FinalWin Prob.pScore
1954%102
103
2546%101
116
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
113.29199.7
MIA logo MIA
127.59183.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA103
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)103
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETMISS Marc Morris 3PT Jump Shot103
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:13)103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0DETJackson 9' Hook Shot (24 PTS)103
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:12)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42DETMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIADragic 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (23 PTS)101
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13DETDragic STEAL (1 STL)101
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 2:18DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot101
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 2:37MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38DETWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)101
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 2:55MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)101
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 3:22DETHarris 5' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Marc Morris 2 AST)101
1.2%
111
98.8%
Q4 - 3:43MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)99
1.7%
111
98.3%
Q4 - 3:49MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
3.3%
108
96.7%
Q4 - 3:50DETMISS Jackson 3' Driving Layup99
3.7%
108
96.3%
Q4 - 3:56DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)99
4.7%
108
95.3%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
4.2%
108
95.8%
Q4 - 4:17MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
3.1%
108
96.9%
Q4 - 4:18DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot99
3.5%
108
96.5%
Q4 - 4:38MIAEllington 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)99
4.5%
108
95.5%
Q4 - 4:55MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)99
8.8%
105
91.2%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Dragic 22' Jump Shot99
11.4%
105
88.6%
Q4 - 5:09DETJackson 9' Jump Shot (22 PTS)99
11.8%
105
88.2%
Q4 - 5:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:11)97
8.9%
105
91.1%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
8.0%
105
92.0%
Q4 - 5:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)97
6.3%
105
93.7%
Q4 - 5:44DETMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot97
7.0%
105
93.0%
Q4 - 5:53DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:10)97
8.7%
105
91.3%
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Shot97
7.9%
105
92.1%
Q4 - 6:13MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
8.3%
105
91.7%
Q4 - 6:14DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 297
8.6%
105
91.4%
Q4 - 6:14DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 297
9.5%
105
90.5%
Q4 - 6:27MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (9 PTS)97
11.3%
105
88.7%
Q4 - 6:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)97
14.1%
103
85.9%
Q4 - 6:29MIAMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot97
17.3%
103
82.7%
Q4 - 6:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
14.0%
103
86.0%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Marc Morris 14' Turnaround Jump Shot97
15.4%
103
84.6%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)97
18.8%
103
81.2%
Q4 - 6:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
23.0%
101
77.0%
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
27.6%
101
72.4%
Q4 - 7:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
25.9%
101
74.1%
Q4 - 7:12DETMISS Drummond 1' Tip Layup Shot97
27.7%
101
72.3%
Q4 - 7:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:8 Def:9)97
32.2%
101
67.8%
Q4 - 7:14DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup97
27.7%
101
72.3%
Q4 - 7:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)97
32.1%
101
67.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 297
31.2%
101
68.8%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)97
28.2%
101
71.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
31.5%
100
68.5%
Q4 - 7:35DETMISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot97
33.5%
100
66.5%
Q4 - 7:47MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)97
38.4%
100
61.6%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 397
39.7%
99
60.3%
Q4 - 7:47MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)97
34.7%
99
65.3%
Q4 - 8:05DETLeuer 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)97
45.5%
98
54.5%
Q4 - 8:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)95
39.1%
98
60.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Ellington 21' Jump Shot95
37.3%
98
62.7%
Q4 - 8:29DETSmith Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T11)95
33.2%
98
66.8%
Q4 - 8:37DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
39.1%
98
60.9%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Reed 2' Layup95
37.2%
98
62.8%
Q4 - 8:52DETSmith 12' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)95
33.2%
98
66.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAJohnson 12' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
29.5%
98
70.5%
Q4 - 9:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
34.4%
96
65.6%
Q4 - 9:20DETMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot93
36.2%
96
63.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)93
40.4%
96
59.6%
Q4 - 9:50MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
34.4%
96
65.6%
Q4 - 9:51DETMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot93
36.2%
96
63.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIADragic 11' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
41.2%
96
58.8%
Q4 - 10:35DETHarris 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)93
46.4%
94
53.6%
Q4 - 10:54MIADragic 8' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
41.2%
94
58.8%
Q4 - 11:08MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
46.5%
92
53.5%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Dragic 10' Jump Shot91
50.5%
92
49.5%
Q4 - 11:18DETEllington STEAL (1 STL)91
46.5%
92
53.5%
Q4 - 11:31MIAWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
52.2%
92
47.8%
Q4 - 11:31MIAWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)91
53.4%
91
46.6%
Q4 - 11:48MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
57.4%
90
42.6%
Q4 - 11:49DETMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot91
59.1%
90
40.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
62.9%
90
37.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
57.4%
90
42.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS McGruder 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot91
61.1%
90
38.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
57.7%
90
42.3%
Q3 - 0:06.0DETReed BLOCK (3 BLK)91
59.2%
90
40.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIADragic 3' Driving Bank Shot (15 PTS)91
62.5%
90
37.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
67.3%
88
32.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup91
70.4%
88
29.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DETHarris 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)91
67.3%
88
32.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)89
62.4%
88
37.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
70.9%
85
29.1%
Q3 - 1:33DETMISS Smith 2' Running Layup89
72.2%
85
27.8%
Q3 - 1:39MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)89
74.9%
85
25.1%
Q3 - 2:03DETSmith 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)89
69.8%
85
30.2%
Q3 - 2:22DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
66.1%
85
33.9%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup87
64.7%
85
35.3%
Q3 - 2:42DETBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)87
61.5%
85
38.5%
Q3 - 2:42DETBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)86
60.9%
85
39.1%
Q3 - 2:44DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
57.4%
85
42.6%
Q3 - 2:45DETReed BLOCK (2 BLK)85
53.9%
85
46.1%
Q3 - 2:47DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
57.4%
85
42.6%
Q3 - 2:48DETReed BLOCK (1 BLK)85
54.0%
85
46.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
57.5%
85
42.5%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
58.7%
84
41.3%
Q3 - 3:29DETJackson 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (20 PTS)85
61.5%
83
38.5%
Q3 - 3:38DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
57.4%
83
42.6%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot83
56.0%
83
44.0%
Q3 - 3:52DETHarris 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)83
52.7%
83
47.3%
Q3 - 4:12MIAReed Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)81
49.0%
83
51.0%
Q3 - 4:25DETDrummond Foul Turnover (P1.T9)81
52.6%
81
47.4%
Q3 - 4:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)81
57.6%
81
42.4%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Waiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
56.1%
81
43.9%
Q3 - 4:49DETMcGruder STEAL (1 STL)81
52.6%
81
47.4%
Q3 - 5:09MIAJohnson 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)81
57.4%
81
42.6%
Q3 - 5:24DETMarc Morris 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)81
60.9%
79
39.1%
Q3 - 5:41DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
57.4%
79
42.6%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
56.0%
79
44.0%
Q3 - 6:08DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)79
53.0%
79
47.0%
Q3 - 6:26MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Waiters 7 AST)76
45.4%
79
54.6%
Q3 - 6:49DETMarc Morris 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)76
53.0%
76
47.0%
Q3 - 6:56DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
49.3%
76
50.7%
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS Waiters 20' Jump Shot74
48.0%
76
52.0%
Q3 - 7:15DETDrummond 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)74
45.0%
76
55.0%
Q3 - 7:34MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)72
41.8%
76
58.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
48.9%
73
51.1%
Q3 - 7:45DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot72
50.2%
73
49.8%
Q3 - 8:00MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)72
53.3%
73
46.7%
Q3 - 8:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
60.3%
70
39.7%
Q3 - 8:14DETMISS Marc Morris Free Throw 1 of 172
60.9%
70
39.1%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T9)70
57.3%
70
42.7%
Q3 - 8:47DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
52.9%
70
47.1%
Q3 - 8:47DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
52.5%
70
47.5%
Q3 - 8:55DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)68
49.8%
70
50.2%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot68
48.5%
70
51.5%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
45.4%
70
54.6%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 268
49.2%
70
50.8%
Q3 - 8:59MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
46.8%
70
53.2%
Q3 - 9:10DETMarc Morris Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)68
49.5%
69
50.5%
Q3 - 9:31MIAWaiters 19' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)68
53.3%
69
46.7%
Q3 - 10:01DETMarc Morris 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
56.8%
67
43.2%
Q3 - 10:19MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)66
53.7%
67
46.3%
Q3 - 10:35DETJackson 8' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)66
60.3%
64
39.7%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWaiters Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T8)64
57.1%
64
42.9%
Q3 - 10:56DETCaldwell-Pope 11' Pullup Bank Shot (5 PTS)64
53.3%
64
46.7%
Q3 - 11:08MIABabbitt Foul Turnover (P1.T7)62
50.6%
64
49.4%
Q3 - 11:21DETDrummond 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Leuer 1 AST)62
47.0%
64
53.0%
Q3 - 11:34DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)60
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS McGruder 12' Jump Shot60
42.6%
64
57.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET60
40.2%
64
59.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound60
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Drummond 67' 3PT Jump Shot60
41.2%
64
58.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)60
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Waiters 24' Jump Shot60
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETReed STEAL (1 STL)60
41.5%
64
58.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
43.7%
64
56.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
44.7%
63
55.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETJackson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)60
48.0%
62
52.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
50.3%
62
49.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
49.6%
62
50.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
48.0%
62
52.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
48.7%
62
51.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (14 PTS)60
50.2%
62
49.8%
Q2 - 1:11DETJohnson STEAL (2 STL)60
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)60
56.6%
60
43.4%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
57.5%
59
42.5%
Q2 - 1:33DETMarc Morris 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
61.2%
58
38.8%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)58
56.6%
58
43.4%
Q2 - 1:57DETMarc Morris Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)58
55.0%
58
45.0%
Q2 - 2:08MIAEllington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)58
57.2%
58
42.8%
Q2 - 2:27DETJackson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)58
54.3%
58
45.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIAEllington 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)56
50.9%
58
49.1%
Q2 - 3:04DETCaldwell-Pope Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)56
54.2%
56
45.8%
Q2 - 3:14DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
57.6%
56
42.4%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Layup56
56.6%
56
43.4%
Q2 - 3:33DETJackson 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
54.2%
56
45.8%
Q2 - 3:52MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T4)54
51.7%
56
48.3%
Q2 - 4:01DETMarc Morris 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)54
48.9%
56
51.1%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)52
46.0%
56
54.0%
Q2 - 4:43DETDrummond 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)52
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q2 - 4:44DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)50
46.0%
54
54.0%
Q2 - 4:45DETMISS Harris 1' Layup50
44.0%
54
56.0%
Q2 - 5:05MIADragic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)50
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q2 - 5:28DETDrummond 3' Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
49.1%
52
50.9%
Q2 - 5:32DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)48
46.5%
52
53.5%
Q2 - 5:33DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup48
44.4%
52
55.6%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWhiteside 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)48
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q2 - 6:11DETJohnson STEAL (1 STL)48
49.2%
50
50.8%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWhite 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)48
52.6%
50
47.4%
Q2 - 6:56DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
57.3%
47
42.7%
Q2 - 6:56DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q2 - 7:10DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
55.2%
47
44.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup46
54.4%
47
45.6%
Q2 - 7:36DETSmith 1' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)46
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 7:37DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q2 - 7:38DETMISS Bullock 2' Layup44
48.0%
47
52.0%
Q2 - 7:42MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q2 - 7:54DETBullock 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)44
47.1%
47
52.9%
Q2 - 7:58DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
43.9%
47
56.1%
Q2 - 8:16DETHarris 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
42.1%
47
57.9%
Q2 - 8:22DETHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Jump Shot40
39.0%
47
61.0%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
37.1%
47
62.9%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Dragic 3' Driving Layup40
39.0%
47
61.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
37.1%
47
62.9%
Q2 - 8:37DETMISS Bullock 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
37.9%
47
62.1%
Q2 - 8:54MIAJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q2 - 9:08DETJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)40
42.4%
45
57.6%
Q2 - 9:11DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q2 - 9:12DETMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot37
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 9:36MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)37
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q2 - 9:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
39.9%
43
60.1%
Q2 - 9:55DETMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 137
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 10:08MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)35
38.0%
43
62.0%
Q2 - 10:25DETJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
42.4%
40
57.6%
Q2 - 10:34DETBullock REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Dragic 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot33
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIAHEAT Rebound33
37.7%
40
62.3%
Q2 - 10:54DETMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot33
38.5%
40
61.5%
Q2 - 11:09MIAJohnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
40.5%
40
59.5%
Q2 - 11:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
42.8%
38
57.2%
Q2 - 11:17DETMISS Bullock 21' Jump Shot33
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 11:38MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
45.2%
38
54.8%
Q2 - 11:42MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
50.0%
35
50.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Bank Shot33
51.7%
35
48.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET33
50.0%
35
50.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound33
52.5%
35
47.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 20' Jump Shot33
50.7%
35
49.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETPistons Rebound33
52.0%
35
48.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)33
50.8%
35
49.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)33
52.0%
35
48.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETHarris 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)33
57.3%
32
42.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
54.4%
32
45.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 231
55.0%
31
45.0%
Q1 - 1:01DETDrummond 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)31
55.1%
31
44.9%
Q1 - 1:02DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)29
52.2%
31
47.8%
Q1 - 1:03DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWaiters 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)29
52.2%
31
47.8%
Q1 - 1:34DETHarris 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
55.1%
29
44.9%
Q1 - 1:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)27
52.1%
29
47.9%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 227
51.9%
29
48.1%
Q1 - 1:49MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
50.4%
29
49.6%
Q1 - 1:57MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
52.7%
28
47.3%
Q1 - 1:58DETMISS Smith 17' Step Back Jump Shot27
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q1 - 2:23MIAWhite 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)27
54.9%
28
45.1%
Q1 - 2:32MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
57.5%
26
42.5%
Q1 - 2:33DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 12' Floating Jump Shot27
58.1%
26
41.9%
Q1 - 2:54MIAEllington 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
59.5%
26
40.5%
Q1 - 3:14DETSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
61.5%
24
38.5%
Q1 - 3:32MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
59.6%
24
40.4%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
63.6%
21
36.4%
Q1 - 3:43DETMISS Marc Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
64.3%
21
35.7%
Q1 - 3:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)25
65.9%
21
34.1%
Q1 - 3:53MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot25
65.2%
21
34.8%
Q1 - 4:08DETLeuer Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)25
63.4%
21
36.6%
Q1 - 4:09DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 4:10DETMISS Drummond 8' Jump Shot23
60.0%
21
40.0%
Q1 - 4:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)23
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 4:12DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot23
60.0%
21
40.0%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMcGruder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup23
61.0%
21
39.0%
Q1 - 4:37DETJackson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)23
59.2%
21
40.8%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWaiters 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)21
57.5%
21
42.5%
Q1 - 5:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q1 - 5:09DETMISS Leuer Free Throw 1 of 121
59.5%
19
40.5%
Q1 - 5:22MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)19
57.3%
19
42.7%
Q1 - 5:33MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
61.2%
16
38.8%
Q1 - 5:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
61.9%
16
38.1%
Q1 - 5:48MIAWaiters 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
63.4%
16
36.6%
Q1 - 6:08DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
64.6%
14
35.4%
Q1 - 6:12MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
61.1%
14
38.9%
Q1 - 6:29MIADragic Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)16
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 6:31DETDrummond 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)16
60.9%
13
39.1%
Q1 - 6:36DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
59.2%
13
40.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot14
58.5%
13
41.5%
Q1 - 6:50DETDrummond 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
57.1%
13
42.9%
Q1 - 6:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)12
55.2%
13
44.8%
Q1 - 6:53DETMISS Leuer 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
53.8%
13
46.2%
Q1 - 7:07MIADragic 12' Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
55.4%
13
44.6%
Q1 - 7:23DETJackson 15' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
57.0%
11
43.0%
Q1 - 7:32DETPistons Rebound10
55.4%
11
44.6%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 7:48MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
53.2%
11
46.8%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot10
54.7%
11
45.3%
Q1 - 8:10MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.7%
11
46.3%
Q1 - 8:11DETWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)10
54.3%
11
45.7%
Q1 - 8:13DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 8:15DETMISS Marc Morris 5' Turnaround Jump Shot10
54.3%
11
45.7%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)10
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 8:41MIADragic Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
59.2%
8
40.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
61.0%
7
39.0%
Q1 - 8:53DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup10
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 8:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
63.0%
7
37.0%
Q1 - 8:56DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot10
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMcGruder 5' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
63.0%
7
37.0%
Q1 - 9:31DETMarc Morris 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
64.3%
5
35.7%
Q1 - 9:49MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
63.0%
5
37.0%
Q1 - 10:08DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 10:16DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot5
62.1%
2
37.9%
Q1 - 10:34DETLeuer 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 10:47DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup3
58.6%
2
41.4%
Q1 - 11:04MIAHEAT Rebound3
57.4%
2
42.6%
Q1 - 11:05DETMISS Drummond 10' Driving Hook Shot3
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 11:25MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 11:46DETJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
60.9%
0
39.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Drummond: Tip to Jackson0
57.2%
0
42.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
19
34
56%
MIA
11
23
48%
Midrange
DET
23
43
53%
MIA
17
29
59%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
MIA
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
7
12
58%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2467%12.0 / 18
A. Drummond1753%8.5 / 16
T. Harris1667%8.0 / 12
M. Morris1464%7.0 / 11
J. Leuer880%4.0 / 5
I. Smith844%4.0 / 9
S. Johnson788%3.5 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope523%2.5 / 11
A. Baynes233%1.0 / 3
R. Bullock225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2372%11.5 / 16
W. Ellington1995%9.5 / 10
J. Johnson1864%9.0 / 14
D. Waiters1740%8.5 / 21
R. McGruder1267%6.0 / 9
H. Whiteside945%4.5 / 10
L. Babbitt9150%4.5 / 3
O. White788%3.5 / 4
W. Reed250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
79
+16
-12
95
MIA
80
+11
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.27 63.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
108.1
DET 113.2
MIA 127.5 +14.3
Pace
95.0
95.0
DET 99.7 +16.0
MIA 83.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.7
DET 14.4 +2.8
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.2%
DET 53.9%
MIA 61.3% +7.4%
TO %
11.9%
13.2%
DET 11.3%
MIA 10.9% +0.4%
ORB %
24.1%
24.2%
DET 31.0% +7.3%
MIA 23.7%
FTrt
21.8
25.1
DET 13.5
MIA 28.8 +15.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
54.4%
DET 23.9%
MIA 42.9% +19.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
DET 6.6%
MIA 6.6%
BLK %
6.6%
9.3%
DET 5.8%
MIA 7.8% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.8%
DET 54.2%
MIA 63.7% +9.5%
Rim FG%
58.3%
59.2%
DET 55.9% +8.1%
MIA 47.8%
Mid FG%
42.6%
39.4%
DET 53.5%
MIA 58.6% +5.1%
3P %
33.0%
36.5%
DET 33.3%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
FT %
71.9%
70.6%
DET 58.3%
MIA 78.3% +20.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
35.4%
DET 38.2% +9.5%
MIA 28.7%
Mid Att. %
42.8%
33.1%
DET 48.3%
MIA 36.3% +12.1%
3P Att. %
26.3%
31.4%
DET 13.5%
MIA 35.0% +21.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points103116
Rebounds4238
Assists1118
Steals66
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals46-8942-80
At-the-Rim FG19-3411-23
Midrange FG23-4317-29
2-Point FG42-7728-52
3-Point FG4-1214-28
Free Throws7-1218-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 235 · 27
35.7
14
64%
2
2
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-1
0%
7-9
78%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 279 · 23
35.2
17
53%
21
1
3
2
1
3
8
13
1-3
33%
8-14
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 204 · 24
34.1
5
23%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
14%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 208 · 27
30.9
24
67%
7
3
0
0
4
1
0
7
2-2
100%
8-15
53%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 228 · 28
24.4
8
80%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-1
0%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 226 · 25
27.9
16
67%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 29
17.1
8
44%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 21
15.7
7
88%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 260 · 30
12.8
2
33%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 26
6.3
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'3" 290 · 28
G · 6'3" 205 · 35
#6 · G · 6'6" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'11" 245 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'7" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
42
11
6
3
12
0
13
29
7-12
58%
42-77
55%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.