FinalWin Prob.pScore
1721%95
99
179%106
100
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
104.295101.3
SAS logo SAS
108.79286.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0IND99
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound99
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDMISS George 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot99
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASLeonard 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (31 PTS)99
10.2%
100
89.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
45.8%
98
54.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 299
50.4%
98
49.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 299
67.5%
98
32.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)99
65.5%
98
34.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
40.4%
98
59.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDMISS George 18' Pullup Jump Shot99
45.8%
98
54.2%
Q4 - 1:18SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)99
52.3%
98
47.7%
Q4 - 1:35INDTurner 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)99
34.6%
98
65.4%
Q4 - 1:45INDTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)97
25.2%
98
74.8%
Q4 - 1:46SASMISS Green 2' Running Reverse Layup97
22.3%
98
77.7%
Q4 - 1:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)97
16.7%
98
83.3%
Q4 - 1:54INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
19.0%
98
81.0%
Q4 - 2:09INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
26.4%
98
73.6%
Q4 - 2:10SASMISS Mills 19' Pullup Jump Shot97
22.7%
98
77.3%
Q4 - 2:27INDMiles 27' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot (19 PTS)97
15.6%
98
84.4%
Q4 - 2:54INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
9.1%
98
90.9%
Q4 - 2:55SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
7.7%
98
92.3%
Q4 - 3:08SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
5.3%
98
94.7%
Q4 - 3:09INDMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot94
6.2%
98
93.8%
Q4 - 3:13INDPacers Rebound94
9.1%
98
90.9%
Q4 - 3:14INDGreen BLOCK (3 BLK)94
6.2%
98
93.8%
Q4 - 3:34SASLeonard 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (29 PTS)94
10.1%
98
89.9%
Q4 - 3:56INDGeorge Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)94
13.5%
96
86.5%
Q4 - 3:56INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)93
13.0%
96
87.0%
Q4 - 3:56INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)92
12.5%
96
87.5%
Q4 - 4:07SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)91
7.0%
96
93.0%
Q4 - 4:18SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
13.4%
93
86.6%
Q4 - 4:19INDMISS Ellis 18' Pullup Jump Shot91
14.9%
93
85.1%
Q4 - 4:38SASLeonard 14' Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
18.9%
93
81.1%
Q4 - 4:48SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
24.9%
91
75.1%
Q4 - 4:49INDMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
27.4%
91
72.6%
Q4 - 4:52INDTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
33.5%
91
66.5%
Q4 - 4:53INDMISS George 5' Jump Bank Shot91
27.4%
91
72.6%
Q4 - 5:03INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
31.0%
91
69.0%
Q4 - 5:04SASMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
28.8%
91
71.2%
Q4 - 5:30INDTurner 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (George 2 AST)91
24.1%
91
75.9%
Q4 - 5:42INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
18.7%
91
81.3%
Q4 - 5:43SASMISS Aldridge 17' Pullup Jump Shot89
17.1%
91
82.9%
Q4 - 6:13INDLeonard STEAL (3 STL)89
14.0%
91
86.0%
Q4 - 6:15INDYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
18.8%
91
81.2%
Q4 - 6:16INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
15.3%
91
84.7%
Q4 - 6:29SASLee 8' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Green 3 AST)89
18.8%
91
81.2%
Q4 - 6:41SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
23.0%
89
77.0%
Q4 - 6:42INDMISS Teague 20' Pullup Jump Shot89
25.0%
89
75.0%
Q4 - 6:57SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Murray 6 AST)89
29.9%
89
70.1%
Q4 - 7:05INDBertans STEAL (1 STL)89
40.4%
86
59.6%
Q4 - 7:11SASMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)89
47.9%
86
52.1%
Q4 - 7:25INDRobinson III Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)89
40.4%
86
59.6%
Q4 - 7:50SASLee 3' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Murray 5 AST)87
34.7%
86
65.3%
Q4 - 8:05INDMiles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)87
39.4%
84
60.6%
Q4 - 8:19SASMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)84
27.8%
84
72.2%
Q4 - 8:41INDSeraphin 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)84
39.5%
81
60.5%
Q4 - 8:55SASLee 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)82
33.4%
81
66.6%
Q4 - 9:13INDRobinson III Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)82
37.4%
79
62.6%
Q4 - 9:21SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)80
32.3%
79
67.7%
Q4 - 9:32SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
26.9%
79
73.1%
Q4 - 9:33INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
28.5%
79
71.5%
Q4 - 9:49SASLee Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)80
32.3%
79
67.7%
Q4 - 10:00INDMiles 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)80
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q4 - 10:08INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
36.7%
76
63.3%
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
34.9%
76
65.1%
Q4 - 10:29INDChristmas Foul Turnover (P3.T16)78
31.1%
76
68.9%
Q4 - 10:46SASBertans Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)78
36.7%
76
63.3%
Q4 - 10:59INDChristmas Foul Turnover (P2.T15)78
31.2%
76
68.8%
Q4 - 11:15SASSimmons Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)78
36.2%
76
63.8%
Q4 - 11:26INDEllis 5' Driving Bank Shot (11 PTS)78
31.1%
76
68.9%
Q4 - 11:47SASBertans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)76
26.8%
76
73.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND76
36.0%
73
64.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
39.6%
73
60.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASLee 2' Putback Layup (9 PTS)76
39.6%
73
60.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Murray 8' Jump Shot76
48.2%
71
51.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0INDEllis 1' Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)76
44.9%
71
55.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)74
39.8%
71
60.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
35.0%
71
65.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot74
36.4%
71
63.6%
Q3 - 1:04SASLee Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)74
38.1%
71
61.9%
Q3 - 1:11SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
47.5%
68
52.5%
Q3 - 1:12INDMISS Christmas Free Throw 2 of 274
48.2%
68
51.8%
Q3 - 1:12INDChristmas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)74
51.3%
68
48.7%
Q3 - 1:13INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
47.7%
68
52.3%
Q3 - 1:14INDMISS Robinson III 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
44.2%
68
55.8%
Q3 - 1:21SASBertans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)73
47.7%
68
52.3%
Q3 - 1:32INDEllis Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T14)73
42.8%
68
57.2%
Q3 - 1:48SASMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)73
47.8%
68
52.2%
Q3 - 1:48SASMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 273
48.8%
67
51.2%
Q3 - 2:05SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
45.0%
67
55.0%
Q3 - 2:06INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 273
45.7%
67
54.3%
Q3 - 2:06INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 2:06INDPacers Rebound72
45.4%
67
54.6%
Q3 - 2:06SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot72
43.9%
67
56.1%
Q3 - 2:22INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)72
40.6%
67
59.4%
Q3 - 2:33SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q3 - 2:33SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 2:45INDMurray STEAL (1 STL)68
32.1%
65
67.9%
Q3 - 2:54SASLeonard 1' Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)68
36.6%
65
63.4%
Q3 - 3:10INDAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
39.7%
63
60.3%
Q3 - 3:10INDMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 267
38.4%
63
61.6%
Q3 - 3:18INDAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Gasol 4' Driving Bank Shot67
38.6%
63
61.4%
Q3 - 3:49INDTeague 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
35.5%
63
64.5%
Q3 - 4:02INDAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
27.4%
63
72.6%
Q3 - 4:03SASMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 4:16SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
23.7%
63
76.3%
Q3 - 4:17INDMISS George 20' Jump Shot64
24.8%
63
75.2%
Q3 - 4:39INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
27.5%
63
72.5%
Q3 - 4:41SASMISS Leonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot64
26.3%
63
73.7%
Q3 - 4:55INDTurner 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)64
23.7%
63
76.3%
Q3 - 5:22SASGasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)62
20.9%
63
79.1%
Q3 - 5:32INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
26.6%
60
73.4%
Q3 - 5:32INDTurner 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)62
26.6%
60
73.4%
Q3 - 5:33INDMISS Teague 1' Driving Layup60
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 5:56SASMills 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)60
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q3 - 6:11INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 6:11INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q3 - 6:28INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
23.1%
58
76.9%
Q3 - 6:29SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
22.2%
58
77.8%
Q3 - 6:36SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
20.2%
58
79.8%
Q3 - 6:37INDGreen BLOCK (2 BLK)58
21.1%
58
78.9%
Q3 - 6:55SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Mills 4 AST)58
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 7:14INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)58
28.3%
55
71.7%
Q3 - 7:37INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
32.0%
55
68.0%
Q3 - 7:38SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
30.9%
55
69.1%
Q3 - 7:47SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
28.3%
55
71.7%
Q3 - 7:49INDGasol BLOCK (2 BLK)58
29.4%
55
70.6%
Q3 - 8:00INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
32.0%
55
68.0%
Q3 - 8:02SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot58
30.3%
55
69.7%
Q3 - 8:08SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q3 - 8:10INDGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)58
28.9%
55
71.1%
Q3 - 8:20SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 1 AST)58
31.5%
55
68.5%
Q3 - 8:36INDAldridge STEAL (1 STL)58
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q3 - 8:58SASGasol 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mills 3 AST)58
42.1%
52
57.9%
Q3 - 9:15INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
43.3%
50
56.7%
Q3 - 9:15INDYoung 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)58
43.3%
50
56.7%
Q3 - 9:16INDMISS Miles 4' Running Jump Shot56
37.5%
50
62.5%
Q3 - 9:36SASGreen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)56
40.1%
50
59.9%
Q3 - 9:39SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
36.4%
50
63.6%
Q3 - 9:40INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
37.5%
50
62.5%
Q3 - 9:53SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)56
40.1%
50
59.9%
Q3 - 9:57SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q3 - 9:58INDMISS Young 1' Layup56
48.2%
47
51.8%
Q3 - 10:15INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
48.9%
47
51.1%
Q3 - 10:16SASMISS Leonard 15' Jump Shot56
47.8%
47
52.2%
Q3 - 10:36INDMiles 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)56
45.2%
47
54.8%
Q3 - 10:52INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Aldridge 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot53
37.5%
47
62.5%
Q3 - 11:26INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)50
25.2%
47
74.8%
Q3 - 11:26SASLeonard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)49
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q3 - 11:43INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P3.T10)49
22.7%
47
77.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND49
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound49
25.4%
47
74.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot49
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
24.4%
47
75.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
25.0%
46
75.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P2.T9)49
27.8%
45
72.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
30.0%
44
70.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDLeonard STEAL (2 STL)49
33.4%
43
66.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDMISS Turner 5' Turnaround Jump Shot49
34.0%
43
66.0%
Q2 - 1:01SASGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)49
34.6%
43
65.4%
Q2 - 1:07SASSPURS Rebound49
33.1%
43
66.9%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 249
34.4%
43
65.6%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 249
32.3%
43
67.7%
Q2 - 1:30INDSeraphin 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)49
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q2 - 1:36INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
29.1%
43
70.9%
Q2 - 1:37SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.7%
43
71.3%
Q2 - 1:53SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
27.8%
43
72.2%
Q2 - 1:54INDMISS Turner 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.2%
43
71.8%
Q2 - 2:07INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
29.1%
43
70.9%
Q2 - 2:08INDMISS George 18' Jump Shot47
27.4%
43
72.6%
Q2 - 2:20INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q2 - 2:21SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.3%
43
71.7%
Q2 - 2:37INDGeorge 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q2 - 2:50INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 2:51INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 2:58SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 3:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
21.3%
43
78.7%
Q2 - 3:17SASMISS Mills 18' Pullup Jump Shot45
22.9%
43
77.1%
Q2 - 3:25INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)45
21.3%
43
78.7%
Q2 - 3:30SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)42
17.9%
43
82.1%
Q2 - 3:50INDSeraphin Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)42
16.0%
43
84.0%
Q2 - 4:05SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)42
17.3%
43
82.7%
Q2 - 4:11SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 4:11INDMISS Teague 18' Jump Shot42
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 4:33INDPacers Rebound42
22.9%
40
77.1%
Q2 - 4:33SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 4:42SASSPURS Rebound42
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Leonard 6' Floating Jump Shot42
22.3%
40
77.7%
Q2 - 4:55INDLeonard STEAL (1 STL)42
20.9%
40
79.1%
Q2 - 5:11SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)42
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 5:32INDTurner 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 5:54INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 5:55SASMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.9%
37
76.1%
Q2 - 6:06SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 6:06INDMISS Stuckey 7' Jump Shot40
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 6:11INDSeraphin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 6:13SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 6:22INDGreen STEAL (2 STL)40
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 6:39INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 6:40SASMISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot40
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 6:59INDEllis 6' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Seraphin 1 AST)40
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 7:11SASDedmon 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 7:28INDSeraphin 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
21.8%
35
78.2%
Q2 - 7:52INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 7:53SASMISS Leonard 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q2 - 8:16INDSeraphin 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)36
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 8:32SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 8:40SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 8:41INDSimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)34
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 8:48INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 8:49SASMISS Green 31' 3PT Jump Shot34
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 9:11SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
15.3%
35
84.7%
Q2 - 9:12INDMISS Robinson III Free Throw 1 of 134
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 9:33SASMurray Running Dunk (2 PTS)32
14.2%
35
85.8%
Q2 - 9:38INDGreen STEAL (1 STL)32
15.3%
33
84.7%
Q2 - 9:51SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 9:51SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 10:05INDEllis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 10:14INDEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 10:15INDMISS Stuckey 10' Fadeaway Bank Shot30
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 10:42SASLee 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)30
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 10:45SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 10:46SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup30
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 11:04INDEllis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson III 1 AST)30
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 11:08SASGasol Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 11:15SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q2 - 11:17INDMISS Ellis 7' Hook Shot28
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q2 - 11:26INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q2 - 11:26SASMISS Gasol 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q2 - 11:45INDChristmas Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
15.2%
29
84.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND28
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound28
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Stuckey 74' 3PT Jump Bank Shot28
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
16.1%
29
83.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0INDMISS Stuckey 14' Pullup Jump Shot28
19.6%
26
80.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASLee Dunk (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)28
20.4%
26
79.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0INDStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)28
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q1 - 0:55.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0INDMISS Christmas 1' Layup28
22.7%
24
77.3%
Q1 - 1:16SASGasol 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q1 - 1:35INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
25.7%
22
74.3%
Q1 - 1:35INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
25.5%
22
74.5%
Q1 - 1:48SASGasol 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)26
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 2:02INDGeorge 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 2:22SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 2:22SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 2:37INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 2:37INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 2:38SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 2:40SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
23.7%
17
76.3%
Q1 - 2:42INDLee BLOCK (1 BLK)22
24.2%
17
75.8%
Q1 - 2:51INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
25.2%
17
74.8%
Q1 - 2:51SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 3:15INDAllen Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)22
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 3:25INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 3:26SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.1%
17
78.9%
Q1 - 3:46INDTurner Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)20
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:50INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
18.7%
17
81.3%
Q1 - 3:53INDMISS Turner 23' Jump Shot18
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 4:24SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 4:24SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
18.6%
16
81.4%
Q1 - 4:31SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 4:33INDMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot18
20.0%
15
80.0%
Q1 - 4:44INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
21.2%
15
78.8%
Q1 - 4:44SASMISS Aldridge 13' Jump Shot18
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 4:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 4:57INDMISS Teague Free Throw 3 of 318
19.8%
15
80.2%
Q1 - 4:57INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)18
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 4:57INDTeague Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)17
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 5:10SASLeonard Tip Dunk Shot (4 PTS)16
17.8%
15
82.2%
Q1 - 5:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 5:17SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 5:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 5:26SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 5:38INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 5:44INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 5:45INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 5:57INDPacers Rebound13
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 5:57SASMISS Leonard 19' Jump Shot13
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:12SASSPURS Rebound13
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 6:13INDMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 6:26SASDedmon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 6:28SASSPURS Rebound13
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 6:28SASMISS Leonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot13
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 6:35SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
15.2%
13
84.8%
Q1 - 6:38INDMISS George 15' Pullup Jump Shot13
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 6:50INDPacers Rebound13
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 6:51INDMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot13
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 7:00INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 7:01SASMISS Green 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup13
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 7:18INDAllen Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)13
15.0%
13
85.0%
Q1 - 7:32SASAldridge 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)11
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 7:51SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 7:52INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 8:03SASLeonard 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
15.9%
11
84.1%
Q1 - 8:25INDTeague 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
16.8%
9
83.2%
Q1 - 8:49SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)9
15.9%
9
84.1%
Q1 - 8:52SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:53SASMISS Aldridge 12' Hook Shot9
17.7%
7
82.3%
Q1 - 9:13INDTurner Dunk (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)9
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 9:28INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 9:30SASMISS Murray 14' Floating Jump Shot7
15.4%
7
84.6%
Q1 - 9:41INDGeorge 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)7
14.6%
7
85.4%
Q1 - 9:58INDGeorge Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)5
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 9:58SASMurray Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 10:10INDYoung 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)4
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 10:22INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 10:24SASMISS Aldridge 16' Step Back Jump Shot2
11.1%
7
88.9%
Q1 - 10:37SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 10:37INDMISS Young 17' Jump Shot2
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 10:50SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)2
11.4%
7
88.6%
Q1 - 10:59INDMiles 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)2
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 11:01INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 11:02INDGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 11:16SASAldridge 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 11:30INDYoung 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.9%
2
87.1%
Q1 - 11:46SASDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:46SASDedmon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
13.9%
1
86.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Dedmon vs. Turner: Tip to Aldridge0
14.6%
0
85.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.03 51.6%
SAS
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
29
55%
SAS
17
21
81%
Midrange
IND
14
29
48%
SAS
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
7
10.5
23
30%
46%
SAS
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
IND
18
25
72%
SAS
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. George2250%11.0 / 22
C. Miles1963%9.5 / 15
M. Turner1667%8.0 / 12
M. Ellis1155%5.5 / 10
K. Seraphin8100%4.0 / 4
J. Teague750%3.5 / 7
G. Robinson III675%3.0 / 4
L. Allen563%2.5 / 4
T. Young433%2.0 / 6
R. Christmas125%0.5 / 2
R. Stuckey0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard3165%15.5 / 24
P. Gasol1882%9.0 / 11
D. Lee18113%9.0 / 8
M. Ginobili964%4.5 / 7
L. Aldridge633%3.0 / 9
D. Murray643%3.0 / 7
D. Dedmon4100%2.0 / 2
D. Green321%1.5 / 7
D. Bertans3150%1.5 / 1
P. Mills214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+18
-17
96
SAS
74
+9
-18
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.03 51.6%
SAS
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.8
111.3
IND 104.2
SAS 108.7 +4.5
Pace
95.9
94.1
IND 101.3 +14.7
SAS 86.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.8
IND 14.2 +2.4
SAS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
52.4%
IND 50.0%
SAS 53.4% +3.4%
TO %
13.7%
13.6%
IND 16.4% +1.2%
SAS 17.6%
ORB %
21.3%
24.0%
IND 30.2% +12.6%
SAS 17.6%
FTrt
26.1
26.3
IND 30.9
SAS 32.4 +1.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.2%
60.6%
IND 59.5% +2.4%
SAS 57.1%
STL %
8.4%
8.5%
IND 13.7% +5.0%
SAS 8.7%
BLK %
9.0%
9.9%
IND 2.2%
SAS 12.1% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
54.8%
IND 51.6%
SAS 60.2% +8.6%
Rim FG%
59.1%
60.5%
IND 55.2%
SAS 81.0% +25.8%
Mid FG%
42.1%
42.0%
IND 48.3% +10.8%
SAS 37.5%
3P %
37.6%
39.1%
IND 30.4%
SAS 31.0% +0.6%
FT %
81.0%
79.7%
IND 72.0%
SAS 87.5% +15.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
31.1%
IND 35.8% +7.4%
SAS 28.4%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
40.8%
IND 35.8%
SAS 32.4% +3.4%
3P Att. %
27.2%
28.1%
IND 28.4%
SAS 39.2% +10.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDSAS
Possessions9592
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points99100
Rebounds4136
Assists2220
Steals138
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)30 (1)
Field Goals37-8135-74
At-the-Rim FG16-2917-21
Midrange FG14-299-24
2-Point FG30-5826-45
3-Point FG7-239-29
Free Throws18-2521-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
33.6
22
50%
6
2
1
0
3
4
0
6
10-10
100%
3-11
27%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 250 · 21
31.7
16
67%
6
1
3
0
1
3
2
4
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 29
30.5
7
50%
5
9
1
0
1
1
1
4
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 220 · 30
28.0
19
63%
6
0
0
0
1
2
1
5
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
4-10
40%
F · 6'8" 230 · 29
11.1
4
33%
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 31
23.6
11
55%
3
2
2
0
3
2
1
2
1-4
25%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28
19.8
5
63%
6
1
1
1
0
4
3
3
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 31
17.5
0
0%
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23
16.2
6
75%
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27
14.8
8
100%
3
1
2
0
2
4
2
1
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
13.3
1
25%
1
1
0
0
3
4
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 280 · 32
G · 6'0" 161 · 32
#3 · G · 6'2" 185 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F · 6'7" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
52%
41
22
13
1
17
0
13
28
18-25
72%
30-58
52%
7-23
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.