for complete access.
All Games Saturday, March 11, 2017
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Raptors
36%100
89
12
Heat
64%105
104
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
97.89194.7
MIA logo MIA
114.39187.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORMISS VanVleet 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22TORMISS Siakam 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 289
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 289
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:50TORPowell 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)89
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJohnson 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:21TORMISS VanVleet 8' Floating Jump Shot87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:29MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)87
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 2:39TORWright 1' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Siakam 1 AST)87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:43TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Johnson 3' Reverse Layup85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAHEAT Rebound85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19TORPoeltl 1' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (VanVleet 1 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32MIAJohnson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)83
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:51MIAHEAT Rebound83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 283
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)83
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 3:57TORPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 3:57TORPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:19TORMISS Powell Free Throw 2 of 281
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 4:19TORMISS Powell Free Throw 1 of 281
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 4:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 4:28MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)81
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)81
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 4:43TORMISS Poeltl 6' Jump Bank Shot81
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 4:55MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T10)81
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 5:11TORPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 5:11TORPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 5:18TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)79
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Johnson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot79
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 5:41TORVanVleet Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:41TORVanVleet Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:45MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)77
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:59TORSiakam 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:16TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:17TORWaiters BLOCK (1 BLK)75
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:21TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 6:49TORPowell 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)75
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 6:59TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:00TORMISS Poeltl 12' Jump Shot73
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:10TORRaptors Rebound73
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:11TORReed BLOCK (2 BLK)73
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21MIAEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)73
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:28TORPoeltl 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)73
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 7:29TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:30TORMISS VanVleet 1' Driving Layup71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:48TORSiakam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:11TORSiakam 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)71
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:35MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)69
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:44TORMISS Powell 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 8:59MIAWaiters Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)69
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 369
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 369
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:20TORPoeltl 2' Layup (2 PTS)69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 9:23TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)67
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:26TORMISS Powell 1' Layup67
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:39TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw Technical67
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIARichardson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)67
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 9:55MIAHEAT Rebound67
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Reed 1' Layup67
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:10TORWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:10TORWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 10:13TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Johnson 2' Finger Roll Layup65
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:20MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 10:23TORMISS VanVleet 2' Running Layup65
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:28TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 10:51MIAHEAT Rebound65
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 10:52TORMISS VanVleet 11' Jump Shot65
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 11:01MIARichardson 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)65
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 11:17TORWright 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 11:30TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 11:31MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 11:42MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 11:43TORMISS Patterson 17' Jump Shot63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS VanVleet 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0TOREllington STEAL (1 STL)63
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORWright Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)63
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 262
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0TORMISS Ibaka 14' Turnaround Jump Shot62
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJohnson 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:36TORIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 1:36TORIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 1:43TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot60
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)60
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 2:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)60
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:10TORMISS Ibaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:19TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Johnson 18' Step Back Jump Shot60
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 2:35TORWright Driving Dunk (6 PTS)60
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:54MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)58
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 3:17TORPatterson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)58
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 3:33MIAJohnson 5' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)55
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 3:44MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 3:45TORJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)55
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 4:07MIAJohnson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)55
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 4:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 4:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)53
1.2%
76
98.8%
Q3 - 4:58TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 4:58TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)52
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 5:06TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 5:26TORWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)51
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 5:45MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)51
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q3 - 6:00TORJoseph 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMcGruder 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)49
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 6:33TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)49
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:49MIAHEAT Rebound49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 6:50TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot49
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 7:10MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)49
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q3 - 7:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
2.2%
69
97.8%
Q3 - 7:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
2.1%
69
97.9%
Q3 - 7:33TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.8%
69
98.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 7:45TORMISS Joseph 2' Driving Layup47
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 7:53MIAWhiteside 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)47
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 8:09TORJoseph 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
2.4%
67
97.6%
Q3 - 8:29MIAWaiters 20' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 8:46TORPowell 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 9:12MIAJohnson 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)43
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 9:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 9:26TORMISS Joseph 12' Floating Jump Shot43
2.7%
63
97.3%
Q3 - 9:37MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)43
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 9:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 9:54TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 10:09MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 10:13TORBabbitt STEAL (2 STL)41
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 10:21TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
3.2%
61
96.8%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q3 - 10:43TORIbaka Foul Turnover (P2.T11)41
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 11:06MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 11:06MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 11:19TORJoseph Foul Turnover (P1.T10)41
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 11:22TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot41
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 11:36TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot41
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 11:50TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 11:51MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 241
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q3 - 11:51MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 241
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0TORWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)41
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAWaiters Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)41
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0TORRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
4.4%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORRaptors Rebound41
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0TORJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
4.4%
59
95.6%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)41
4.7%
59
95.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)41
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)41
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw Technical41
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q2 - 1:22MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Babbitt 3 AST)39
5.6%
56
94.4%
Q2 - 1:39TORWaiters STEAL (1 STL)39
7.6%
53
92.4%
Q2 - 1:57MIABabbitt Foul Turnover (P1.T3)39
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 2:03TORValanciunas 1' Layup (10 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)39
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 2:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 2:09TORMISS DeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot37
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q2 - 2:28MIADragic 1' Running Layup (12 PTS)37
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 2:34TORDragic STEAL (2 STL)37
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 2:53TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)37
8.6%
51
91.4%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot37
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
7.8%
51
92.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.3%
51
91.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAHEAT Rebound37
8.2%
51
91.8%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup37
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 3:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 3:16TORMISS Powell 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q2 - 3:36TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot37
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 3:48MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 3:49TORMISS Ibaka 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot37
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 4:08MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)37
9.5%
51
90.5%
Q2 - 4:32TORVanVleet Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)34
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
9.7%
47
90.3%
Q2 - 5:03TORWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)34
10.1%
47
89.9%
Q2 - 5:24MIADragic 9' Pullup Bank Shot (8 PTS)34
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 5:37TORVanVleet Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)34
11.9%
45
88.1%
Q2 - 5:41TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup34
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
11.9%
45
88.1%
Q2 - 5:49TORMISS Valanciunas 6' Hook Shot34
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 5:51TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 5:52TORMISS Ibaka 14' Jump Shot34
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 6:03TORIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 6:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 6:19TORMISS VanVleet 2' Driving Layup34
12.6%
45
87.4%
Q2 - 6:40MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)34
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 6:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 6:47TORMISS VanVleet 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 6:55TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)34
18.0%
42
82.0%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Dragic 12' Step Back Jump Shot34
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 7:21TORWright 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)34
16.7%
42
83.3%
Q2 - 7:22TORWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 7:23TORMISS Powell 1' Driving Layup32
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 7:29TORVanVleet REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 7:30MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 7:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 7:35TORMISS Powell 18' Jump Shot32
14.4%
42
85.6%
Q2 - 7:46TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)32
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Richardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot32
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 7:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
13.9%
42
86.1%
Q2 - 8:00TORMISS Wright 1' Driving Layup32
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 8:19TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)32
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 8:27TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
18.4%
40
81.6%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Turnaround Jump Shot32
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 8:47TORValanciunas 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)32
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 9:07TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
15.3%
40
84.7%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 9:18TORMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 9:36MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 9:36MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 9:40TORMISS Poeltl 1' Tip Layup Shot30
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 9:41TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)30
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 9:42TORMISS Poeltl 1' Tip Layup Shot30
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 9:43TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)30
18.5%
38
81.5%
Q2 - 9:45TORMISS Tucker 7' Hook Shot30
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 10:05MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 10:32TORPowell Driving Dunk (4 PTS)30
20.1%
36
79.9%
Q2 - 10:40TORTucker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
18.8%
36
81.2%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Johnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot28
18.3%
36
81.7%
Q2 - 10:56TORWright 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
17.1%
36
82.9%
Q2 - 11:13MIAReed Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)26
16.0%
36
84.0%
Q2 - 11:14MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup26
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
17.3%
34
82.7%
Q2 - 11:27TORMISS Poeltl Free Throw 2 of 226
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 11:27TORMISS Poeltl Free Throw 1 of 226
18.2%
34
81.8%
Q2 - 11:27TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 11:28TORReed BLOCK (1 BLK)26
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 11:47MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRichardson STEAL (1 STL)26
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Wright 9' Jump Shot26
20.8%
32
79.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
21.6%
32
78.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0TORMISS DeRozan 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.9%
29
74.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
26.4%
29
73.6%
Q1 - 1:09TORDeRozan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q1 - 1:31TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q1 - 1:48TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)24
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q1 - 1:48TORRaptors Rebound24
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q1 - 1:49TORMISS DeRozan 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
22.5%
29
77.5%
Q1 - 2:12MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 2:32TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q1 - 2:38TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot24
23.2%
29
76.8%
Q1 - 2:57TORDeRozan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS)24
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAReed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)22
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 3:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
19.2%
29
80.8%
Q1 - 3:31TORPoeltl REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q1 - 3:32TORMISS Ibaka 3PT Jump Shot19
15.7%
29
84.3%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)19
16.7%
29
83.3%
Q1 - 4:14TORDeRozan 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)17
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)17
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)17
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 4:44MIADragic Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)17
20.5%
23
79.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.0%
22
78.0%
Q1 - 4:50TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot17
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 5:14TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.9%
22
76.1%
Q1 - 5:15MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup17
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 5:26TORIbaka 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 5:51MIAWaiters 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 5:57MIAHEAT Rebound15
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 6:11TORPowell 2' Layup (2 PTS)15
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q1 - 6:22TORRaptors Rebound13
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 6:23TORMISS Ibaka 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
20.2%
20
79.8%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 6:40MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
21.7%
19
78.3%
Q1 - 6:50TORValanciunas Putback Dunk (6 PTS)13
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 6:51TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)11
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 6:52TORMISS Powell 16' Pullup Jump Shot11
20.2%
18
79.8%
Q1 - 7:04TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
21.6%
18
78.4%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 7:25TORIbaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)11
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 7:28TORRaptors Rebound8
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 7:29TORWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)8
17.0%
18
83.0%
Q1 - 7:55MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)8
17.9%
18
82.1%
Q1 - 8:13TORBabbitt STEAL (1 STL)8
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 8:21TORPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 8:23TORMISS Joseph 16' Pullup Jump Shot8
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 8:40MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)8
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 8:49TORMISS Ibaka 10' Hook Shot8
24.5%
12
75.5%
Q1 - 9:07MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
25.6%
12
74.4%
Q1 - 9:16TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
28.2%
9
71.8%
Q1 - 9:36MIADragic 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)6
27.0%
9
73.0%
Q1 - 9:40TORDragic STEAL (1 STL)6
28.2%
7
71.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAWhiteside 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 2 AST)6
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 10:24TORValanciunas 3' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
31.3%
5
68.7%
Q1 - 10:33TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 10:34TORMISS DeRozan 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot4
28.7%
5
71.3%
Q1 - 10:55MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)4
29.9%
5
70.1%
Q1 - 11:10TORValanciunas 2' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 11:11TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:12TORMISS DeRozan 1' Reverse Layup2
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMcGruder 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 11:42TORIbaka 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Joseph0
31.2%
0
68.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
18
35
51%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
TOR
13
38
34%
MIA
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
2
3.0
15
13%
20%
MIA
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
TOR
21
25
84%
MIA
23
33
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan1745%8.5 / 19
N. Powell1441%7.0 / 17
D. Wright1372%6.5 / 9
J. Valančiūnas1083%5.0 / 6
S. Ibaka938%4.5 / 12
C. Joseph638%3.0 / 8
J. Poeltl633%3.0 / 9
F. VanVleet523%2.5 / 11
P. Patterson583%2.5 / 3
P. Siakam450%2.0 / 4
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2077%10.0 / 13
T. Johnson1657%8.0 / 14
G. Dragic1575%7.5 / 10
H. Whiteside1260%6.0 / 10
J. Johnson1246%6.0 / 13
W. Ellington1161%5.5 / 9
R. McGruder758%3.5 / 6
L. Babbitt675%3.0 / 4
J. Richardson338%1.5 / 4
W. Reed250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+22
-12
101
MIA
79
+8
-12
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.2
108.1
TOR 97.8 +16.5
MIA 114.3
Pace
94.8
95.0
TOR 94.7 +7.1
MIA 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.7
TOR 15.2 +1.2
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
51.2%
TOR 38.6%
MIA 56.3% +17.7%
TO %
12.4%
13.2%
TOR 11.6% +0.6%
MIA 12.2%
ORB %
24.9%
24.2%
TOR 33.3% +24.7%
MIA 8.6%
FTrt
29.3
25.1
TOR 28.4
MIA 45.8 +17.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
47.2%
54.4%
TOR 21.2%
MIA 60.0% +38.8%
STL %
8.7%
7.5%
TOR 6.6%
MIA 8.8% +2.2%
BLK %
8.8%
9.3%
TOR 11.4%
MIA 13.7% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.8%
TOR 44.1%
MIA 59.1% +15.0%
Rim FG%
58.9%
59.2%
TOR 51.4%
MIA 59.1% +7.7%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.4%
TOR 34.2%
MIA 50.0% +15.8%
3P %
36.3%
36.5%
TOR 13.3%
MIA 39.3% +26.0%
FT %
79.6%
70.6%
TOR 84.0% +14.3%
MIA 69.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
35.4%
TOR 39.8% +9.2%
MIA 30.6%
Mid Att. %
36.5%
33.1%
TOR 43.2%
MIA 30.6% +12.6%
3P Att. %
28.9%
31.4%
TOR 17.0%
MIA 38.9% +21.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points89104
Rebounds4835
Assists721
Steals68
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (6)3 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)32 (3)
Field Goals33-8835-72
At-the-Rim FG18-3513-22
Midrange FG13-3811-22
2-Point FG31-7324-44
3-Point FG2-1511-28
Free Throws21-2523-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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20 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Norman Powell
F · 6'4" 215 · 24
35.0
14
41%
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
4-6
67%
5-10
50%
0-4
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
28.4
17
45%
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
3
7-7
100%
5-14
36%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27
28.0
9
38%
4
0
0
3
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'2" 200 · 26
22.2
6
38%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
21.0
10
83%
10
0
0
0
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25
25.2
13
72%
3
3
3
0
2
2
2
1
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 197 · 23
20.0
5
23%
4
1
0
0
2
2
1
3
3-3
100%
1-7
14%
0-3
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 260 · 21
19.1
6
33%
9
0
0
0
0
3
6
3
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28
18.0
5
83%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32
14.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'8" 245 · 23
9.0
4
50%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 31
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 25
Kyle Lowry
#7 · G · 6'0" 196 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
44%
48
7
6
5
12
0
16
32
21-25
84%
31-73
42%
2-15
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.