FinalWin Prob.pScore
1462%105
99
2738%100
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.29597.2
ORL logo ORL
113.49794.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL99
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)99
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 298
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)98
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLRoss 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Fournier 5 AST)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Jump Shot96
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17)96
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 1:11ORLMISS Gordon 3PT Jump Shot96
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 1:34MIAEllington 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)96
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)94
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 1:45ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 194
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 2:03MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)94
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 2:14ORLFournier 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)91
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 2:36ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)91
1.1%
101
98.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Shot91
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 2:55ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 2:55ORLVucevic 3' Putback Layup (25 PTS)91
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 2:57ORLMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
5.2%
99
94.8%
Q4 - 3:11ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)91
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Richardson 9' Pullup Jump Shot91
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
6.3%
99
93.7%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 3:43ORLGordon Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)91
8.8%
99
91.2%
Q4 - 4:00MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)91
11.5%
97
88.5%
Q4 - 4:00MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (13 PTS)90
10.8%
97
89.2%
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 389
10.0%
97
90.0%
Q4 - 4:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
8.3%
97
91.7%
Q4 - 4:08ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot89
7.4%
97
92.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAWhiteside 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)89
5.6%
97
94.4%
Q4 - 4:48ORLVucevic 7' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)87
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 5:00ORLRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
5.5%
95
94.5%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS Dragic 7' Pullup Jump Shot87
6.1%
95
93.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)87
11.3%
95
88.7%
Q4 - 5:15ORLMISS Gordon 11' Jump Shot87
10.3%
95
89.7%
Q4 - 5:36MIAEllington 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)87
8.1%
95
91.9%
Q4 - 5:42ORLAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)85
6.0%
95
94.0%
Q4 - 5:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Dragic 7' Floating Jump Shot85
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 6:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)85
8.6%
95
91.4%
Q4 - 6:03ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Driving Layup85
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWhiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)85
6.1%
95
93.9%
Q4 - 6:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 6:36ORLMISS Vucevic 22' Jump Shot83
4.3%
95
95.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)83
3.4%
95
96.6%
Q4 - 7:08MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
3.9%
95
96.1%
Q4 - 7:08ORLMISS Ross 10' Floating Jump Shot81
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 7:29ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 7:31MIAMISS Whiteside 21' Jump Shot81
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)81
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 7:39ORLMISS Biyombo 2' Layup81
3.5%
95
96.5%
Q4 - 7:53ORLRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 7:57MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 8:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)81
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 8:05ORLMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
4.5%
95
95.5%
Q4 - 8:23MIAJohnson 8' Pullup Bank Shot (17 PTS)81
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 8:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 8:32ORLMISS Hezonja 19' Pullup Jump Shot79
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 8:46ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 9:00ORLGreen 2' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)79
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 9:06ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
4.7%
93
95.3%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
5.1%
93
94.9%
Q4 - 9:30ORLGreen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
6.0%
93
94.0%
Q4 - 9:54MIAEllington 17' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)79
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q4 - 10:12ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)77
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q4 - 10:28MIAEllington Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T9)77
10.6%
88
89.4%
Q4 - 10:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)77
13.1%
88
86.9%
Q4 - 10:35ORLMISS Watson 21' Pullup Jump Shot77
12.3%
88
87.7%
Q4 - 10:43ORLWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
10.5%
88
89.5%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Johnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot77
11.3%
88
88.7%
Q4 - 10:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
13.1%
88
86.9%
Q4 - 10:56ORLMISS Hezonja Dunk77
12.3%
88
87.7%
Q4 - 11:11MIAEllington 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)77
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q4 - 11:27ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)75
9.7%
88
90.3%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q4 - 11:43MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
13.2%
85
86.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL73
11.7%
85
88.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound73
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Watson 20' Pullup Jump Shot73
11.0%
85
89.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot73
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)73
13.5%
85
86.5%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)73
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
9.2%
85
90.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Biyombo 7' Hook Shot71
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q3 - 1:00ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q3 - 1:00ORLMISS Augustin 3' Putback Layup71
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMISS Augustin 9' Running Jump Shot71
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q3 - 1:24ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
9.1%
85
90.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Floating Jump Shot71
9.6%
85
90.4%
Q3 - 1:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
10.8%
85
89.2%
Q3 - 1:34ORLMISS Green 20' Jump Shot71
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q3 - 1:54MIARichardson Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)71
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q3 - 2:10ORLGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)71
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q3 - 2:20ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot71
10.7%
85
89.3%
Q3 - 2:28MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
12.1%
85
87.9%
Q3 - 2:29ORLMISS Vucevic 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
11.5%
85
88.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIAJohnson 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)71
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)69
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q3 - 3:09ORLMISS Fournier 6' Jump Shot69
9.3%
85
90.7%
Q3 - 3:25MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)69
8.2%
85
91.8%
Q3 - 3:33MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 3:34ORLMISS Payton 5' Running Jump Shot66
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q3 - 3:39MIAVucevic STEAL (1 STL)66
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q3 - 3:59ORLVucevic 5' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)66
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 4:10MIAReed 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)66
7.7%
83
92.3%
Q3 - 4:29ORLGordon Dunk (19 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)64
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q3 - 4:39MIAPayton STEAL (3 STL)64
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
9.2%
81
90.8%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot64
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q3 - 4:57MIAHeat Rebound64
9.1%
81
90.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIARoss BLOCK (2 BLK)64
8.1%
81
91.9%
Q3 - 5:08ORLRoss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)64
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 5:12MIARoss STEAL (2 STL)64
8.6%
81
91.4%
Q3 - 5:23MIAHeat Rebound64
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 5:23ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Turnaround Hook Shot64
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q3 - 5:33ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q3 - 5:53ORLPayton 5' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
10.1%
81
89.9%
Q3 - 6:13MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)64
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q3 - 6:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)62
11.2%
79
88.8%
Q3 - 6:24MIAVucevic BLOCK (3 BLK)62
10.0%
79
90.0%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
10.0%
79
90.0%
Q3 - 6:45ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)62
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
14.1%
76
85.9%
Q3 - 7:13ORLPayton 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
13.7%
76
86.3%
Q3 - 7:21ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Dragic 21' Step Back Jump Shot60
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q3 - 7:30ORLGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)60
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q3 - 7:37ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)60
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q3 - 7:49MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
17.8%
74
82.2%
Q3 - 7:50MIAVucevic BLOCK (2 BLK)60
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q3 - 8:05ORLVucevic 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
18.9%
74
81.1%
Q3 - 8:21MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)60
20.8%
72
79.2%
Q3 - 8:35ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)58
18.8%
72
81.2%
Q3 - 8:47ORLMAGIC Rebound58
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Reverse Layup58
24.3%
69
75.7%
Q3 - 9:03ORLFournier 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)58
27.7%
69
72.3%
Q3 - 9:16MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)58
30.6%
67
69.4%
Q3 - 9:16MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)57
29.9%
67
70.1%
Q3 - 9:16MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)56
29.2%
67
70.8%
Q3 - 9:24ORLVucevic 8' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Ross 4 AST)55
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 9:40ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
27.5%
65
72.5%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
28.4%
65
71.6%
Q3 - 9:57ORLVucevic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)55
30.6%
65
69.4%
Q3 - 10:15ORLMAGIC Rebound55
38.2%
62
61.8%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Dragic 11' Jump Shot55
39.3%
62
60.7%
Q3 - 10:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)55
41.8%
62
58.2%
Q3 - 10:27ORLMISS Fournier 2' Driving Layup55
40.7%
62
59.3%
Q3 - 11:01MIAWhiteside Dunk (7 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)55
39.6%
62
60.4%
Q3 - 11:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
36.5%
62
63.5%
Q3 - 11:15ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)53
33.2%
62
66.8%
Q3 - 11:15ORLMISS Gordon 3' Putback Layup53
35.4%
62
64.6%
Q3 - 11:16ORLMISS Gordon 8' Running Jump Shot53
35.4%
62
64.6%
Q3 - 11:23ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
33.2%
62
66.8%
Q3 - 11:24MIAVucevic BLOCK (1 BLK)53
34.1%
62
65.9%
Q3 - 11:40ORLRoss 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
36.4%
62
63.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
39.4%
60
60.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
42.9%
60
57.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Gordon 28' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot53
42.8%
60
57.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLMAGIC Rebound53
41.3%
60
58.7%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
41.9%
60
58.1%
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLGordon 1' Running Reverse Layup (17 PTS)53
43.4%
60
56.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
47.7%
58
52.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
48.4%
58
51.6%
Q2 - 1:07ORLGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ross 3 AST)53
50.2%
58
49.8%
Q2 - 1:17ORLRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
58.1%
55
41.9%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Waiters 11' Floating Jump Shot53
58.6%
55
41.4%
Q2 - 1:27MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
59.7%
55
40.3%
Q2 - 1:28ORLMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
59.2%
55
40.8%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)53
58.1%
55
41.9%
Q2 - 1:56ORLPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)50
50.2%
55
49.8%
Q2 - 2:01MIAPayton STEAL (2 STL)50
48.5%
55
51.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
51.4%
55
48.6%
Q2 - 2:05ORLMISS Payton 11' Jump Shot50
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q2 - 2:18ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
48.5%
55
51.5%
Q2 - 2:19ORLMISS Payton 3' Layup50
50.5%
55
49.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAWaiters Driving Layup (3 PTS)50
48.5%
55
51.5%
Q2 - 2:48ORLFournier 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)48
45.1%
55
54.9%
Q2 - 3:04ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
49.3%
53
50.7%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Waiters 20' Step Back Jump Shot48
50.3%
53
49.7%
Q2 - 3:27ORLPayton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)48
52.7%
53
47.3%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)48
49.2%
53
50.8%
Q2 - 4:04ORLGordon 1' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)45
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q2 - 4:14ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 245
47.9%
51
52.1%
Q2 - 4:16MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
49.4%
51
50.6%
Q2 - 4:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
45.5%
51
54.5%
Q2 - 4:31ORLGordon Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)44
47.5%
51
52.5%
Q2 - 4:39MIAJohnson 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)44
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q2 - 4:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot42
45.5%
49
54.5%
Q2 - 4:51MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
47.4%
49
52.6%
Q2 - 4:52ORLMISS Fournier 1' Layup42
46.6%
49
53.4%
Q2 - 5:02ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Johnson 2' Tip Layup Shot42
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Johnson 6' Floating Jump Shot42
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q2 - 5:25ORLRoss 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)42
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q2 - 5:37MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)42
50.9%
47
49.1%
Q2 - 5:53ORLRoss 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)40
48.2%
47
51.8%
Q2 - 6:10MIAWhiteside 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)40
51.3%
45
48.7%
Q2 - 6:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 6:21ORLMISS Green 17' Turnaround Jump Shot38
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q2 - 6:43ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
45.9%
45
54.1%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 6:58ORLGreen 2' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)38
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 7:04ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
52.3%
43
47.7%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
53.2%
43
46.8%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
55.1%
43
44.9%
Q2 - 7:22ORLMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
54.2%
43
45.8%
Q2 - 7:31ORLRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
52.3%
43
47.7%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 7:46ORLAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
55.1%
43
44.9%
Q2 - 7:46ORLAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
55.5%
42
44.5%
Q2 - 8:02MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)38
57.4%
41
42.6%
Q2 - 8:22ORLBiyombo Dunk (4 PTS) (Ross 2 AST)35
52.5%
41
47.5%
Q2 - 8:28ORLMAGIC Rebound35
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 8:28ORLMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
56.8%
39
43.2%
Q2 - 8:38ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
54.9%
39
45.1%
Q2 - 8:40MIAMISS Johnson 10' Floating Jump Shot35
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 8:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
57.6%
39
42.4%
Q2 - 8:51ORLMISS Hezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
56.8%
39
43.2%
Q2 - 9:10MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)35
55.2%
39
44.8%
Q2 - 9:27ORLGreen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)33
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 9:47MIAJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
55.2%
37
44.8%
Q2 - 10:00ORLHezonja Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
52.9%
37
47.1%
Q2 - 10:00ORLHezonja Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 10:15MIADragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
55.2%
35
44.8%
Q2 - 10:39ORLGreen 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)29
53.1%
35
46.9%
Q2 - 11:00MIAJohnson 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
55.2%
33
44.8%
Q2 - 11:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
53.3%
33
46.7%
Q2 - 11:19ORLMISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot27
52.5%
33
47.5%
Q2 - 11:31MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)27
50.8%
33
49.2%
Q2 - 11:31MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)26
50.3%
33
49.7%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
48.5%
33
51.5%
Q2 - 11:39ORLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound25
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
46.6%
33
53.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
46.0%
33
54.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
43.7%
33
56.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 223
44.0%
32
56.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot23
44.8%
32
55.2%
Q1 - 1:04ORLHezonja 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
46.3%
32
53.7%
Q1 - 1:18MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
49.2%
30
50.8%
Q1 - 1:18MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
48.6%
30
51.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
46.3%
30
53.7%
Q1 - 1:36ORLMISS Hezonja 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot21
45.8%
30
54.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIAJohnson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
44.6%
30
55.4%
Q1 - 2:03ORLBiyombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)19
42.4%
30
57.6%
Q1 - 2:17MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
44.9%
28
55.1%
Q1 - 2:32ORLHezonja Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
40.1%
28
59.9%
Q1 - 2:32ORLHezonja Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
40.4%
27
59.6%
Q1 - 2:39MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
42.6%
26
57.4%
Q1 - 2:42ORLAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
37.9%
26
62.1%
Q1 - 2:50ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS White 2' Cutting Layup Shot13
36.6%
26
63.4%
Q1 - 3:06ORLHezonja 21' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)13
39.2%
26
60.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAFournier STEAL (1 STL)13
41.1%
24
58.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
43.5%
24
56.5%
Q1 - 3:23ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 213
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q1 - 3:23ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)13
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q1 - 3:35ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
43.2%
23
56.8%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS White Tip Layup Shot13
44.0%
23
56.0%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup13
44.0%
23
56.0%
Q1 - 3:50ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)13
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 3:50ORLGordon Dunk (8 PTS)13
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 3:53ORLMISS Fournier 1' Driving Layup13
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 3:56ORLMAGIC Rebound13
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 3:56ORLMISS Ross 16' Step Back Jump Shot13
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJohnson 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)13
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q1 - 4:33ORLRoss 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)11
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 4:39MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
48.0%
19
52.0%
Q1 - 4:50MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot8
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 4:58MIAMISS McGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIAHeat Rebound8
45.3%
19
54.7%
Q1 - 5:20ORLMISS Fournier 1' Driving Layup8
44.7%
19
55.3%
Q1 - 5:44MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
43.0%
19
57.0%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 27
42.5%
19
57.5%
Q1 - 5:49ORLVucevic 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)7
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 5:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 5:55ORLMISS Fournier 19' Pullup Jump Shot7
46.6%
17
53.4%
Q1 - 6:04ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q1 - 6:29ORLVucevic 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)7
48.3%
17
51.7%
Q1 - 6:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 6:49MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
49.5%
15
50.5%
Q1 - 7:00ORLPayton 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)5
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 7:06ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot5
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 7:22ORLPayton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)5
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 7:22MIAPayton STEAL (1 STL)5
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 7:32ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Hook Shot5
52.6%
13
47.4%
Q1 - 7:43MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)5
51.0%
13
49.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 7:57ORLMISS Gordon 1' Driving Layup5
52.6%
13
47.4%
Q1 - 8:05ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)5
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS McGruder 6' Running Jump Shot5
52.4%
13
47.6%
Q1 - 8:23ORLVucevic 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)5
53.8%
13
46.2%
Q1 - 8:35ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
55.5%
11
44.5%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup5
56.1%
11
43.9%
Q1 - 8:51ORLPayton 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)5
57.6%
11
42.4%
Q1 - 8:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
59.2%
9
40.8%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Driving Hook Shot5
59.8%
9
40.2%
Q1 - 9:15ORLGordon 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)5
61.4%
9
38.6%
Q1 - 9:21ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
62.8%
7
37.2%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup5
63.4%
7
36.6%
Q1 - 9:32ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
64.9%
7
35.1%
Q1 - 9:32ORLGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
65.4%
6
34.6%
Q1 - 9:37ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
66.2%
5
33.8%
Q1 - 9:38MIAMISS Waiters 19' Jump Shot5
66.9%
5
33.1%
Q1 - 9:42MIAHeat Rebound5
68.3%
5
31.7%
Q1 - 9:42MIARoss BLOCK (1 BLK)5
66.9%
5
33.1%
Q1 - 10:07ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)5
68.0%
5
32.0%
Q1 - 10:19ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
69.5%
3
30.5%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Dragic 10' Pullup Jump Shot5
70.0%
3
30.0%
Q1 - 10:37ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
71.2%
3
28.8%
Q1 - 10:37ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 1 of 25
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:45MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)5
71.0%
2
29.0%
Q1 - 10:59ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
68.1%
2
31.9%
Q1 - 10:59ORLGordon 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
68.1%
2
31.9%
Q1 - 11:01ORLMISS Gordon 3' Running Layup2
70.6%
0
29.4%
Q1 - 11:08ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot2
70.0%
0
30.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 11:25ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Jump Shot2
70.6%
0
29.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMcGruder 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
67.9%
0
32.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
ORL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
24
58%
ORL
24
37
65%
Midrange
MIA
13
39
33%
ORL
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
ORL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
21
25
84%
ORL
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1968%9.5 / 14
H. Whiteside1558%7.5 / 13
G. Dragic1542%7.5 / 18
W. Ellington1470%7.0 / 10
T. Johnson1033%5.0 / 15
R. McGruder867%4.0 / 6
J. Richardson770%3.5 / 5
L. Babbitt6100%3.0 / 3
D. Waiters313%1.5 / 12
W. Reed233%1.0 / 3
O. White0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević2566%12.5 / 19
A. Gordon2158%10.5 / 18
E. Payton1267%6.0 / 9
E. Fournier1150%5.5 / 11
J. Green1161%5.5 / 9
T. Ross1056%5.0 / 9
D. Augustin844%4.0 / 9
M. Hezonja850%4.0 / 8
B. Biyombo450%2.0 / 4
C. Watson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+15
-9
101
ORL
88
+12
-9
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 48.1%
ORL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
104.5
MIA 104.2
ORL 113.4 +9.2
Pace
95.0
96.2
MIA 97.2 +2.4
ORL 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.7
MIA 14.8 +0.4
ORL 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
48.9%
MIA 42.9%
ORL 52.8% +9.9%
TO %
13.2%
13.3%
MIA 8.1% +0.3%
ORL 8.4%
ORB %
24.2%
21.6%
MIA 25.0% +5.5%
ORL 19.5%
FTrt
25.1
24.6
MIA 27.5 +6.4
ORL 21.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
58.0%
MIA 57.1%
ORL 60.0% +2.9%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 7.4% +0.2%
ORL 7.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.0%
MIA 6.8%
ORL 9.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.2%
MIA 48.1%
ORL 54.5% +6.4%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.1%
MIA 58.3%
ORL 64.9% +6.6%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.8%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 44.4% +11.1%
3P %
36.5%
32.8%
MIA 28.6%
ORL 29.4% +0.8%
FT %
70.6%
74.7%
MIA 84.0% +5.1%
ORL 78.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
32.4%
MIA 26.4%
ORL 41.1% +14.7%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
37.7%
MIA 42.9%
ORL 40.0% +2.9%
3P Att. %
31.4%
30.0%
MIA 30.8% +11.9%
ORL 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points99110
Rebounds4647
Assists2027
Steals77
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)39 (3)
Field Goals35-9145-90
At-the-Rim FG14-2424-37
Midrange FG13-3916-36
2-Point FG27-6340-73
3-Point FG8-285-17
Free Throws21-2515-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
34.6
15
58%
18
0
0
1
1
2
1
17
5-6
83%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
33.8
15
42%
4
5
2
0
1
3
2
2
9-11
82%
3-11
27%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
19.9
3
13%
2
4
0
0
1
2
2
0
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-5
0%
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
17.3
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
14.3
6
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
34.0
19
68%
4
6
2
2
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
28.4
10
33%
5
5
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
24.3
7
70%
4
0
0
0
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
20.3
14
70%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
8.1
2
33%
4
0
0
1
3
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
4.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
48%
46
20
7
5
9
0
13
33
21-25
84%
27-63
43%
8-28
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.