORTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 290
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 5:26MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)90
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 5:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 5:33TORRichardson BLOCK (2 BLK)90
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 5:49MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T17)90
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 5:58TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (36 PTS)90
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 6:23TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 6:24MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 188
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 6:51TORPowell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tucker 3 AST)88
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 6:56TORTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
98.3%
71
1.7%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 7:12TORWright 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)85
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q4 - 7:33TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
95.7%
71
4.3%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot83
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q4 - 7:45MIAHEAT Rebound83
94.3%
71
5.7%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup83
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q4 - 7:54TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)83
94.3%
71
5.7%
Q4 - 7:54TORRaptors Rebound83
95.7%
71
4.3%
Q4 - 7:55TORMISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot83
94.8%
71
5.2%
Q4 - 8:17TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
94.4%
71
5.6%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
93.9%
71
6.1%
Q4 - 8:31TORPowell 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)83
92.9%
71
7.1%
Q4 - 8:41MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)81
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q4 - 8:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
88.7%
71
11.3%
Q4 - 8:51TORJohnson BLOCK (4 BLK)81
89.5%
71
10.5%
Q4 - 9:05MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)81
89.5%
71
10.5%
Q4 - 9:15MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
93.2%
68
6.8%
Q4 - 9:16TORMISS Patterson 2' Layup81
93.7%
68
6.3%
Q4 - 9:17TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
94.6%
68
5.4%
Q4 - 9:18TORJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)81
93.7%
68
6.3%
Q4 - 9:41TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
94.7%
68
5.3%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Johnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot81
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q4 - 10:00TORPoeltl 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Tucker 2 AST)81
93.3%
68
6.7%
Q4 - 10:21TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
90.3%
68
9.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot79
89.6%
68
10.4%
Q4 - 10:42TORPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)79
87.9%
68
12.1%
Q4 - 10:42TORPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)78
87.5%
68
12.5%
Q4 - 10:51TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
85.5%
68
14.5%
Q4 - 10:52TORMISS Wright 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup77
83.2%
68
16.8%
Q4 - 11:06TORRaptors Rebound77
83.9%
68
16.1%
Q4 - 11:07TORReed BLOCK (1 BLK)77
81.7%
68
18.3%
Q4 - 11:14MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)77
84.0%
68
16.0%
Q4 - 11:30TORWright 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)77
80.7%
68
19.3%
Q4 - 11:36TORRaptors Rebound75
77.2%
68
22.8%
Q4 - 11:37TORMISS Powell 12' Jump Bank Shot75
74.3%
68
25.7%
Q4 - 11:45MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)75
77.3%
68
22.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR75
73.0%
68
27.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound75
77.3%
68
22.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
75.3%
68
24.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Johnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper75
74.1%
68
25.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
71.4%
68
28.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0TORMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 275
71.9%
68
28.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
74.6%
68
25.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
71.3%
68
28.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Bank Shot74
70.0%
68
30.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0TORWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)74
67.0%
68
33.0%
Q3 - 1:11TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
56.1%
68
43.9%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
54.5%
68
45.5%
Q3 - 1:36TORDeRozan 12' Floating Jump Shot (34 PTS)71
51.1%
68
48.9%
Q3 - 1:51MIAReed 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)69
46.4%
68
53.6%
Q3 - 2:07TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
49.6%
66
50.4%
Q3 - 2:07TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
48.7%
66
51.3%
Q3 - 2:17TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
45.4%
66
54.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
43.9%
66
56.1%
Q3 - 2:36TORPatterson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)67
40.5%
66
59.5%
Q3 - 2:56TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
36.5%
66
63.5%
Q3 - 2:57TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
33.3%
66
66.7%
Q3 - 3:09TORRaptors Rebound65
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot65
35.3%
66
64.7%
Q3 - 3:15TORReed STEAL (1 STL)65
32.3%
66
67.7%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMcGruder 2' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)65
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
40.5%
64
59.5%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q3 - 3:45TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
40.5%
64
59.5%
Q3 - 3:45TORCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
39.5%
64
60.5%
Q3 - 3:47MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)63
36.6%
64
63.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)63
32.2%
64
67.8%
Q3 - 3:50TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
33.5%
64
66.5%
Q3 - 4:11MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)63
36.5%
64
63.5%
Q3 - 4:28TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS)63
32.0%
64
68.0%
Q3 - 4:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)61
29.0%
64
71.0%
Q3 - 4:58TORCarroll 2' Running Layup (5 PTS)61
35.9%
61
64.1%
Q3 - 5:03TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
32.6%
61
67.4%
Q3 - 5:04MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot59
31.4%
61
68.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)59
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot59
31.4%
61
68.6%
Q3 - 5:26TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS)59
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q3 - 5:40TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
25.8%
61
74.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Dragic 3' Jump Bank Shot57
24.7%
61
75.3%
Q3 - 5:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup57
24.7%
61
75.3%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 5:52TORWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)57
23.4%
61
76.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)57
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q3 - 6:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)57
28.8%
59
71.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Bank Shot57
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 6:25TORTucker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)57
28.8%
59
71.2%
Q3 - 6:32TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Dragic 6' Jump Shot54
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q3 - 6:37MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMISS Dragic 8' Hook Shot54
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q3 - 6:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)54
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 6:49TORMISS Tucker 2' Driving Layup54
20.9%
59
79.1%
Q3 - 7:01MIARichardson 9' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
23.2%
59
76.8%
Q3 - 7:17TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 7:17TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 253
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q3 - 7:39MIADragic 13' Pullup Bank Shot (13 PTS)53
26.0%
57
74.0%
Q3 - 7:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)53
28.7%
55
71.3%
Q3 - 7:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)52
28.2%
55
71.8%
Q3 - 8:11TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot51
25.3%
55
74.7%
Q3 - 8:30TORDragic STEAL (4 STL)51
23.0%
55
77.0%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)51
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 9:00TORValanciunas Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T13)51
28.8%
53
71.2%
Q3 - 9:01TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
32.1%
53
67.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS McGruder 12' Jump Shot51
31.1%
53
68.9%
Q3 - 9:20TORJoseph 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
28.9%
53
71.1%
Q3 - 9:34MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)49
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q3 - 9:43TORDragic STEAL (3 STL)49
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q3 - 9:45MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)49
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot49
25.3%
53
74.7%
Q3 - 10:03MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
23.4%
53
76.6%
Q3 - 10:04TORMISS Joseph 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 10:22MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)49
26.3%
53
73.7%
Q3 - 10:41TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
28.8%
51
71.2%
Q3 - 10:41TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
28.3%
51
71.7%
Q3 - 10:51MIARichardson 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q3 - 11:04MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
28.8%
49
71.2%
Q3 - 11:05TORMISS Valanciunas 18' Jump Shot47
29.7%
49
70.3%
Q3 - 11:14MIAMcGruder 9' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)47
31.9%
49
68.1%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
34.8%
47
65.2%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot47
37.1%
47
62.9%
Q3 - 11:43TORDeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)47
34.8%
47
65.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR45
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADragic 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)45
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)45
35.4%
45
64.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0TORRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)45
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 0:10.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
37.4%
45
62.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)45
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)44
34.9%
45
65.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAReed Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
31.5%
45
68.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 243
32.5%
44
67.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAHEAT Rebound43
32.4%
44
67.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup43
33.8%
44
66.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0TORJoseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)43
32.3%
44
67.7%
Q2 - 1:15MIAReed Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T9)40
26.2%
44
73.8%
Q2 - 1:28TORDeRozan 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)40
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 1:37TORRaptors Rebound38
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 1:38TORJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)38
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q2 - 1:50TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 238
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
20.1%
44
79.9%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
22.6%
43
77.4%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Richardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot38
23.4%
43
76.6%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
22.4%
43
77.6%
Q2 - 2:07TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot38
23.0%
43
77.0%
Q2 - 2:21MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)38
24.5%
43
75.5%
Q2 - 2:45TORValanciunas Foul Turnover (P2.T10)38
22.4%
43
77.6%
Q2 - 2:55TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
24.4%
43
75.6%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 138
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 3:07TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)38
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 3:21TORTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
25.0%
41
75.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 236
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)36
23.5%
41
76.5%
Q2 - 3:39TORValanciunas Foul Turnover (P1.T9)36
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 3:40TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
27.3%
40
72.7%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Dragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot36
26.5%
40
73.5%
Q2 - 3:56TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)36
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 3:56TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)35
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
22.9%
40
77.1%
Q2 - 4:09MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 4:13TORMISS Powell 3PT Jump Shot34
25.6%
38
74.4%
Q2 - 4:22TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Dragic 12' Floating Jump Shot34
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 4:34TORMISS DeRozan 18' Turnaround Jump Shot34
25.6%
38
74.4%
Q2 - 4:52TORPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
27.2%
38
72.8%
Q2 - 4:53MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 5:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 5:06TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
25.7%
38
74.3%
Q2 - 5:31MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)34
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 5:41TORPowell Backcourt Turnover (P3.T8)34
25.0%
38
75.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMcGruder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
27.3%
38
72.7%
Q2 - 6:13TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 234
25.5%
38
74.5%
Q2 - 6:13TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 234
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 6:13MIAHEAT Rebound34
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS McGruder 13' Floating Jump Shot34
26.9%
38
73.1%
Q2 - 6:36TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)34
25.1%
38
74.9%
Q2 - 6:36TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)33
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 6:36TORRaptors Rebound32
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound32
21.2%
38
78.8%
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Dragic 22' Jump Shot32
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 7:15TORPowell Driving Dunk (7 PTS)32
21.8%
38
78.2%
Q2 - 7:25MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 7:25MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 7:39TORPatterson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)30
21.8%
36
78.2%
Q2 - 7:47TORRaptors Rebound28
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 7:48TORJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)28
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 8:00TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.8%
36
80.2%
Q2 - 8:22MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
18.6%
36
81.4%
Q2 - 8:23TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 8:39MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)28
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 8:40TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
18.6%
36
81.4%
Q2 - 8:40TORMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 227
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 8:55TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 227
18.5%
36
81.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)27
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 9:14TORTucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)27
18.8%
35
81.2%
Q2 - 9:23TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Johnson 12' Running Jump Shot24
15.6%
35
84.4%
Q2 - 9:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 9:30TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 9:56MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 10:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 10:12TORMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 224
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 10:12TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 10:25MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)23
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 10:41TORPoeltl Foul Turnover (P1.T7)23
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 11:11TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q2 - 11:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 11:36TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound23
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Tucker 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q1 - 0:07.0TORRaptors Rebound23
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot23
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORPowell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Tucker 1 AST)23
16.7%
33
83.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Johnson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup20
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0TORPowell Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)20
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q1 - 1:06TORPowell 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q1 - 1:26MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q1 - 1:34TORPowell Foul Turnover (P1.T5)18
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAReed 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)18
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q1 - 1:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q1 - 1:52TORMISS Joseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 2:17MIAReed 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)18
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q1 - 2:32TORDeRozan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)18
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q1 - 2:43TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Reed 2' Layup16
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 3:03TORJoseph Traveling Turnover (P3.T4)16
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q1 - 3:18MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.3%
23
78.7%
Q1 - 3:28TORMISS DeRozan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot16
21.8%
23
78.2%
Q1 - 3:47MIAReed Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)16
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 4:03TORDeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)16
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 4:22TORRaptors Rebound14
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 4:23TORMISS Powell 2' Driving Layup14
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q1 - 4:29TORPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 4:42TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
21.2%
21
78.8%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMcGruder Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)12
20.4%
21
79.6%
Q1 - 5:07TORDragic STEAL (2 STL)12
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 5:18MIABabbitt Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)12
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 5:20TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)12
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 5:29MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
20.4%
19
79.6%
Q1 - 5:37MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 5:38TORMISS Patterson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot10
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 5:50TORPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
20.4%
19
79.6%
Q1 - 5:51TORMISS Joseph 2' Driving Layup10
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 6:07MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
20.8%
19
79.2%
Q1 - 6:07MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 6:13MIAHEAT Rebound10
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 6:14MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Driving Layup10
23.1%
17
76.9%
Q1 - 6:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 6:27TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMcGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)10
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 6:52TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 6:55TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Bank Shot7
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 7:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)7
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Dragic Driving Layup7
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 7:18TORTucker Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)7
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 7:22TORTucker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 7:23TORMcGruder BLOCK (1 BLK)7
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 7:38TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Dragic 7' Jump Shot7
23.4%
14
76.6%
Q1 - 7:55TORDeRozan 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 8:05TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Dragic 2' Running Layup5
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 8:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 8:13TORMISS Joseph 13' Turnaround Jump Shot5
20.3%
14
79.7%
Q1 - 8:33MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 8:41TORDragic STEAL (1 STL)5
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)5
23.9%
12
76.1%
Q1 - 9:12MIAHEAT Rebound5
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 9:13TORMISS Carroll 3PT Jump Shot5
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 9:25TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
28.3%
9
71.7%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup5
27.7%
9
72.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
26.4%
9
73.6%
Q1 - 9:36TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 25
26.7%
9
73.3%
Q1 - 9:36TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
27.7%
9
72.3%
Q1 - 9:48MIADragic 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Whiteside 2 AST)4
26.8%
9
73.2%
Q1 - 9:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
29.2%
7
70.8%
Q1 - 10:15TORJoseph 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
28.0%
7
72.0%
Q1 - 10:28MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
26.7%
7
73.3%
Q1 - 10:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
5
72.0%
Q1 - 10:37TORMISS Tucker 12' Jump Shot2
28.5%
5
71.5%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWhiteside Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)2
29.7%
5
70.3%
Q1 - 11:15TORCarroll 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)2
31.2%
3
68.8%
Q1 - 11:34MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)0
29.5%
3
70.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Babbitt0
32.8%
0
67.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
MIA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
12
26
46%
MIA
19
32
59%
Midrange
TOR
17
30
57%
MIA
7
27
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
MIA
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
Free Throws
TOR
25
32
78%
MIA
14
23
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan4065%20.0 / 31
N. Powell1464%7.0 / 11
D. Wright1365%6.5 / 10
P. Tucker956%4.5 / 8
C. Joseph744%3.5 / 8
D. Carroll750%3.5 / 7
P. Patterson528%2.5 / 9
J. Poeltl450%2.0 / 4
J. Valančiūnas225%1.0 / 4
F. VanVleet0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside1667%8.0 / 12
R. McGruder1365%6.5 / 10
G. Dragic1334%6.5 / 19
J. Richardson1246%6.0 / 13
T. Johnson1155%5.5 / 10
J. Johnson1031%5.0 / 16
W. Reed975%4.5 / 6
L. Babbitt0-0.0 / 2
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
77
+20
-17
97
MIA
77
+15
-16
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
MIA
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
108.1
TOR 107.4
MIA 90.3 +17.1
Pace
94.8
95.0
TOR 102.0 +15.8
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.7
TOR 14.1 +2.6
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
51.2%
TOR 48.1% +5.4%
MIA 42.7%
TO %
12.4%
13.2%
TOR 16.2%
MIA 15.6% +0.6%
ORB %
24.9%
24.2%
TOR 29.7% +9.7%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
29.3
25.1
TOR 40.5 +12.5
MIA 28.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.2%
54.4%
TOR 28.6%
MIA 62.5% +33.9%
STL %
8.7%
7.5%
TOR 9.6% +1.0%
MIA 8.6%
BLK %
8.8%
9.3%
TOR 5.1%
MIA 19.6% +14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.8%
TOR 51.0% +5.3%
MIA 45.7%
Rim FG%
58.9%
59.2%
TOR 46.2%
MIA 59.4% +13.2%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.4%
TOR 56.7% +30.8%
MIA 25.9%
3P %
36.3%
36.5%
TOR 26.1%
MIA 26.1%
FT %
79.6%
70.6%
TOR 78.1% +17.2%
MIA 60.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
35.4%
TOR 32.9%
MIA 39.0% +6.1%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
33.1%
TOR 38.0%
MIA 32.9% +5.0%
3P Att. %
28.9%
31.4%
TOR 29.1% +1.1%
MIA 28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points10184
Rebounds5136
Assists1020
Steals98
Blocks311
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (9)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (3)26 (2)
Field Goals35-7932-82
At-the-Rim FG12-2619-32
Midrange FG17-307-27
2-Point FG29-5626-59
3-Point FG6-236-23
Free Throws25-3214-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
36.1
40
65%
6
3
1
0
1
0
1
5
12-13
92%
14-23
61%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 245 · 32
33.1
9
56%
7
3
1
0
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-5
60%
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
28.9
7
44%
4
1
1
0
4
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
20.9
7
50%
0
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
20.6
2
25%
8
0
0
2
3
5
0
8
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
26.5
14
64%
3
0
1
1
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
2-5
40%
G · 6'5" 190 · 25
23.8
13
65%
7
3
2
0
2
1
1
6
5-7
71%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 21
23.5
4
50%
6
0
0
0
2
4
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 28
21.5
5
28%
10
0
0
0
0
1
3
7
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'0" 197 · 23
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 28
F · 6'8" 245 · 23
C · 7'0" 220 · 25
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'0" 196 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
51%
51
10
9
3
17
0
11
40
25-32
78%
29-56
52%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.