FinalWin Prob.pScore
1242%101
98
1458%104
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.99081.5
IND logo IND
112.191101.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND98
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:11)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Waiters 30' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)96
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Waiters 28' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot96
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
2.4%
101
97.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDTurner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)96
4.8%
101
95.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDTurner Putback Dunk (15 PTS)96
4.8%
101
95.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDTurner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)96
8.0%
99
92.0%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDMISS Turner 1' Tip Layup Shot96
12.5%
99
87.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0INDMISS Turner 2' Layup96
12.6%
99
87.4%
Q4 - 1:23INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)96
10.2%
99
89.8%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
12.2%
99
87.8%
Q4 - 1:38INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
18.9%
99
81.1%
Q4 - 1:38INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)96
20.3%
98
79.7%
Q4 - 1:51INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)96
27.8%
97
72.2%
Q4 - 1:53MIATeague BLOCK (1 BLK)96
31.0%
97
69.0%
Q4 - 2:15INDTeague 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)96
41.9%
97
58.1%
Q4 - 2:28INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
48.6%
95
51.4%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Waiters 16' Turnaround Jump Shot96
53.7%
95
46.3%
Q4 - 2:37MIAHeat Rebound96
65.1%
95
34.9%
Q4 - 2:37MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
53.7%
95
46.3%
Q4 - 3:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
62.7%
95
37.3%
Q4 - 3:02INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
58.4%
95
41.6%
Q4 - 3:07INDPACERS Rebound96
48.1%
95
51.9%
Q4 - 3:07INDMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup96
58.5%
95
41.5%
Q4 - 3:24MIAWaiters 19' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)96
48.0%
95
52.0%
Q4 - 3:43INDGeorge 20' Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
40.2%
95
59.8%
Q4 - 4:10MIAEllington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)94
48.8%
93
51.2%
Q4 - 4:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:10)91
31.4%
93
68.6%
Q4 - 4:25INDMISS George 16' Pullup Jump Shot91
28.7%
93
71.3%
Q4 - 4:35INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
23.2%
93
76.8%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot91
25.5%
93
74.5%
Q4 - 4:49MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
31.3%
93
68.7%
Q4 - 4:50INDMISS Teague 10' Jump Shot91
28.6%
93
71.4%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)91
25.1%
93
74.9%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:9)88
14.8%
93
85.2%
Q4 - 5:25INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot88
13.5%
93
86.5%
Q4 - 5:43MIAEllington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)88
10.8%
93
89.2%
Q4 - 6:08INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
7.6%
93
92.4%
Q4 - 6:08INDChristmas 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)85
7.6%
93
92.4%
Q4 - 6:10INDMISS Ellis 7' Floating Jump Shot85
11.8%
91
88.2%
Q4 - 6:30MIAJohnson 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)85
9.4%
91
90.6%
Q4 - 6:45INDStuckey Driving Layup (9 PTS)83
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q4 - 6:58MIAEllington 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)83
9.4%
89
90.6%
Q4 - 7:18INDStuckey 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)81
8.9%
89
91.1%
Q4 - 7:45MIARichardson 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Reed 2 AST)81
14.1%
86
85.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 8:05INDMISS Ellis 12' Floating Jump Shot79
11.7%
86
88.3%
Q4 - 8:21MIAJohnson 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)79
10.0%
86
90.0%
Q4 - 8:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
7.8%
86
92.2%
Q4 - 8:40INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 277
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q4 - 8:40INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 8:47INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 8:56MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q4 - 8:57INDMISS Stuckey 1' Driving Layup77
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q4 - 9:16INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 177
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 9:37INDMiles 10' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
7.0%
85
93.0%
Q4 - 9:48INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q4 - 10:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q4 - 10:04INDMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot75
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 10:15INDPACERS Rebound75
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 10:15INDMISS Robinson III 6' Jump Shot75
11.2%
83
88.8%
Q4 - 10:31INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Reed 2' Alley Oop Layup75
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 10:46MIAHeat Rebound75
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q4 - 10:46MIARobinson III BLOCK (1 BLK)75
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q4 - 10:52MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q4 - 10:53INDMISS Miles 20' Jump Shot75
11.1%
83
88.9%
Q4 - 11:05INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot75
11.1%
83
88.9%
Q4 - 11:12MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q4 - 11:12MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup75
11.1%
83
88.9%
Q4 - 11:24MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q4 - 11:25INDMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot75
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q4 - 11:41MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T12)75
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND75
12.7%
83
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound75
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot75
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAJohnson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)73
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)73
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q3 - 1:02INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)73
14.8%
81
85.2%
Q3 - 1:15INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
20.2%
78
79.8%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot73
21.2%
78
78.8%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
23.6%
78
76.4%
Q3 - 1:32INDMISS Turner 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
22.5%
78
77.5%
Q3 - 1:47MIAEllington 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)73
20.2%
78
79.8%
Q3 - 2:13INDGeorge 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)70
15.4%
78
84.6%
Q3 - 2:23INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 2:24MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q3 - 2:42MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
20.8%
76
79.2%
Q3 - 2:42INDMISS George 3' Driving Layup70
19.8%
76
80.2%
Q3 - 2:56MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)70
17.7%
76
82.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q3 - 3:08INDMISS Young 1' Cutting Layup Shot67
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)67
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (24 PTS)67
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup65
9.0%
76
91.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)65
10.1%
76
89.9%
Q3 - 3:30INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)65
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 3:55INDGeorge Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)65
10.1%
76
89.9%
Q3 - 3:55INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)65
10.2%
75
89.8%
Q3 - 3:55INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)65
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 4:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 4:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q3 - 4:25INDMISS Miles 30' 3PT Jump Shot65
15.9%
73
84.1%
Q3 - 4:41MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)65
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 5:00INDTeague Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T9)65
16.7%
73
83.3%
Q3 - 5:14MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (22 PTS)65
14.8%
73
85.2%
Q3 - 5:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)63
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 5:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)63
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS Whiteside Tip Layup Shot63
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Johnson 10' Running Jump Shot63
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q3 - 5:37INDTeague Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)63
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 5:48INDTurner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q3 - 5:49MIATurner BLOCK (1 BLK)63
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q3 - 5:51MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
17.2%
71
82.8%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q3 - 6:13INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q3 - 6:13INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)63
18.2%
70
81.8%
Q3 - 6:25MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)63
20.0%
69
80.0%
Q3 - 6:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)60
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 6:29MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q3 - 6:56INDGeorge 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)60
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 7:08MIAWaiters 20' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q3 - 7:28INDYoung 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)58
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 7:43INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
17.8%
65
82.2%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 258
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
19.7%
65
80.3%
Q3 - 7:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)57
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 7:51INDMISS Teague 4' Jump Shot57
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)57
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q3 - 8:29INDMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot57
17.9%
65
82.1%
Q3 - 8:50MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)57
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)57
18.7%
65
81.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 9:14INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)57
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 9:26INDPACERS Rebound57
16.7%
65
83.3%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot57
17.3%
65
82.7%
Q3 - 9:39INDTeague Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)57
18.9%
65
81.1%
Q3 - 9:39INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)57
19.2%
64
80.8%
Q3 - 9:39INDTeague Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)57
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWaiters 19' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)57
23.6%
62
76.4%
Q3 - 10:11INDGeorge 16' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q3 - 10:35MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)55
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 10:50MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Babbitt 20' Pullup Jump Shot53
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 11:01INDMISS Turner 3PT Jump Shot53
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 11:15MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)53
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q3 - 11:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q3 - 11:40INDMISS George 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound53
21.9%
60
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 71' 3PT Jump Shot53
20.2%
60
79.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMiles 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)53
22.1%
60
77.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (15 PTS)53
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Waiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot51
23.3%
57
76.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)51
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDChristmas Putback Dunk (5 PTS)51
24.4%
57
75.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDMISS Young 1' Reverse Layup51
29.0%
55
71.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDMISS Miles 28' 3PT Jump Shot51
29.0%
55
71.0%
Q2 - 1:00INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 251
27.9%
55
72.1%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
29.6%
55
70.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
26.2%
55
73.8%
Q2 - 1:23INDYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q2 - 1:23INDYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q2 - 1:38MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
30.3%
53
69.7%
Q2 - 1:57INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
27.1%
53
72.9%
Q2 - 1:57INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
27.3%
52
72.7%
Q2 - 2:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
30.6%
51
69.4%
Q2 - 2:02MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Turnaround Hook Shot48
31.4%
51
68.6%
Q2 - 2:14INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)48
33.1%
51
66.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
39.1%
48
60.9%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
38.1%
48
61.9%
Q2 - 2:36MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
35.9%
48
64.1%
Q2 - 2:37INDMISS Teague 9' Floating Jump Shot46
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 2:50MIAWhiteside 3' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)46
33.4%
48
66.6%
Q2 - 3:05MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q2 - 3:06INDMISS Christmas Dunk44
30.1%
48
69.9%
Q2 - 3:19MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)44
28.1%
48
71.9%
Q2 - 3:48INDTeague 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMcGruder 20' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
33.4%
45
66.6%
Q2 - 4:14INDMISS George 2' Driving Layup42
32.7%
45
67.3%
Q2 - 4:28INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 4:28INDMISS Young Free Throw 2 of 242
33.1%
45
66.9%
Q2 - 4:28INDMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 242
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 241
30.2%
45
69.8%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)41
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 4:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot41
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup41
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 4:52INDGeorge 7' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
31.0%
45
69.0%
Q2 - 5:02INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
33.5%
43
66.5%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS Ellington 28' 3PT Jump Shot41
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 5:19INDChristmas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 5:19INDMISS Christmas Free Throw 1 of 241
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 5:38MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)41
36.0%
42
64.0%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
31.8%
42
68.2%
Q2 - 5:55INDTurner Foul Turnover (P1.T7)39
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 6:01INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
31.1%
42
68.9%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup39
32.0%
42
68.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
34.0%
42
66.0%
Q2 - 6:14INDMISS George 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
33.1%
42
66.9%
Q2 - 6:26MIAEllington 22' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)39
31.1%
42
68.9%
Q2 - 6:49INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
29.3%
42
70.7%
Q2 - 7:18MIAWaiters 18' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
27.2%
42
72.8%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
25.4%
42
74.6%
Q2 - 7:30INDMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot35
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q2 - 7:47MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 8:12INDEllis 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)32
20.0%
42
80.0%
Q2 - 8:25MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)32
21.6%
40
78.4%
Q2 - 8:36INDRobinson III 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)32
23.5%
40
76.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIARobinson III STEAL (1 STL)32
25.3%
38
74.7%
Q2 - 8:54INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 8:54INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
27.8%
37
72.2%
Q2 - 9:00INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 9:01INDMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot32
31.1%
36
68.9%
Q2 - 9:16MIAJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)32
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 9:24INDStuckey Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)30
27.6%
36
72.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAJohnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 9:51INDStuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
23.8%
36
76.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 10:19INDRobinson III 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
22.3%
34
77.7%
Q2 - 10:40INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.8%
32
76.2%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup25
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 10:48INDMISS Allen Cutting Layup Shot25
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q2 - 11:01INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 11:04MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot25
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 11:13INDStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 11:22INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 11:28INDAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 11:48MIAEllington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 11:58INDEllis Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)22
20.7%
32
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND22
19.1%
32
80.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
19.5%
32
80.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
19.2%
32
80.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0INDEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)20
17.7%
32
82.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21.1%
29
78.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot20
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDMISS Christmas 1' Cutting Layup Shot20
21.9%
29
78.1%
Q1 - 1:00MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 1:00MIAReed Putback Dunk (2 PTS)20
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Johnson Driving Layup18
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 1:14INDChristmas 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)18
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q1 - 1:27INDPACERS Rebound18
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q1 - 1:27MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q1 - 1:52INDYoung 1' Hook Shot (8 PTS)18
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 2:02INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot18
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q1 - 2:26INDGeorge 17' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q1 - 2:42MIARichardson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)18
28.2%
23
71.8%
Q1 - 2:52INDTeague Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)16
26.1%
23
73.9%
Q1 - 2:56INDTurner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
24.6%
23
75.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q1 - 3:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 3:28INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)16
26.6%
23
73.4%
Q1 - 3:41MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)16
30.1%
20
69.9%
Q1 - 4:07INDTurner 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)16
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 4:11INDTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 4:12MIAGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)16
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 4:22INDMISS Teague 17' Step Back Jump Shot16
35.4%
18
64.6%
Q1 - 4:32INDTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Jump Shot16
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 4:51INDTeague 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
36.2%
18
63.8%
Q1 - 4:53INDTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
37.9%
16
62.1%
Q1 - 4:54INDMISS Turner 3PT Jump Shot16
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 5:20INDTurner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
37.8%
16
62.2%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot16
38.5%
16
61.5%
Q1 - 5:36INDGeorge 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)16
40.0%
16
60.0%
Q1 - 5:47INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
41.8%
14
58.2%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Waiters 3' Driving Layup16
42.5%
14
57.5%
Q1 - 5:59INDYoung 1' Layup (6 PTS)16
44.1%
14
55.9%
Q1 - 6:11MIAMcGruder 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
45.4%
12
54.6%
Q1 - 6:25MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
43.6%
12
56.4%
Q1 - 6:27INDMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot14
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 6:41MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (6 PTS)14
41.5%
12
58.5%
Q1 - 6:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 6:59INDMISS Teague 13' Floating Jump Shot12
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 7:21INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
38.1%
12
61.9%
Q1 - 7:35INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 7:40MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)12
43.0%
9
57.0%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 7:53INDMISS Young Alley Oop Layup10
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 8:04INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
39.5%
9
60.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 110
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 8:21INDMISS George 20' Pullup Jump Shot8
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 8:29INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
35.9%
9
64.1%
Q1 - 8:30MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup8
36.5%
9
63.5%
Q1 - 8:41INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 8:41INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 8:47INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Layup8
40.0%
7
60.0%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.4%
7
58.6%
Q1 - 9:11INDMISS Turner 14' Jump Bank Shot8
40.7%
7
59.3%
Q1 - 9:24MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)8
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 9:41INDYoung 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (George 1 AST)5
36.1%
7
63.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)5
37.4%
5
62.6%
Q1 - 9:54INDTurner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)5
39.6%
5
60.4%
Q1 - 9:54INDMISS Turner 1' Tip Layup Shot5
38.9%
5
61.1%
Q1 - 9:55INDMISS George 3' Jump Shot5
38.9%
5
61.1%
Q1 - 10:02INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)5
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 10:02INDPACERS Rebound5
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:03INDMISS Turner 1' Layup5
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 10:03INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:03INDMISS Turner 1' Layup5
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:43INDTurner Dunk (2 PTS) (Young 1 AST)2
35.9%
4
64.1%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWhiteside 14' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)2
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:17INDYoung 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)0
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:26INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:28INDMISS Young 8' Hook Shot0
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:39INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.5%
0
62.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS McGruder 1' Tip Layup Shot0
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 11:41MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot0
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS McGruder 8' Jump Shot0
38.0%
0
62.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Turner vs. Whiteside: Tip to McGruder0
39.1%
0
60.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
IND
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
37
46%
IND
20
37
54%
Midrange
MIA
13
25
52%
IND
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
32
28%
42%
IND
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
11
16
69%
IND
27
32
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2657%13.0 / 23
D. Waiters2053%10.0 / 19
W. Ellington1973%9.5 / 13
J. Johnson1444%7.0 / 16
J. Richardson945%4.5 / 10
R. McGruder440%2.0 / 5
W. Reed467%2.0 / 3
T. Johnson211%1.0 / 9
L. Babbitt0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2861%14.0 / 23
M. Turner1544%7.5 / 17
T. Young1354%6.5 / 12
J. Teague1250%6.0 / 12
R. Stuckey964%4.5 / 7
C. Miles850%4.0 / 8
R. Christmas758%3.5 / 6
M. Ellis643%3.0 / 7
G. Robinson III467%2.0 / 3
L. Allen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+22
-8
104
IND
82
+15
-9
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.7%
IND
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
108.8
MIA 108.9
IND 112.1 +3.2
Pace
95.0
95.9
MIA 81.5
IND 101.7 +20.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.1
MIA 17.7
IND 14.2 +3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.6%
MIA 46.3% +0.6%
IND 45.7%
TO %
13.2%
13.7%
MIA 10.6%
IND 8.6% +2.0%
ORB %
24.2%
21.3%
MIA 35.2% +11.3%
IND 23.9%
FTrt
25.1
26.1
MIA 17.0
IND 39.0 +22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
57.2%
MIA 46.2% +11.9%
IND 34.3%
STL %
7.5%
8.4%
MIA 4.4% +2.2%
IND 2.2%
BLK %
9.3%
9.0%
MIA 6.0%
IND 6.5% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
54.5%
MIA 46.7%
IND 51.5% +4.8%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.1%
MIA 45.9%
IND 54.1% +8.2%
Mid FG%
39.4%
42.1%
MIA 52.0% +18.7%
IND 33.3%
3P %
36.5%
37.6%
MIA 28.1%
IND 33.3% +5.2%
FT %
70.6%
81.0%
MIA 68.8%
IND 84.4% +15.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
32.9%
MIA 39.4%
IND 45.1% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
39.9%
MIA 26.6% +10.0%
IND 36.6%
3P Att. %
31.4%
27.2%
MIA 34.0% +15.7%
IND 18.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points98102
Rebounds5446
Assists1812
Steals42
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)8 (4)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (0)35 (2)
Field Goals39-9435-82
At-the-Rim FG17-3720-37
Midrange FG13-2510-30
2-Point FG30-6230-67
3-Point FG9-325-15
Free Throws11-1627-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
36.8
9
45%
8
0
3
1
1
3
5
3
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
36.0
20
53%
8
6
0
0
1
2
0
8
1-3
33%
5-11
45%
3-7
43%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
33.8
26
57%
21
0
0
1
2
2
10
11
4-5
80%
11-21
52%
0-0
-
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
18.9
4
40%
3
3
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
31.9
14
44%
4
0
0
0
2
4
0
4
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
27.4
19
73%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
24.8
2
11%
2
5
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-4
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
14.2
4
67%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
47%
54
18
4
4
8
0
19
35
11-16
69%
30-62
48%
9-32
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.