FinalWin Prob.pScore
2538%99
100
1562%103
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.098102.4
CHI logo CHI
91.79692.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0CHIGrant Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T21)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Shot100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0CHIRondo Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T20)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 2100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)100
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)99
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 1:19CHIMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot99
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 1:27CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 1:28MIAMISS Waiters 21' Jump Shot99
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 1:50CHIButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)99
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 1:50CHIMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 299
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 1:50CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)99
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 1:53MIAGibson BLOCK (4 BLK)99
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 2:18CHIMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot99
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 2:26CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 2:47CHIWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)99
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 2:47CHIWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 2:57MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P5.T12)99
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 3:13CHIMcDermott Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)99
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:18MIAWade STEAL (2 STL)99
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 3:31CHIWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)99
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 3:43CHIBULLS Rebound99
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Reed 6' Hook Shot99
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 4:05CHIWade 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)99
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 4:10MIARondo STEAL (3 STL)99
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 4:24CHIRondo 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Gibson 2 AST)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:57MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 4:58CHIMISS Gibson 4' Jump Shot96
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 5:19CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 5:21MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 196
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 5:23CHIZipser Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)94
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 5:42MIADragic 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)94
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 6:05CHIRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)92
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q4 - 6:23MIAReed 2' Layup (20 PTS) (Dragic 11 AST)92
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 6:48CHIRondo 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McDermott 2 AST)90
95.8%
79
4.2%
Q4 - 6:53CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 6:56CHIMISS Rondo 11' Jump Shot90
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 7:17MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)90
96.6%
76
3.4%
Q4 - 7:38CHIRondo 6' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
94.4%
76
5.6%
Q4 - 7:57MIAReed Dunk (18 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)87
95.6%
74
4.4%
Q4 - 8:09MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
92.8%
74
7.2%
Q4 - 8:10CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
90.9%
74
9.1%
Q4 - 8:10CHIMISS Felicio 2' Tip Layup Shot85
92.3%
74
7.7%
Q4 - 8:12CHIMISS Butler 2' Driving Layup85
92.3%
74
7.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWhite 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)85
91.0%
74
9.0%
Q4 - 8:36CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)82
85.7%
74
14.3%
Q4 - 8:42MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)82
82.4%
74
17.6%
Q4 - 8:47MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
85.7%
74
14.3%
Q4 - 8:48CHIMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot82
84.8%
74
15.2%
Q4 - 9:06MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
80.1%
74
19.9%
Q4 - 9:06MIAReed Putback Dunk (16 PTS)82
80.1%
74
19.9%
Q4 - 9:07MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup80
72.9%
74
27.1%
Q4 - 9:18CHIWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
76.3%
74
23.7%
Q4 - 9:18CHIMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 280
77.2%
73
22.8%
Q4 - 9:32CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
76.1%
73
23.9%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
77.5%
73
22.5%
Q4 - 9:52CHIWade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)80
80.5%
73
19.5%
Q4 - 10:12MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 10 AST)80
82.0%
71
18.0%
Q4 - 10:33CHIZipser 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)77
74.6%
71
25.4%
Q4 - 10:38MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)77
78.4%
69
21.6%
Q4 - 10:53MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)77
82.4%
69
17.6%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
79.7%
69
20.3%
Q4 - 11:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
80.8%
69
19.2%
Q4 - 11:10CHIMISS Zipser 18' Jump Shot77
79.7%
69
20.3%
Q4 - 11:21MIAZipser STEAL (1 STL)77
77.0%
69
23.0%
Q4 - 11:48CHIRondo 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)77
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
83.9%
67
16.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound77
86.8%
67
13.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot77
84.8%
67
15.2%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
84.9%
67
15.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Ellington 18' Jump Shot77
83.1%
67
16.9%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
85.0%
67
15.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Wade 1' Layup77
84.2%
67
15.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0CHIZipser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
82.2%
67
17.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup77
83.1%
67
16.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHIWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)77
85.0%
67
15.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
82.3%
67
17.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup77
83.2%
67
16.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
85.1%
67
14.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot77
83.2%
67
16.8%
Q3 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
85.1%
67
14.9%
Q3 - 1:01CHIMISS Mirotic Free Throw 2 of 277
82.9%
67
17.1%
Q3 - 1:01CHIMirotic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
80.9%
67
19.1%
Q3 - 1:11CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
83.2%
66
16.8%
Q3 - 1:12MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot77
84.0%
66
16.0%
Q3 - 1:30CHIRondo 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)77
85.9%
66
14.1%
Q3 - 1:39CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
88.1%
64
11.9%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS Johnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot77
88.7%
64
11.3%
Q3 - 2:05CHIFelicio 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)77
88.4%
64
11.6%
Q3 - 2:17MIAEllington 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)77
90.1%
62
9.9%
Q3 - 2:36MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
88.5%
62
11.5%
Q3 - 2:37CHIMISS McDermott 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q3 - 2:43CHIBULLS Rebound75
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q3 - 2:43CHIMISS Zipser 2' Layup75
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q3 - 2:48CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
86.4%
62
13.6%
Q3 - 2:49MIAMISS Waiters 3' Reverse Layup75
87.1%
62
12.9%
Q3 - 2:54CHIRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)75
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 3:04MIAMcGruder 2' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)75
85.2%
62
14.8%
Q3 - 3:07MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q3 - 3:08CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot73
82.2%
62
17.8%
Q3 - 3:13MIAEllington 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)73
80.2%
62
19.8%
Q3 - 3:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
77.4%
62
22.6%
Q3 - 3:23CHIMISS Zipser 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
76.4%
62
23.6%
Q3 - 3:23MIAHeat Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#6)71
73.9%
62
26.1%
Q3 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
77.4%
62
22.6%
Q3 - 3:23CHIMISS Felicio Free Throw 2 of 271
77.0%
62
23.0%
Q3 - 3:23CHIMISS Felicio Free Throw 1 of 271
75.0%
62
25.0%
Q3 - 3:25CHIBULLS Rebound71
73.9%
62
26.1%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Waiters 17' Jump Shot71
75.0%
62
25.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
77.5%
62
22.5%
Q3 - 3:47CHIMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot71
76.4%
62
23.6%
Q3 - 4:27CHIBULLS Rebound71
72.5%
62
27.5%
Q3 - 4:29MIAGibson BLOCK (3 BLK)71
73.7%
62
26.3%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
76.3%
62
23.7%
Q3 - 4:39CHIMISS McDermott 6' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 4:54MIADragic 2' Running Layup (21 PTS)71
72.6%
62
27.4%
Q3 - 4:59CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)69
69.6%
62
30.4%
Q3 - 5:17CHIZipser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
64.1%
62
35.9%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup69
65.4%
62
34.6%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHeat Rebound69
68.3%
62
31.7%
Q3 - 5:32CHIMISS Gibson 6' Fadeaway Jumper69
67.0%
62
33.0%
Q3 - 5:46CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
64.2%
62
35.8%
Q3 - 5:47CHIMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
67.1%
62
32.9%
Q3 - 6:08MIADragic 2' Running Layup (19 PTS)69
62.9%
62
37.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q3 - 6:13CHIMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot67
58.1%
62
41.9%
Q3 - 6:24CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
55.2%
62
44.8%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot67
56.5%
62
43.5%
Q3 - 6:32CHIGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
59.4%
62
40.6%
Q3 - 6:32CHIMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 267
60.0%
61
40.0%
Q3 - 6:36CHIBULLS Rebound67
59.2%
61
40.8%
Q3 - 6:36CHIMISS Lopez 7' Hook Shot67
62.0%
61
38.0%
Q3 - 6:58MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
59.2%
61
40.8%
Q3 - 6:58MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 7:02MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
54.7%
61
45.3%
Q3 - 7:03CHIMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot65
53.4%
61
46.6%
Q3 - 7:18MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
50.3%
61
49.7%
Q3 - 7:31CHILopez 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)63
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q3 - 7:53MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
50.4%
59
49.6%
Q3 - 7:53MIAReed 2' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)63
50.4%
59
49.6%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Waiters 11' Floating Jump Shot61
44.0%
59
56.0%
Q3 - 8:08CHIGrant Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T12)61
46.8%
59
53.2%
Q3 - 8:19MIAWade STEAL (1 STL)61
42.5%
59
57.5%
Q3 - 8:31CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
46.9%
59
53.1%
Q3 - 8:31CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
47.8%
58
52.2%
Q3 - 8:41CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
49.9%
57
50.1%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
51.3%
57
48.7%
Q3 - 9:08CHIGibson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)61
52.9%
57
47.1%
Q3 - 9:29MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 9 AST)61
49.2%
57
50.8%
Q3 - 9:36MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
42.2%
57
57.8%
Q3 - 9:37CHIMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot58
41.1%
57
58.9%
Q3 - 9:58MIAReed 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)58
38.5%
57
61.5%
Q3 - 10:10CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
35.2%
57
64.8%
Q3 - 10:10CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
36.0%
56
64.0%
Q3 - 10:11CHILopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
38.1%
55
61.9%
Q3 - 10:13CHIMISS Butler 2' Layup56
40.7%
55
59.3%
Q3 - 10:28MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)56
38.2%
55
61.8%
Q3 - 10:51CHIGrant 17' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)53
32.0%
55
68.0%
Q3 - 11:05CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Waiters 2' Reverse Layup53
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q3 - 11:16MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
38.0%
53
62.0%
Q3 - 11:18CHIMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot53
37.0%
53
63.0%
Q3 - 11:35CHIBULLS Rebound53
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS McGruder 13' Jump Shot53
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI53
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound53
34.7%
53
65.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Waiters 50' 3PT Jump Shot53
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIADragic 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
41.5%
51
58.5%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0CHIMISS Zipser 4' Jump Shot51
36.7%
51
63.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAReed Dunk (10 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)51
35.2%
51
64.8%
Q2 - 1:01CHIGibson 2' Layup (10 PTS)49
31.3%
51
68.7%
Q2 - 1:20MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
35.6%
49
64.4%
Q2 - 1:43CHIGibson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)47
31.3%
49
68.7%
Q2 - 1:43CHIGibson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)47
32.1%
48
67.9%
Q2 - 1:46CHIButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q2 - 1:48CHIMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot47
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 1:57CHILopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
36.0%
47
64.0%
Q2 - 2:18CHIWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)47
37.6%
47
62.4%
Q2 - 2:31MIAWaiters 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)47
34.9%
47
65.1%
Q2 - 2:48CHIWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
29.3%
47
70.7%
Q2 - 3:11MIAReed 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)44
31.8%
45
68.2%
Q2 - 3:42CHIZipser 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gibson 1 AST)42
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 3:50CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 3:51MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 4:05CHIZipser 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)42
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 4:07CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 4:08MIAFelicio BLOCK (3 BLK)42
40.6%
40
59.4%
Q2 - 4:16CHIRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)42
42.5%
40
57.5%
Q2 - 4:27CHIZipser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Reed 2' Layup42
40.6%
40
59.4%
Q2 - 4:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
42.5%
40
57.5%
Q2 - 4:42CHIMISS Zipser 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
41.7%
40
58.3%
Q2 - 4:55MIAWaiters 2' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)42
39.7%
40
60.3%
Q2 - 5:01CHIGibson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)40
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 5:23MIAGibson STEAL (1 STL)40
34.3%
40
65.7%
Q2 - 5:42CHIFelicio 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (McDermott 1 AST)40
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 5:55CHIBULLS Rebound40
39.5%
38
60.5%
Q2 - 5:55MIAGibson BLOCK (2 BLK)40
40.4%
38
59.6%
Q2 - 6:11CHIGibson 2' Layup (6 PTS)40
42.4%
38
57.6%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)40
44.4%
36
55.6%
Q2 - 6:45CHIMcDermott Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 6:57CHIZipser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
48.2%
32
51.8%
Q2 - 7:16MIAHeat Rebound37
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 7:16CHIMISS Zipser 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
48.8%
32
51.2%
Q2 - 7:27CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
46.9%
32
53.1%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot37
47.7%
32
52.3%
Q2 - 7:44CHIZipser 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)37
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 8:04CHIFelicio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
51.5%
30
48.5%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Ellington 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 8:13MIAHeat Rebound37
54.3%
30
45.7%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot37
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 8:26MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 8:28CHIMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot37
53.5%
30
46.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)37
51.6%
30
48.4%
Q2 - 8:52CHIFelicio Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)37
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 8:56CHIBULLS Rebound37
51.6%
30
48.4%
Q2 - 8:56CHIMISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot37
53.5%
30
46.5%
Q2 - 9:11MIAEllington 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)37
51.0%
30
49.0%
Q2 - 9:30CHIFelicio Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)35
48.8%
30
51.2%
Q2 - 9:45CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
51.0%
28
49.0%
Q2 - 9:47MIAButler BLOCK (1 BLK)35
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q2 - 9:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
53.8%
28
46.2%
Q2 - 9:52CHIMISS Mirotic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q2 - 10:02CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
50.7%
28
49.3%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
51.6%
28
48.4%
Q2 - 10:30CHIWade 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
53.5%
28
46.5%
Q2 - 10:39MIADragic 11' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)35
55.6%
26
44.4%
Q2 - 10:57CHIButler 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)33
53.5%
26
46.5%
Q2 - 11:03CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 11:04MIAFelicio BLOCK (2 BLK)33
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q2 - 11:19MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
57.3%
24
42.7%
Q2 - 11:20CHIMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q2 - 11:23CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 11:24CHIMISS Mirotic 3PT Jump Shot33
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q2 - 11:38CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Ellington 19' Jump Shot33
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA33
57.4%
24
42.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHIRondo 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)33
56.3%
24
43.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAEllington 22' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)33
59.3%
22
40.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot31
55.8%
22
44.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIADragic 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)31
54.7%
22
45.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0CHIButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
51.7%
22
48.3%
Q1 - 1:03CHIButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 1:19MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
51.5%
22
48.5%
Q1 - 1:20CHIMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot29
51.0%
22
49.0%
Q1 - 1:38MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T2)29
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 1:47CHIWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
51.5%
22
48.5%
Q1 - 1:47CHIWade 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)29
51.5%
22
48.5%
Q1 - 1:49CHIMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot29
55.7%
20
44.3%
Q1 - 1:58CHIRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
54.5%
20
45.5%
Q1 - 2:01MIAFelicio BLOCK (1 BLK)29
54.8%
20
45.2%
Q1 - 2:08MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
56.3%
20
43.7%
Q1 - 2:11CHIMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup29
55.6%
20
44.4%
Q1 - 2:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)29
54.2%
20
45.8%
Q1 - 2:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
56.3%
20
43.7%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMirotic BLOCK (1 BLK)29
54.8%
20
45.2%
Q1 - 2:46CHILopez Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)29
56.3%
20
43.7%
Q1 - 2:55CHIMirotic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
61.0%
17
39.0%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Johnson 1' Layup29
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q1 - 3:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
62.1%
17
37.9%
Q1 - 3:08CHIMISS Butler Alley Oop Dunk29
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q1 - 3:20CHIBULLS Rebound29
59.8%
17
40.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup29
60.5%
17
39.5%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 3:29CHIMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot29
61.4%
17
38.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAWaiters 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)29
59.8%
17
40.2%
Q1 - 4:05CHILopez 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)27
57.3%
17
42.7%
Q1 - 4:20MIAReed 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)27
59.1%
15
40.9%
Q1 - 4:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
57.3%
15
42.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Ellington 21' Jump Shot25
55.5%
15
44.5%
Q1 - 4:48CHILopez Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)25
57.3%
15
42.7%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
53.3%
15
46.7%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 5:06CHIWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
51.4%
15
48.6%
Q1 - 5:25MIAJohnson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)23
49.2%
15
50.8%
Q1 - 5:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 5:33CHIMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot21
46.7%
15
53.3%
Q1 - 5:46CHIWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot21
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 6:02MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 6:04CHIMISS Grant 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 6:26MIAJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)21
44.3%
15
55.7%
Q1 - 6:36CHIMcDermott Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)19
42.5%
15
57.5%
Q1 - 6:53MIAReed Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 6:53MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 7:08CHIMcDermott Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)17
38.3%
15
61.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIAReed 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)17
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 7:34CHIGibson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
34.8%
15
65.2%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)15
36.2%
13
63.8%
Q1 - 8:15CHIZipser Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
33.0%
13
67.0%
Q1 - 8:28MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 8:40CHIGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
34.7%
10
65.3%
Q1 - 8:41CHIGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 8:42CHIMISS Grant 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 8:56CHIZipser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMISS Babbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.6%
7
61.4%
Q1 - 9:08CHIMcDermott Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)10
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 9:23MIADragic 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 9:32MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 9:33CHIMISS Lopez 18' Jump Shot8
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 9:44CHIMcDermott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 9:51MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 9:52CHIMISS Grant 2' Layup8
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 9:58CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 9:59MIAGibson BLOCK (1 BLK)8
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 10:06CHIMISS McDermott 17' Jump Shot8
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:22MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
39.4%
4
60.6%
Q1 - 10:24CHIGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 10:28CHIGibson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 10:30CHIMISS Lopez 4' Hook Shot5
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 10:47MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:58CHIZipser Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 10:58CHIZipser Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
31.6%
3
68.4%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMcGruder 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:34CHIGibson 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Lopez vs. Reed: Tip to Grant0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
34
53%
CHI
19
32
59%
Midrange
MIA
14
31
45%
CHI
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
CHI
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
9
11
82%
CHI
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2665%13.0 / 20
W. Reed2083%10.0 / 12
D. Waiters1948%9.5 / 20
W. Ellington1444%7.0 / 16
R. McGruder990%4.5 / 5
J. Johnson620%3.0 / 15
L. Babbitt350%1.5 / 3
O. White375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1542%7.5 / 18
P. Zipser1458%7.0 / 12
T. Gibson1478%7.0 / 9
R. Rondo1381%6.5 / 8
D. McDermott975%4.5 / 6
R. Lopez758%3.5 / 6
J. Grant650%3.0 / 6
C. Felicio660%3.0 / 5
J. Butler311%1.5 / 14
N. Mirotic117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+10
-10
98
CHI
75
+12
-21
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.0%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
107.8
MIA 102.0
CHI 91.7 +10.4
Pace
95.0
95.0
MIA 102.4 +10.4
CHI 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
MIA 14.1 +1.6
CHI 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
48.7%
MIA 51.1% +6.9%
CHI 44.2%
TO %
13.2%
13.6%
MIA 11.3% +7.8%
CHI 19.1%
ORB %
24.2%
27.0%
MIA 17.1%
CHI 21.4% +4.3%
FTrt
25.1
25.9
MIA 12.4
CHI 32.1 +19.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
58.4%
MIA 61.0% +3.4%
CHI 57.6%
STL %
7.5%
8.2%
MIA 14.3% +7.0%
CHI 7.3%
BLK %
9.3%
7.9%
MIA 3.1%
CHI 13.8% +10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
51.6%
MIA 51.0% +1.0%
CHI 50.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
57.4%
MIA 52.9%
CHI 59.4% +6.5%
Mid FG%
39.4%
39.8%
MIA 45.2% +11.9%
CHI 33.3%
3P %
36.5%
34.0%
MIA 37.5% +14.4%
CHI 23.1%
FT %
70.6%
79.8%
MIA 81.8% +5.8%
CHI 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
34.5%
MIA 38.2%
CHI 41.0% +2.8%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
39.9%
MIA 34.8% +7.5%
CHI 42.3%
3P Att. %
31.4%
25.6%
MIA 27.0% +10.3%
CHI 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9896
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points10088
Rebounds4043
Assists2519
Steals147
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)34 (6)
Field Goals41-8933-78
At-the-Rim FG18-3419-32
Midrange FG14-3111-33
2-Point FG32-6530-65
3-Point FG9-243-13
Free Throws9-1119-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 245 · 27
37.4
20
83%
5
1
1
0
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
34.3
26
65%
5
11
3
0
5
1
1
4
1-1
100%
11-16
69%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
34.0
19
48%
5
1
1
0
1
2
0
5
4-5
80%
3-13
23%
3-5
60%
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
27.9
9
90%
4
0
3
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
16.1
3
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
30.8
6
20%
9
9
1
1
3
1
4
5
0-1
0%
3-13
23%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
27.4
14
44%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-8
25%
F · 6'8" 215 · 24
21.5
3
75%
4
0
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
10.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
40
25
14
2
10
0
7
33
9-11
82%
32-65
49%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.