FinalWin Prob.pScore
552%107
92
1248%106
120
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
103.48997.5
MIA logo MIA
136.48881.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)92
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0CLEMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0CLEFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot92
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:59.0CLEWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)92
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:14MIAMcGruder Tip Dunk Shot (7 PTS)89
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Reed 3' Driving Layup89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:31CLEWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)89
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:40CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00CLEFrye Driving Dunk (21 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)89
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39CLEMISS Liggins 4' Floating Jump Shot87
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MIAEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)87
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Ellington 21' Jump Shot87
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11CLEFrye Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)87
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)87
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51CLEJefferson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T14)87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02CLECavaliers Rebound87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Reed 9' Jump Shot87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26CLEFrye 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (D. Williams 7 AST)87
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAReed 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)85
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14CLEMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34CLEEllington STEAL (1 STL)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45CLEFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Reed 1' Tip Layup Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Reed 3' Layup85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04CLEMISS D. Williams 13' Pullup Jump Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51CLEMISS Frye Free Throw 1 of 185
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)83
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22CLEFrye 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45CLEFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04CLEFrye 6' Hook Bank Shot (13 PTS)81
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17CLEMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27MIAWhite Foul Turnover (P3.T10)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 9:06MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)79
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 9:11CLEJohnson STEAL (3 STL)79
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 9:17CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Ellington 18' Jump Shot79
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 9:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 9:38CLEMISS Thompson 5' Floating Jump Shot79
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 9:59MIAWhite 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)79
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 10:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 10:25CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 2 of 279
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 10:25CLEMISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 279
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 10:25CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)79
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 10:26CLEMISS Williams 2' Layup79
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 10:48MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)79
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 11:05CLEThompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 11:05CLEThompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 11:06CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)77
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 11:07CLEReed BLOCK (1 BLK)77
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 11:15CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 11:16MIAMISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot77
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 11:40CLEWilliams 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Liggins 3 AST)77
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 11:43CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS White 1' Tip Layup Shot75
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot75
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0CLEMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 175
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIARichardson 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (6 PTS)73
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0CLELiggins 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q3 - 1:11MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)71
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q3 - 1:11MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)71
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q3 - 1:19CLEWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)71
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q3 - 1:41MIAJohnson 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)71
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q3 - 1:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot71
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)71
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q3 - 2:01CLEMISS Liggins Free Throw 2 of 271
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q3 - 2:01CLEMISS Liggins Free Throw 1 of 271
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q3 - 2:17CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Waiters 22' Jump Shot71
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q3 - 2:44CLEFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)71
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWhite Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)68
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q3 - 3:13CLEJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T11)68
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q3 - 3:26MIAWhite 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)68
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q3 - 3:49CLEFrye 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Liggins 2 AST)68
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q3 - 4:10MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)65
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q3 - 4:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q3 - 4:35CLEMISS Frye 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)65
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q3 - 5:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q3 - 5:05CLEMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)65
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q3 - 5:41CLEFrye 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)65
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)63
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 6:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q3 - 6:24CLEMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q3 - 6:35MIAWhiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (20 PTS)63
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 6:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)63
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 6:54CLEMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.2%
85
96.8%
Q3 - 7:13MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)63
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q3 - 7:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot63
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 7:44CLEFrye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)63
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)60
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)60
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 8:11CLEMISS Thompson 6' Floating Jump Shot60
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 8:29MIADragic 1' Running Layup (20 PTS)60
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q3 - 8:35CLEMISS D. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 8:44CLED. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q3 - 8:59CLED. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q3 - 8:59CLED. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 9:04MIADragic 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 9:17CLED. Williams 11' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)58
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 9:30MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)56
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 9:42CLEJones Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T10)56
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 10:11MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
9.2%
73
90.8%
Q3 - 10:24CLEJones 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)56
9.9%
72
90.1%
Q3 - 10:37MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)54
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 10:57CLEKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)54
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q3 - 11:19MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 11:36CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)51
10.6%
67
89.4%
Q3 - 11:36CLECavaliers Rebound51
12.1%
67
87.9%
Q3 - 11:37CLEMISS Shumpert 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.0%
67
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE51
12.0%
67
88.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIADragic 9' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
12.8%
67
87.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
14.8%
65
85.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0CLEMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot51
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
16.0%
65
84.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
15.6%
65
84.4%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
14.8%
65
85.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0CLEMISS Shumpert 17' Jump Shot51
15.1%
65
84.9%
Q2 - 1:07CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 251
16.5%
65
83.5%
Q2 - 1:08MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q2 - 1:10MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
17.5%
64
82.5%
Q2 - 1:11CLEMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.8%
64
82.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)51
18.4%
64
81.6%
Q2 - 1:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)51
23.7%
61
76.3%
Q2 - 1:32CLEMISS Liggins 20' Jump Shot51
24.1%
61
75.9%
Q2 - 1:41CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)51
24.9%
61
75.1%
Q2 - 1:42CLEMISS Korver 16' Jump Shot51
24.1%
61
75.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWhiteside 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)51
24.9%
61
75.1%
Q2 - 2:20CLEKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Liggins 1 AST)51
28.7%
59
71.3%
Q2 - 2:34CLED. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
23.7%
59
76.3%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
23.1%
59
76.9%
Q2 - 2:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)48
21.7%
59
78.3%
Q2 - 2:47CLEMISS Korver 13' Floating Jump Shot48
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q2 - 3:06MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)48
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q2 - 3:20CLEWaiters STEAL (1 STL)48
29.5%
56
70.5%
Q2 - 3:28CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
31.5%
56
68.5%
Q2 - 3:53CLEJohnson STEAL (2 STL)48
29.4%
56
70.6%
Q2 - 3:54CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q2 - 3:55CLEMISS Thompson 1' Tip Layup Shot48
30.3%
56
69.7%
Q2 - 3:56CLEThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q2 - 3:57CLEMISS Shumpert 1' Reverse Layup48
30.3%
56
69.7%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWhiteside 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
33.0%
56
67.0%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
37.4%
54
62.6%
Q2 - 4:42CLED. Williams 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)48
35.5%
54
64.5%
Q2 - 5:02MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)46
33.6%
54
66.4%
Q2 - 5:20CLEThompson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)46
38.6%
51
61.4%
Q2 - 5:35MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)46
41.4%
51
58.6%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
44.0%
49
56.0%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot46
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
44.0%
49
56.0%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Dragic 8' Floating Jump Shot46
46.0%
49
54.0%
Q2 - 5:50CLEJefferson Dunk (9 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)46
44.0%
49
56.0%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)44
42.2%
49
57.8%
Q2 - 6:28CLEKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)44
44.1%
47
55.9%
Q2 - 6:40CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot41
38.5%
47
61.5%
Q2 - 6:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q2 - 6:50CLEMISS Liggins 2' Layup41
37.2%
47
62.8%
Q2 - 7:03CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q2 - 7:04CLEJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q2 - 7:15CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q2 - 7:16CLEMISS D. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q2 - 7:31MIAJohnson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T6)41
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q2 - 7:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
37.2%
47
62.8%
Q2 - 7:38CLEMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
38.0%
47
62.0%
Q2 - 7:55MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)41
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q2 - 8:04CLEMISS D. Williams 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot41
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 8:22CLED. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
45.0%
45
55.0%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot41
44.1%
45
55.9%
Q2 - 8:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
42.3%
45
57.7%
Q2 - 8:30CLERichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 8:45CLELiggins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
45.0%
45
55.0%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
44.2%
45
55.8%
Q2 - 9:03CLEJohnson STEAL (1 STL)41
42.5%
45
57.5%
Q2 - 9:14MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)41
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 9:25CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
49.9%
42
50.1%
Q2 - 9:25CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
49.3%
42
50.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAWhite Foul Turnover (P1.T5)39
47.7%
42
52.3%
Q2 - 9:51CLELiggins 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)39
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
42.9%
42
57.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
43.3%
41
56.7%
Q2 - 10:03MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup37
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 10:15MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS White 15' Step Back Jump Shot37
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 10:33CLEFrye Foul Turnover (P1.T4)37
45.0%
40
55.0%
Q2 - 10:44MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
47.8%
40
52.2%
Q2 - 10:58MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
52.3%
37
47.7%
Q2 - 10:59CLEMISS Williams 1' Driving Layup37
53.2%
37
46.8%
Q2 - 11:11MIAJohnson Running Dunk (5 PTS)37
54.8%
37
45.2%
Q2 - 11:15CLEJohnson STEAL (1 STL)37
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q2 - 11:24MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
59.6%
35
40.4%
Q2 - 11:45CLEJefferson 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)37
57.2%
35
42.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA35
54.9%
35
45.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Shumpert 2 AST)35
52.4%
35
47.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)32
47.2%
35
52.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0CLELiggins Foul Turnover (P2.T2)32
52.6%
32
47.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0CLEFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
54.3%
32
45.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
52.6%
32
47.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAMISS White 1' Tip Layup Shot32
53.8%
32
46.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot32
53.8%
32
46.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0CLEJefferson 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
52.6%
32
47.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIARichardson 12' Step Back Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
49.8%
32
50.2%
Q1 - 1:23MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q1 - 1:24CLEMISS Frye 20' Jump Shot30
53.2%
30
46.8%
Q1 - 1:41MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)30
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q1 - 1:49CLEShumpert Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
59.6%
27
40.4%
Q1 - 1:49CLEShumpert Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
59.1%
27
40.9%
Q1 - 2:03MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
57.1%
27
42.9%
Q1 - 2:18CLEWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q1 - 2:18CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)27
61.3%
24
38.7%
Q1 - 2:20CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
58.7%
24
41.3%
Q1 - 2:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
57.3%
24
42.7%
Q1 - 2:44CLEMISS Shumpert 19' Pullup Jump Shot26
57.9%
24
42.1%
Q1 - 2:59MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)26
59.3%
24
40.7%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup26
62.9%
22
37.1%
Q1 - 3:14CLEShumpert 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)26
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (5 PTS)24
59.4%
22
40.6%
Q1 - 3:46CLELiggins Foul Turnover (P1.T1)24
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 3:51CLEWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
63.7%
20
36.3%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot24
63.0%
20
37.0%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
61.1%
20
38.9%
Q1 - 4:10CLEMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 224
61.4%
20
38.6%
Q1 - 4:10CLEWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
62.7%
20
37.3%
Q1 - 4:22MIADragic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
61.5%
20
38.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q1 - 4:31CLEMISS D. Williams 17' Pullup Jump Shot23
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 4:46MIAJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)23
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q1 - 4:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
69.1%
15
30.9%
Q1 - 5:00CLEMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot23
69.8%
15
30.2%
Q1 - 5:11MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)23
70.3%
15
29.7%
Q1 - 5:19CLEThompson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
68.4%
15
31.6%
Q1 - 5:36MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
66.8%
15
33.2%
Q1 - 5:44CLEKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)21
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 6:01MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)18
64.3%
13
35.7%
Q1 - 6:15CLEThompson 4' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
67.7%
10
32.3%
Q1 - 6:31CLEKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
66.1%
10
33.9%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot16
65.5%
10
34.5%
Q1 - 6:46CLEShumpert 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)16
64.2%
10
35.8%
Q1 - 6:58CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
62.4%
10
37.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot14
61.8%
10
38.2%
Q1 - 7:17CLED. Williams 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
60.0%
10
40.0%
Q1 - 7:26MIAWhiteside 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
58.5%
10
41.5%
Q1 - 7:47CLED. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)12
60.0%
8
40.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)10
58.7%
8
41.3%
Q1 - 8:27CLEThompson Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Shumpert 1 AST)10
62.1%
5
37.9%
Q1 - 8:45MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
60.5%
5
39.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
58.5%
5
41.5%
Q1 - 8:56CLEMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
59.1%
5
40.9%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMcGruder Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)8
60.5%
5
39.5%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)8
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 38
61.6%
3
38.4%
Q1 - 9:36MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
61.9%
3
38.1%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Waiters 16' Jump Shot8
63.4%
3
36.6%
Q1 - 9:54CLEThompson Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)8
61.9%
3
38.1%
Q1 - 10:08MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
60.2%
3
39.8%
Q1 - 10:23CLEKorver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)6
63.5%
0
36.5%
Q1 - 10:37CLED. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:06CLEShumpert 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)3
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 11:14MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
54.6%
0
45.4%
Q1 - 11:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 11:24CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
53.5%
0
46.5%
Q1 - 11:39CLED. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.6%
0
45.4%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Turnaround Jump Shot0
54.1%
0
45.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Thompson: Tip to Babbitt0
52.9%
0
47.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.11 55.4%
MIA
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
10
20
50%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
CLE
14
26
54%
MIA
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
MIA
18
27.0
34
53%
79%
Free Throws
CLE
11
18
61%
MIA
10
12
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Frye2188%10.5 / 12
K. Korver1563%7.5 / 12
R. Jefferson1169%5.5 / 8
T. Thompson1045%5.0 / 11
D. Williams1042%5.0 / 12
D. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
I. Shumpert956%4.5 / 8
D. Liggins429%2.0 / 7
J. Jones233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2388%11.5 / 13
H. Whiteside2067%10.0 / 15
T. Johnson1771%8.5 / 12
W. Ellington1267%6.0 / 9
L. Babbitt9113%4.5 / 4
D. Waiters840%4.0 / 10
J. Richardson844%4.0 / 9
J. Johnson880%4.0 / 5
R. McGruder770%3.5 / 5
O. White650%3.0 / 6
W. Reed220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
74
+9
-15
83
MIA
78
+17
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.11 55.4%
MIA
1.24 61.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.7
108.1
CLE 103.4
MIA 136.4 +33.0
Pace
96.1
95.0
CLE 97.5 +16.5
MIA 81.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.7
CLE 14.8 +3.0
MIA 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
51.2%
CLE 55.5%
MIA 62.5% +7.0%
TO %
13.6%
13.2%
CLE 16.5%
MIA 10.5% +6.0%
ORB %
22.0%
24.2%
CLE 19.5%
MIA 37.5% +18.0%
FTrt
27.5
25.1
CLE 24.7 +11.1
MIA 13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
54.4%
CLE 57.1% +13.6%
MIA 43.5%
STL %
6.8%
7.5%
CLE 4.5%
MIA 6.8% +2.3%
BLK %
6.6%
9.3%
CLE 1.9%
MIA 8.7% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.7%
52.8%
CLE 55.4%
MIA 61.9% +6.5%
Rim FG%
62.4%
59.2%
CLE 50.0%
MIA 64.0% +14.0%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.4%
CLE 53.8% +12.4%
MIA 41.4%
3P %
38.4%
36.5%
CLE 40.7%
MIA 52.9% +12.2%
FT %
74.8%
70.6%
CLE 61.1%
MIA 83.3% +22.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.9%
35.4%
CLE 27.4%
MIA 28.4% +1.0%
Mid Att. %
28.2%
33.1%
CLE 35.6%
MIA 33.0% +2.7%
3P Att. %
39.9%
31.4%
CLE 37.0%
MIA 38.6% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points92120
Rebounds3348
Assists2020
Steals46
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals35-7346-88
At-the-Rim FG10-2016-25
Midrange FG14-2612-29
2-Point FG24-4628-54
3-Point FG11-2718-34
Free Throws11-1810-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 254 · 26
27.8
10
45%
6
3
0
0
2
1
5
1
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 212 · 27
27.1
9
56%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 218 · 36
26.6
2
33%
3
3
1
0
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 212 · 36
26.6
15
63%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
5-9
56%
G · 6'3" 200 · 33
26.6
10
42%
5
7
0
0
2
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-4
0%
G · 6'6" 209 · 29
29.2
4
29%
8
3
0
0
2
3
2
6
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
28.6
10
63%
6
0
0
0
3
2
1
5
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 233 · 37
24.9
11
69%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 255 · 34
22.5
21
88%
4
0
2
1
2
2
0
4
0-1
0%
6-7
86%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 250 · 32
G · 6'2" 195 · 25
C · 7'0" 260 · 32
#0 · F-C · 6'8" 251 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 5'9" 176 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
55%
33
20
4
1
15
0
8
25
11-18
61%
24-46
52%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.