FinalWin Prob.pScore
1548%99
89
2052%100
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
101.18890.2
DAL logo DAL
109.18885.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL89
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALNoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot89
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)89
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)89
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
11.3%
92
88.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound89
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
10.9%
92
89.1%
Q4 - 1:16DALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)89
19.5%
92
80.5%
Q4 - 1:16DALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)89
21.0%
91
79.0%
Q4 - 1:35MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)89
30.5%
90
69.5%
Q4 - 1:52DALCurry 29' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Noel 1 AST)89
43.9%
90
56.1%
Q4 - 2:05DALNoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)89
65.4%
87
34.6%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Dragic 8' Pullup Jump Shot89
69.7%
87
30.3%
Q4 - 2:29DALMatthews Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)89
78.5%
87
21.5%
Q4 - 2:52DALNoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
63.7%
87
36.3%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
67.7%
87
32.3%
Q4 - 3:07DALMatthews Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)89
76.0%
87
24.0%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMatthews STEAL (2 STL)89
63.6%
87
36.4%
Q4 - 3:26DALCurry Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)89
76.3%
87
23.7%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
78.1%
86
21.9%
Q4 - 3:32DALMISS Barnes 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot89
76.1%
86
23.9%
Q4 - 3:50DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
71.2%
86
28.8%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMISS Waiters 17' Jump Shot89
73.7%
86
26.3%
Q4 - 4:10DALCurry 5' Layup (25 PTS)89
79.0%
86
21.0%
Q4 - 4:39MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)89
84.4%
84
15.6%
Q4 - 4:48DALFerrell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)86
72.2%
84
27.8%
Q4 - 4:52DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
63.2%
84
36.8%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot86
66.1%
84
33.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)86
72.2%
84
27.8%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot86
66.1%
84
33.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)86
69.5%
84
30.5%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
64.0%
84
36.0%
Q4 - 5:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)86
69.5%
84
30.5%
Q4 - 5:34DALMISS Barnes 18' Jump Shot86
67.2%
84
32.8%
Q4 - 5:52MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)86
61.6%
84
38.4%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)83
46.2%
84
53.8%
Q4 - 6:08DALMISS Curry 20' Jump Shot83
43.5%
84
56.5%
Q4 - 6:28MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)83
37.6%
84
62.4%
Q4 - 6:52DALNoel Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)80
25.5%
84
74.5%
Q4 - 7:09MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)80
32.7%
82
67.3%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)78
27.4%
82
72.6%
Q4 - 7:18DALMISS Harris 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup78
25.6%
82
74.4%
Q4 - 7:35MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)78
21.7%
82
78.3%
Q4 - 7:56DALFerrell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
17.7%
82
82.3%
Q4 - 7:56DALMISS Ferrell Free Throw 1 of 276
18.4%
81
81.6%
Q4 - 8:08DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
19.2%
81
80.8%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
20.4%
81
79.6%
Q4 - 8:16DALPowell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)76
23.3%
81
76.7%
Q4 - 8:32MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)76
19.1%
81
80.9%
Q4 - 8:39DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)74
15.3%
81
84.7%
Q4 - 8:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)74
12.3%
81
87.7%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 9:13MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
16.9%
81
83.1%
Q4 - 9:14DALMISS Powell Free Throw 2 of 274
16.4%
81
83.6%
Q4 - 9:14DALPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)74
14.4%
81
85.6%
Q4 - 9:19DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
16.7%
80
83.3%
Q4 - 9:20DALMISS Harris 3' Jump Shot74
19.3%
80
80.7%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)74
16.6%
80
83.4%
Q4 - 9:43DALPowell 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)74
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q4 - 10:07MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)74
25.5%
78
74.5%
Q4 - 10:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
18.0%
78
82.0%
Q4 - 10:15DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
17.0%
78
83.0%
Q4 - 10:32DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
15.6%
78
84.4%
Q4 - 10:41MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
18.0%
78
82.0%
Q4 - 10:43DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot71
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q4 - 11:01MIAJohnson 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q4 - 11:10DALMISS Ferrell 15' Jump Shot69
12.3%
78
87.7%
Q4 - 11:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)69
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Johnson 3' Driving Reverse Layup69
11.3%
78
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
13.0%
78
87.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0DALCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)69
14.4%
78
85.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAWhiteside 3' Putback Layup (17 PTS)69
12.0%
78
88.0%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)67
10.0%
78
90.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot67
8.8%
78
91.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALCurry 11' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)67
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0DALNoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
11.9%
76
88.1%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALMISS Barnes 15' Jump Shot67
13.5%
76
86.5%
Q3 - 1:02DALCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
13.1%
76
86.9%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q3 - 1:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
15.6%
76
84.4%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 1:27DALCurry 28' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)67
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJohnson 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
21.3%
73
78.7%
Q3 - 1:55MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
18.2%
73
81.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot65
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 2:13DALMatthews Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)65
19.2%
73
80.8%
Q3 - 2:34MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (15 PTS)65
16.2%
73
83.8%
Q3 - 2:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)63
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot63
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q3 - 2:58DALMatthews Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)63
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q3 - 3:13DALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 3:15MIANoel BLOCK (1 BLK)63
13.4%
73
86.6%
Q3 - 3:24DALCook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)63
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 3:37DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot63
13.3%
73
86.7%
Q3 - 3:52DALMatthews 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)63
14.9%
73
85.1%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMcGruder Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)63
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 4:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)63
23.9%
70
76.1%
Q3 - 4:29DALMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot63
22.8%
70
77.2%
Q3 - 4:39MIANoel STEAL (1 STL)63
20.4%
70
79.6%
Q3 - 4:57DALBarnes 6' Jump Shot (22 PTS)63
23.8%
70
76.2%
Q3 - 5:21MIAJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)63
27.3%
68
72.7%
Q3 - 5:29MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
24.5%
68
75.5%
Q3 - 5:30MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
22.2%
68
77.8%
Q3 - 5:46DALCurry 4' Layup (18 PTS)61
24.5%
68
75.5%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJohnson Palming Turnover (P2.T9)61
28.0%
66
72.0%
Q3 - 6:15DALNoel 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)61
31.6%
66
68.4%
Q3 - 6:34MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
34.9%
64
65.1%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 260
34.1%
64
65.9%
Q3 - 6:38MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q3 - 6:41DALMISS Ferrell 4' Jump Shot60
34.0%
64
66.0%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWhiteside 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)60
31.3%
64
68.7%
Q3 - 7:15DALFerrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)58
28.7%
64
71.3%
Q3 - 7:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)58
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
36.1%
61
63.9%
Q3 - 7:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)58
39.0%
61
61.0%
Q3 - 7:27DALMISS Barnes 6' Jump Shot58
37.8%
61
62.2%
Q3 - 7:49MIADragic Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T8)58
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q3 - 8:04DALBarnes 17' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ferrell 5 AST)58
39.5%
61
60.5%
Q3 - 8:24MIADragic 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)58
42.4%
59
57.6%
Q3 - 8:32MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
39.4%
59
60.6%
Q3 - 8:33DALMISS Ferrell 12' Jump Shot56
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 8:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
35.3%
59
64.7%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Waiters 9' Jump Shot56
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 8:56MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
39.4%
59
60.6%
Q3 - 8:57DALMISS Curry 21' Jump Shot56
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 9:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
35.7%
59
64.3%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 256
36.2%
59
63.8%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 256
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 9:25DALMISS Curry 18' Pullup Jump Shot56
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q3 - 9:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
35.7%
59
64.3%
Q3 - 9:34MIAMISS McGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
36.8%
59
63.2%
Q3 - 9:47MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
39.3%
59
60.7%
Q3 - 9:49DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot56
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q3 - 10:03MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)56
36.0%
59
64.0%
Q3 - 10:30DALBarnes 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS) (Ferrell 4 AST)56
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMcGruder 5' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)56
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 11:09DALCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
39.9%
57
60.1%
Q3 - 11:09DALCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
40.4%
56
59.6%
Q3 - 11:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
43.1%
55
56.9%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup54
44.1%
55
55.9%
Q3 - 11:23MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Dragic 5' Jump Shot54
44.1%
55
55.9%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS McGruder 8' Jump Shot54
44.1%
55
55.9%
Q3 - 11:40MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q3 - 11:41DALMISS Curry 13' Jump Bank Shot54
45.5%
55
54.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)54
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWaiters Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)54
44.0%
55
56.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0DALCurry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
46.1%
55
53.9%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIADragic 12' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)54
53.7%
52
46.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
49.5%
52
50.5%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot52
48.8%
52
51.2%
Q2 - 1:12MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
47.5%
52
52.5%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 251
46.6%
52
53.4%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
46.0%
52
54.0%
Q2 - 1:19DALMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
45.5%
52
54.5%
Q2 - 1:28DALMAVERICKS Rebound51
44.4%
52
55.6%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Dragic 21' Jump Shot51
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q2 - 1:30MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
46.0%
52
54.0%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup51
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Shot51
44.8%
52
55.2%
Q2 - 1:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q2 - 1:46DALMISS Barnes 27' 3PT Jump Shot51
45.5%
52
54.5%
Q2 - 2:00MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)51
44.3%
52
55.7%
Q2 - 2:22DALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)48
37.6%
52
62.4%
Q2 - 2:22DALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
38.1%
51
61.9%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWhiteside 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)48
40.8%
50
59.2%
Q2 - 2:44MIAHeat Rebound46
37.5%
50
62.5%
Q2 - 2:46MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot46
35.7%
50
64.3%
Q2 - 3:05DALBarnes 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Mejri 1 AST)46
38.4%
50
61.6%
Q2 - 3:10DALMejri REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q2 - 3:11DALMISS Barnes 20' Jump Shot46
43.1%
48
56.9%
Q2 - 3:20DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.7%
48
58.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
44.1%
48
55.9%
Q2 - 3:34DALMISS Mejri 3' Layup46
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q2 - 3:36DALMejri REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q2 - 3:38DALMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot46
43.0%
48
57.0%
Q2 - 3:54DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
40.7%
48
59.3%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot46
41.7%
48
58.3%
Q2 - 4:08DALCurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)46
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q2 - 4:14DALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
49.6%
45
50.4%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Richardson 11' Jump Shot46
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q2 - 4:32DALCurry 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)46
52.5%
45
47.5%
Q2 - 4:39DALMejri REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
55.3%
43
44.7%
Q2 - 4:41DALMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 4:54DALMejri REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
55.3%
43
44.7%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 246
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
57.6%
43
42.4%
Q2 - 5:08DALBarnes 4' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)45
55.4%
43
44.6%
Q2 - 5:28MIAJohnson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)45
57.9%
41
42.1%
Q2 - 5:42DALCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)43
55.3%
41
44.7%
Q2 - 6:01MIARichardson 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
60.1%
38
39.9%
Q2 - 6:13DALNoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 6:13DALNoel 4' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)41
58.2%
38
41.8%
Q2 - 6:15DALMISS Finney-Smith 10' Jump Shot41
62.4%
36
37.6%
Q2 - 6:29DALNoel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
60.2%
36
39.8%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot41
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 6:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
63.4%
36
36.6%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot41
61.2%
36
38.8%
Q2 - 7:02DALBarnes 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
62.6%
36
37.4%
Q2 - 7:24MIADragic 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 7:35MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 7:37DALMISS Curry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot39
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q2 - 7:44MIAFinney-Smith STEAL (1 STL)39
60.0%
34
40.0%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw Technical39
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 8:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
62.2%
34
37.8%
Q2 - 8:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
62.5%
33
37.5%
Q2 - 8:25MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)39
64.4%
32
35.6%
Q2 - 8:37DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
59.8%
32
40.2%
Q2 - 8:57MIAJohnson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
57.1%
32
42.9%
Q2 - 9:19DALHarris 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ferrell 3 AST)34
54.6%
32
45.4%
Q2 - 9:33DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
59.3%
29
40.7%
Q2 - 9:34DALMISS Harris 4' Turnaround Jump Shot34
61.1%
29
38.9%
Q2 - 9:41DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)34
59.3%
29
40.7%
Q2 - 9:55DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
61.7%
28
38.3%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot34
62.5%
28
37.5%
Q2 - 10:10DALFinney-Smith 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ferrell 2 AST)34
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q2 - 10:22DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q2 - 10:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q2 - 10:23DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Tip Layup Shot34
67.6%
26
32.4%
Q2 - 10:25DALMISS Ferrell 18' Jump Shot34
67.6%
26
32.4%
Q2 - 10:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
65.9%
26
34.1%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot34
66.7%
26
33.3%
Q2 - 10:45DALHarris 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ferrell 1 AST)34
68.4%
26
31.6%
Q2 - 11:01MIAWhite 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)34
69.6%
24
30.4%
Q2 - 11:28DALFerrell 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)31
65.5%
24
34.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL31
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound31
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Ferrell 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot31
68.4%
22
31.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
67.4%
22
32.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Dragic 3' Finger Roll Layup31
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)31
68.9%
22
31.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
73.3%
19
26.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot31
73.7%
19
26.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
74.7%
19
25.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALFinney-Smith 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)31
74.7%
19
25.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALMISS Finney-Smith 9' Jump Shot31
77.7%
17
22.3%
Q1 - 1:22MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)31
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q1 - 1:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
72.7%
17
27.3%
Q1 - 1:34DALMISS Matthews 16' Jump Shot28
72.3%
17
27.7%
Q1 - 1:54MIAJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
71.3%
17
28.7%
Q1 - 2:14DALMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
68.9%
17
31.1%
Q1 - 2:14DALMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
69.3%
16
30.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIAWhiteside Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
71.1%
15
28.9%
Q1 - 2:51DALCook 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
68.9%
15
31.1%
Q1 - 3:07MIAWhiteside 3' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)24
70.1%
13
29.9%
Q1 - 3:21DALCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
68.5%
13
31.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
72.1%
10
27.9%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 221
71.5%
10
28.5%
Q1 - 3:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 3:48DALMISS Barnes 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot21
71.7%
10
28.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIAJohnson 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)21
69.7%
10
30.3%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)19
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 4:21DALMISS Curry 28' 3PT Jump Shot19
67.5%
10
32.5%
Q1 - 4:42MIAWaiters 19' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
65.9%
10
34.1%
Q1 - 5:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
64.2%
10
35.8%
Q1 - 5:01DALMISS Cook 13' Jump Shot17
62.5%
10
37.5%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMatthews STEAL (1 STL)17
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 5:38DALBarnes 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
63.3%
10
36.7%
Q1 - 5:54MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)17
65.0%
8
35.0%
Q1 - 5:57DALCook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
61.3%
8
38.7%
Q1 - 6:19MIADragic 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
58.4%
8
41.6%
Q1 - 6:35MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
56.6%
8
43.4%
Q1 - 6:36DALMISS Matthews 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
56.0%
8
44.0%
Q1 - 6:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
54.5%
8
45.5%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Turnaround Jump Shot12
55.2%
8
44.8%
Q1 - 7:08DALBarnes 11' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)12
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 7:36MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)12
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)10
56.3%
6
43.7%
Q1 - 7:55DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 7:55DALMISS Barnes 5' Jump Shot10
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 7:57DALMISS Ferrell 5' Jump Shot10
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 8:03DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Waiters 9' Jump Shot10
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 8:13DALNowitzki 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)10
56.4%
6
43.6%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMcGruder 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)10
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 8:48DALBarnes 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 9:14MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)7
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 9:17MIAHeat Rebound4
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 9:24MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 9:25DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot4
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 9:34DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 9:48DALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 9:48DALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
52.9%
1
47.1%
Q1 - 10:07MIADragic 3' Layup (2 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)4
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 10:12DALMatthews Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 10:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)2
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 10:26MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (2 PTS)2
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 10:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 10:36DALMISS Ferrell 4' Jump Shot0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 10:42MIAFerrell STEAL (1 STL)0
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 10:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 10:47DALMISS Matthews 10' Jump Shot0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.4%
0
51.6%
Q1 - 11:26DALMISS Barnes 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup0
47.9%
0
52.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Whiteside: Tip to Dragic0
48.4%
0
51.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
DAL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
22
55%
DAL
13
23
57%
Midrange
MIA
16
35
46%
DAL
11
35
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
DAL
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
6
13
46%
DAL
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2455%12.0 / 22
H. Whiteside1956%9.5 / 17
D. Waiters1243%6.0 / 14
T. Johnson1063%5.0 / 8
J. Johnson833%4.0 / 12
W. Ellington650%3.0 / 6
R. McGruder550%2.5 / 5
O. White3150%1.5 / 1
J. Richardson250%1.0 / 2
L. Babbitt0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry2981%14.5 / 18
H. Barnes2457%12.0 / 21
W. Matthews964%4.5 / 7
D. Nowitzki840%4.0 / 10
Y. Ferrell630%3.0 / 10
N. Noel6100%3.0 / 3
D. Harris550%2.5 / 5
D. Finney-Smith450%2.0 / 4
D. Powell375%1.5 / 2
Q. Cook220%1.0 / 5
S. Mejri0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+15
-13
90
DAL
75
+12
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
DAL
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
105.2
MIA 101.1
DAL 109.1 +8.0
Pace
95.0
92.6
MIA 90.2 +4.3
DAL 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
MIA 16.0 +0.8
DAL 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.5%
MIA 50.0% +0.7%
DAL 49.3%
TO %
13.2%
12.1%
MIA 13.6%
DAL 13.1% +0.5%
ORB %
24.2%
18.1%
MIA 29.5% +3.9%
DAL 25.6%
FTrt
25.1
22.5
MIA 15.7
DAL 30.3 +14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
57.4%
MIA 56.8% +2.3%
DAL 54.5%
STL %
7.5%
8.1%
MIA 12.5% +6.8%
DAL 5.7%
BLK %
9.3%
7.0%
MIA 6.9% +3.4%
DAL 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.7%
MIA 48.9%
DAL 54.5% +5.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.8%
MIA 54.5%
DAL 56.5% +2.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
41.6%
MIA 45.7% +14.3%
DAL 31.4%
3P %
36.5%
35.5%
MIA 34.6%
DAL 50.0% +15.4%
FT %
70.6%
80.1%
MIA 46.2%
DAL 91.3% +45.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
25.2%
MIA 26.5%
DAL 30.3% +3.8%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
38.2%
MIA 42.2% +3.9%
DAL 46.1%
3P Att. %
31.4%
36.6%
MIA 31.3% +7.6%
DAL 23.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.96 and 2.96.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8996
Rebounds4542
Assists2118
Steals115
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)31 (2)
Field Goals37-8333-76
At-the-Rim FG12-2213-23
Midrange FG16-3511-35
2-Point FG28-5724-58
3-Point FG9-269-18
Free Throws6-1321-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
38.3
19
56%
19
0
1
1
2
1
7
12
1-2
50%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
37.4
24
55%
5
6
3
0
4
3
3
2
2-3
67%
8-16
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
32.7
12
43%
3
6
2
0
2
3
0
3
2-5
40%
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
25.0
5
50%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
16.0
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
30.8
8
33%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
24.1
10
63%
4
4
2
0
3
5
1
3
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
17.4
6
50%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
0-0
-
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
10.4
3
150%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
7.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'11" 245 · 27
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
45
21
11
4
13
0
13
32
6-13
46%
28-57
49%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.