FinalWin Prob.pScore
1046%102
101
1154%104
108
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
108.69395.5
MIA logo MIA
116.19390.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)101
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0CHAWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)101
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)101
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Walker 2' Running Layup101
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)101
4.3%
105
95.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)101
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0CHAMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)98
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 1:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)98
5.3%
102
94.7%
Q4 - 1:07MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
8.4%
102
91.6%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
6.9%
102
93.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot98
10.4%
102
89.6%
Q4 - 1:50CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)98
9.2%
102
90.8%
Q4 - 2:00MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
3.6%
102
96.4%
Q4 - 2:20CHAZeller 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)95
9.3%
99
90.7%
Q4 - 2:21CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
7.4%
99
92.6%
Q4 - 2:22CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
4.7%
99
95.3%
Q4 - 2:32MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)93
7.5%
99
92.5%
Q4 - 2:51CHABatum 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)93
5.0%
99
95.0%
Q4 - 3:04CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)91
3.8%
99
96.2%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 3:25CHAWhiteside BLOCK (4 BLK)91
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 3:36CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
4.9%
99
95.1%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)91
3.6%
99
96.4%
Q4 - 3:56CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
4.0%
99
96.0%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)91
5.1%
99
94.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
9.8%
96
90.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
12.6%
96
87.4%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
9.7%
96
90.3%
Q4 - 4:52CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 7' Driving Hook Shot91
10.9%
96
89.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)91
16.6%
96
83.4%
Q4 - 5:33CHABatum 21' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)91
12.2%
96
87.8%
Q4 - 5:56MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 10 AST)89
9.1%
96
90.9%
Q4 - 6:05MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
18.1%
93
81.9%
Q4 - 6:06CHAJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)89
19.8%
93
80.2%
Q4 - 6:30CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
23.8%
93
76.2%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 289
23.0%
93
77.0%
Q4 - 6:31MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 289
20.4%
93
79.6%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
18.0%
93
82.0%
Q4 - 6:37CHAMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot89
19.6%
93
80.4%
Q4 - 7:02CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)89
25.5%
93
74.5%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 289
24.8%
93
75.2%
Q4 - 7:03MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 289
21.9%
93
78.1%
Q4 - 7:13MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
20.1%
93
79.9%
Q4 - 7:14CHAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)89
21.7%
93
78.3%
Q4 - 7:29CHABelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
25.4%
93
74.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Dragic 2' Running Layup89
23.7%
93
76.3%
Q4 - 7:36CHADragic STEAL (1 STL)89
20.0%
93
80.0%
Q4 - 7:53MIAReed Cutting Dunk Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)89
25.4%
93
74.6%
Q4 - 8:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
31.8%
91
68.2%
Q4 - 8:04CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
33.5%
91
66.5%
Q4 - 8:26MIAReed 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)89
37.4%
91
62.6%
Q4 - 8:27MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
43.8%
89
56.2%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Reed 2' Alley Oop Layup89
48.2%
89
51.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAHEAT Rebound89
43.8%
89
56.2%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Reed 1' Layup89
48.2%
89
51.8%
Q4 - 8:47MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
43.8%
89
56.2%
Q4 - 8:48CHAMISS Belinelli 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot89
45.7%
89
54.3%
Q4 - 9:03MIADragic 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (20 PTS)89
50.1%
89
49.9%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
55.8%
87
44.2%
Q4 - 9:27CHAMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
57.8%
87
42.2%
Q4 - 9:46MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
62.0%
87
38.0%
Q4 - 10:15CHABelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)89
70.9%
84
29.1%
Q4 - 10:34MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)86
61.1%
84
38.9%
Q4 - 10:55MIAHEAT Rebound86
71.0%
81
29.0%
Q4 - 10:56CHAMISS Lamb 8' Jump Shot86
72.6%
81
27.4%
Q4 - 11:06CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
74.4%
81
25.6%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Johnson 14' Pullup Jump Shot86
73.0%
81
27.0%
Q4 - 11:24CHARichardson STEAL (2 STL)86
69.9%
81
30.1%
Q4 - 11:26MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)86
74.4%
81
25.6%
Q4 - 11:31MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
69.9%
81
30.1%
Q4 - 11:32CHAMISS Belinelli 2' Finger Roll Layup86
71.3%
81
28.7%
Q4 - 11:46CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
74.5%
81
25.5%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
73.1%
81
26.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA86
69.9%
81
30.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)86
69.9%
81
30.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Walker 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot86
70.1%
81
29.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
73.0%
81
27.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Johnson 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot86
71.8%
81
28.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)86
68.9%
81
31.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)85
68.3%
81
31.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWhiteside 3' Driving Hook Shot (9 PTS)84
64.2%
81
35.8%
Q3 - 1:12CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)84
67.6%
79
32.4%
Q3 - 1:21CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)81
58.7%
79
41.3%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot81
57.2%
79
42.8%
Q3 - 1:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)81
53.7%
79
46.3%
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot81
57.2%
79
42.8%
Q3 - 1:57CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)81
53.8%
79
46.2%
Q3 - 2:12CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
43.8%
79
56.2%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup78
42.3%
79
57.7%
Q3 - 2:30CHAWalker 17' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)78
39.0%
79
61.0%
Q3 - 2:45MIAWhiteside 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)76
35.0%
79
65.0%
Q3 - 3:05CHALamb 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
39.4%
77
60.6%
Q3 - 3:26MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)74
35.5%
77
64.5%
Q3 - 3:41CHAWilliams 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (14 PTS)74
43.7%
74
56.3%
Q3 - 4:03CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
39.9%
74
60.1%
Q3 - 4:04MIAMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot72
38.4%
74
61.6%
Q3 - 4:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
35.2%
74
64.8%
Q3 - 4:45MIAWhiteside 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)70
32.0%
74
68.0%
Q3 - 5:00CHAKidd-Gilchrist 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)70
35.2%
72
64.8%
Q3 - 5:26MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)68
32.3%
72
67.7%
Q3 - 5:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q3 - 5:36CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup68
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q3 - 5:50CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
44.0%
69
56.0%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
42.6%
69
57.4%
Q3 - 5:59MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
39.5%
69
60.5%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
42.6%
69
57.4%
Q3 - 6:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
39.7%
69
60.3%
Q3 - 6:10CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q3 - 6:15CHAHornets Rebound68
43.8%
69
56.2%
Q3 - 6:16CHAMISS Lamb 12' Floating Jump Shot68
40.9%
69
59.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)68
43.8%
69
56.2%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
51.5%
66
48.5%
Q3 - 6:40CHAWhiteside BLOCK (3 BLK)68
52.8%
66
47.2%
Q3 - 6:54CHAHornets Rebound68
55.8%
66
44.2%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup68
54.5%
66
45.5%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
51.5%
66
48.5%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup68
54.5%
66
45.5%
Q3 - 7:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
50.9%
66
49.1%
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot68
53.9%
66
46.1%
Q3 - 7:32CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P1.T9)68
50.9%
66
49.1%
Q3 - 7:41MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (18 PTS)68
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q3 - 7:41MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)68
56.0%
65
44.0%
Q3 - 7:41MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)68
56.9%
64
43.1%
Q3 - 7:47CHABatum Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)68
62.2%
63
37.8%
Q3 - 7:47CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)67
61.8%
63
38.2%
Q3 - 7:47CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)66
61.3%
63
38.7%
Q3 - 7:59MIAWaiters Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)65
55.3%
63
44.7%
Q3 - 8:10CHAWilliams 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
50.8%
63
49.2%
Q3 - 8:29MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)63
47.7%
63
52.3%
Q3 - 8:45CHAWaiters STEAL (1 STL)63
54.5%
60
45.5%
Q3 - 8:46CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)63
58.9%
60
41.1%
Q3 - 8:47CHAMISS Batum 15' Fadeaway Jumper63
55.9%
60
44.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)63
57.8%
60
42.2%
Q3 - 9:23CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
64.6%
57
35.4%
Q3 - 9:23CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
64.2%
57
35.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWaiters Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)61
61.4%
57
38.6%
Q3 - 9:44CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kidd-Gilchrist 1 AST)61
57.7%
57
42.3%
Q3 - 9:50CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
50.7%
57
49.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Dragic 2' Running Layup58
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q3 - 9:56CHAWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)58
46.9%
57
53.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)58
50.5%
57
49.5%
Q3 - 10:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 10:26CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
58.4%
54
41.6%
Q3 - 10:34CHAHornets Rebound58
60.9%
54
39.1%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
59.8%
54
40.2%
Q3 - 10:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
57.2%
54
42.8%
Q3 - 11:15CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
53.7%
54
46.3%
Q3 - 11:16MIAMISS Babbitt 27' 3PT Jump Shot56
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 11:35CHAKidd-Gilchrist 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
50.1%
54
49.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
46.9%
54
53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
43.3%
54
56.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 73' 3PT Jump Shot54
45.8%
54
54.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
43.3%
54
56.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
44.7%
54
55.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)54
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHAWalker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)54
53.9%
51
46.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)52
49.6%
51
50.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Bank Shot52
48.9%
51
51.1%
Q2 - 1:03CHAZeller Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)52
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q2 - 1:21MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)50
42.8%
51
57.2%
Q2 - 1:44CHAWalker 16' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q2 - 1:52CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
42.8%
49
57.2%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
42.3%
49
57.7%
Q2 - 2:11CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
40.6%
49
59.4%
Q2 - 2:11CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
39.9%
49
60.1%
Q2 - 2:20MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)46
37.5%
49
62.5%
Q2 - 2:32CHAWalker Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)46
34.8%
49
65.2%
Q2 - 2:32CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)45
34.5%
49
65.5%
Q2 - 2:32CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)44
34.0%
49
66.0%
Q2 - 2:47MIABabbitt Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q2 - 3:03CHAKidd-Gilchrist 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)43
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q2 - 3:09CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
25.3%
49
74.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Waiters 3' Driving Layup41
24.6%
49
75.4%
Q2 - 3:29CHAWalker 10' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
22.8%
49
77.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)39
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q2 - 4:01CHAWalker 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)39
25.7%
46
74.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T5)37
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 4:32CHAKidd-Gilchrist Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
21.6%
46
78.4%
Q2 - 4:43CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
22.9%
46
77.1%
Q2 - 5:01CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)37
21.9%
46
78.1%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)34
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q2 - 5:24MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
21.9%
43
78.1%
Q2 - 5:25CHAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)34
22.5%
43
77.5%
Q2 - 5:42MIARichardson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)34
24.0%
43
76.0%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
26.0%
41
74.0%
Q2 - 5:52CHAMISS Zeller 11' Floating Jump Shot34
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q2 - 6:12MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)34
29.0%
41
71.0%
Q2 - 6:23CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 6:26CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
36.1%
38
63.9%
Q2 - 6:27CHAMISS Belinelli 20' Turnaround Jump Shot34
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 6:40MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)34
36.1%
38
63.9%
Q2 - 7:00CHAWilliams 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)34
40.7%
35
59.3%
Q2 - 7:01CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 7:02CHAMISS Zeller 16' Jump Shot32
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 7:22CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Ellington 23' Jump Shot32
38.0%
35
62.0%
Q2 - 7:37CHALamb 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 7:57MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)30
33.9%
35
66.1%
Q2 - 8:15CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
38.5%
32
61.5%
Q2 - 8:27CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 8:41CHABelinelli Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)27
31.5%
32
68.5%
Q2 - 8:41CHABelinelli Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)26
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 8:41CHABelinelli Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)25
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 8:54MIARichardson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
27.4%
32
72.6%
Q2 - 8:56MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot24
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 9:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
29.5%
30
70.5%
Q2 - 9:10CHAMISS Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
30.2%
30
69.8%
Q2 - 9:34MIAReed Cutting Dunk Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)24
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 9:46CHABelinelli 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)24
33.9%
28
66.1%
Q2 - 10:05MIADragic 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)22
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q2 - 10:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Richardson 2' Running Layup22
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 10:10CHAEllington STEAL (1 STL)22
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 10:22CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q2 - 10:40MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q2 - 10:41CHAMISS Belinelli 16' Jump Shot22
34.8%
26
65.2%
Q2 - 10:54MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)22
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q2 - 11:00MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
40.9%
23
59.1%
Q2 - 11:01CHAMISS O'Bryant III 12' Turnaround Jump Shot22
41.6%
23
58.4%
Q2 - 11:25CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
43.3%
23
56.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 222
43.0%
23
57.0%
Q2 - 11:26MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
41.8%
23
58.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup22
45.0%
22
55.0%
Q2 - 11:31MIARichardson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q2 - 11:31MIARichardson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
43.9%
21
56.1%
Q2 - 11:31CHAWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
48.0%
20
52.0%
Q2 - 11:39MIADragic 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)22
50.5%
20
49.5%
Q2 - 11:44CHAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)22
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA22
55.4%
18
44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound22
55.4%
18
44.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Williams 9' Floating Jump Shot22
53.6%
18
46.4%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)22
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)22
55.0%
17
45.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)22
55.6%
16
44.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0CHARoberts 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
59.8%
15
40.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS)20
56.9%
15
43.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)20
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0CHAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 219
59.5%
13
40.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
59.2%
13
40.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot19
58.7%
13
41.3%
Q1 - 1:23CHABatum 1' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (O'Bryant III 1 AST)19
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 1:38MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)17
54.5%
13
45.5%
Q1 - 1:41CHARichardson STEAL (1 STL)17
57.4%
11
42.6%
Q1 - 1:46CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
59.1%
11
40.9%
Q1 - 1:47CHAWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)17
58.0%
11
42.0%
Q1 - 2:10CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.3%
11
40.7%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot17
58.7%
11
41.3%
Q1 - 2:27CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
57.3%
11
42.7%
Q1 - 2:27CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 2:40CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 2:55CHALamb 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)15
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 3:12MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)13
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 3:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
47.6%
11
52.4%
Q1 - 3:17CHAMISS Roberts 5' Floating Jump Shot13
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 3:28CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 4:01CHALamb 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)13
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMcGruder 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)11
45.6%
11
54.4%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 4:45CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 18' Jump Shot11
48.2%
9
51.8%
Q1 - 4:58CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
50.0%
9
50.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
49.2%
9
50.8%
Q1 - 5:19CHAZeller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)11
47.1%
9
52.9%
Q1 - 5:35CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
45.2%
9
54.8%
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot9
44.6%
9
55.4%
Q1 - 5:48MIAHEAT Rebound9
43.0%
9
57.0%
Q1 - 5:49CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
43.7%
9
56.3%
Q1 - 6:06CHABatum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup9
44.4%
9
55.6%
Q1 - 6:22CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 6:38CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.2%
9
60.8%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
38.6%
9
61.4%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 6:47CHAMISS Batum 8' Step Back Jump Shot6
37.8%
9
62.2%
Q1 - 7:10MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 26
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 7:28CHAWilliams 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
39.1%
8
60.9%
Q1 - 7:39MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
37.6%
8
62.4%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
35.5%
8
64.5%
Q1 - 7:50CHAMISS Batum 17' Jump Shot4
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 8:24MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 8:25CHAMISS Walker 1' Cutting Layup Shot4
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMcGruder Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)4
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
41.1%
5
58.9%
Q1 - 8:53CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 9:11MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 9:21CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
45.3%
3
54.7%
Q1 - 9:29CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.9%
3
53.1%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup4
46.2%
3
53.8%
Q1 - 9:46CHABatum 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
44.6%
3
55.4%
Q1 - 10:00CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
43.2%
3
56.8%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup2
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:06MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
41.0%
3
59.0%
Q1 - 10:07CHAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)2
41.6%
3
58.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
43.0%
3
57.0%
Q1 - 10:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 10:37CHAMISS Walker 1' Finger Roll Layup2
47.1%
0
52.9%
Q1 - 10:47CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot2
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 10:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 11:10CHAZeller 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:25MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.9%
0
57.1%
Q1 - 11:26CHAMISS Zeller 19' Jump Shot0
43.4%
0
56.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIAHEAT Rebound0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:45MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Zeller: Tip to Batum0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Zeller: Tip to Babbitt0
42.9%
0
57.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.13 56.7%
MIA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
12
23
52%
MIA
16
31
52%
Midrange
CHA
18
36
50%
MIA
4
13
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
17
25.5
41
41%
62%
Free Throws
CHA
20
21
95%
MIA
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker3363%16.5 / 26
N. Batum1650%8.0 / 16
M. Williams1470%7.0 / 10
M. Kidd-Gilchrist1275%6.0 / 8
C. Zeller850%4.0 / 8
M. Belinelli844%4.0 / 9
J. Lamb857%4.0 / 7
B. Roberts233%1.0 / 3
J. O'Bryant III0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2475%12.0 / 16
G. Dragic2269%11.0 / 16
L. Babbitt1275%6.0 / 8
H. Whiteside1063%5.0 / 8
J. Johnson1050%5.0 / 10
W. Ellington945%4.5 / 10
W. Reed750%3.5 / 7
J. Richardson638%3.0 / 8
T. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
R. McGruder233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
81
+8
-12
89
MIA
81
+16
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.13 56.7%
MIA
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
108.1
CHA 108.6
MIA 116.1 +7.5
Pace
95.3
95.0
CHA 95.5 +4.8
MIA 90.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.7
CHA 15.1 +0.8
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
51.2%
CHA 50.6%
MIA 53.5% +2.9%
TO %
11.4%
13.2%
CHA 11.9% +0.1%
MIA 12.0%
ORB %
20.0%
24.2%
CHA 15.4%
MIA 28.3% +12.9%
FTrt
27.9
25.1
CHA 26.3
MIA 28.2 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
54.4%
CHA 37.8%
MIA 59.5% +21.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
CHA 7.5%
MIA 8.6% +1.1%
BLK %
8.6%
9.3%
CHA 18.2% +6.3%
MIA 11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
52.8%
CHA 56.7% +1.0%
MIA 55.7%
Rim FG%
58.4%
59.2%
CHA 52.2% +0.6%
MIA 51.6%
Mid FG%
39.7%
39.4%
CHA 50.0% +19.2%
MIA 30.8%
3P %
35.1%
36.5%
CHA 33.3%
MIA 41.5% +8.2%
FT %
81.5%
70.6%
CHA 95.2% +24.4%
MIA 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.3%
35.4%
CHA 28.7%
MIA 36.5% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
34.2%
33.1%
CHA 45.0%
MIA 15.3% +29.7%
3P Att. %
33.5%
31.4%
CHA 26.3%
MIA 48.2% +22.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points101108
Rebounds3946
Assists1422
Steals78
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals37-8037-85
At-the-Rim FG12-2316-31
Midrange FG18-364-13
2-Point FG30-5920-44
3-Point FG7-2117-41
Free Throws20-2117-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 240 · 24
42.2
8
50%
4
2
0
2
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 184 · 27
37.6
33
63%
4
1
1
1
3
2
0
4
6-6
100%
6-13
46%
5-11
45%
F · 6'9" 237 · 31
36.6
14
70%
12
3
0
3
3
2
2
10
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
G · 6'8" 230 · 28
30.6
16
50%
7
2
4
0
1
3
1
6
6-6
100%
5-11
45%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 232 · 23
25.6
12
75%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31
26.6
8
44%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 185 · 25
24.6
8
57%
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 173 · 31
10.4
2
33%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 214 · 21
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23
G · 6'2" 165 · 24
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
57%
39
14
7
8
12
0
6
33
20-21
95%
30-59
51%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.