FinalWin Prob.pScore
1127%113
124
173%122
125
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
120.4103101.6
HOU logo HOU
117.9106107.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU124
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0DENHarden STEAL (4 STL)124
0.8%
125
99.2%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUHarden 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (39 PTS)124
10.2%
125
89.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)124
55.0%
123
45.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot124
58.9%
123
41.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)124
68.6%
123
31.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup124
61.8%
123
38.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)124
44.3%
123
55.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)121
18.9%
123
81.1%
Q4 - 1:14DENBarton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jokic 8 AST)121
11.0%
123
89.0%
Q4 - 1:28HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS)118
4.6%
123
95.4%
Q4 - 1:41DENHernangomez 1' Tip Layup Shot (15 PTS)118
12.6%
120
87.4%
Q4 - 1:41DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)116
8.3%
120
91.7%
Q4 - 1:41DENMISS Jokic 2' Layup116
5.8%
120
94.2%
Q4 - 1:58HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)116
8.6%
120
91.4%
Q4 - 2:21DENJokic 3' Layup (22 PTS)116
5.3%
120
94.7%
Q4 - 2:39HOUHarden 15' Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS)114
4.2%
120
95.8%
Q4 - 3:00DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)114
6.4%
118
93.6%
Q4 - 3:11DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)111
3.3%
118
96.7%
Q4 - 3:12HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
2.7%
118
97.3%
Q4 - 3:26DENJokic Foul Turnover (P4.T20)111
1.8%
118
98.2%
Q4 - 3:33HOUBeverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Capela 4 AST)111
4.5%
118
95.5%
Q4 - 3:53DENJokic Free Throw 3 of 3 (20 PTS)111
8.4%
115
91.6%
Q4 - 3:53DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 3 (19 PTS)110
7.9%
115
92.1%
Q4 - 3:53DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 3 (18 PTS)109
7.4%
115
92.6%
Q4 - 4:02HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (32 PTS)108
4.2%
115
95.8%
Q4 - 4:11HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
5.8%
113
94.2%
Q4 - 4:12DENMISS Jokic 12' Jump Bank Shot108
6.5%
113
93.5%
Q4 - 4:27HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (30 PTS)108
8.4%
113
91.6%
Q4 - 4:27HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (29 PTS)108
8.7%
112
91.3%
Q4 - 4:27HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 3108
9.2%
111
90.8%
Q4 - 4:40DENJokic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)108
11.5%
111
88.5%
Q4 - 4:59HOUGordon 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)106
8.3%
111
91.7%
Q4 - 5:09HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)106
12.7%
109
87.3%
Q4 - 5:09DENMISS Barton Free Throw 1 of 1106
13.2%
109
86.8%
Q4 - 5:11HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T10)104
9.6%
109
90.4%
Q4 - 5:22HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)104
6.9%
109
93.1%
Q4 - 5:23DENMISS Nelson 22' Step Back Jump Shot104
7.6%
109
92.4%
Q4 - 5:48HOUAriza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beverley 3 AST)104
9.5%
109
90.5%
Q4 - 5:57HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
16.8%
106
83.2%
Q4 - 5:58HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot104
20.6%
106
79.4%
Q4 - 6:18DENHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Barton 8 AST)104
17.1%
106
82.9%
Q4 - 6:27DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)101
10.6%
106
89.4%
Q4 - 6:28HOUMISS Harden 8' Floating Jump Shot101
9.6%
106
90.4%
Q4 - 6:36HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
7.7%
106
92.3%
Q4 - 6:37DENMISS Hernangomez 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
8.4%
106
91.6%
Q4 - 6:55HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)101
10.5%
106
89.5%
Q4 - 6:55HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2101
11.1%
105
88.9%
Q4 - 7:18DENJokic Dunk (15 PTS) (Barton 7 AST)101
11.1%
105
88.9%
Q4 - 7:34DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
8.8%
105
91.2%
Q4 - 7:35HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot99
8.1%
105
91.9%
Q4 - 7:45HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
6.6%
105
93.4%
Q4 - 7:46DENMISS Harris 3' Layup99
7.2%
105
92.8%
Q4 - 7:59HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)99
8.8%
105
91.2%
Q4 - 8:28DENAriza STEAL (2 STL)99
12.1%
103
87.9%
Q4 - 8:40HOUGordon Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T9)99
15.0%
103
85.0%
Q4 - 9:01DENMurray 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Barton 6 AST)99
12.4%
103
87.6%
Q4 - 9:09DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)97
10.1%
103
89.9%
Q4 - 9:11HOUMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot97
9.4%
103
90.6%
Q4 - 9:20HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
8.0%
103
92.0%
Q4 - 9:21DENMISS Hernangomez 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot97
8.6%
103
91.4%
Q4 - 9:31DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
10.1%
103
89.9%
Q4 - 9:32HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
9.4%
103
90.6%
Q4 - 9:38HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
8.0%
103
92.0%
Q4 - 9:40DENMISS Murray 30' 3PT Jump Shot97
8.6%
103
91.4%
Q4 - 10:04HOUBeverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)97
10.7%
103
89.3%
Q4 - 10:31HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
15.7%
100
84.3%
Q4 - 10:32DENMISS Jokic 3' Layup97
16.7%
100
83.3%
Q4 - 10:54HOUGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)97
19.3%
100
80.7%
Q4 - 11:00DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)97
27.1%
97
72.9%
Q4 - 11:24HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)97
32.2%
97
67.8%
Q4 - 11:31HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)97
42.2%
94
57.8%
Q4 - 11:32DENMISS Barton 9' Floating Jump Shot97
43.9%
94
56.1%
Q4 - 11:36DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
47.8%
94
52.2%
Q4 - 11:38HOUMISS Beverley 9' Jump Shot97
46.1%
94
53.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU97
42.2%
94
57.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
41.1%
94
58.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
40.5%
94
59.5%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
36.2%
94
63.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOUMISS Harden 3' Driving Layup95
34.7%
94
65.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENBarton 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
31.6%
94
68.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0HOUNene Dunk (6 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)92
23.4%
94
76.6%
Q3 - 1:00DENMurray 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barton 5 AST)92
27.4%
92
72.6%
Q3 - 1:21HOUHarden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (28 PTS)89
20.1%
92
79.9%
Q3 - 1:34DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)89
27.0%
89
73.0%
Q3 - 1:34DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
26.2%
89
73.8%
Q3 - 1:42HOUHarden 3' Driving Layup (25 PTS)87
23.4%
89
76.6%
Q3 - 2:02DENBarton 12' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)87
26.2%
87
73.8%
Q3 - 2:23DENNuggets Rebound85
23.1%
87
76.9%
Q3 - 2:25DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
20.7%
87
79.3%
Q3 - 2:40HOUNene Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)85
23.1%
87
76.9%
Q3 - 2:47DENHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T17)85
26.3%
85
73.7%
Q3 - 3:03HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)85
30.2%
85
69.8%
Q3 - 3:11DENHarden STEAL (3 STL)85
37.9%
82
62.1%
Q3 - 3:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)85
42.4%
82
57.6%
Q3 - 3:20HOUMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot85
41.0%
82
59.0%
Q3 - 3:23HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
37.9%
82
62.1%
Q3 - 3:26HOUMISS Harden 7' Jump Shot85
41.0%
82
59.0%
Q3 - 3:39DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
37.9%
82
62.1%
Q3 - 3:39DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
37.2%
82
62.8%
Q3 - 3:43HOUWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)83
34.0%
82
66.0%
Q3 - 3:53HOUHarden Free Throw Technical (23 PTS)83
42.1%
79
57.9%
Q3 - 4:10DENHarris 31' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Barton 4 AST)83
45.1%
78
54.9%
Q3 - 4:38HOUGordon 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)80
37.5%
78
62.5%
Q3 - 4:46DENNene STEAL (2 STL)80
45.2%
75
54.8%
Q3 - 4:56HOUGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)80
50.2%
75
49.8%
Q3 - 5:07HOUJump Ball Nene vs. Faried: Tip to Anderson80
44.3%
75
55.7%
Q3 - 5:20DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)80
48.9%
75
51.1%
Q3 - 5:21HOUMISS Harden 8' Floating Jump Shot80
47.5%
75
52.5%
Q3 - 5:36DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)80
44.3%
75
55.7%
Q3 - 5:36DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)79
43.6%
75
56.4%
Q3 - 5:47DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
40.7%
75
59.3%
Q3 - 5:48HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
39.4%
75
60.6%
Q3 - 5:56HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
36.3%
75
63.7%
Q3 - 5:57DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot78
37.6%
75
62.4%
Q3 - 6:13HOUNene 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)78
39.4%
75
60.6%
Q3 - 6:29HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
43.0%
73
57.0%
Q3 - 6:29DENMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 178
43.6%
73
56.4%
Q3 - 6:41DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
39.5%
73
60.5%
Q3 - 6:42HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
38.3%
73
61.7%
Q3 - 6:48HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
35.5%
73
64.5%
Q3 - 6:49DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
36.7%
73
63.3%
Q3 - 6:59DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
39.5%
73
60.5%
Q3 - 7:00HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
38.3%
73
61.7%
Q3 - 7:08HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
34.6%
73
65.4%
Q3 - 7:09HOUMISS Ariza 3' Driving Reverse Layup76
37.5%
73
62.5%
Q3 - 7:21DENHernangomez Dunk (13 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)76
34.7%
73
65.3%
Q3 - 7:27DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
31.7%
73
68.3%
Q3 - 7:30HOUMISS Nene 2' Cutting Layup Shot74
30.6%
73
69.4%
Q3 - 7:41HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
28.0%
73
72.0%
Q3 - 7:42DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
29.1%
73
70.9%
Q3 - 7:57HOUHarden 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (22 PTS)74
31.7%
73
68.3%
Q3 - 8:17DENJokic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)74
34.2%
71
65.8%
Q3 - 8:26DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 8:28DENMISS Harris 2' Driving Reverse Layup72
28.9%
71
71.1%
Q3 - 8:41HOUAnderson 1' Layup (10 PTS)72
31.5%
71
68.5%
Q3 - 8:43HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
34.2%
69
65.8%
Q3 - 8:44HOUMISS Beverley 3' Floating Jump Shot72
37.1%
69
62.9%
Q3 - 9:07DENJokic 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS)72
33.4%
69
66.6%
Q3 - 9:21HOUCapela 1' Cutting Layup Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)70
30.5%
69
69.5%
Q3 - 9:48DENNelson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 7 AST)70
33.5%
67
66.5%
Q3 - 10:01HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Capela 3 AST)68
29.8%
67
70.2%
Q3 - 10:15DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)68
35.8%
64
64.2%
Q3 - 10:20DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
29.8%
64
70.2%
Q3 - 10:21HOUMISS Capela 6' Hook Shot65
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 10:45HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
26.8%
64
73.2%
Q3 - 10:46DENMISS Hernangomez 3PT Jump Shot65
27.7%
64
72.3%
Q3 - 10:58HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T7)65
29.9%
64
70.1%
Q3 - 11:05HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
26.1%
64
73.9%
Q3 - 11:06DENMISS Jokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q3 - 11:17HOUAnderson 19' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)65
29.1%
64
70.9%
Q3 - 11:28HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 11:30DENMISS Plumlee 7' Jump Shot65
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q3 - 11:36DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
35.1%
62
64.9%
Q3 - 11:37HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup65
34.1%
62
65.9%
Q3 - 11:39HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 11:41DENCapela BLOCK (1 BLK)65
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN65
35.1%
62
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
35.1%
62
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot65
34.1%
62
65.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T13)65
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
33.9%
62
66.1%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)65
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
33.9%
62
66.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Beverley 1' Running Layup65
33.3%
62
66.7%
Q2 - 0:55.0DENBeverley STEAL (1 STL)65
31.9%
62
68.1%
Q2 - 1:17HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)65
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q2 - 1:34DENJokic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)65
40.8%
59
59.2%
Q2 - 2:00HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Capela 2 AST)63
36.3%
59
63.7%
Q2 - 2:04HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
42.3%
56
57.7%
Q2 - 2:05HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
44.4%
56
55.6%
Q2 - 2:16DENCapela STEAL (1 STL)63
42.4%
56
57.6%
Q2 - 2:23DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q2 - 2:24HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup63
44.4%
56
55.6%
Q2 - 2:40HOUROCKETS Rebound63
42.5%
56
57.5%
Q2 - 2:40DENMISS Hernangomez 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
43.3%
56
56.7%
Q2 - 2:49DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q2 - 2:50HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot63
44.4%
56
55.6%
Q2 - 3:01DENHarris 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)63
40.6%
56
59.4%
Q2 - 3:20HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)60
35.6%
56
64.4%
Q2 - 3:42DENHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
37.9%
54
62.1%
Q2 - 3:42DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
37.5%
54
62.5%
Q2 - 3:42HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)58
35.6%
54
64.4%
Q2 - 3:46HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
32.5%
54
67.5%
Q2 - 3:47DENMISS Plumlee 1' Layup58
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q2 - 3:49DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)58
35.6%
54
64.4%
Q2 - 3:51DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q2 - 4:10HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
34.4%
54
65.6%
Q2 - 4:10HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q2 - 4:23DENMurray 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)58
37.0%
52
63.0%
Q2 - 4:30DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
34.4%
52
65.6%
Q2 - 4:31HOUMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
33.6%
52
66.4%
Q2 - 4:46DENHernangomez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Plumlee 1 AST)56
31.9%
52
68.1%
Q2 - 5:00HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
27.2%
52
72.8%
Q2 - 5:14DENMurray 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)53
31.4%
49
68.6%
Q2 - 5:40HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Capela 1 AST)51
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q2 - 5:53DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
33.9%
46
66.1%
Q2 - 5:53DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)50
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q2 - 5:53DENNuggets Rebound49
31.5%
46
68.5%
Q2 - 5:53DENMISS Mudiay 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 6:07HOUCapela Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)49
31.4%
46
68.6%
Q2 - 6:30DENHarris 3' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Jokic 6 AST)49
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 6:36DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
31.4%
44
68.6%
Q2 - 6:37HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
30.5%
44
69.5%
Q2 - 6:44DENHernangomez Dunk (8 PTS) (Jokic 5 AST)47
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 6:53HOUCapela 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)45
26.9%
44
73.1%
Q2 - 7:10DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q2 - 7:10DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
28.0%
42
72.0%
Q2 - 7:16DENNuggets Rebound43
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 7:16DENGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)43
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 7:24HOUWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)43
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 7:34HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 7:35DENMISS Murray 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot43
25.0%
42
75.0%
Q2 - 7:44HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)43
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 7:58DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)43
24.4%
42
75.6%
Q2 - 8:11HOUCapela Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)40
20.7%
42
79.3%
Q2 - 8:20HOUJump Ball Beverley vs. Murray: Tip to Anderson40
22.3%
40
77.7%
Q2 - 8:24DENMISS Murray 9' Floating Jump Shot40
22.9%
40
77.1%
Q2 - 8:33HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 8:33HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 8:41HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
26.1%
38
73.9%
Q2 - 8:42DENMISS Barton 19' Pullup Jump Shot40
26.8%
38
73.2%
Q2 - 8:59DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 9:00HOUMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot40
27.6%
38
72.4%
Q2 - 9:12DENMurray 4' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 4 AST)40
25.8%
38
74.2%
Q2 - 9:28HOUDekker 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)38
24.1%
38
75.9%
Q2 - 9:32HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 9:35HOUMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot38
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 9:59DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)38
25.8%
36
74.2%
Q2 - 10:04DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 10:05HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
21.9%
36
78.1%
Q2 - 10:15DENDekker STEAL (2 STL)35
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 10:21DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
22.5%
36
77.5%
Q2 - 10:22HOUMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
21.9%
36
78.1%
Q2 - 10:30DENMudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)35
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 10:42DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
17.7%
36
82.3%
Q2 - 10:42HOUMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 232
17.5%
36
82.5%
Q2 - 10:42HOUWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 10:56DENHernangomez Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 10:56DENHernangomez Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
17.2%
35
82.8%
Q2 - 11:09DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 11:10HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 11:26DENHernangomez 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)30
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 11:33DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 11:34HOUMISS Dekker Dunk28
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 11:38HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
12.6%
35
87.4%
Q2 - 11:39DENMISS Mudiay 20' Jump Shot28
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN28
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound28
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Barton 40' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.9%
35
87.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T3)28
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0DENBarton 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
10.5%
35
89.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)25
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0HOUHarden Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)22
9.7%
33
90.3%
Q1 - 1:02DENFaried 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)22
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q1 - 1:03DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)20
8.2%
33
91.8%
Q1 - 1:05DENMISS Faried 9' Jump Shot20
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q1 - 1:20DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
8.2%
33
91.8%
Q1 - 1:20HOUMISS Dekker Free Throw 2 of 220
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q1 - 1:20HOUDekker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
7.8%
33
92.2%
Q1 - 1:20DENDekker STEAL (1 STL)20
8.4%
32
91.6%
Q1 - 1:33HOUDekker 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)20
8.9%
32
91.1%
Q1 - 1:49DENPlumlee 2' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)20
9.9%
30
90.1%
Q1 - 1:51DENPlumlee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q1 - 1:52DENMISS Barton 6' Jump Shot18
8.5%
30
91.5%
Q1 - 2:03HOUWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
9.1%
30
90.9%
Q1 - 2:08DENNene STEAL (1 STL)18
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q1 - 2:28HOUAriza Running Dunk (7 PTS)18
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q1 - 2:32DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)18
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 2:40DENNuggets Rebound18
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 2:40HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 2:53DENHarris 1' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)18
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 2:57DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q1 - 2:58HOUMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot16
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 3:10DENJokic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)16
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 3:29HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q1 - 3:29HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
12.0%
24
88.0%
Q1 - 3:37HOUNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q1 - 3:37DENMISS Faried 2' Layup16
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 3:38DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 3:39DENMISS Faried 1' Layup16
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 3:42DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 3:43DENMISS Nelson 2' Layup16
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 3:57HOUHarden 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)16
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 4:02HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q1 - 4:04DENMISS Harris 19' Pullup Jump Shot16
15.1%
21
84.9%
Q1 - 4:14DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 4:15HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 4:29DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
14.7%
21
85.3%
Q1 - 4:39DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
12.8%
21
87.2%
Q1 - 4:40HOUMISS Nene 19' Jump Shot13
12.5%
21
87.5%
Q1 - 4:52DENJokic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)13
11.7%
21
88.3%
Q1 - 5:06HOUGordon 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)13
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 5:14DENFaried Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 5:15DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 5:16DENMISS Faried 2' Layup13
15.2%
18
84.8%
Q1 - 5:24DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 5:26HOUMISS Harden 9' Floating Jump Shot13
15.7%
18
84.3%
Q1 - 5:34DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)13
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 5:58DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 5:58HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 213
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 5:58HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q1 - 6:17DENHarris 1' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)13
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 6:23DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
15.0%
17
85.0%
Q1 - 6:24HOUMISS Ariza 1' Layup11
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 6:38HOUROCKETS Rebound11
14.0%
17
86.0%
Q1 - 6:39DENMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
14.3%
17
85.7%
Q1 - 6:50HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)11
15.0%
17
85.0%
Q1 - 7:06DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)11
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 7:21HOUCapela 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)8
15.2%
14
84.8%
Q1 - 7:39DENPlumlee Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)8
16.0%
12
84.0%
Q1 - 7:56HOUHarden Running Dunk (2 PTS)6
15.2%
12
84.8%
Q1 - 7:59DENHarden STEAL (1 STL)6
16.0%
10
84.0%
Q1 - 8:11DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 8:12HOUMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot6
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 8:18HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 8:21DENMISS Hernangomez 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
16.2%
10
83.8%
Q1 - 8:35HOUAriza 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)6
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 8:45DENHarris 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)6
19.2%
7
80.8%
Q1 - 9:01HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)4
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 9:10HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 9:11DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 9:24HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 9:35HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 9:36DENMISS Plumlee 18' Jump Shot4
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 9:52DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 9:55HOUMISS Capela 2' Layup4
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 10:03HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 10:04DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 10:26HOUAriza Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 10:42DENHernangomez 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)4
22.6%
2
77.4%
Q1 - 10:48DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMISS Harden 11' Driving Bank Shot2
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 11:06HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 11:07DENMISS Nelson 22' Pullup Jump Shot2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 11:18HOUBeverley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 11:30DENHarris 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:41DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 11:42HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
20.9%
0
79.1%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Plumlee: Tip to Anderson0
20.2%
0
79.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.25 62.6%
HOU
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
31
65%
HOU
20
32
63%
Midrange
DEN
12
26
46%
HOU
8
19
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
HOU
17
25.5
38
45%
67%
Free Throws
DEN
24
26
92%
HOU
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Harris2878%14.0 / 18
W. Barton2486%12.0 / 14
N. Jokić2265%11.0 / 17
J. Hernangomez1563%7.5 / 12
J. Murray1372%6.5 / 9
E. Mudiay880%4.0 / 5
J. Nelson528%2.5 / 9
K. Faried542%2.5 / 6
M. Plumlee440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3959%19.5 / 33
E. Gordon1882%9.0 / 11
T. Ariza1458%7.0 / 12
P. Beverley1478%7.0 / 9
C. Capela1275%6.0 / 8
R. Anderson1063%5.0 / 8
L. Williams750%3.5 / 7
Nene650%3.0 / 6
S. Dekker563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
84
+12
-19
96
HOU
94
+6
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.25 62.6%
HOU
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
114.9
DEN 120.4 +2.5
HOU 117.9
Pace
98.4
100.0
DEN 101.6
HOU 107.5 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
13.8
DEN 14.2
HOU 13.4 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
54.5%
DEN 58.1%
HOU 60.1% +2.0%
TO %
14.7%
14.4%
DEN 17.7%
HOU 10.8% +6.9%
ORB %
27.3%
24.6%
DEN 21.6% +8.6%
HOU 13.0%
FTrt
27.6
30.4
DEN 30.2 +4.4
HOU 25.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
62.6%
DEN 59.1%
HOU 60.0% +0.9%
STL %
7.0%
8.1%
DEN 6.8%
HOU 11.3% +4.5%
BLK %
6.3%
7.2%
DEN 5.9% +2.4%
HOU 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
57.2%
DEN 62.6% +0.1%
HOU 62.5%
Rim FG%
59.4%
61.6%
DEN 64.5% +2.0%
HOU 62.5%
Mid FG%
40.2%
40.5%
DEN 46.2% +4.1%
HOU 42.1%
3P %
36.8%
35.7%
DEN 41.4%
HOU 44.7% +3.3%
FT %
77.4%
76.6%
DEN 92.3% +14.0%
HOU 78.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
37.6%
DEN 36.0% +0.1%
HOU 36.0%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
16.1%
DEN 30.2%
HOU 21.3% +8.9%
3P Att. %
32.9%
46.2%
DEN 33.7%
HOU 42.7% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions103106
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points124125
Rebounds4835
Assists2627
Steals712
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)29 (3)
Field Goals44-8645-89
At-the-Rim FG20-3120-32
Midrange FG12-268-19
2-Point FG32-5728-51
3-Point FG12-2917-38
Free Throws24-2618-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 284 · 22
39.6
22
65%
13
8
0
1
5
3
1
12
8-8
100%
7-11
64%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
39.3
28
78%
2
4
3
0
3
2
1
1
5-6
83%
7-10
70%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
33.4
15
63%
5
1
1
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
G · 6'0" 190 · 35
31.1
5
28%
6
4
1
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 254 · 27
23.5
4
40%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26
30.4
24
86%
7
8
1
1
1
1
0
7
4-5
80%
4-8
50%
4-5
80%
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
22.8
13
72%
4
0
0
0
3
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
10.0
5
42%
3
0
0
0
4
2
3
0
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
10.0
8
80%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 235 · 29
C · 7'2" 270 · 30
G · 6'5" 196 · 20
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
63%
48
26
7
3
19
0
8
40
24-26
92%
32-57
56%
12-29
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.