FinalWin Prob.pScore
2149%102
93
2451%103
116
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
94.998108.6
MIA logo MIA
118.49889.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Bembry 1' Cutting Layup Shot93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLBembry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Reed 17' Jump Shot93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAHEAT Rebound93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS McGruder 2' Driving Layup93
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:01ATLDunleavy 3' Jump Shot (11 PTS)93
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06ATLDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:07ATLMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:09ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:10MIAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot91
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:31ATLHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)91
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42ATLDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00ATLMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08ATLDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09ATLMISS Bembry 2' Driving Layup90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26ATLDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS McGruder 20' Jump Shot90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43ATLMISS Humphries Alley Oop Dunk90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57ATLMISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAJohnson 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)90
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20ATLMcGruder BLOCK (1 BLK)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24ATLBembry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Johnson 11' Jump Shot90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46ATLMuscala Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T16)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MIAWhiteside 4' Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHEAT Rebound90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18ATLMISS Muscala 19' Jump Shot90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ATLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWhiteside Dunk (16 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)90
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10ATLMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22MIAWaiters 17' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)90
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37ATLDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)90
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37ATLDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWhiteside 6' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 288
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWhiteside Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (12 PTS)88
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53ATLDunleavy Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)88
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:53ATLDunleavy Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)88
0.3%
105
99.7%
Q4 - 5:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot86
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 5:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00ATLWaiters BLOCK (2 BLK)86
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)86
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 6:35ATLPatterson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T15)86
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 6:39ATLPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot86
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)86
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 6:57ATLMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 186
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 7:09ATLDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 284
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 7:10MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 7:30MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 7:31ATLMISS Scott 8' Jump Bank Shot84
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)84
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 7:55ATLPatterson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)84
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 8:08MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)82
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 8:24ATLMuscala 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bembry 3 AST)82
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q4 - 8:34ATLHawks Rebound79
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 8:35ATLJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)79
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 8:39ATLPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 9:00ATLPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)79
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 9:02MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)76
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 9:13ATLPrince Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T14)76
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 9:32MIAReed 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)76
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 9:38MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 9:39ATLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)76
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 9:57MIAJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)76
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 10:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 10:12ATLMISS Scott 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 10:18ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 10:39ATLJohnson STEAL (2 STL)76
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 10:51ATLPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Ellington 18' Jump Shot76
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 11:11ATLHumphries 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)76
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 11:25ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot73
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 11:44MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Bembry Free Throw 1 of 173
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 48' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLHumphries 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)71
0.8%
94
99.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)69
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)69
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 369
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Delaney 16' Jump Shot69
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)69
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)69
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0ATLDelaney 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q3 - 1:12MIAEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 1:12MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)67
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q3 - 1:31ATLBembry 5' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)67
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 1:49MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)65
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 2:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 2:08ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIAReed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)65
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 2:49ATLDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bembry 2 AST)65
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 3:03MIAWaiters 17' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)62
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 3:16ATLMISS Bazemore 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot62
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 3:27ATLDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 3:54ATLSchroder 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 4:10MIAWaiters 14' Step Back Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 4:28ATLBazemore 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 4:42ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)58
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Whiteside 19' Jump Shot58
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q3 - 4:55ATLBabbitt STEAL (2 STL)58
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q3 - 5:00ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 5:01MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot58
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 5:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)58
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 5:14ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)58
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 5:20MIAWaiters Foul Turnover (P3.T10)58
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)58
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q3 - 5:37ATLMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)58
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q3 - 5:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)58
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q3 - 5:51MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 5:52ATLMISS Bazemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 5:57MIABabbitt Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 6:09ATLHoward Putback Dunk (6 PTS)58
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q3 - 6:11ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 6:12ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 6:27MIAWhiteside 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)56
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound56
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 6:45ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)56
4.1%
76
95.9%
Q3 - 7:02MIAHEAT Rebound56
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 7:03ATLMISS Bazemore Layup56
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIAWaiters 1' Layup (14 PTS)56
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 7:24ATLWaiters STEAL (2 STL)56
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 7:26ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot56
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 7:31MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 7:32ATLWaiters BLOCK (1 BLK)56
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 7:44MIAJohnson 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 8:00ATLBazemore Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)56
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 8:12MIADragic 2' Running Layup (20 PTS)56
8.5%
72
91.5%
Q3 - 8:18MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 8:19ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.0%
70
90.0%
Q3 - 8:24ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 8:25MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup56
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 8:57ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)56
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 9:14MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)54
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q3 - 9:33ATLMillsap 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
10.2%
68
89.8%
Q3 - 9:53MIADragic 14' Pullup Bank Shot (18 PTS)52
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)52
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 10:07ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 16' Jump Shot52
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 10:23MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T7)52
12.3%
66
87.7%
Q3 - 10:33ATLBazemore 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 2 AST)52
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 10:41ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
8.4%
66
91.6%
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup49
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 10:54ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 10:54ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 10:57MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)47
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 11:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)47
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 11:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)47
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 11:23ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 15' Jump Shot47
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)47
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 12:00MIADragic Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)47
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL47
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound47
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Millsap 1' Tip Layup Shot47
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Millsap 11' Jump Shot47
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)47
12.0%
62
88.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 347
12.3%
61
87.7%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)47
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson 3' Running Layup (13 PTS)47
15.1%
60
84.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
17.4%
58
82.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup47
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWhiteside 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
18.8%
58
81.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Dragic 10' Floating Jump Shot47
22.6%
56
77.4%
Q2 - 1:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)47
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q2 - 1:15ATLMISS Millsap 2' Layup47
22.8%
56
77.2%
Q2 - 1:28ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
23.6%
56
76.4%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
23.2%
56
76.8%
Q2 - 1:38ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
22.4%
56
77.6%
Q2 - 1:38ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)45
19.3%
56
80.7%
Q2 - 2:02ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 2:19ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q2 - 2:37ATLBazemore 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)43
20.5%
53
79.5%
Q2 - 3:01MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)41
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q2 - 3:14ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
23.3%
50
76.7%
Q2 - 3:14ATLHardaway Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
22.8%
50
77.2%
Q2 - 3:16MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)39
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q2 - 3:24MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
19.3%
50
80.7%
Q2 - 3:25ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 3:43ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Ellington 1' Reverse Layup39
20.8%
50
79.2%
Q2 - 3:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)39
19.2%
50
80.8%
Q2 - 4:00ATLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)39
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 4:05ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q2 - 4:06ATLBabbitt BLOCK (1 BLK)39
20.8%
50
79.2%
Q2 - 4:19ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
22.1%
50
77.9%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot39
21.5%
50
78.5%
Q2 - 4:34ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)39
20.2%
50
79.8%
Q2 - 4:43ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
16.7%
50
83.3%
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Ellington 18' Jump Shot36
16.3%
50
83.7%
Q2 - 5:04ATLBazemore 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)36
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 5:16ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot34
13.9%
50
86.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 5:30ATLMISS Millsap 18' Fadeaway Jumper34
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)34
14.3%
50
85.7%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
17.2%
47
82.8%
Q2 - 6:01ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup34
18.4%
47
81.6%
Q2 - 6:19ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 6:20MIAMISS Ellington 17' Jump Shot34
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 6:39ATLDragic STEAL (1 STL)34
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 6:46MIAJohnson 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q2 - 7:09ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)34
22.1%
45
77.9%
Q2 - 7:21MIAEllington 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)32
20.5%
45
79.5%
Q2 - 7:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
22.1%
43
77.9%
Q2 - 7:31ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 15' Jump Shot32
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 7:40ATLHawks Rebound32
24.1%
43
75.9%
Q2 - 7:41ATLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
22.7%
43
77.3%
Q2 - 7:57MIAReed Tip Dunk Shot (4 PTS)32
24.1%
43
75.9%
Q2 - 7:58MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Johnson Driving Layup32
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 8:18ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
26.1%
41
73.9%
Q2 - 8:26ATLHardaway Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
21.9%
41
78.1%
Q2 - 8:44ATLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
20.6%
41
79.4%
Q2 - 8:44ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
19.9%
41
80.1%
Q2 - 8:44ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
19.1%
41
80.9%
Q2 - 8:45ATLMISS Muscala 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
17.9%
41
82.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)27
19.6%
41
80.4%
Q2 - 9:15ATLHawks Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#8)27
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 9:34MIAReed 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)27
24.7%
38
75.3%
Q2 - 9:52ATLMuscala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Delaney 1 AST)27
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 10:17MIAJohnson Running Dunk (9 PTS)24
23.3%
36
76.7%
Q2 - 10:21ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)24
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 10:32MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)24
27.0%
34
73.0%
Q2 - 10:56ATLMuscala 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)24
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 10:57ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
29.0%
31
71.0%
Q2 - 10:58ATLMISS Delaney 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIAWaiters 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)22
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 11:24MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q2 - 11:25MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot22
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 11:39MIAHEAT Rebound22
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup22
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q1 - 0:20.0ATLReed STEAL (1 STL)22
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0ATLHawks Rebound22
33.0%
29
67.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Delaney 20' Jump Shot22
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson 4' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)22
33.0%
29
67.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLMuscala Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)22
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q1 - 1:04MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
37.5%
27
62.5%
Q1 - 1:04MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
38.0%
26
62.0%
Q1 - 1:05MIAHEAT Rebound22
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot22
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 1:19ATLDelaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q1 - 1:19ATLDelaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q1 - 1:32ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 120
37.3%
25
62.7%
Q1 - 1:51ATLDunleavy 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)20
40.3%
23
59.7%
Q1 - 2:07ATLBembry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Reed 8' Jump Shot18
37.4%
23
62.6%
Q1 - 2:19ATLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)18
36.0%
23
64.0%
Q1 - 2:32MIAJump Ball Dragic vs. Millsap: Tip to Delaney18
38.0%
23
62.0%
Q1 - 2:47ATLHumphries 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bembry 1 AST)18
36.0%
23
64.0%
Q1 - 3:05MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
34.3%
23
65.7%
Q1 - 3:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 3:13ATLMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q1 - 3:25MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
38.5%
21
61.5%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHEAT Rebound16
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot16
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 3:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS McGruder 3' Running Layup16
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 3:58ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWhiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q1 - 4:29ATLMillsap 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS)16
40.3%
19
59.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIABabbitt 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)14
38.6%
19
61.4%
Q1 - 4:58MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 4:59ATLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot14
41.1%
17
58.9%
Q1 - 5:09ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 5:24ATLSchroder 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 1 AST)14
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWaiters 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)12
38.9%
17
61.1%
Q1 - 5:39MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 5:53MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 5:54ATLMISS Bazemore 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 6:08ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Jump Shot12
42.4%
15
57.6%
Q1 - 6:24ATLMillsap 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS)12
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 6:38ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Jump Shot10
38.5%
15
61.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
37.1%
15
62.9%
Q1 - 6:51ATLMISS Howard 15' Jump Bank Shot10
37.8%
15
62.2%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMcGruder 3' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)10
39.7%
15
60.3%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS McGruder 11' Floating Jump Shot10
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 7:33ATLBazemore Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 7:37ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
37.8%
13
62.2%
Q1 - 7:38ATLMISS Bazemore 8' Floating Jump Shot7
36.3%
13
63.7%
Q1 - 8:01MIAWaiters 2' Running Layup (5 PTS)7
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 8:06ATLBabbitt STEAL (1 STL)7
39.6%
11
60.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)7
41.7%
11
58.3%
Q1 - 8:30ATLWaiters STEAL (1 STL)7
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)7
47.3%
8
52.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
50.8%
5
49.2%
Q1 - 8:49ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
51.5%
5
48.5%
Q1 - 9:02MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)7
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 9:20ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 9:33MIADragic 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)4
52.9%
2
47.1%
Q1 - 9:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 9:40ATLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)4
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 9:49ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot4
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 10:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 10:02ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
54.9%
0
45.1%
Q1 - 10:17MIABabbitt Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 10:28ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 10:48ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Whiteside 20' Jump Shot2
52.0%
0
48.0%
Q1 - 11:06ATLBazemore Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)2
50.7%
0
49.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#1)0
48.7%
0
51.3%
Q1 - 11:33ATLWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)0
47.0%
0
53.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Howard: Tip to Bazemore0
48.7%
0
51.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
35
46%
MIA
18
27
67%
Midrange
ATL
11
25
44%
MIA
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
MIA
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
ATL
18
21
86%
MIA
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bazemore1464%7.0 / 11
D. Schröder1250%6.0 / 12
M. Dunleavy1169%5.5 / 8
T. Hardaway1045%5.0 / 11
P. Millsap938%4.5 / 12
K. Humphries880%4.0 / 5
M. Muscala880%4.0 / 5
D. Howard643%3.0 / 7
D. Bembry433%2.0 / 6
L. Patterson440%2.0 / 5
M. Delaney440%2.0 / 5
T. Prince375%1.5 / 2
M. Scott0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2784%13.5 / 16
D. Waiters2067%10.0 / 15
H. Whiteside1869%9.0 / 13
J. Johnson1662%8.0 / 13
T. Johnson1146%5.5 / 12
L. Babbitt880%4.0 / 5
W. Ellington729%3.5 / 12
W. Reed758%3.5 / 6
R. McGruder214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
83
+13
-15
96
MIA
86
+16
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.97 48.4%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.4
108.1
ATL 94.9 +23.5
MIA 118.4
Pace
97.0
95.0
ATL 108.6 +19.4
MIA 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.7
ATL 13.3 +2.9
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
51.2%
ATL 43.6%
MIA 54.8% +11.2%
TO %
15.6%
13.2%
ATL 14.4%
MIA 11.4% +3.0%
ORB %
23.6%
24.2%
ATL 19.6%
MIA 22.7% +3.1%
FTrt
29.5
25.1
ATL 24.4 +4.0
MIA 20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.1%
54.4%
ATL 38.2%
MIA 51.1% +12.9%
STL %
8.4%
7.5%
ATL 10.2%
MIA 10.2%
BLK %
8.5%
9.3%
ATL 9.8%
MIA 18.3% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.8%
ATL 48.4%
MIA 56.9% +8.5%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.2%
ATL 45.7%
MIA 66.7% +21.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.4%
ATL 44.0%
MIA 44.1% +0.1%
3P %
34.1%
36.5%
ATL 26.9%
MIA 37.5% +10.6%
FT %
72.8%
70.6%
ATL 85.7% +12.0%
MIA 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
35.4%
ATL 40.7% +11.7%
MIA 29.0%
Mid Att. %
31.5%
33.1%
ATL 29.1% +7.5%
MIA 36.6%
3P Att. %
30.9%
31.4%
ATL 30.2%
MIA 34.4% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points93116
Rebounds4347
Assists1323
Steals1010
Blocks611
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)37 (5)
Field Goals34-8645-93
At-the-Rim FG16-3518-27
Midrange FG11-2515-34
2-Point FG27-6033-61
3-Point FG7-2612-32
Free Throws18-2114-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
26.0
12
50%
1
2
1
0
4
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
F · 6'5" 205 · 25
26.0
10
45%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
0-4
0%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
25.0
6
43%
11
1
1
2
0
3
3
8
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 246 · 32
24.1
9
38%
7
2
2
0
1
1
2
5
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 201 · 28
23.2
14
64%
0
1
2
1
2
0
0
0
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23
22.0
4
33%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36
19.5
11
69%
6
0
0
0
1
0
2
4
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 235 · 32
16.4
8
80%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26
14.4
8
80%
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 237 · 29
13.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 25
12.0
4
40%
4
0
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 28
11.4
4
40%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 218 · 23
6.1
3
75%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#11 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'7" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
48%
43
13
10
6
15
0
9
34
18-21
86%
27-60
45%
7-26
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.