FinalWin Prob.pScore
1925%94
99
275%104
107
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
99.0100113.9
SAS logo SAS
105.910190.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL99
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLMISS Sefolosha 5' Jump Shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0ATLPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)99
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)96
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 296
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)96
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ATLBazemore 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 4 AST)96
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 0:40.0ATLHawks Rebound94
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0ATLGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)94
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASGasol Foul Turnover (P2.T23)94
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Schroder 10 AST)94
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:03ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04SASMISS Leonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28ATLMISS Schroder 6' Running Jump Shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36SASMills 18' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)91
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50ATLBazemore Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)91
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 2:07SASLeonard 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)91
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 2:30SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)91
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 2:32ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 2:45SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P5.T22)91
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 2:55SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 2:57ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 3:05ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
4.6%
97
95.4%
Q4 - 3:06SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot91
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 3:20SASSPURS Rebound91
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 3:22ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 3:32SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#21)91
5.9%
97
94.1%
Q4 - 3:59ATLSchroder 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)91
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 4:14SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)89
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 4:32ATLBazemore 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Millsap 5 AST)89
5.3%
94
94.7%
Q4 - 4:35ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Gasol 11' Jump Shot87
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 4:59SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 5:00ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 5:20SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mills 9 AST)87
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 5:35SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)87
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 5:36ATLLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)87
9.6%
91
90.4%
Q4 - 5:45ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
11.9%
91
88.1%
Q4 - 5:46SASMISS Leonard 13' Pullup Jump Shot87
10.8%
91
89.2%
Q4 - 5:59SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
8.7%
91
91.3%
Q4 - 6:01ATLMISS Millsap 13' Step Back Jump Shot87
10.4%
91
89.6%
Q4 - 6:12ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)87
12.8%
91
87.2%
Q4 - 6:14SASMISS Leonard 3' Layup87
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q4 - 6:25ATLSchroder Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)87
9.4%
91
90.6%
Q4 - 6:54SASDedmon Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)87
12.8%
91
87.2%
Q4 - 7:05ATLIlyasova Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)87
16.6%
89
83.4%
Q4 - 7:09SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)87
21.2%
89
78.8%
Q4 - 7:19ATLHardaway Jr. Cutting Dunk Shot (14 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)87
16.5%
89
83.5%
Q4 - 7:35SASForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)85
13.4%
89
86.6%
Q4 - 7:55ATLPrince Foul Turnover (P1.T13)85
20.7%
86
79.3%
Q4 - 8:01SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)85
25.9%
86
74.1%
Q4 - 8:08ATLPrince 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 3 AST)85
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 8:12ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
17.3%
86
82.7%
Q4 - 8:14SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot83
16.2%
86
83.8%
Q4 - 8:27ATLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
14.0%
86
86.0%
Q4 - 8:27ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)82
12.7%
86
87.3%
Q4 - 8:27ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
11.1%
86
88.9%
Q4 - 8:28ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 17' Jump Shot81
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q4 - 8:41ATLHawks Rebound81
11.1%
86
88.9%
Q4 - 8:41SASMISS Simmons 1' Layup81
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 8:54SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
8.8%
86
91.2%
Q4 - 8:55SASMISS Simmons 15' Jump Shot81
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 9:17ATLHardaway Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)81
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 9:28ATLHawks Rebound78
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 9:31ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q4 - 9:37SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)78
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 9:48ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P4.T12)78
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q4 - 10:00SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 10:00SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 10:16SASForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q4 - 10:18ATLMISS Millsap 20' Jump Shot78
8.4%
84
91.6%
Q4 - 10:33SASBertans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)78
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 10:48ATLMillsap 16' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q4 - 11:03ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
12.7%
81
87.3%
Q4 - 11:04SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
11.9%
81
88.1%
Q4 - 11:24ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)76
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 11:44ATLHawks Rebound73
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Bertans 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
6.5%
81
93.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL73
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASForbes 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)73
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0ATLGasol BLOCK (4 BLK)73
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
10.8%
79
89.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot73
10.2%
79
89.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLSchroder 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (20 PTS)73
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q3 - 1:04SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)71
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 1:10SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 1:12ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q3 - 1:12ATLMISS Millsap 6' Jump Shot71
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:13ATLMISS Ilyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:16ATLHawks Rebound71
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q3 - 1:16ATLBertans BLOCK (1 BLK)71
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:38SASGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q3 - 1:38SASGasol 1' Tip Layup Shot (11 PTS)71
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q3 - 1:39SASMISS Gasol 5' Floating Jump Shot71
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 1:53ATLSefolosha 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 2 AST)71
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 2:02SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)69
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q3 - 2:17ATLSefolosha 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)69
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q3 - 2:38SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mills 8 AST)67
9.7%
74
90.3%
Q3 - 2:50ATLMillsap 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Schroder 9 AST)67
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 3:02SASBertans Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T16)65
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 3:13SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 3:14SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 3:17SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 3:18SASMISS Leonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot65
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 3:25SASSPURS Rebound65
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 3:25SASMISS Bertans 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 3:43ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 3:43ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 3:43SASAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)63
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 3:46SASAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 3:47SASMISS Mills 17' Pullup Jump Shot63
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 3:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 3:57ATLMISS Schroder 14' Pullup Bank Shot63
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 4:07ATLHawks Rebound63
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 4:07SASMISS Leonard 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot63
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 4:26ATLHardaway Jr. 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Schroder 8 AST)63
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 4:30ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)61
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 4:32SASMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 4:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
5.3%
71
94.7%
Q3 - 4:42ATLMISS Schroder 18' Pullup Jump Shot61
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 4:54SASLeonard 9' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Mills 7 AST)61
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 5:12ATLMillsap 8' Driving Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Schroder 7 AST)61
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 5:21ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 5:22SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot59
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 5:37ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 5:37ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 5:45SASDedmon 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)57
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 6:09ATLSchroder 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)57
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 6:13ATLHawks Rebound55
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 6:13ATLGasol BLOCK (3 BLK)55
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 6:24ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)55
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 6:25SASMISS Mills 13' Pullup Jump Shot55
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 6:41ATLHoward 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)55
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 6:50ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 6:51SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 7:07SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 7:08ATLMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 2 of 253
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 7:08ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 7:22SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)52
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 7:38SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 7:40ATLMISS Howard 3' Layup52
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 7:51SASLee 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)52
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 8:09ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 8:09ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 8:17ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 8:19SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 8:33SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 8:34ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 8:56SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)50
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 9:12SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 9:13ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 250
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 9:13ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)50
7.1%
60
92.9%
Q3 - 9:25SASLee 2' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)49
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q3 - 9:47ATLMillsap Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)49
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q3 - 10:06SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q3 - 10:06SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
6.7%
57
93.3%
Q3 - 10:18ATLSchroder 12' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)47
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q3 - 10:28ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 10:29SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 10:35SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 10:36ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot45
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 10:47ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q3 - 10:48SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup45
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 11:12SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
5.7%
56
94.3%
Q3 - 11:13ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 245
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q3 - 11:13ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 245
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q3 - 11:26SASLee Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 6 AST)45
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 11:42ATLHoward 3' Layup (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)45
7.4%
54
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS43
6.6%
54
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSchroder 5' Driving Bank Shot (14 PTS)43
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)41
5.2%
54
94.8%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASSPURS Rebound41
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Lee 14' Jump Shot41
5.1%
54
94.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLSchroder 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)41
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASLee 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)39
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLBazemore Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Bazemore Free Throw 1 of 238
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q2 - 1:15SASLee 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)38
4.8%
52
95.2%
Q2 - 1:17SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 1:19SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 1:36ATLSchroder 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)38
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 1:42SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)36
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 1:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 1:52ATLMISS Sefolosha 7' Jump Shot36
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 2:10SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)36
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q2 - 2:27ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 2:42SASGasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)33
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 2:50SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
6.6%
44
93.4%
Q2 - 2:52ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 3:10SASLeonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)33
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 3:22ATLSchroder 8' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 3:33ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
8.5%
41
91.5%
Q2 - 3:34SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot31
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 3:57ATLMillsap 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)31
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 4:09SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)29
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 4:14ATLGreen STEAL (2 STL)29
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 4:33ATLHawks Rebound29
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Green 20' Jump Shot29
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 4:46SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
8.5%
38
91.5%
Q2 - 4:47ATLMISS Bazemore 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 5:02SASLeonard Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)29
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 329
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 5:02SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)29
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 5:15ATLIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)29
10.5%
36
89.5%
Q2 - 5:28SASGreen 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 5 AST)26
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 5:37ATLIlyasova 3' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)26
9.5%
34
90.5%
Q2 - 5:51SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)24
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 6:09ATLIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q2 - 6:20ATLIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Mills 20' Pullup Jump Shot21
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 6:35ATLHoward Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T10)21
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q2 - 6:49ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q2 - 6:50SASMISS Leonard 8' Running Jump Shot21
8.6%
31
91.4%
Q2 - 7:01SASSPURS Rebound21
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 7:01ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 10' Floating Jump Shot21
8.5%
31
91.5%
Q2 - 7:10SASLee Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)21
9.1%
31
90.9%
Q2 - 7:39ATLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 7:39ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 220
7.9%
31
92.1%
Q2 - 7:42ATLIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
8.3%
31
91.7%
Q2 - 7:42ATLMISS Ilyasova 6' Hook Shot20
7.7%
31
92.3%
Q2 - 7:57SASDedmon Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)20
8.3%
31
91.7%
Q2 - 7:58SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 7:59ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 11' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot20
7.7%
31
92.3%
Q2 - 8:13SASDedmon Foul Turnover (P3.T10)20
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 8:23ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 8:23ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 8:32SASDedmon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)18
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 8:48SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 8:48ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 218
6.3%
31
93.7%
Q2 - 8:48ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 218
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 8:48ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 8:49ATLMISS Schroder 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q2 - 8:59ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 9:00SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup18
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 9:07ATLGinobili STEAL (2 STL)18
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q2 - 9:09ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 9:11ATLMISS Calderon 3PT Jump Shot18
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 9:32SASBertans 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)18
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q2 - 9:44SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q2 - 9:44ATLMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot18
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q2 - 10:00ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q2 - 10:00SASMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 218
8.4%
29
91.6%
Q2 - 10:00SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q2 - 10:17ATLHardaway Jr. Foul Turnover (P1.T8)18
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 10:25SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T8)18
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q2 - 10:37ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)18
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 10:56ATLIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q2 - 10:57SASMISS Bertans 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 11:13SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q2 - 11:15ATLGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)18
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q2 - 11:37ATLIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q2 - 11:38SASMISS Forbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
9.2%
28
90.8%
Q2 - 11:48ATLIlyasova Foul Turnover (P1.T6)18
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL18
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)18
9.5%
28
90.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0ATLGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)18
10.6%
26
89.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASBertans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)18
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
13.4%
23
86.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.7%
23
86.3%
Q1 - 1:05ATLPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.3%
23
85.7%
Q1 - 1:06SASMISS Gasol 2' Layup18
14.0%
23
86.0%
Q1 - 1:18SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
13.4%
23
86.6%
Q1 - 1:18ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 218
13.5%
23
86.5%
Q1 - 1:18ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
14.3%
23
85.7%
Q1 - 1:31SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)17
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 1:40ATLMillsap Foul Turnover (P3.T5)17
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 1:49SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)17
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 2:06ATLCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 2:28SASLeonard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)17
15.6%
21
84.4%
Q1 - 2:37SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 2:38ATLMISS Schroder 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 2:45SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)17
15.6%
21
84.4%
Q1 - 2:55SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 2:56ATLMISS Millsap 9' Turnaround Jump Shot17
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 3:14SASLeonard 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)17
15.7%
21
84.3%
Q1 - 3:34ATLHardaway Jr. 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)17
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 3:56SASGasol 9' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)15
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 4:09SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 4:10ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup15
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 4:26ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 4:26SASMISS Gasol 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 4:39SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 4:41ATLMISS Schroder 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup15
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 4:47ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 4:49SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 4:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 5:01ATLLee BLOCK (1 BLK)15
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 5:19SASGasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)15
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 5:31ATLBazemore 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)15
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 5:46SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)13
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 6:01ATLBazemore 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)13
21.2%
11
78.8%
Q1 - 6:16ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
18.7%
11
81.3%
Q1 - 6:17SASMISS Mills Free Throw 1 of 110
18.5%
11
81.5%
Q1 - 6:21ATLGreen STEAL (1 STL)10
19.9%
9
80.1%
Q1 - 6:32SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)10
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 6:38ATLMills STEAL (2 STL)10
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 6:43SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 7:03ATLSefolosha 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 7:24SASLeonard 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)8
22.3%
6
77.7%
Q1 - 7:27SASSPURS Rebound8
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 7:38SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 7:38ATLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)8
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 7:57SASLee 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Dedmon 1 AST)8
25.1%
4
74.9%
Q1 - 8:15ATLSchroder 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)8
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 8:28ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 8:29SASMISS Green 19' Pullup Jump Shot6
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 8:48SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 8:48ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 26
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 8:48ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 26
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 9:01SASLee Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)6
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 9:10SASSPURS Rebound6
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 9:11ATLMISS Sefolosha 20' Pullup Jump Shot6
23.3%
2
76.7%
Q1 - 9:26ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 9:27SASMISS Mills 19' Pullup Jump Shot6
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 9:42ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 9:42ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 9:54ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.8%
2
78.2%
Q1 - 9:55SASMISS Green 16' Pullup Jump Shot4
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 10:09ATLMISS Millsap 18' Pullup Jump Shot4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:25ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.6%
2
78.4%
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Leonard 10' Pullup Jump Shot4
21.2%
2
78.8%
Q1 - 10:44ATLSchroder 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)4
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 10:50SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:04ATLMillsap 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)2
18.0%
2
82.0%
Q1 - 11:28SASLee 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)0
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 11:34ATLMills STEAL (1 STL)0
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 11:46SASDedmon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Dedmon vs. Howard: Tip to Mills0
18.0%
0
82.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
18
27
67%
SAS
11
17
65%
Midrange
ATL
13
32
41%
SAS
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
SAS
16
24.0
34
47%
71%
Free Throws
ATL
19
30
63%
SAS
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Schröder2248%11.0 / 23
T. Hardaway1757%8.5 / 15
P. Millsap1650%8.0 / 16
K. Bazemore1594%7.5 / 8
T. Sefolosha945%4.5 / 10
E. Ilyasova857%4.0 / 7
D. Howard735%3.5 / 10
T. Prince563%2.5 / 4
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3155%15.5 / 28
P. Mills1554%7.5 / 14
D. Lee1488%7.0 / 8
D. Green1478%7.0 / 9
P. Gasol1354%6.5 / 12
D. Bertans867%4.0 / 6
B. Forbes583%2.5 / 3
D. Dedmon4100%2.0 / 2
M. Ginobili338%1.5 / 4
J. Simmons0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
84
+10
-16
94
SAS
80
+10
-21
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
111.3
ATL 99.0 +6.9
SAS 105.9
Pace
97.0
94.1
ATL 113.9 +23.8
SAS 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.8
ATL 12.6 +3.3
SAS 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
52.4%
ATL 49.4%
SAS 58.0% +8.6%
TO %
15.6%
13.6%
ATL 14.5% +6.1%
SAS 20.6%
ORB %
23.6%
24.0%
ATL 14.0%
SAS 18.9% +4.9%
FTrt
29.5
26.3
ATL 37.0 +16.0
SAS 21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
60.6%
ATL 73.0%
SAS 79.5% +6.5%
STL %
8.4%
8.5%
ATL 13.0% +7.1%
SAS 5.9%
BLK %
8.5%
9.9%
ATL 6.4%
SAS 15.3% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.8%
ATL 50.5%
SAS 58.8% +8.3%
Rim FG%
58.1%
60.5%
ATL 66.7% +2.0%
SAS 64.7%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.0%
ATL 40.6% +0.6%
SAS 40.0%
3P %
34.1%
39.1%
ATL 27.3%
SAS 47.1% +19.8%
FT %
72.8%
79.7%
ATL 63.3%
SAS 76.5% +13.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
31.1%
ATL 33.3% +12.3%
SAS 21.0%
Mid Att. %
31.5%
40.8%
ATL 39.5%
SAS 37.0% +2.5%
3P Att. %
30.9%
28.1%
ATL 27.2%
SAS 42.0% +14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points99107
Rebounds3644
Assists2731
Steals136
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)21 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)37 (3)
Field Goals37-8139-81
At-the-Rim FG18-2711-17
Midrange FG13-3212-30
2-Point FG31-5923-47
3-Point FG6-2216-34
Free Throws19-3013-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 246 · 32
39.5
16
50%
3
5
1
1
4
5
1
2
4-6
67%
6-11
55%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
37.5
22
48%
2
10
2
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-4
0%
G · 6'5" 201 · 28
30.6
15
94%
2
1
1
0
1
6
0
2
4-5
80%
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
30.0
7
35%
13
1
1
0
1
1
2
11
3-10
30%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 33
27.3
9
45%
5
3
1
0
1
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 25
28.7
17
57%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
23.0
8
57%
5
2
2
1
3
2
1
4
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 200 · 35
10.4
0
0%
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 218 · 23
9.8
5
63%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26
3.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 32
G · 6'3" 190 · 28
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23
#30 · F · 6'11" 230 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#34 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
51%
36
27
13
3
16
0
6
30
19-30
63%
31-59
53%
6-22
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.