FinalWin Prob.pScore
2221%91
105
179%102
101
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
110.59593.1
SAS logo SAS
106.39597.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL105
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALFerrell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)105
96.7%
101
3.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALFerrell Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)104
95.8%
101
4.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)103
89.1%
101
10.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALCurry 3' Layup (24 PTS)103
97.6%
98
2.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)101
90.9%
98
9.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0SASMISS Leonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot101
88.2%
98
11.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
73.0%
98
27.0%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALMISS Matthews Free Throw 1 of 2100
70.8%
98
29.2%
Q4 - 1:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)100
70.1%
98
29.9%
Q4 - 1:06SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot100
65.2%
98
34.8%
Q4 - 1:23DALGinobili STEAL (1 STL)100
49.3%
98
50.7%
Q4 - 1:40SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)100
61.0%
98
39.0%
Q4 - 1:40SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)100
62.2%
97
37.8%
Q4 - 1:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
70.3%
96
29.7%
Q4 - 1:58DALLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)100
73.7%
96
26.3%
Q4 - 2:15SASAldridge Dunk (16 PTS) (Green 5 AST)100
79.3%
96
20.7%
Q4 - 2:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
83.1%
94
16.9%
Q4 - 2:24DALMISS Ferrell 3PT Jump Shot100
85.9%
94
14.1%
Q4 - 2:46SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)100
90.7%
94
9.3%
Q4 - 2:46SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)100
91.2%
93
8.8%
Q4 - 2:46SASSPURS Rebound100
92.4%
92
7.6%
Q4 - 2:46SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot100
95.3%
92
4.7%
Q4 - 3:06DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)100
90.8%
92
9.2%
Q4 - 3:29DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
94.8%
92
5.2%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Aldridge 5' Floating Jump Shot100
93.8%
92
6.2%
Q4 - 3:48DALBarnes 16' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)100
86.9%
92
13.1%
Q4 - 4:14SASLeonard 15' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)98
83.1%
92
16.9%
Q4 - 4:36DALPowell 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Ferrell 7 AST)98
87.7%
90
12.3%
Q4 - 4:56SASGreen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)96
83.6%
90
16.4%
Q4 - 5:08SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
86.6%
87
13.4%
Q4 - 5:09DALMISS Barnes 18' Pullup Jump Shot96
87.8%
87
12.2%
Q4 - 5:27SASAldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)96
90.4%
87
9.6%
Q4 - 5:40DALBarnes 17' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)96
86.9%
87
13.1%
Q4 - 6:00DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
83.0%
87
17.0%
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
76.2%
87
23.8%
Q4 - 6:27DALCurry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)94
71.9%
87
28.1%
Q4 - 6:36DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)91
59.4%
87
40.6%
Q4 - 6:37DALMISS Curry 10' Floating Jump Shot91
53.4%
87
46.6%
Q4 - 6:56SASAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)91
59.5%
87
40.5%
Q4 - 7:14DALBarnes 12' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)91
47.6%
87
52.4%
Q4 - 7:28DALPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
41.6%
87
58.4%
Q4 - 7:29SASMISS Aldridge 13' Pullup Jump Shot89
39.3%
87
60.7%
Q4 - 7:53DALPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)89
34.4%
87
65.6%
Q4 - 7:53DALPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)88
33.1%
87
66.9%
Q4 - 8:07SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
28.2%
87
71.8%
Q4 - 8:07SASLee Putback Layup (14 PTS)87
28.2%
87
71.8%
Q4 - 8:08SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup87
37.8%
85
62.2%
Q4 - 8:21DALFinney-Smith Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)87
33.8%
85
66.2%
Q4 - 8:47SASLeonard 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)85
28.2%
85
71.8%
Q4 - 8:49SASSPURS Rebound85
33.8%
83
66.2%
Q4 - 8:50SASMISS Lee 9' Turnaround Jump Shot85
37.9%
83
62.1%
Q4 - 9:09DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ferrell 6 AST)85
32.3%
83
67.7%
Q4 - 9:32DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
22.9%
83
77.1%
Q4 - 9:33SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot82
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 9:48SASSPURS Rebound82
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 9:48SASMISS Mills 20' Pullup Jump Shot82
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 9:51SASMills REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
18.8%
83
81.2%
Q4 - 9:54SASMISS Dedmon 3' Reverse Layup82
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q4 - 10:03SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
18.8%
83
81.2%
Q4 - 10:05DALMISS Finney-Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
19.9%
83
80.1%
Q4 - 10:16DALMavericks Rebound82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q4 - 10:16SASMISS Leonard 12' Jump Shot82
21.5%
83
78.5%
Q4 - 10:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
18.8%
83
81.2%
Q4 - 10:19SASMISS Leonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot82
21.5%
83
78.5%
Q4 - 10:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 10:28DALMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
19.9%
83
80.1%
Q4 - 10:56SASMills 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q4 - 11:11DALFinney-Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)82
27.0%
81
73.0%
Q4 - 11:13DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
19.4%
81
80.6%
Q4 - 11:15SASMISS Lee 4' Jump Shot79
18.3%
81
81.7%
Q4 - 11:25DALNowitzki 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
16.1%
81
83.9%
Q4 - 11:46DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
13.4%
81
86.6%
Q4 - 11:47SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 277
13.1%
81
86.9%
Q4 - 11:47SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 277
11.4%
81
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS77
11.0%
81
89.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
11.0%
81
89.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DALMISS Finney-Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
13.6%
81
86.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)77
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T9)77
22.7%
78
77.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
19.3%
78
80.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALMISS Curry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
20.3%
78
79.7%
Q3 - 1:09SASMills 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)77
22.3%
78
77.7%
Q3 - 1:25DALCurry 11' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
25.8%
76
74.2%
Q3 - 1:38SASLee 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)75
22.4%
76
77.6%
Q3 - 1:53DALCurry 12' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
25.9%
74
74.1%
Q3 - 2:07SASLee 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)73
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q3 - 2:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
24.8%
72
75.2%
Q3 - 2:22SASMISS Mills 19' Pullup Jump Shot73
27.5%
72
72.5%
Q3 - 2:30SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 2:31DALMISS Curry 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot73
26.0%
72
74.0%
Q3 - 2:55DALMavericks Rebound73
28.8%
72
71.2%
Q3 - 2:55SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
27.6%
72
72.4%
Q3 - 3:02SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
24.7%
72
75.3%
Q3 - 3:03DALMISS Barnes 4' Hook Shot73
25.8%
72
74.2%
Q3 - 3:17DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
28.4%
72
71.6%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Anderson 6' Hook Shot73
27.3%
72
72.7%
Q3 - 3:32SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
24.7%
72
75.3%
Q3 - 3:34DALMISS Curry 17' Pullup Jump Shot73
25.8%
72
74.2%
Q3 - 3:41SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P4.T8)73
28.4%
72
71.6%
Q3 - 3:46SASSPURS Rebound73
24.7%
72
75.3%
Q3 - 3:48SASMISS Aldridge 11' Turnaround Jump Shot73
27.2%
72
72.8%
Q3 - 4:09DALHarris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q3 - 4:22DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
21.5%
72
78.5%
Q3 - 4:23SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot71
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q3 - 4:44DALBarnes 7' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)71
18.3%
72
81.7%
Q3 - 4:56SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
16.2%
72
83.8%
Q3 - 4:56SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
16.5%
71
83.5%
Q3 - 5:01SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
18.4%
70
81.7%
Q3 - 5:02DALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
19.2%
70
80.8%
Q3 - 5:15DALMavericks Rebound69
21.3%
70
78.7%
Q3 - 5:16SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
20.3%
70
79.7%
Q3 - 5:27DALFerrell 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)69
18.3%
70
81.7%
Q3 - 5:33SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)67
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 5:37SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
13.9%
70
86.1%
Q3 - 5:38DALMISS Barnes 15' Pullup Jump Shot67
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 6:04SASAldridge 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 4 AST)67
15.9%
70
84.1%
Q3 - 6:18DALBarnes 12' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
18.0%
68
82.0%
Q3 - 6:35SASLeonard Running Dunk (16 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)65
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 6:39DALLeonard STEAL (1 STL)65
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 6:58DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
20.8%
66
79.2%
Q3 - 6:59SASMISS Leonard 16' Pullup Jump Shot65
19.9%
66
80.1%
Q3 - 7:12DALMatthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ferrell 5 AST)65
17.8%
66
82.2%
Q3 - 7:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 7:31DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 7:36SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)62
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 7:41SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 7:43DALMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 7:49DALMavericks Rebound62
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 7:49SASMISS Aldridge 4' Jump Shot62
13.3%
66
86.7%
Q3 - 8:07DALCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST)62
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 8:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 8:28SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot59
9.0%
66
91.0%
Q3 - 8:42DALCurry 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)59
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 8:52DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 8:54SASMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot57
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q3 - 9:00SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 9:01DALMISS Barnes 2' Layup57
6.5%
66
93.5%
Q3 - 9:21SASLeonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Aldridge 4 AST)57
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 9:39DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 9:56SASParker 15' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 10:10DALMatthews 3' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)55
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 10:30SASGreen 21' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)53
8.2%
61
91.8%
Q3 - 10:47DALMatthews 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)53
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 10:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
8.2%
59
91.8%
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Bertans 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.8%
59
92.2%
Q3 - 11:11DALMatthews 14' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q3 - 11:19DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 11:20SASMISS Bertans 5' Hook Shot49
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 11:31SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 11:32DALMISS Barnes 13' Pullup Jump Shot49
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL49
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound49
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q2 - 0:09.0DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASMISS Mills 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALMISS Ferrell 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q2 - 0:41.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Layup49
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q2 - 0:45.0DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Jump Shot49
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q2 - 1:03SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q2 - 1:11DALFerrell 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)49
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q2 - 1:27SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)47
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 1:43DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST)47
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 2:02DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q2 - 2:03SASMISS Aldridge 11' Turnaround Jump Shot44
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q2 - 2:11DALCurry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)44
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 2:12DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 2:13SASMISS Ginobili 6' Floating Jump Shot44
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q2 - 2:23SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 2:24DALMISS Matthews 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q2 - 2:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
5.4%
56
94.6%
Q2 - 2:33SASMISS Mills 18' Step Back Jump Shot44
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q2 - 2:50DALMatthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ferrell 4 AST)44
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 3:02SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 3:02SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 241
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 3:06SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 3:07DALMISS Curry 3PT Jump Shot41
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 3:30SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)41
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 3:45DALBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 3:45DALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
5.5%
52
94.5%
Q2 - 3:49DALCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 3:51DALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q2 - 4:06SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)39
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 4:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:20DALMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 4:26SASAldridge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)39
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 4:43DALCurry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)39
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 4:53DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
6.4%
50
93.6%
Q2 - 4:55SASMISS Aldridge 7' Turnaround Hook Shot39
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 5:07DALMatthews Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 5:07DALMatthews Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
5.7%
50
94.3%
Q2 - 5:28SASParker 5' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
5.3%
50
94.7%
Q2 - 5:49DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 5:49DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 6:02SASParker 6' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 3 AST)35
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 6:07SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 6:08DALMISS Barnes 12' Pullup Jump Shot35
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 6:24DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 135
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 6:32SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 6:33DALMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot35
7.5%
44
92.5%
Q2 - 6:47SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)35
8.2%
44
91.8%
Q2 - 7:13DALBarnes 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)35
10.0%
41
90.0%
Q2 - 7:25DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 7:26SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 233
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 7:26SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 7:26SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 7:26SASMISS Aldridge 2' Layup33
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 7:50DALAnderson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)33
9.1%
40
90.9%
Q2 - 8:00DALBrussino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
8.3%
40
91.7%
Q2 - 8:02SASMISS Parker 19' Pullup Bank Shot31
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 8:12SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
7.6%
40
92.4%
Q2 - 8:13DALMISS Ferrell 12' Pullup Jump Shot31
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 8:25SASParker 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)31
8.4%
40
91.6%
Q2 - 8:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 8:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 8:58SASBertans 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)29
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 9:22DALNowitzki 19' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ferrell 3 AST)29
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 9:36SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 9:44SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 9:45DALMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 10:00SASBertans Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)27
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 10:09SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
11.2%
32
88.8%
Q2 - 10:10DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot27
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q2 - 10:31DALMavericks Rebound27
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q2 - 10:31SASMISS Ginobili 5' Jump Shot27
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 10:41SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q2 - 10:42DALMISS Ferrell 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot27
11.5%
32
88.5%
Q2 - 11:04SASLee 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)27
12.1%
32
87.9%
Q2 - 11:13SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.1%
30
86.9%
Q2 - 11:15DALMISS Brussino 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
13.5%
30
86.5%
Q2 - 11:30SASLee 3' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)27
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 11:40SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 11:42DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Turnaround Jump Shot27
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL27
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound27
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 43' 3PT Jump Bank Shot27
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)27
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0DALMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
20.7%
25
79.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 227
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0DALMISS Finney-Smith 18' Pullup Jump Shot27
21.5%
24
78.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0DALAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 227
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
20.9%
24
79.1%
Q1 - 1:12DALAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ferrell 2 AST)27
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 1:30SASLee 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
19.2%
23
80.8%
Q1 - 1:44DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)24
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 2:00SASDedmon 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)21
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 2:06SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 2:07DALMISS Harris 2' Layup21
19.8%
19
80.2%
Q1 - 2:13SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 2:19SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 2:20DALMISS Barnes 20' Jump Shot21
19.8%
19
80.2%
Q1 - 2:46SASMills 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 2:59DALBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)21
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 3:16SASLee 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
19.1%
17
80.9%
Q1 - 3:28SASSPURS Rebound18
20.3%
15
79.7%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Ginobili 9' Jump Shot18
21.5%
15
78.5%
Q1 - 3:47DALMatthews 5' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)18
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 4:09SASLeonard 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)16
18.8%
15
81.2%
Q1 - 4:18SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
19.9%
13
80.1%
Q1 - 4:20DALMISS Harris 17' Pullup Jump Shot16
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 4:36DALBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.6%
13
78.4%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 216
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 4:37SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 4:46SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 4:48DALMISS Barnes 7' Floating Jump Shot16
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 5:06SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)16
22.2%
12
77.8%
Q1 - 5:25DALCurry 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ferrell 1 AST)16
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 5:29DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 5:30DALBertans BLOCK (2 BLK)13
17.3%
12
82.7%
Q1 - 5:44DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 5:46SASMISS Parker 16' Pullup Jump Shot13
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 6:01DALFerrell 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)13
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 6:17SASGreen 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)10
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 6:34SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 6:35DALMISS Curry 10' Jump Bank Shot10
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 6:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 6:43SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot10
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 6:59DALCurry 19' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:13SASParker 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)8
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 7:31DALBarnes 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)8
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 7:42SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 7:52DALNowitzki Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T1)6
13.4%
8
86.6%
Q1 - 7:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 7:56SASMISS Bertans 3PT Jump Shot6
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 8:04SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 8:05DALMISS Matthews 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
13.6%
8
86.4%
Q1 - 8:29SASParker 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)6
14.3%
8
85.7%
Q1 - 8:35SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.1%
6
84.9%
Q1 - 8:37DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot6
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 8:50DALCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
16.2%
6
83.8%
Q1 - 8:52SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot6
15.9%
6
84.1%
Q1 - 9:04DALCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)6
14.9%
6
85.1%
Q1 - 9:07DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:21DALCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
12.5%
6
87.5%
Q1 - 9:22SASMISS Parker 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
12.1%
6
87.9%
Q1 - 9:42DALCurry 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.5%
6
88.5%
Q1 - 9:57DALCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 9:59SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot0
10.6%
6
89.4%
Q1 - 10:10SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.1%
6
89.9%
Q1 - 10:11DALMISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 10:16DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 10:19DALBertans BLOCK (1 BLK)0
10.3%
6
89.7%
Q1 - 10:35SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
10.9%
6
89.1%
Q1 - 10:35SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
11.0%
5
89.0%
Q1 - 10:46SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.5%
4
88.5%
Q1 - 10:47DALGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
11.8%
4
88.2%
Q1 - 11:13SASParker 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 11:26SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:27DALMISS Ferrell 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 11:41SASAldridge 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Aldridge vs. Nowitzki: Tip to Parker0
14.9%
0
85.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.6%
SAS
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
11
20
55%
SAS
14
23
61%
Midrange
DAL
16
33
48%
SAS
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
34
35%
53%
SAS
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
DAL
15
16
94%
SAS
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry2460%12.0 / 20
H. Barnes1945%9.5 / 21
W. Matthews1771%8.5 / 12
D. Nowitzki1563%7.5 / 12
Y. Ferrell945%4.5 / 10
D. Harris750%3.5 / 7
D. Finney-Smith550%2.5 / 5
J. Anderson563%2.5 / 4
D. Powell4100%2.0 / 2
N. Brussino0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2457%12.0 / 21
L. Aldridge1644%8.0 / 18
T. Parker1667%8.0 / 12
D. Lee1478%7.0 / 9
M. Ginobili1056%5.0 / 9
D. Green758%3.5 / 6
D. Bertans660%3.0 / 5
P. Mills630%3.0 / 10
D. Dedmon250%1.0 / 2
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
89
+8
-6
97
SAS
84
+10
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.07 53.6%
SAS
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.2
111.3
DAL 110.5 +4.2
SAS 106.3
Pace
92.6
94.1
DAL 93.1
SAS 97.0 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
DAL 15.5
SAS 14.9 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
52.4%
DAL 51.7%
SAS 51.8% +0.1%
TO %
12.1%
13.6%
DAL 6.9% +3.7%
SAS 10.6%
ORB %
18.1%
24.0%
DAL 13.0% +0.5%
SAS 12.5%
FTrt
22.5
26.3
DAL 18.4
SAS 27.7 +9.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
60.6%
DAL 51.3%
SAS 66.7% +15.4%
STL %
8.1%
8.5%
DAL 6.3% +4.2%
SAS 2.1%
BLK %
7.0%
9.9%
DAL 8.2% +0.7%
SAS 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
54.8%
DAL 53.6%
SAS 53.7% +0.1%
Rim FG%
59.8%
60.5%
DAL 55.0%
SAS 60.9% +5.9%
Mid FG%
41.6%
42.0%
DAL 48.5% +3.8%
SAS 44.7%
3P %
35.5%
39.1%
DAL 35.3%
SAS 36.4% +1.1%
FT %
80.1%
79.7%
DAL 93.8% +28.6%
SAS 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25.2%
31.1%
DAL 23.0%
SAS 27.7% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
40.8%
DAL 37.9% +7.9%
SAS 45.8%
3P Att. %
36.6%
28.1%
DAL 39.1% +12.6%
SAS 26.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.96 and 2.96.
Game TotalsDALSAS
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points105101
Rebounds4145
Assists2026
Steals62
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)6 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (5)40 (0)
Field Goals39-8739-83
At-the-Rim FG11-2014-23
Midrange FG16-3317-38
2-Point FG27-5331-61
3-Point FG12-348-22
Free Throws15-1615-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
36.9
24
60%
10
5
1
0
2
2
1
9
0-0
-
6-11
55%
4-9
44%
G · 6'0" 180 · 24
35.6
9
45%
2
7
2
0
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
35.4
19
45%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-16
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
30.9
17
71%
7
3
2
0
1
2
0
7
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
C · 7'0" 245 · 39
28.2
15
63%
10
0
0
4
2
1
2
8
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 185 · 34
18.9
7
50%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 220 · 24
17.2
5
50%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26
10.0
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 260 · 32
8.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 235 · 31
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
6.5
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
· 6'8" 195 · 24
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#5 · G · 6'0" 185 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'3" 200 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
54%
41
20
6
5
6
0
6
35
15-16
94%
27-53
51%
12-34
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.