FinalWin Prob.pScore
1543%101
95
1657%103
113
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
100.09597.4
MIA logo MIA
116.59794.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDBabbitt STEAL (1 STL)95
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDPacers Rebound95
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0INDMISS Robinson III 18' Jump Shot95
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0INDWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIADragic 9' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)95
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19INDJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)95
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45INDMiles 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWhiteside 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS)93
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15INDWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 2:36MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 293
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 2:36MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Turner: Tip to Dragic93
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:51INDMISS Turner 3' Layup93
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 2:57INDTurner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)93
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup93
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 3:18INDRobinson III Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)93
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:28INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 291
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)91
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)91
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot91
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 3:43INDTurner 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)91
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 3:52INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:13INDTurner 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)89
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 4:25MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P5.T17)87
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35INDTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57INDMISS Turner 4' Jump Bank Shot85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)85
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25INDMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup85
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 5:40MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)85
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)85
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 6:00INDMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 6:26MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 6:48MIAHEAT Rebound85
1.7%
97
98.3%
Q4 - 6:49INDMISS Teague 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot85
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 7:03MIAReed 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)85
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q4 - 7:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
4.1%
95
95.9%
Q4 - 7:17INDMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot85
4.4%
95
95.6%
Q4 - 7:35MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)85
5.4%
95
94.6%
Q4 - 7:41INDJohnson STEAL (2 STL)85
8.8%
92
91.2%
Q4 - 7:50INDYoung REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)85
11.5%
92
88.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
10.6%
92
89.4%
Q4 - 8:06INDTurner 13' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)85
10.2%
92
89.8%
Q4 - 8:20MIAJohnson 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)83
8.0%
92
92.0%
Q4 - 8:39MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
10.1%
90
89.9%
Q4 - 8:40INDMISS Teague 3' Cutting Layup Shot83
10.8%
90
89.2%
Q4 - 8:44INDPacers Rebound83
12.7%
90
87.3%
Q4 - 8:45INDJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)83
10.8%
90
89.2%
Q4 - 8:57MIAJohnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
12.6%
90
87.4%
Q4 - 9:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
16.9%
88
83.1%
Q4 - 9:08INDMISS Ellis 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot83
18.0%
88
82.0%
Q4 - 9:23INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
20.8%
88
79.2%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot83
19.5%
88
80.5%
Q4 - 9:32MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
16.8%
88
83.2%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Richardson 7' Jump Shot83
19.5%
88
80.5%
Q4 - 9:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
16.8%
88
83.2%
Q4 - 9:44INDMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot83
17.9%
88
82.1%
Q4 - 10:00MIAEllington Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)83
20.7%
88
79.3%
Q4 - 10:21INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
17.8%
88
82.2%
Q4 - 10:21INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q4 - 10:32MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)81
14.9%
88
85.1%
Q4 - 10:38MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
21.3%
85
78.7%
Q4 - 10:39INDMISS Ellis 16' Pullup Jump Shot81
22.6%
85
77.4%
Q4 - 10:58MIAReed 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)81
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q4 - 11:19MIAHEAT Rebound81
30.6%
83
69.4%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
34.1%
83
65.9%
Q4 - 11:41INDStuckey 12' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
30.6%
83
69.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND79
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
26.3%
83
73.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
25.9%
83
74.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
23.3%
83
76.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0INDMISS Ellis 16' Pullup Jump Shot79
24.4%
83
75.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
27.0%
83
73.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 179
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
19.7%
83
80.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot77
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0INDEllis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)77
16.6%
83
83.4%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T15)77
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q3 - 1:15INDEllis 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)77
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q3 - 1:28MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)75
15.0%
83
85.0%
Q3 - 1:47INDChristmas 2' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)75
17.6%
81
82.4%
Q3 - 2:05INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
15.7%
81
84.3%
Q3 - 2:06MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 173
15.3%
81
84.7%
Q3 - 2:10INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)73
18.1%
79
81.9%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
21.2%
79
78.8%
Q3 - 2:25MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
22.3%
78
77.7%
Q3 - 2:26MIAHEAT Rebound73
24.2%
77
75.8%
Q3 - 2:27INDMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot73
25.4%
77
74.6%
Q3 - 2:46MIADragic 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)73
28.1%
77
71.9%
Q3 - 2:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
31.7%
75
68.3%
Q3 - 2:53INDMISS Christmas 1' Tip Layup Shot73
33.0%
75
67.0%
Q3 - 2:54INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
36.2%
75
63.8%
Q3 - 2:55INDMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot73
33.0%
75
67.0%
Q3 - 3:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
36.5%
75
63.5%
Q3 - 3:15MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)73
37.3%
74
62.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)73
40.4%
73
59.6%
Q3 - 3:20INDMISS Teague 17' Jump Shot73
41.8%
73
58.2%
Q3 - 3:38MIAJohnson 8' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (8 PTS)73
45.1%
73
54.9%
Q3 - 3:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
49.2%
71
50.8%
Q3 - 3:48INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
50.7%
71
49.3%
Q3 - 4:02MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)73
53.5%
71
46.5%
Q3 - 4:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
48.5%
71
51.5%
Q3 - 4:12INDMISS Turner 21' Jump Shot73
50.0%
71
50.0%
Q3 - 4:25MIAWaiters Traveling Turnover (P6.T13)73
53.5%
71
46.5%
Q3 - 4:33INDRobinson III 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Young 4 AST)73
48.6%
71
51.4%
Q3 - 4:39MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)70
40.7%
71
59.3%
Q3 - 5:06INDTeague 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
36.3%
71
63.7%
Q3 - 5:19MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T11)68
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
29.0%
71
71.0%
Q3 - 5:33INDMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q3 - 5:54MIAWaiters 6' Driving Bank Shot (16 PTS)68
32.9%
71
67.1%
Q3 - 6:12INDRobinson III 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)68
36.3%
69
63.7%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
30.4%
68
69.6%
Q3 - 6:34INDTeague 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)65
32.7%
67
67.3%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T10)63
29.5%
67
70.5%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
26.1%
67
73.9%
Q3 - 6:54INDMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot63
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q3 - 7:12INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
29.8%
67
70.2%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
28.7%
67
71.3%
Q3 - 7:25INDTurner 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Young 3 AST)63
26.2%
67
73.8%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)61
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q3 - 7:56INDYoung Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)61
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 8:11MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)61
33.4%
64
66.6%
Q3 - 8:37INDMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)61
29.5%
64
70.5%
Q3 - 8:41INDPacers Rebound58
24.2%
64
75.8%
Q3 - 8:42INDMcGruder BLOCK (1 BLK)58
22.0%
64
78.0%
Q3 - 8:49MIADragic Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)58
24.2%
64
75.8%
Q3 - 8:56INDYoung REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 8:57INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
24.7%
63
75.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)58
27.0%
63
73.0%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)58
33.0%
60
67.0%
Q3 - 9:29INDMISS Teague 2' Driving Layup58
34.0%
60
66.0%
Q3 - 9:41MIADragic 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
36.4%
60
63.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
39.5%
58
60.5%
Q3 - 10:03INDMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup58
40.6%
58
59.4%
Q3 - 10:08INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
43.2%
58
56.8%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot58
42.1%
58
57.9%
Q3 - 10:25INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P4.T9)58
39.5%
58
60.5%
Q3 - 10:59MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
36.5%
58
63.5%
Q3 - 11:19INDTeague 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
39.5%
56
60.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)54
36.5%
56
63.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
42.8%
53
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)54
42.8%
53
57.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Whiteside 17' Jump Shot54
44.9%
53
55.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup54
44.9%
53
55.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0INDGeorge Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Young 2 AST)54
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)52
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P3.T8)52
37.0%
53
63.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)52
39.2%
53
60.8%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)52
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q2 - 1:10INDGeorge 12' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)52
43.6%
51
56.4%
Q2 - 1:29INDYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)50
39.0%
51
61.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot50
38.5%
51
61.5%
Q2 - 1:45INDTeague Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)50
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q2 - 1:45INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)49
37.0%
51
63.0%
Q2 - 1:45INDMISS Teague Free Throw 1 of 348
36.6%
51
63.4%
Q2 - 1:55MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
33.1%
51
66.9%
Q2 - 1:55MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
33.7%
50
66.3%
Q2 - 1:55INDDragic STEAL (2 STL)48
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (White 2 AST)48
39.6%
49
60.4%
Q2 - 2:22INDTurner 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)48
45.8%
46
54.2%
Q2 - 2:33MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (White 1 AST)46
42.5%
46
57.5%
Q2 - 2:38MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
49.0%
43
51.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot46
50.9%
43
49.1%
Q2 - 2:51INDWaiters STEAL (2 STL)46
49.0%
43
51.0%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
51.5%
43
48.5%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 246
52.5%
42
47.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)46
51.1%
42
48.9%
Q2 - 3:14INDMISS Turner 17' Jump Shot46
52.1%
42
47.9%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
54.5%
42
45.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)46
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Waiters 3' Layup46
59.3%
40
40.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
57.0%
40
43.0%
Q2 - 3:43INDMISS George 3' Layup46
58.0%
40
42.0%
Q2 - 4:02MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)46
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q2 - 4:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)46
61.9%
38
38.1%
Q2 - 4:15INDMISS Teague 15' Step Back Jump Shot46
62.7%
38
37.3%
Q2 - 4:30MIADragic 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
64.6%
38
35.4%
Q2 - 4:36MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
67.2%
36
32.8%
Q2 - 4:37INDMISS Turner 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
67.9%
36
32.1%
Q2 - 4:54INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
69.7%
36
30.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
68.9%
36
31.1%
Q2 - 5:08INDTurner 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)46
66.5%
36
33.5%
Q2 - 5:22MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
64.2%
36
35.8%
Q2 - 5:43INDRobinson III Dunk (5 PTS) (Young 1 AST)44
69.0%
33
31.0%
Q2 - 5:44INDYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
66.7%
33
33.3%
Q2 - 5:45INDMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot42
64.9%
33
35.1%
Q2 - 5:53INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
66.7%
33
33.3%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Johnson 1' Tip Layup Shot42
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
64.1%
33
35.9%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Jump Shot42
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 6:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)42
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot42
65.4%
33
34.6%
Q2 - 6:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot42
65.4%
33
34.6%
Q2 - 6:18INDRobinson III Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
63.2%
33
36.8%
Q2 - 6:18INDMISS Robinson III Free Throw 1 of 241
62.6%
33
37.4%
Q2 - 6:18INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
63.8%
33
36.2%
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
62.9%
33
37.1%
Q2 - 6:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 6:26INDMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot41
61.7%
33
38.3%
Q2 - 6:37MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)41
63.9%
33
36.1%
Q2 - 6:55INDAllen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)41
68.2%
30
31.8%
Q2 - 7:11INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
65.2%
30
34.8%
Q2 - 7:12INDMISS Stuckey 7' Jump Shot39
63.4%
30
36.6%
Q2 - 7:26INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
65.3%
30
34.7%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
64.5%
30
35.5%
Q2 - 7:41INDEllis 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 7:59MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)37
60.4%
30
39.6%
Q2 - 8:18INDEllis 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)37
64.4%
27
35.6%
Q2 - 8:22MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
62.3%
27
37.7%
Q2 - 8:34INDChristmas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
59.6%
27
40.4%
Q2 - 8:34INDChristmas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
59.1%
27
40.9%
Q2 - 8:34INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
57.3%
27
42.7%
Q2 - 8:35INDMISS Robinson III 6' Hook Bank Shot33
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 8:50INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
57.3%
27
42.7%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
56.5%
27
43.5%
Q2 - 9:04INDRobinson III 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)33
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q2 - 9:21MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
51.9%
27
48.1%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 231
52.3%
26
47.7%
Q2 - 9:38INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q2 - 9:38INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
51.2%
26
48.8%
Q2 - 9:40MIAEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
49.4%
26
50.6%
Q2 - 9:53INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
46.6%
26
53.4%
Q2 - 9:53INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
46.1%
26
53.9%
Q2 - 10:06MIADragic 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)27
44.3%
26
55.7%
Q2 - 10:11INDDragic STEAL (1 STL)27
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q2 - 10:28MIARichardson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)27
49.2%
24
50.8%
Q2 - 10:44INDStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
51.4%
22
48.6%
Q2 - 10:44INDStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
51.0%
22
49.0%
Q2 - 10:47INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
49.2%
22
50.8%
Q2 - 10:48MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q2 - 11:04INDStuckey 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q2 - 11:20INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 223
43.5%
22
56.5%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 223
42.1%
22
57.9%
Q2 - 11:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q2 - 11:25INDMISS Ellis 3' Driving Layup23
42.1%
22
57.9%
Q2 - 11:41MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)23
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q2 - 11:53MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
48.6%
19
51.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
51.0%
18
49.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound23
53.5%
18
46.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot23
51.7%
18
48.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDMISS Stuckey 9' Jump Shot23
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0INDMISS Stuckey 16' Jump Shot23
51.4%
18
48.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDChristmas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Reed 14' Jump Shot23
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0INDReed STEAL (1 STL)23
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDRobinson III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
52.6%
18
47.4%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Johnson 10' Floating Jump Shot23
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 1:07MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
50.8%
18
49.2%
Q1 - 1:08INDMISS Christmas 1' Layup23
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 1:23MIAWhiteside 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)23
52.5%
18
47.5%
Q1 - 1:45INDAllen 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)23
55.5%
16
44.5%
Q1 - 1:52INDTurner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)21
52.5%
16
47.5%
Q1 - 1:53INDJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)21
51.3%
16
48.7%
Q1 - 2:01INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
52.7%
16
47.3%
Q1 - 2:02MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot21
52.1%
16
47.9%
Q1 - 2:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)21
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup21
52.1%
16
47.9%
Q1 - 2:24INDTurner Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)21
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 2:30MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)19
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 2:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
46.0%
16
54.0%
Q1 - 2:42INDMISS Turner 20' Jump Shot19
46.7%
16
53.3%
Q1 - 2:56MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)19
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 3:07INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
49.9%
14
50.1%
Q1 - 3:07INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 3:14MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
47.9%
14
52.1%
Q1 - 3:33MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
50.0%
12
50.0%
Q1 - 3:34INDMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot17
50.7%
12
49.3%
Q1 - 3:59INDPacers Rebound17
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
51.7%
12
48.3%
Q1 - 4:31INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
49.5%
12
50.5%
Q1 - 4:31INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 4:31INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
47.7%
12
52.3%
Q1 - 4:32INDMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 4:45INDTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
47.7%
12
52.3%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot15
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 4:59INDYoung Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)15
45.1%
12
54.9%
Q1 - 5:08INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot15
46.3%
12
53.7%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 5:27INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot15
45.4%
12
54.6%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)15
47.0%
12
53.0%
Q1 - 5:51INDTurner Dunk (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)15
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 6:08MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)13
42.5%
12
57.5%
Q1 - 6:17INDYoung Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)13
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)13
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 6:51INDTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
50.3%
7
49.7%
Q1 - 6:51INDTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
50.0%
7
50.0%
Q1 - 6:59MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)11
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 7:16INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
49.5%
5
50.5%
Q1 - 7:16INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
49.3%
5
50.7%
Q1 - 7:19INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
48.0%
5
52.0%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot9
47.3%
5
52.7%
Q1 - 7:33MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
47.3%
5
52.7%
Q1 - 7:58INDYoung 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)9
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 8:13INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
43.6%
5
56.4%
Q1 - 8:32INDTeague 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
42.1%
5
57.9%
Q1 - 8:43INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 8:50INDWaiters STEAL (1 STL)5
38.5%
5
61.5%
Q1 - 8:57INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
38.2%
5
61.8%
Q1 - 9:11INDMISS George 21' Jump Shot5
38.9%
5
61.1%
Q1 - 9:36MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
40.4%
5
59.6%
Q1 - 9:53INDMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)5
38.3%
5
61.7%
Q1 - 10:00INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.2%
5
64.8%
Q1 - 10:01INDMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
33.7%
5
66.3%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWaiters 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)2
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 10:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:28INDMISS Young 1' Tip Layup Shot2
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:29INDYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 10:30INDMISS George 17' Jump Shot2
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:44MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 10:50MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 10:51INDMISS Turner 3' Jump Bank Shot2
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 10:53INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 10:54INDMISS Turner 7' Jump Shot2
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 11:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot2
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 11:40INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Turner: Tip to Young0
40.0%
0
60.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.97 48.5%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
34
47%
MIA
18
26
69%
Midrange
IND
14
39
36%
MIA
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
MIA
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
23
26
88%
MIA
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner1845%9.0 / 20
J. Teague1644%8.0 / 18
G. Robinson III1372%6.5 / 9
R. Stuckey1255%6.0 / 11
P. George1050%5.0 / 10
C. Miles8100%4.0 / 4
M. Ellis831%4.0 / 13
L. Allen440%2.0 / 5
R. Christmas450%2.0 / 4
T. Young250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2265%11.0 / 17
D. Waiters2269%11.0 / 16
G. Dragic2175%10.5 / 14
J. Johnson1550%7.5 / 15
L. Babbitt990%4.5 / 5
W. Ellington770%3.5 / 5
R. McGruder675%3.0 / 4
T. Johnson531%2.5 / 8
W. Reed467%2.0 / 3
J. Richardson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
80
+17
-15
97
MIA
81
+13
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.97 48.5%
MIA
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.8
108.1
IND 100.0
MIA 116.5 +16.5
Pace
95.9
95.0
IND 97.4 +2.8
MIA 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.7
IND 14.8 +0.4
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
51.2%
IND 42.4%
MIA 57.1% +14.7%
TO %
13.7%
13.2%
IND 13.5% +2.1%
MIA 15.6%
ORB %
21.3%
24.2%
IND 28.9% +2.1%
MIA 26.8%
FTrt
26.1
25.1
IND 30.6
MIA 39.7 +9.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.2%
54.4%
IND 61.8% +1.3%
MIA 60.5%
STL %
8.4%
7.5%
IND 8.4%
MIA 9.3% +0.9%
BLK %
9.0%
9.3%
IND 8.5% +1.7%
MIA 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.5%
52.8%
IND 48.5%
MIA 60.1% +11.6%
Rim FG%
59.1%
59.2%
IND 47.1%
MIA 69.2% +22.1%
Mid FG%
42.1%
39.4%
IND 35.9% +2.6%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
37.6%
36.5%
IND 33.3%
MIA 41.9% +8.6%
FT %
81.0%
70.6%
IND 88.5% +11.1%
MIA 77.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
35.4%
IND 40.0% +6.7%
MIA 33.3%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
33.1%
IND 45.9%
MIA 26.9% +19.0%
3P Att. %
27.2%
31.4%
IND 14.1%
MIA 39.7% +25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9597
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points95113
Rebounds4343
Assists2123
Steals89
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals34-8538-78
At-the-Rim FG16-3418-26
Midrange FG14-397-21
2-Point FG30-7325-47
3-Point FG4-1213-31
Free Throws23-2624-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 189 · 29
32.2
16
44%
3
6
1
0
1
3
0
3
6-7
86%
5-13
38%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 21
31.9
18
45%
7
1
3
1
0
5
3
4
2-2
100%
8-18
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 30
26.6
8
100%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 230 · 29
26.4
2
50%
5
4
2
0
3
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 27
19.2
10
50%
1
1
0
0
4
3
1
0
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 31
27.3
8
31%
3
5
0
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23
23.9
13
72%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 205 · 31
18.3
12
55%
1
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
6-7
86%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 28
16.5
4
40%
6
1
0
1
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
16.1
4
50%
7
0
0
2
2
4
4
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 161 · 32
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27
#7 · C · 6'10" 280 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F · 6'7" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
49%
43
21
8
4
15
0
13
30
23-26
88%
30-73
41%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.